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Omnicell (OMCL)
NASDAQ:OMCL

Omnicell (OMCL) AI Stock Analysis

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Omnicell

(NASDAQ:OMCL)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$34.00
▲(7.32%Upside)
Omnicell's overall stock score is bolstered by a robust financial position and positive corporate events, including a stock buyback program. However, high valuation concerns and tariff impacts on profitability weigh down the score. Technical indicators are mixed, offering a cautious outlook.
Positive Factors
Financial Guidance
Omnicell has lifted the low end of its adjusted EBITDA range for FY25 by $20 million, indicating a stronger financial performance outlook.
Product Innovation
Omnicell has executed well over the past few quarters utilizing product innovation and an improved demand environment to drive positive product revenue growth.
Stock Repurchase Program
The company announced a $75 million share repurchase program, suggesting confidence in the company's stock value.
Negative Factors
CFO Transition
Visibility remains challenged with a pending CFO change and still early days in new product growth.
Tariff Impact
There is a risk that tariffs could revert back to a high rate, which might negatively impact future adjusted EBITDA estimates.

Omnicell (OMCL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Omnicell Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOmnicell, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides medication management solutions and adherence tools for healthcare systems and pharmacies the United States and internationally. The company offers point of care automation solutions to improve clinician workflows in patient care areas of the healthcare system; XT Series automated dispensing systems for medications and supplies used in nursing units and other clinical areas of the hospital, as well as specialized automated dispensing systems for operating room; Omnicell Interface Software that offers interface and integration between its medication-use products or supply products, and a healthcare facility's in-house information management systems; and robotic dispensing systems for handling the stocking and retrieval of boxed medications. It also provides central pharmacy automation solutions, including automated storage and retrieval systems, such as XR2 Automated Central Pharmacy System; IV compounding robots and workflow management systems; inventory management software; and controlled substance management systems. In addition, the company provides single-dose automation solutions that fill and label a variety of patient-specific, single-dose medication blister packaging based on incoming prescriptions; fully automated and semi-automated filling equipment for institutional pharmacies to warrant automated packaging of medications; and medication blister card packaging and packaging supplies to enhance medication adherence in non-acute care settings. Further, it offers EnlivenHealth Patient Engagement, a web-based nexus of solutions. The company was formerly known as Omnicell Technologies, Inc. and changed its name to Omnicell, Inc. in 2001. Omnicell, Inc. was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Mountain View, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyOmnicell generates revenue through the sale and leasing of its medication management and automation systems to hospitals, healthcare systems, and pharmacies. Key revenue streams include the direct sale of hardware products, such as automated dispensing cabinets, and software solutions for medication management. Additionally, Omnicell offers service contracts for maintenance and support, which provide a recurring revenue stream. The company also benefits from partnerships with healthcare providers and pharmaceutical companies, facilitating the integration of its solutions into broader healthcare management systems. These partnerships, along with ongoing advancements in healthcare technology, contribute significantly to Omnicell's earnings.

Omnicell Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 3.90%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presents a mixed picture with strong revenue growth and recurring revenue achievements offset by significant challenges due to tariffs and decreased profitability metrics. The company's strategic pivots towards recurring revenue and customer wins are positive, though the tariff impact is a considerable headwind.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Total revenue for Q1 2025 was $270 million, representing an increase of $24 million over Q1 2024.
Recurring Revenue Achievement
There was notable growth in recurring revenue, with contributions from the XT Amplify program and SaaS and Expert Services.
Non-GAAP Earnings Improvement
Non-GAAP earnings per share for Q1 2025 were $0.26, compared to $0.03 in the same period last year.
Customer Wins and Partnerships
Significant customer wins across various regions, with health systems investing in Omnicell solutions to improve efficiency and safety.
Cash Flow and Liquidity
Free cash flow of $10 million during Q1 2025, with cash and cash equivalents rising to $387 million from $369 million in the previous quarter.
Negative Updates
Tariff Impact on Financial Guidance
Tariffs are expected to impact 2025 non-GAAP EBITDA by approximately $40 million, leading to revised guidance ranges.
Decrease in Gross Margin
Non-GAAP gross margin for Q1 2025 was 42.1%, a decrease of 530 basis points from the prior quarter.
GAAP Earnings Loss
GAAP earnings per share for Q1 2025 were a loss of $0.15 compared to a loss of $0.34 per share in Q1 2024.
Decreased Quarterly Profitability
First quarter non-GAAP EBITDA decreased by $23 million compared to the previous quarter.
Company Guidance
During the Omnicell First Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided detailed guidance on several financial metrics. For the first quarter of 2025, total revenue reached $270 million, marking an increase of $24 million year-over-year and a decrease of $37 million compared to the previous quarter, attributed to typical seasonality. Product revenue was $145 million, and service revenue was $125 million, both showing year-over-year increases. The non-GAAP gross margin was 42.1%, a drop from the previous quarter due to seasonal expenses. GAAP earnings per share recorded a loss of $0.15, although non-GAAP earnings per share improved to $0.26. Non-GAAP EBITDA was $24 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase but a sequential decrease. For full-year 2025, Omnicell expects total revenue between $1.105 billion and $1.155 billion, and non-GAAP EBITDA between $100 million and $145 million, with non-GAAP earnings per share projected from $1 to $1.65. The impact of tariffs, especially those from China, is expected to affect 2025 non-GAAP EBITDA by approximately $40 million, prompting adjustments in guidance ranges. The company plans mitigation strategies, including supply chain adjustments and potential pricing actions, to manage these tariff impacts.

Omnicell Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Omnicell shows stable financial health with a strong balance sheet and good cash flow generation. However, it faces challenges in revenue growth and profitability margins, necessitating improvements in operational efficiency.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Omnicell's income statement presents a mixed performance. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue shows a decline, with a revenue growth rate of -3.04% compared to the previous year. The gross profit margin is 42.57%, indicating a solid ability to manage production costs. However, the net profit margin is only 1.13%, reflecting challenges in controlling operating expenses. EBIT and EBITDA margins are below industry standards, at 0.31% and 4.16%, respectively, indicating room for improvement in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet of Omnicell is relatively strong, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.30, demonstrating a conservative use of leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is 1.01%, which is low, indicating limited returns on shareholders' equity. The equity ratio stands at 58.62%, which is robust, showing a healthy proportion of equity financing relative to total assets. Overall, the balance sheet reflects stability with manageable liabilities.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Omnicell's cash flow statement shows a positive trajectory. The free cash flow growth rate is 10.58%, signaling good cash generation capability. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 14.98, which is strong, suggesting that operating cash flow significantly exceeds net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 11.12, reinforcing efficient cash generation. However, high capital expenditures could be a potential concern if not managed effectively.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.11B1.15B1.30B1.13B892.21M
Gross Profit
471.00M499.93M588.99M554.65M413.29M
EBIT
337.00K-34.87M-2.32M89.51M35.53M
EBITDA
90.09M60.69M96.85M174.44M107.12M
Net Income Common Stockholders
12.53M-20.37M5.65M77.85M32.19M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
381.68M467.97M330.36M349.05M485.93M
Total Assets
2.12B2.23B2.21B2.14B1.82B
Total Debt
382.55M614.09M616.74M528.06M516.10M
Net Debt
13.35M146.12M286.38M179.01M30.17M
Total Liabilities
877.65M1.04B1.08B995.81M857.00M
Stockholders Equity
1.24B1.19B1.13B1.15B967.50M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
151.26M126.08M17.04M173.47M131.00M
Operating Cash Flow
187.72M181.09M77.78M231.81M185.87M
Investing Cash Flow
-52.79M-55.02M-58.67M-412.50M-279.87M
Financing Cash Flow
-235.58M23.42M-20.95M47.36M456.27M

Omnicell Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price31.68
Price Trends
50DMA
30.31
Positive
100DMA
34.77
Negative
200DMA
39.65
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.39
Negative
RSI
60.16
Neutral
STOCH
84.31
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OMCL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 31.68 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 29.33, above the 50-day MA of 30.31, and below the 200-day MA of 39.65, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.39 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.31 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for OMCL.

Omnicell Risk Analysis

Omnicell disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Omnicell reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Omnicell Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$1.89B40.176.05%3.66%-17.69%-10.24%
67
Neutral
$1.45B68.221.73%3.00%
64
Neutral
$870.89M45.665.40%0.41%3.36%7.51%
PHPHR
58
Neutral
$1.60B-15.97%16.29%66.01%
56
Neutral
$1.81B-43.33%22.29%-32.89%
54
Neutral
$5.31B3.28-45.10%2.80%16.76%0.02%
52
Neutral
$1.28B-54.49%-2.54%-322.03%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OMCL
Omnicell
31.68
2.41
8.23%
HSTM
HealthStream
28.22
0.41
1.47%
PINC
Premier
23.08
5.19
29.01%
TDOC
Teladoc
7.40
-3.26
-30.58%
PHR
Phreesia
27.50
7.45
37.16%
SDGR
Schrodinger
25.47
4.12
19.30%

Omnicell Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Omnicell CFO Nchacha Etta to Step Down
Neutral
Jun 5, 2025

Omnicell, Inc. announced that its Chief Financial Officer, Nchacha Etta, will step down from his role effective September 15, 2025, or until a successor is named. The company has entered into a separation agreement with Mr. Etta, extending his separation date to November 15, 2025, and outlining terms for his continued service and benefits, including a severance payment, bonus eligibility, and additional vesting credit for equity awards.

The most recent analyst rating on (OMCL) stock is a Buy with a $61.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Omnicell stock, see the OMCL Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Omnicell Stockholders Approve Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 23, 2025

On May 21, 2025, Omnicell, Inc. held its Annual Meeting where stockholders voted on several key proposals. Three directors, Edward P. Bousa, Mary Garrett, and Bruce E. Scott, were elected to the Board until 2028. The stockholders also approved executive officer compensation and an amendment to the 2009 Equity Incentive Plan, which includes an additional 1,750,000 shares for issuance. Additionally, Deloitte & Touche LLP was ratified as the independent accounting firm for 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (OMCL) stock is a Buy with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Omnicell stock, see the OMCL Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Omnicell Updates 2025 Guidance and Stock Buyback Plan
Positive
May 22, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Omnicell announced an update to its second quarter and full-year 2025 guidance, reflecting improved profitability due to reduced tariff rates on imports from China. The company also introduced a new $75 million stock repurchase program, indicating confidence in its financial health and commitment to delivering innovative medication management solutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (OMCL) stock is a Buy with a $53.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Omnicell stock, see the OMCL Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Omnicell CFO Nchacha Etta Announces Departure
Neutral
Mar 12, 2025

On March 12, 2025, Omnicell announced that Nchacha Etta will step down as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective September 15, 2025, or until a successor is named. Etta will assist in the transition while the company conducts a national search for his replacement. His departure is not due to any disagreement with the company, and he is credited with significant contributions to Omnicell’s growth. Additionally, Omnicell reiterated its first quarter and full year 2025 guidance, emphasizing its focus on strategic priorities and long-term revenue growth.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.