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Pebblebrook Hotel (PEB)
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Pebblebrook Hotel (PEB) AI Stock Analysis

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PEB

Pebblebrook Hotel

(NYSE:PEB)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$11.00
▲(2.42% Upside)
Pebblebrook Hotel's overall score is driven by financial challenges, including declining revenues and profitability issues, despite positive cash flow trends. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum. The earnings call and corporate events provide some optimism with strong operational performance and strategic financial management.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow growth indicates efficient operations and provides financial flexibility to manage debt and invest in growth opportunities.
Operational Efficiency
Effective cost management enhances profitability and allows the company to maintain competitiveness in the hospitality market.
Strategic Asset Management
Selling non-core assets to reduce debt improves balance sheet health and allows focus on high-performing properties.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Significant revenue decline challenges profitability and may hinder the company's ability to invest in growth and innovation.
Profitability Issues
Negative return on equity suggests inefficiency in generating profits from shareholders' investments, impacting long-term growth.
Market Weakness
Weak performance in key markets like Washington, D.C. may limit revenue growth and affect overall market positioning.

Pebblebrook Hotel (PEB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Pebblebrook Hotel Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPebblebrook Hotel Trust (NYSE: PEB) is a publicly traded real estate investment trust (REIT) and the largest owner of urban and resort lifestyle hotels in the United States. The Company owns 53 hotels, totaling approximately 13,200 guestrooms across 14 urban and resort markets, with a focus on the west coast gateway cities.
How the Company Makes MoneyPebblebrook Hotel Trust generates revenue primarily through the operation of its hotel properties, which include room rentals, food and beverage services, and ancillary offerings such as meeting and event spaces. The company's key revenue streams stem from its rental income derived from guests staying at its hotels, as well as income from on-site restaurants, bars, and event services. Additionally, Pebblebrook may earn management fees from its properties and benefit from partnerships with hotel management companies that operate the hotels on its behalf. The company's revenue can also be influenced by factors such as occupancy rates, average daily rates (ADR), and seasonal demand, as well as its strategic acquisitions and asset management practices that enhance property values and operational efficiency.

Pebblebrook Hotel Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong operational performance with impressive cost management and growth in key markets like San Francisco. However, challenges such as a decline in ADR, weakness in certain urban markets, and the impact of the government shutdown were noted. The outlook for 2026 remains optimistic with expected macroeconomic improvements and major events.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Operational Performance
Same-property hotel EBITDA totaled $105.4 million, in line with our midpoint, while adjusted EBITDA came in at $99.2 million, exceeding our midpoint by $2.2 million. Adjusted FFO per share was $0.51, $0.03 above our midpoint.
San Francisco Market Strength
San Francisco RevPAR rose 8.3% in Q3 on a 690 basis point jump in occupancy, driving EBITDA higher by 10.9%. Growth was fueled by an active convention calendar and a continued recovery in both business travel and leisure demand.
Successful Cost Management
Same-property hotel expenses before fixed costs rose just 0.4% year-over-year, and on a per occupied room basis, expenses declined about 2%.
Positive Outlook for 2026
Expectations for 2026 are optimistic due to a favorable macroeconomic setup, low supply growth, and significant events like the World Cup and America's 250th anniversary celebrations.
Redevelopment Program Success
Properties like Newport Harbor Island Resort and Jekyll Island Club Resort showed significant growth, with Newport Harbor RevPAR jumping 29% and total RevPAR surging 35.9% versus pre-renovation performance in 2023.
Negative Updates
Decline in ADR and RevPAR
Same-property occupancy increased nearly 190 basis points, while ADR declined 5.4%, resulting in a 3.1% decline in RevPAR and a 1.5% drop in same-property total RevPAR.
Weakness in Washington, D.C. and Los Angeles
Washington, D.C. had a RevPAR decline of 16.4% due to reduced government travel demand. Los Angeles RevPAR declined 10.4%, driven by competitive pricing and disruptions from ICE activity and National Guard deployments.
Impact of Government Shutdown
The ongoing government shutdown has led to reduced government travel and cancellations, affecting overall demand.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust reported robust performance metrics despite external challenges. The company achieved a same-property hotel EBITDA of $105.4 million and adjusted EBITDA of $99.2 million, surpassing its midpoint by $2.2 million. Adjusted Funds From Operations (FFO) per share was $0.51, exceeding expectations by $0.03. The quarter saw a nearly 190 basis point increase in same-property occupancy, although Average Daily Rate (ADR) dropped by 5.4%, leading to a 3.1% decline in Revenue Per Available Room (RevPAR). Notably, San Francisco and Chicago outperformed, with San Francisco's RevPAR rising by 8.3% and driving a 10.9% increase in EBITDA. Portfolio-wide, same-property out-of-room revenues grew by 1.7%, bolstered by strong event space utilization and elevated food and beverage performance. On the expense side, same-property hotel costs before fixed expenses rose just 0.4% year-over-year, with per-occupied-room expenses decreasing by approximately 2%, showcasing the company's efficiency improvements. The company also highlighted a successful $400 million convertible notes offering and plans to leverage strong free cash flow and cash on hand to address upcoming debt maturities.

Pebblebrook Hotel Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pebblebrook Hotel's financial performance is mixed. While there is slight revenue growth, profitability is a concern with a negative net profit margin and declining gross profit margin. The balance sheet shows high leverage, which poses risks, but cash flow generation is improving, providing some cushion.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Pebblebrook Hotel's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a slight revenue growth of 0.71%, but the company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by a negative net profit margin of -1.48%. The gross profit margin has decreased to 20.27% from 25.19% in the previous annual report, indicating rising costs or pricing pressures. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, suggesting challenges in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a stable but leveraged position. The debt-to-equity ratio is slightly above 1, indicating high leverage, which could pose risks if interest rates rise. However, the equity ratio remains healthy, and the company has managed to maintain a stable asset base. Return on equity is negative, reflecting ongoing profitability challenges.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows some positive trends. The free cash flow has grown by 26.02% in the TTM period, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 3.35, suggesting efficient cash conversion. However, the reliance on free cash flow to cover net income highlights the need for improved profitability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.46B1.45B1.42B1.39B733.04M442.89M
Gross Profit347.65M366.12M354.27M382.28M124.79M-50.87M
EBITDA239.00M306.40M274.58M238.40M124.83M-74.93M
Net Income-98.44M-4.24M-78.02M-87.17M-184.86M-391.73M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.55B5.69B5.82B6.13B6.26B6.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments223.16M206.65M183.75M41.04M58.52M124.27M
Total Debt2.57B2.57B2.64B2.71B2.76B2.79B
Total Liabilities2.95B2.91B2.97B3.05B3.10B2.81B
Stockholders Equity2.51B2.70B2.76B3.00B3.16B3.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow370.38M275.00M236.20M162.00M-13.06M-326.79M
Operating Cash Flow287.70M275.00M236.20M278.75M70.77M-201.78M
Investing Cash Flow-78.92M-92.83M142.02M-109.39M-81.57M250.12M
Financing Cash Flow-120.93M-158.22M-236.85M-209.34M-33.25M31.08M

Pebblebrook Hotel Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price10.74
Price Trends
50DMA
10.90
Negative
100DMA
10.84
Negative
200DMA
10.37
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
44.06
Neutral
STOCH
14.83
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PEB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 10.74 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.06, below the 50-day MA of 10.90, and above the 200-day MA of 10.37, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.83 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PEB.

Pebblebrook Hotel Risk Analysis

Pebblebrook Hotel disclosed 74 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Pebblebrook Hotel reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Pebblebrook Hotel Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
65
Neutral
$1.79B33.523.98%5.41%0.95%-8.40%
65
Neutral
$1.10B150.101.49%8.31%-0.58%-83.32%
64
Neutral
$2.75B15.805.41%8.81%0.57%-13.58%
64
Neutral
$1.28B24.114.58%3.99%4.29%141.01%
58
Neutral
$1.80B1,890.000.88%4.04%3.04%-98.77%
54
Neutral
$1.22B-3.74%0.37%0.99%-360.58%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PEB
Pebblebrook Hotel
10.74
-4.15
-27.87%
DRH
Diamondrock
8.68
-0.52
-5.65%
SHO
Sunstone Hotel
8.91
-2.89
-24.49%
RLJ
RLJ Lodging
7.22
-2.61
-26.55%
XHR
Xenia Hotels & Resorts
13.54
-2.16
-13.76%
APLE
Apple Hospitality REIT
11.46
-3.57
-23.75%

Pebblebrook Hotel Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsStock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Pebblebrook Hotel Completes Sale of Chicago Property
Neutral
Dec 4, 2025

On December 3, 2025, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust completed the sale of the 752-room Westin Michigan Avenue Chicago for $72.0 million. The proceeds from this sale will be used to reduce outstanding debt and preferred equity, repurchase common shares, and support other capital allocation priorities. This transaction, along with a previous sale, has allowed the company to reduce its debt by $100 million. Despite the sale, Pebblebrook’s updated fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 outlook remains largely unchanged, as the reduction in interest expenses is expected to offset the loss of hotel-level EBITDA.

M&A TransactionsStock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Pebblebrook Hotel Sells Montrose at Beverly Hills
Neutral
Nov 20, 2025

On November 19, 2025, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust completed the sale of the 133-room Montrose at Beverly Hills in West Hollywood, California, for $44.25 million. The proceeds from this sale are intended for general corporate purposes, such as reducing outstanding debt, repurchasing shares, and supporting other capital allocation priorities to enhance long-term shareholder value. This transaction is not expected to affect the company’s current fourth-quarter or full-year 2025 outlook. Additionally, Pebblebrook has another hotel under contract for sale at $72 million, expected to close in the fourth quarter, subject to customary conditions.

Stock Buyback
Pebblebrook Hotel Announces New Share Buyback Program
Neutral
Oct 27, 2025

On October 21, 2025, Pebblebrook Hotel‘s Board authorized a new share repurchase program of up to $150 million, terminating the previous program. This initiative allows the company to buy back shares at its discretion, based on various market and economic factors, without a set expiration date, potentially impacting the company’s stock value and shareholder returns.

Private Placements and FinancingStock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Pebblebrook Hotel Announces $400M Convertible Notes Offering
Positive
Sep 22, 2025

On September 16, 2025, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust announced a private offering of $400 million in 1.625% Convertible Senior Notes due 2030, which closed on September 18, 2025. The proceeds were used to repurchase $400 million of its 1.75% Convertible Senior Notes due 2026 and approximately 4.3 million common shares. This strategic financial maneuver aims to manage the company’s debt profile and potentially reduce dilution of common shares, enhancing its market positioning and financial flexibility.

Dividends
Pebblebrook Hotel Declares Cash Dividends for Q3 2025
Positive
Sep 15, 2025

On September 15, 2025, Pebblebrook Hotel Trust announced that its Board of Trustees has authorized and declared cash dividends for its common and preferred shares for the quarter ending September 30, 2025. The dividends, which include $0.01 per common share and varying amounts for preferred shares, are set to be paid on October 15, 2025, to shareholders of record as of September 30, 2025. This decision reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing returns to its shareholders and may impact its financial strategy and market positioning.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025