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Pure Cycle (PCYO)
:PCYO
US Market

Pure Cycle (PCYO) AI Stock Analysis

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PCYO

Pure Cycle

(NASDAQ:PCYO)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$13.00
▲(14.04% Upside)
Pure Cycle's overall stock score reflects its strong financial health and consistent profitability, supported by a resilient business model. While technical indicators and valuation suggest moderate performance, the company's adaptability and diverse revenue streams provide a solid foundation for future growth.
Positive Factors
Consistent Profitability
Consistent profitability over 25 quarters highlights the company's strong operational efficiency and ability to generate stable earnings, which is crucial for long-term sustainability.
Diverse Revenue Streams
Diverse revenue streams from water services and rentals provide stability and reduce reliance on any single market, enhancing resilience against sector-specific downturns.
Strong Financial Health
Strong financial health with solid profitability and a stable balance sheet ensures the company can withstand economic fluctuations and invest in growth opportunities.
Negative Factors
Inconsistent Revenue Growth
Inconsistent revenue growth, particularly recent declines, could indicate challenges in market expansion and may affect long-term growth prospects.
Regulatory Challenges
Regulatory challenges, such as updated building codes, can delay projects and impact revenue growth, posing a risk to the company's expansion plans.
Higher Costs of Revenue
Increased costs due to tariffs and inflation can pressure profit margins, potentially affecting the company's ability to maintain current profitability levels.

Pure Cycle (PCYO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Pure Cycle Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPure Cycle Corporation (PCYO) is a water resource management company based in the United States, primarily focused on the development of water supply and wastewater treatment solutions. The company operates in the water utilities sector and specializes in providing high-quality water services to municipalities and residential communities. Its core products and services include water supply, treatment, and distribution, as well as wastewater management, ensuring sustainable and efficient water use in various markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyPure Cycle generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by charging municipalities and residential developers for water supply and treatment services. The company often enters into long-term contracts with these clients, providing stable and recurring revenue. Additionally, PCYO may earn money through the sale of water rights and by providing consulting services related to water management. Significant partnerships with local governments and developers enhance its market reach and provide opportunities for project-based revenue. The company's earnings are also influenced by regulatory factors and demand for water resources in its operational regions.

Pure Cycle Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive and negative outcomes. While the company demonstrated consistent profitability and strong oil and gas royalty income, challenges in land development and regulatory issues in single-family rentals were notable. Despite some revenue shortfalls and cost increases, the business model showed resilience and adaptability.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Consistent Profitability
Achieved 25 straight quarters of profitability, with continued growth in recurring revenue segments such as water, wastewater, and rental income from single-family homes.
Strong Oil and Gas Royalty Income
Net income and earnings per share exceeded expectations due to stronger-than-projected oil and gas royalty income from the completion of additional wells.
Resilient Business Model
Demonstrated flexibility and resilience in the business model to adapt to market dynamics, allowing for risk management and customer alignment.
Water Utility Segment Expansion
Growth in the Water Utility segment with 1,600 commercial connection points out of 60,000 potential connections, and a 22% CAGR in customer growth.
High Occupancy Rate in Single-Family Rentals
Achieved a 97% occupancy rate for the single-family rental portfolio, with plans to significantly increase the number of rentals in 2026 and beyond.
Negative Updates
Revenue Below Expectations
Year-end revenue slightly below expectations due to housing headwinds and deferrals into 2026, affecting land development revenue recognition.
Higher Costs of Revenue
Slightly higher costs of revenue due to tariffs and inflation, impacting overall profitability.
Challenges in Land Development
Sales in the Land Development segment were off expectations due to housing headwinds and regulatory issues causing deferred revenues.
Regulatory Challenges for Single-Family Rentals
Faced delays in single-family rentals due to updated building codes, impacting permit processing and rental income growth.
Forecasted Decline in Oil and Gas Deliveries
A decline in oil and gas deliveries was forecasted for 2025 due to a push of permitting activities.
Company Guidance
In the recent fiscal 2025 earnings call, Pure Cycle Corporation reported continued profitability with 25 consecutive quarters of positive results. Key metrics highlighted included a slight revenue decline in Q4, attributed to housing headwinds and the shifting of revenue recognition into Q1 2026. Despite these challenges, net income and earnings per share exceeded expectations, bolstered by stronger-than-anticipated oil and gas royalty income from the completion of six or seven new wells. The company emphasized its diverse revenue streams, including recurring revenue from water and wastewater services, land development, and rental income from single-family homes. Pure Cycle's guidance stressed the flexibility of its business model in adapting to changing market dynamics, maintaining a strong capital position, and ensuring ongoing shareholder value through strategic asset management and expansion plans.

Pure Cycle Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pure Cycle demonstrates strong financial health with solid profitability, a stable balance sheet, and improving cash flow metrics. While revenue growth has been inconsistent, the company's profitability and cash generation capabilities provide a strong foundation for future growth.
Income Statement
72
Positive
The company shows strong profitability with a high net profit margin, particularly in recent years. However, revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a decline in the most recent year. The gross profit margin remains solid, indicating effective cost management.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
The balance sheet is robust with a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating low leverage and financial stability. Return on equity has shown improvement, reflecting efficient use of equity capital. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a strong capital structure.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash flow performance is strong with significant growth in free cash flow, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, suggesting good cash conversion. However, historical fluctuations in free cash flow growth present a potential risk.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue26.09M26.09M28.75M14.59M23.00M17.13M
Gross Profit14.78M16.03M19.76M8.04M16.37M10.72M
EBITDA20.19M20.19M18.17M8.58M14.92M28.36M
Net Income13.11M13.11M11.61M4.70M9.62M20.11M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets162.28M162.28M147.35M133.22M129.23M117.18M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments21.93M21.93M22.11M26.01M34.89M20.12M
Total Debt6.79M6.79M7.04M7.28M4.10M121.00K
Total Liabilities19.54M19.54M17.65M14.98M16.23M14.44M
Stockholders Equity142.74M142.74M129.70M118.23M113.00M102.74M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.69M3.69M-461.00K-10.15M11.78M560.00K
Operating Cash Flow13.16M13.16M2.21M-2.34M17.45M3.46M
Investing Cash Flow-9.65M-9.65M-4.73M-9.24M-6.67M-2.90M
Financing Cash Flow-491.00K-491.00K-612.00K2.85M3.99M87.00K

Pure Cycle Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.40
Price Trends
50DMA
11.20
Positive
100DMA
10.89
Positive
200DMA
10.65
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.17
Negative
RSI
56.32
Neutral
STOCH
41.68
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PCYO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.49, above the 50-day MA of 11.20, and above the 200-day MA of 10.65, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.68 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PCYO.

Pure Cycle Risk Analysis

Pure Cycle disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Pure Cycle reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Pure Cycle Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$278.49M21.559.62%-9.25%12.89%
70
Outperform
$335.34M14.769.25%3.81%5.80%12.33%
69
Neutral
$489.48M24.368.58%2.57%3.63%-5.82%
68
Neutral
$573.85M34.258.10%1.37%-17.62%-54.25%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
58
Neutral
$249.55M53.096.30%3.56%7.06%-38.94%
55
Neutral
$438.82M-10.67-136.36%188.33%4.12%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PCYO
Pure Cycle
11.70
-1.25
-9.65%
ARTNA
Artesian Resources
32.48
1.65
5.35%
CDZI
Cadiz
5.22
1.05
25.18%
CWCO
Consolidated Water Co
36.60
12.06
49.14%
YORW
The York Water Company
34.11
1.59
4.89%
GWRS
Global Water Resources
8.55
-2.80
-24.67%

Pure Cycle Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Pure Cycle Reports Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Nov 13, 2025

On November 12, 2025, Pure Cycle Corporation announced its financial results for the fiscal year ending August 31, 2025, reporting a net income of $13.1 million, a 13% increase from the previous year. The company achieved this growth through its strategic partnerships with national homebuilders at Sky Ranch and a significant increase in oil and gas royalty income. Despite a 9% decrease in overall revenue, Pure Cycle’s diversified business model, including land development and water utilities, continues to deliver high-margin recurring revenues, positioning it as a leading land developer in the region.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025