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Pure Cycle Corp. (PCYO)
NASDAQ:PCYO
US Market
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Pure Cycle (PCYO) AI Stock Analysis

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PCYO

Pure Cycle

(NASDAQ:PCYO)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$12.00
▲(8.89% Upside)
Pure Cycle's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights, highlighting robust profitability and strategic growth plans. Technical analysis and valuation scores are moderate, indicating potential but also some market challenges.

Pure Cycle (PCYO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Pure Cycle Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPure Cycle Corporation designs, constructs, operates, and maintains water and wastewater systems in the Denver metropolitan area and Colorado Front Range in the United States. It operates in two segments, Wholesale Water and Wastewater Services, and Land Development. The company engages in the wholesale water production, storage, treatment, and distribution systems; wastewater collection and treatment systems; development of master-planned community; and oil and gas leasing business. It serves domestic, commercial, and industrial customers in the Denver metropolitan region. Pure Cycle Corporation was founded in 1976 and is based in Watkins, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyPure Cycle generates revenue through multiple streams primarily centered around water services. The company's main revenue model includes charging fees for water usage, which are billed to residential and commercial customers. Additionally, Pure Cycle earns money from the sale of treated water to municipalities and industries. The company also engages in development projects, where it partners with real estate developers to provide water infrastructure for new communities, which can lead to one-time revenue from service agreements and ongoing fees from water services. Strategic partnerships with local governments and other stakeholders enhance its market position and provide additional avenues for revenue generation.

Pure Cycle Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 09, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 18, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a balanced view with significant achievements, such as a strong gross profit margin and expansion plans in single-family rentals, offset by challenges like slight revenue decline and delays in permitting. The company maintains a strong financial position with high liquidity, positioning itself for future growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Gross Profit Margin
The company reported a gross profit margin of 63%, resulting in $3.2 million in gross profits for the quarter.
Mineral Estate Revenue Boost
The mineral estate contributed over $1 million in quarterly revenue, with year-to-date revenue nearing $6 million due to additional wells drilled in 2024.
Net Income and Earnings Per Share Growth
Quarterly net income was over $2 million, or $0.09 per share, with year-to-date net income at $7 million, or $0.29 per share.
Expansion of Single-Family Rentals
The company is on track to expand its single-family rental units to about 100 units after Phase 2, with strong growth expected over the next 18 months.
New Development in Service Area
A new parcel in the Lowry Range area is under development, highlighting the strategic location and potential growth in the company's service area.
High Liquidity and Capital Stewardship
The company maintains a strong balance sheet with high liquidity, allowing for continued investment in business segments and potential growth opportunities.
Negative Updates
Slight Revenue Decline
Quarterly revenues are slightly down due to weighted deliveries for lots in filing 6, impacting the results, but expected to catch up by fiscal year-end.
Delayed Permitting for Single-Family Rentals
Growth in single-family rentals was slower due to updated building code regulations, causing permitting delays.
Weaker Industrial Water Sales
Industrial water sales were lighter this year due to a concentration on permitting, impacting revenue from this segment.
Challenges with New Water Rights Development
The company encountered challenges in acquiring new water rights for Box Elder Creek, resulting in unresolved negotiations with opposing groups.
Company Guidance
During Pure Cycle Corporation's third quarter earnings call for fiscal year 2025, CEO Mark Harding provided financial guidance, highlighting key metrics including quarterly revenues of $5 million, with gross profits of $3.2 million, reflecting a 63% profit margin. The company also reported over $2 million in net income for the quarter, translating to earnings of $0.09 per share. Year-to-date figures showed net income of approximately $7 million, or $0.29 per share. Harding noted the influence of weighted lot deliveries from their largest homebuilder, D.R. Horton, which affected revenue trends. The company's fiscal year 2025 guidance anticipates revenues of $30.1 to $31 million and gross profits of around $23.7 million. Harding also discussed the development progress in their water utility and land development segments, emphasizing their business model's adaptability in fluctuating markets.

Pure Cycle Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Pure Cycle demonstrates strong financial health with high profitability margins and operational efficiency. Despite a slight revenue decline, the company maintains a robust balance sheet with minimal leverage and strong equity support. Cash flow generation is improving, though there is potential for enhanced cash conversion efficiencies.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Pure Cycle has demonstrated commendable financial performance with a strong gross profit margin of 66.41% and a robust net profit margin of 54.94% for TTM, signaling efficiency in converting sales into actual profit. However, the revenue growth trajectory shows a decline of 4.52% in the past year, indicating potential challenges in top-line expansion. Despite this, the company maintains healthy EBIT and EBITDA margins of 34.66% and 75.53% respectively, reflecting solid operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The company's balance sheet is strong, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0026, underscoring minimal leverage risk. The equity ratio of 90.07% signifies a solid asset base funded largely by equity, enhancing financial stability. Return on equity stands impressively at 11.03%, indicating effective utilization of shareholder funds to generate profits.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals positive developments, with a significant improvement in free cash flow to $5.48M, demonstrating 1290% growth from a negative base last year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.45 and free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.36 indicate effective cash generation relative to net income, though there is room for better alignment.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue27.45M28.75M14.59M23.00M17.13M25.86M
Gross Profit18.22M19.76M8.04M16.37M10.72M7.54M
EBITDA20.72M18.17M8.58M14.92M28.36M10.64M
Net Income15.08M11.61M4.70M9.62M20.11M6.75M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets151.74M147.35M133.22M129.23M117.18M89.76M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments14.39M22.11M26.01M34.89M20.12M21.80M
Total Debt350.00K7.04M7.28M4.10M121.00K120.28K
Total Liabilities15.06M17.65M14.98M16.23M14.44M7.72M
Stockholders Equity136.68M129.70M118.23M113.00M102.74M82.04M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow5.48M-461.00K-10.15M11.63M560.00K12.09M
Operating Cash Flow6.80M2.21M-2.34M17.45M3.46M20.72M
Investing Cash Flow-9.09M-4.73M-9.24M-6.67M-2.90M-3.45M
Financing Cash Flow-500.00K-612.00K2.85M3.99M87.00K44.78K

Pure Cycle Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.02
Price Trends
50DMA
10.23
Positive
100DMA
10.29
Positive
200DMA
11.11
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.10
Negative
RSI
67.56
Neutral
STOCH
67.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PCYO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.23, above the 50-day MA of 10.23, and below the 200-day MA of 11.11, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PCYO.

Pure Cycle Risk Analysis

Pure Cycle disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Pure Cycle reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Pure Cycle Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$265.30M19.5310.47%40.29%124.50%
75
Outperform
$343.55M15.309.34%3.66%7.13%22.19%
74
Outperform
$538.17M34.287.94%1.39%-26.34%-61.52%
66
Neutral
$17.24B18.035.54%3.64%6.63%11.55%
61
Neutral
$447.20M22.638.56%2.80%4.09%-14.30%
61
Neutral
$268.83M44.208.96%3.10%4.33%-13.38%
55
Neutral
$291.17M-103.71%460.46%1.67%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PCYO
Pure Cycle
11.02
0.91
9.00%
ARTNA
Artesian Resources
33.24
-2.96
-8.18%
CDZI
Cadiz
3.55
0.45
14.52%
CWCO
Consolidated Water Co
33.79
9.21
37.47%
YORW
The York Water Company
31.01
-6.14
-16.53%
GWRS
Global Water Resources
9.78
-2.47
-20.16%

Pure Cycle Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Pure Cycle Reports Strong Quarterly Financial Results
Positive
Jul 10, 2025

On July 9, 2025, Pure Cycle Corporation announced financial results for the three and nine months ended May 31, 2025, reporting a net income of $2.3 million for the quarter, marking its 24th consecutive profitable quarter. The company continues to develop its Sky Ranch community, with significant progress in various phases, and anticipates delivering finished lots by the end of fiscal 2025. Despite market volatility, Pure Cycle’s focus on entry-level lots and strategic partnerships with national homebuilders have positioned it well in the Denver market. The company also reported increased royalty revenues from its oil and gas interests and emphasized its strong balance sheet and capital management strategy aimed at growth and shareholder returns.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 05, 2025