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Omnicell (OMCL)
NASDAQ:OMCL

Omnicell (OMCL) AI Stock Analysis

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OMCL

Omnicell

(NASDAQ:OMCL)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$42.00
▲(2.19% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/06/26
The score is held back most by weak technicals (oversold with negative momentum) and very stretched valuation (extremely high P/E with no dividend support). Financially, debt reduction and positive free cash flow help, but thin and volatile profitability remains a key risk. Earnings call guidance is moderately constructive, but tariff-driven margin pressure and recent EPS/cash weakness temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Balance sheet strength
Rapid deleveraging over two years meaningfully reduces interest and refinancing risk and increases strategic optionality. Lower leverage improves resilience to healthcare budgeting cycles, enables funding for R&D or tuck‑ins without heavy dilution, and gives the company room to execute multi‑year software and service growth plans.
Recurring revenue / ARR expansion
Rising ARR and service revenue expand a predictable, sticky revenue base that smooths cash flow versus lumpy capital equipment sales. A larger installed base increases cross‑sell and renewal opportunities, underpins long‑term revenue visibility, and supports margin improvement as software mix grows.
Product and platform innovation
Transitioning toward cloud‑connected hardware plus Omnisphere platform raises switching costs and enables recurring software monetization. Platform innovation supports long‑term differentiation in hospital workflows, creates higher lifetime value per account, and positions the company to convert hardware installs into sustained ARR.
Negative Factors
Thin, volatile profitability
Very low and inconsistent profitability constrains the company’s ability to reinvest and compound returns on a sizable equity base. Without sustained operating leverage, modest revenue growth may not translate into durable EPS or FCF improvement, keeping funding and return dynamics fragile over the medium term.
Margin headwinds from tariffs and mix
Material tariff and mix pressures have already compressed gross margins and a multi‑year tariff hit is forecast for 2026. If sourcing, pricing, or product mix shifts fail to offset these structural cost pressures, operating margins and free cash flow will remain constrained, limiting durable profitability gains.
Slow near‑term revenue realization for new hardware
New product launches face long hospital capital cycles and financing fits, so revenue from Titan XT may take many quarters to materialize. That structural timing lag keeps hardware revenue volatile and delays the expected shift to higher‑margin software/ARR, increasing execution risk during the transition period.

Omnicell (OMCL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Omnicell Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOmnicell, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides medication management solutions and adherence tools for healthcare systems and pharmacies the United States and internationally. The company offers point of care automation solutions to improve clinician workflows in patient care areas of the healthcare system; XT Series automated dispensing systems for medications and supplies used in nursing units and other clinical areas of the hospital, as well as specialized automated dispensing systems for operating room; Omnicell Interface Software that offers interface and integration between its medication-use products or supply products, and a healthcare facility's in-house information management systems; and robotic dispensing systems for handling the stocking and retrieval of boxed medications. It also provides central pharmacy automation solutions, including automated storage and retrieval systems, such as XR2 Automated Central Pharmacy System; IV compounding robots and workflow management systems; inventory management software; and controlled substance management systems. In addition, the company provides single-dose automation solutions that fill and label a variety of patient-specific, single-dose medication blister packaging based on incoming prescriptions; fully automated and semi-automated filling equipment for institutional pharmacies to warrant automated packaging of medications; and medication blister card packaging and packaging supplies to enhance medication adherence in non-acute care settings. Further, it offers EnlivenHealth Patient Engagement, a web-based nexus of solutions. The company was formerly known as Omnicell Technologies, Inc. and changed its name to Omnicell, Inc. in 2001. Omnicell, Inc. was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Mountain View, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyOmnicell generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling its automated dispensing systems and software solutions to healthcare providers. The company earns a significant portion of its revenue from the sale of hardware, including automated medication dispensing units and robotic systems. In addition to hardware sales, Omnicell also offers software solutions, maintenance contracts, and services that enhance the operational capabilities of its clients, creating recurring revenue through subscription and service contracts. Furthermore, strategic partnerships with healthcare organizations and technology providers contribute to its earnings by expanding market reach and integrating its solutions into existing healthcare infrastructures. The combination of these revenue streams allows Omnicell to maintain a robust financial model, driven by ongoing demand for healthcare efficiency and safety improvements.

Omnicell Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Profit by Segment
Gross Profit by Segment
Analyzes profitability across different business segments, highlighting which areas contribute most to the bottom line and where there might be opportunities or challenges.
Chart InsightsOmnicell's Product segment gross profit has been volatile, with a notable decline in early 2024, but recent quarters show recovery. The Service segment displays steady growth, underscoring a strategic shift towards recurring revenue. The latest earnings call highlights strong revenue growth and successful product launches, which could bolster future profitability. However, tariff impacts and rising inventory levels pose challenges. The company's focus on technology platform expansion, particularly the certified OmniSphere platform, suggests a commitment to long-term growth and operational excellence.
Data provided by:The Fly

Omnicell Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 05, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a cautiously optimistic outlook: Omnicell reported revenue and ARR growth, exceeded guidance midpoints for bookings and revenue, and launched strategic products (Titan XT, Omnisphere) with encouraging customer response and a stronger pipeline. However, the company faces margin pressure (tariffs and mix), lower GAAP/non-GAAP per-share results in the quarter and year, a meaningful cash balance reduction due to debt repayment and buybacks, and some service/retail segment headwinds. Management frames the adverse items as strategic investments (product launch, financing options, ERP transformation and go-to-market investments) that position the company for multi-year growth and higher recurring revenue, and 2026 guidance reflects modest top-line and EBITDA expansion while factoring in tariff and ERP costs. On balance, the positive operational momentum and guidance modestly outweigh the financial headwinds, but execution on margin recovery and conversion to Titan/Omnisphere will be critical.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) Growth
Exited 2025 with ARR of $636M, up 10% from the 2024 exit rate; 2026 year-end ARR guidance of $680M–$700M (projected ~7%–10% growth vs. 2025 exit).
Full-Year Revenue Growth and Guidance
Full year 2025 total revenue was $1.185B (up from $1.112B in 2024, roughly +6.6%) and 2026 revenue guidance of $1.215B–$1.255B reflects continued growth.
Bookings and Backlog Performance
Full-year 2025 product bookings of $535M landed above the midpoint of guidance; product backlog exited 2025 at $640M (down ~1% year-over-year) with $435M short-term backlog expected to convert in 2026.
Product & Platform Innovation Momentum
Launched Titan XT and advanced Omnisphere (achieved high-trust CSF I one certification); positive early customer feedback from ASHP and notable wins (large health systems, VA, Canadian providers). Management reports a strengthened top-of-funnel and competitive traction.
Service Revenue Strength
Full year 2025 service revenue was $519M (up from $482M in 2024, +7.7%); Q4 2025 service revenue $134M, up 8% YoY — contributing to recurring revenue expansion.
Product Revenue Growth (Full Year)
Full year 2025 product revenue was $666M versus $631M in 2024, an increase of ~5.6% year-over-year, driven by connected device demand (XT family).
Profitability Run-Rate and 2026 Profit Guidance
Non-GAAP EBITDA for full year 2025 was $140M (up from $136M in 2024, +2.9%). 2026 non-GAAP EBITDA guidance of $145M–$160M signals continued expansion, and non-GAAP EPS guidance of $1.65–$1.85 indicates modest improvement potential.
Operational Improvements and Receivables
Days Sales Outstanding improved to 65 days in 2025 from 77 days in 2024, indicating better collections and working capital management.
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Compression
Full-year non-GAAP gross margin declined to 43.2% in 2025 from 47.4% in 2024 (≈ -4.2 percentage points), driven by ~$7M of tariff costs in 2025 and product/customer mix shifts; 2026 tariff P&L impact estimated at ~$15M.
Earnings and Per-Share Performance Weakness
Q4 2025 GAAP EPS was a loss of $0.05 vs. GAAP EPS of $0.34 in Q4 2024. Q4 non-GAAP EPS slipped to $0.40 from $0.60 YoY; full-year non-GAAP EPS fell to $1.62 from $1.71 in 2024 (~ -5.3%).
Quarterly Profitability Pressure
Q4 2025 non-GAAP EBITDA was $37M vs $46M in Q4 2024 (≈ -19.6%) and landed at the lower end of guidance due to investments (ASHP costs, customer experience, HR initiatives).
Cash Reduction and Capital Uses
Cash & cash equivalents fell to $197M at 12/31/2025 from $369M at 12/31/2024 (≈ -46.6%), reflecting repayment of $175M of debt and ~$78M of share repurchases; Q4 free cash flow declined to $18M from $43M YoY (≈ -58%).
Slight Decline in Product Bookings and Backlog
2025 product bookings of $535M were below 2024 product bookings of $558M (~ -4.1%); product backlog exited down ~1% vs. 2024 exit.
Tariffs and Supply-Chain Headwinds
Tariff-related costs contributed materially to margin declines in 2025 and are expected to be a meaningful P&L headwind in 2026 (~$15M estimated), with mitigation efforts underway but incomplete.
Retail/EnlivenHealth Headwinds
EnlivenHealth faces pressures in the retail segment; management notes headwinds in that market and continued monitoring, which could weigh on parts of the services business.
Limited Near-Term Revenue from Titan XT
Titan XT was launched in December but there were no Titan XT orders in 2025; conversions to Titan depend on multi-quarter-to-multi-year capital cycles and lease/financing fits, creating near-term uncertainty in hardware replacement pacing.
Company Guidance
Omnicell guided Q1 2026 total revenue of $300–$310M (product $171–176M; service $129–134M), with Q1 non‑GAAP EBITDA of $27–33M and non‑GAAP EPS of $0.26–0.36 (noting seasonally higher payroll/tax costs). For full‑year 2026 it forecast product bookings of $510–560M, total revenue of $1.215–1.255B (product $690–710M; service $525–545M), year‑end ARR of $680–700M, non‑GAAP EBITDA of $145–160M and non‑GAAP EPS of $1.65–1.85. Management’s guidance incorporates an estimated ~$15M of tariff costs hitting the P&L in 2026, an estimated non‑GAAP effective tax rate of ~13%, and about $10M of ERP implementation costs in 2026, and reflects an expected ~2x EBITDA expansion versus revenue growth while incremental Omnisphere software revenue is expected to materialize beginning in 2027.

Omnicell Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Balance sheet strength improved meaningfully with large debt reduction and sizable equity, and cash generation remains solid with positive operating cash flow and free cash flow. However, earnings quality is the main constraint: despite the 2025 revenue rebound, profitability is very thin and has been volatile, and free cash flow declined year-over-year.
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Revenue rebounded in 2025 (+60.3% vs. 2024), but profitability deteriorated sharply: net margin fell to ~0.2% (from ~1.1% in 2024) and operating profit was essentially flat/near-zero despite solid gross margin stability (~42–46% range over the period). Results have also been volatile (loss in 2023, strong profitability in 2021), suggesting earnings quality and cost structure are still not consistently controlled.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Leverage improved materially, with total debt down to ~$192M in 2025 from ~$383M in 2024 and ~$614M in 2023, while equity remained large (~$1.23B). Total assets are steady (~$2.0B), giving the company flexibility. The key weakness is low recent profitability, which limits returns on the equity base and reduces the balance sheet’s ability to compound value without an earnings recovery.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash generation is a relative bright spot: 2025 operating cash flow was ~$127M and free cash flow was ~$87M, remaining solidly positive. That said, free cash flow declined ~22% in 2025 versus 2024, indicating weaker conversion year-over-year. Over the broader period, cash flow has been materially stronger than the 2022 trough, but the recent downshift and thin net income in 2025 warrant monitoring.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.18B1.11B1.15B1.30B1.13B
Gross Profit503.44M471.00M499.93M588.99M554.65M
EBITDA96.28M90.09M79.98M96.85M174.44M
Net Income2.05M12.53M-20.37M5.65M77.85M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.97B2.12B2.23B2.21B2.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments196.52M381.68M467.97M341.85M359.72M
Total Debt217.18M382.55M614.09M616.74M541.01M
Total Liabilities742.91M877.65M1.04B1.08B995.81M
Stockholders Equity1.23B1.24B1.19B1.13B1.15B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow86.89M151.26M139.62M17.04M202.84M
Operating Cash Flow127.30M187.72M181.09M77.78M231.81M
Investing Cash Flow-60.36M-52.79M-55.02M-58.67M-412.50M
Financing Cash Flow-218.32M-235.58M23.42M-20.95M47.36M

Omnicell Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price41.10
Price Trends
50DMA
45.16
Negative
100DMA
40.04
Positive
200DMA
35.15
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.37
Negative
RSI
47.01
Neutral
STOCH
87.92
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OMCL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 41.1 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 40.55, below the 50-day MA of 45.16, and above the 200-day MA of 35.15, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.37 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.92 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OMCL.

Omnicell Risk Analysis

Omnicell disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Omnicell reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Omnicell Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$1.13B-687.381.03%11.47%
60
Neutral
$634.74M22.214.54%1.30%
55
Neutral
$2.94B-65.93-5.78%1.92%59.18%
54
Neutral
$1.87B951.390.17%10.67%
53
Neutral
$938.37M-4.61-13.93%-2.37%77.85%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
46
Neutral
$362.82M-0.63-75.47%-16.65%-71.92%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OMCL
Omnicell
41.10
3.04
7.99%
EVH
Evolent Health
3.25
-5.74
-63.85%
TDOC
Teladoc
5.26
-4.30
-44.98%
TXG
10x Genomics
23.05
12.36
115.62%
GDRX
GoodRx Holdings
1.87
-3.11
-62.45%
CERT
Certara
7.08
-4.90
-40.90%

Omnicell Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Omnicell Launches Advanced Titan XT Dispensing System
Positive
Dec 8, 2025

On December 8, 2025, Omnicell announced the launch of Omnicell Titan XT, an advanced automated dispensing system designed to enhance autonomous medication management. The Titan XT, powered by the cloud-based OmniSphere platform, aims to improve pharmacy control and nursing confidence by offering a connected medication management ecosystem. This innovation is expected to optimize medication inventory management and streamline nursing workflows, marking a significant milestone in Omnicell’s journey towards comprehensive healthcare automation.

The most recent analyst rating on (OMCL) stock is a Hold with a $37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Omnicell stock, see the OMCL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 06, 2026