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10x Genomics Inc (TXG)
NASDAQ:TXG

10x Genomics (TXG) AI Stock Analysis

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TXG

10x Genomics

(NASDAQ:TXG)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$18.00
▼(-4.66% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/14/26
The score is driven primarily by improving fundamentals (re-accelerating revenue and a major turn to positive operating/free cash flow) and a cautious-but-constructive earnings outlook with strong consumables momentum. These positives are meaningfully offset by weak near-term technicals, ongoing net/operating losses, and guidance reflecting continued instrument pressure and constrained customer CapEx.
Positive Factors
Improving cash generation
10x Genomics swung to materially positive operating and free cash flow in 2025 alongside re-accelerating revenue and high gross margins. This recent cash-generation ability improves self-funding, reduces refinancing risk, and supports strategic investment and R&D over the next several quarters if sustained.
Recurring consumables momentum
Strong, recurring consumables and reaction-volume growth point to durable revenue streams less tied to one-time instrument sales. High consumable attach rates and growing usage (single-cell and spatial reactions) support predictable, high-margin revenue and compounding lifetime customer value over multiple quarters.
Product innovation expanding TAM
New product launches (FLEX APEX plus spatial enhancements) broaden assay capabilities, lower per‑experiment costs, and enable FFPE and whole blood workflows. These structural product advantages increase adoption potential across research and translational use cases, supporting longer-term volume growth and competitive differentiation.
Negative Factors
Operating and net losses persist
Despite margin improvement and positive cash flow, operating losses persist, leaving earnings volatility and negative ROE. Continued operating deficits constrain reinvestment flexibility and require sustained margin expansion to demonstrate durable profitability across industry cycles and justify long-term capital allocation.
Material instrument revenue weakness
Large declines in instrument sales reflect constrained customer CapEx and expose revenue volatility tied to capital equipment cycles. Slower instrument installs hamper new-system driven consumable growth and lengthen payback on R&D and sales investments, making near-term top-line consistency harder to rely upon.
Funding and regional demand uncertainty
Dependence on academic and grant-driven budgets creates structural demand uncertainty; regional disparities (Americas softness) and timing of multiyear grants can shift orders. This weakens visibility into instrument purchases and can delay recurring consumable upside, pressuring medium-term growth consistency.

10x Genomics (TXG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

10x Genomics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description10x Genomics, Inc., a life science technology company, develops and sells instruments, consumables, and software for analyzing biological systems in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, China, and the Asia Pacific. The company provides chromium and chromium connect instruments, microfluidic chips, slides, reagents, and other consumables products. Its single cell solutions runs on its chromium instruments, which include single cell gene expression for measuring gene activity on a cell-by-cell basis; single cell immune profiling for measuring the activity of immune cells and their targets; single cell Assay for Transposase Accessible Chromati (ATAC) for measuring epigenetics comprising the physical organization of DNA; and single cell multiome ATAC + gene expression for measuring the genetic activity and epigenetic programming in the same cells across tens of thousands of cells in a single experiment. The company also provides visium spatial gene expression solution for measuring spatial gene expression patterns across a single tissue sample or gene expression and protein co-detection when combined with immunofluorescence. It serves various academic, government, biopharmaceutical, biotechnology, and other institutions. The company was formerly known as 10X Technologies, Inc. and changed its name to 10x Genomics, Inc. in November 2014. 10x Genomics, Inc. was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Pleasanton, California.
How the Company Makes Money10x Genomics generates revenue primarily through the sale of its genomic analysis systems, consumables, and software. The company offers a range of products, including the Chromium Controller, Chromium Chips, and associated reagents, which represent a significant portion of its revenue. Additionally, 10x Genomics provides software tools and cloud-based solutions that facilitate data analysis and interpretation for researchers. The company benefits from ongoing partnerships with academic institutions, research organizations, and pharmaceutical companies, which often lead to bulk purchases of its products for large-scale genomic studies. Furthermore, the expanding applications of its technology in areas such as personalized medicine and drug development contribute to its growing customer base and revenue potential.

10x Genomics Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where 10x Genomics is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart Insights10x Genomics is experiencing mixed geographic performance. The Americas and APAC regions saw revenue declines in Q4 2024, with the Americas down 16% and APAC down 5%, reflecting broader market challenges and NIH funding uncertainties. In contrast, EMEA and China showed resilience, with EMEA maintaining steady growth. Despite these regional disparities, the company is optimistic about 2025, focusing on product innovation and expanding biopharma revenue. However, potential NIH funding cuts remain a significant risk, potentially impacting revenue by up to $15 million.
Data provided by:The Fly

10x Genomics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 12, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a balanced picture: strong operational and commercial progress in consumables, reaction volumes, product innovation (notably FLEX APEX and Xenium), improved gross margin, and a materially stronger cash position were clear positives. Offsetting these wins were meaningful declines in instrument revenue, continued capital expenditure constraints, regional funding variability (notably the Americas), and pricing/mix considerations from lower-cost assays. Management reinstated cautious but constructive guidance for 2026 (flat-to-modest growth excluding settlements) and emphasized continued cost discipline.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Quarterly and Full-Year Revenue Performance
Q4 revenue of $166,000,000 (up 1% year-over-year) exceeded the high end of guidance; full-year revenue closed at $599,000,000 excluding $44,000,000 of upfront patent litigation settlement revenue.
Strengthened Balance Sheet and Cash Position
Ended the year with $523,000,000 in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities, an increase of $130,000,000 versus 2024, driven by disciplined cost management.
Consumables and Reaction Volume Momentum
Total consumables revenue in Q4 grew 6% year-over-year; single cell consumables grew 3% in Q4. Full-year reaction volumes increased 22% year-over-year, and Q4 saw strong reaction-volume growth (30%+) driven by new product adoption.
Spatial (Xenium) Growth and Utilization
Spatial consumables delivered double-digit revenue growth for the year driven by Xenium momentum; Xenium reactions reached 14,500 for the year, up approximately 34% year-over-year, with expanding customer utilization and fleet expansion.
FLEX APEX Product Launch and Adoption
Launched FLEX APEX (next-generation FLEX assay) in 2025; it became the most popular single cell assay by volume in Q4, offering lower cost per experiment and support for FFPE and fixed whole blood — enabling larger-scale AI and translational studies and driving incremental reaction volumes.
Spatial Platform Enhancements
Multiple spatial product launches in 2025 — Visium HD 3' and HD cell segmentation, and Xenium RNA+protein multimodal capability — materially expanded spatial capabilities and customer value.
Improved Gross Margin
Reported gross margin of 68% for 2025, up from 67% the prior year, helped by lower inventory write-downs and reduced royalty and warranty costs.
Operating Efficiency
Total operating expenses decreased 18% in the fourth quarter, primarily due to lower outside legal expenses and reduced personnel costs; management emphasized continued cost discipline going into 2026.
Reinstated Full-Year Guidance
2026 revenue guidance reinstated at $600,000,000 to $625,000,000 (which implies 0% to 4% growth over full-year 2025 excluding upfront settlements); guidance assumes continued double-digit growth for single cell reaction volumes and spatial consumables while CapEx remains constrained.
Negative Updates
Instrument Revenue Pressure
Total instrument revenue declined 36% in Q4; Chromium instrument revenue declined 44% and spatial instrument revenue declined 30%, reflecting materially constrained capital equipment purchases.
Subdued Customer Spending and Funding Uncertainty
Customer spending remained subdued with capital purchases particularly constrained; management cited ongoing uncertainty in research funding dynamics (e.g., U.S. academic funding timing and multiyear grant questions) impacting purchase timing.
Regional Softness in Americas
Americas revenue declined 6% in Q4 while management noted stronger performance in EMEA and APAC, indicating regional disparities tied to funding and year-end ordering patterns.
Visium Flat Growth
Visium did not grow in 2025; spatial growth was driven entirely by Xenium, highlighting portfolio concentration within the spatial segment.
Pricing and Mix Headwinds from New Lower‑Cost Products
FLEX APEX's lower cost per experiment is expected to drive volume but also introduces potential pricing/mix headwinds for Chromium consumables; management models Chromium consumables roughly flat at the guidance midpoint, reflecting price/volume trade-offs.
Continued CapEx Constraints into 2026
Guidance and commentary assume constrained CapEx funding will persist in 2026, continuing to pressure instrument revenue and limiting near-term equipment purchases.
Macro & Timing Volatility
Management described 2025 as highly unpredictable for customers and the ecosystem; systemic turbulence in research funding remains a risk to purchase cadence and revenue timing (including carryover of some orders into Q1).
Company Guidance
10x reinstated full‑year 2026 revenue guidance of $600–$625 million, which at the midpoint implies roughly 0–4% growth versus 2025 after excluding $44 million of upfront patent‑settlement revenue from 2025’s $599 million; the guidance assumes continued double‑digit growth in single‑cell consumable reaction volumes and double‑digit spatial consumables revenue, while constrained CapEx will keep instrument revenue under pressure. Management also expects Q1 to be a larger share of full‑year revenue (historically ~23% of revenue, now about ~24% at the midpoint) and emphasized sustaining the cost discipline that helped end 2025 with $523 million in cash, up ~$130 million year‑over‑year.

10x Genomics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue growth re-accelerated in 2025 (+15.7%) with strong gross margin (~69%) and a sharp swing to positive operating and free cash flow (~$136M and ~$130M). The score is capped by continued operating and net losses (operating margin ~-17%, net margin ~-6.8%) and the need to prove cash-flow durability after prior years of weaker cash generation.
Income Statement
47
Neutral
Revenue growth re-accelerated in 2025 (+15.7% vs. -1.3% in 2024), and gross margin remains strong (about 69% in 2025). However, profitability is still negative, with operating losses persisting (2025 operating margin about -17%) and net losses continuing (2025 net margin about -6.8%), albeit meaningfully improved from 2024. Overall, the top line and gross profitability are constructive, but sustained operating losses keep the score below average.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Leverage appears manageable with low debt relative to equity (debt-to-equity about 0.20 in 2025), and equity remains substantial versus assets. The main weakness is ongoing negative returns on equity (about -5.5% in 2025), reflecting continued net losses despite a solid capital base. Balance sheet risk looks moderate-to-low, but profitability needs to stabilize for the profile to strengthen further.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash generation improved sharply in 2025 with positive operating cash flow (~$136M) and solid positive free cash flow (~$130M), a major swing from 2024 (near-breakeven operating cash flow and negative free cash flow). This indicates improving cash efficiency and better self-funding capacity. The key watch-out is that this strength is relatively recent following multiple years of negative operating and free cash flow, so consistency through cycles remains to be proven.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue642.82M610.78M618.73M516.41M490.49M
Gross Profit443.88M414.48M409.31M396.02M416.40M
EBITDA-110.89M-133.99M-205.11M-128.49M-24.59M
Net Income-43.54M-182.63M-255.10M-166.00M-58.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.04B918.64M965.14M1.03B1.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments523.41M393.40M388.69M429.98M587.45M
Total Debt157.74M82.61M95.37M95.18M81.98M
Total Liabilities245.04M208.50M224.10M223.24M201.26M
Stockholders Equity796.33M710.13M741.04M805.74M817.57M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow130.12M-5.73M-64.72M-165.27M-122.65M
Operating Cash Flow136.05M6.66M-15.20M-33.61M-21.37M
Investing Cash Flow-13.44M-32.63M133.49M-350.89M-106.73M
Financing Cash Flow6.80M10.91M13.67M15.82M35.30M

10x Genomics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price18.88
Price Trends
50DMA
18.80
Positive
100DMA
16.74
Positive
200DMA
14.30
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.19
Positive
RSI
47.87
Neutral
STOCH
47.57
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TXG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 18.88 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.42, above the 50-day MA of 18.80, and above the 200-day MA of 14.30, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.19 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.87 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.57 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TXG.

10x Genomics Risk Analysis

10x Genomics disclosed 8 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. 10x Genomics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

10x Genomics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$2.66B1,503.810.84%50.50%
64
Neutral
$3.19B-7.70-106.91%50.67%-578.00%
55
Neutral
$2.50B-54.89-5.78%1.92%59.18%
54
Neutral
$1.73B894.210.17%10.67%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$327.70M-4.34-86.09%13.66%-2.65%
44
Neutral
$869.98M-4.95-45.67%32.90%1.85%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TXG
10x Genomics
18.88
7.77
69.94%
OMCL
Omnicell
40.26
0.78
1.98%
SDGR
Schrodinger
11.53
-9.52
-45.23%
WGS
GeneDx Holdings
82.06
-13.79
-14.39%
SOPH
SOPHiA GENETICS
4.75
1.01
27.01%
HNGE
Hinge Health, Inc. Class A
41.31
1.15
2.86%

10x Genomics Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
10x Genomics Announces Chief Legal Officer Retirement
Neutral
Nov 14, 2025

On November 12, 2025, Eric S. Whitaker announced his retirement as Chief Legal Officer of 10x Genomics, Inc., effective January 1, 2026, after over eight years of service. He will transition to Strategic Counsel, while Dr. Randy Wu will succeed him as General Counsel and Secretary. This leadership change marks a significant transition for the company, with Whitaker continuing to offer his expertise and Dr. Wu bringing his extensive legal background to the role.

The most recent analyst rating on (TXG) stock is a Hold with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on 10x Genomics stock, see the TXG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 14, 2026