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Global Water Resources Inc (GWRS)
NASDAQ:GWRS
US Market

Global Water Resources (GWRS) AI Stock Analysis

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GWRS

Global Water Resources

(NASDAQ:GWRS)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$9.00
▲(4.41% Upside)
Global Water Resources faces significant challenges in operational efficiency and cash flow management, reflected in its financial performance. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, while valuation metrics indicate potential overvaluation. However, strategic initiatives and recent corporate events provide positive long-term prospects.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective service expansion, supporting long-term financial stability.
Strategic Acquisitions
The Tucson acquisition enhances market presence and revenue base, providing a foundation for future growth and competitive advantage.
New Board Appointment
Christa Steele's appointment brings expertise in regulatory navigation and growth strategy, potentially strengthening governance and strategic direction.
Negative Factors
Increased Operating Expenses
Rising operating expenses can pressure profit margins and limit financial flexibility, challenging long-term operational efficiency.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow suggests high capital expenditures or cash outflows, potentially impacting liquidity and investment capacity.
Rate Case Challenges
Challenges in rate case approvals could limit revenue growth and affect financial performance, impacting long-term profitability.

Global Water Resources (GWRS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Global Water Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGlobal Water Resources, Inc., a water resource management company, owns, operates, and manages regulated water, wastewater, and recycled water utilities primarily in metropolitan Phoenix, Arizona. As of December 31, 2020, it served approximately 74,048 people in approximately 27,630 homes. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Phoenix, Arizona.
How the Company Makes MoneyGlobal Water Resources generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily by charging municipalities and residential customers for water services, including both potable water supply and reclaimed water services. The company earns money from monthly service fees, which are structured based on consumption. Additionally, GWRS benefits from partnerships with local governments and agencies, often entering long-term contracts to manage water resources and infrastructure projects. The company may also receive revenue through environmental credits for sustainable practices and technologies, as well as potential grants or funding from government initiatives aimed at enhancing water infrastructure and conservation efforts.

Global Water Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented several strategic growth initiatives and legislative wins that promise long-term benefits, such as the Tucson acquisition and new water legislation. However, there are concerns around decreased building permits, increased operating expenses, and lower net income, indicating challenges in the short term. The sentiment is balanced with positive long-term prospects but current operational and financial challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Tucson Acquisition
Closed acquisition of 7 public water systems, adding approximately 2,200 connections and $7.7 million in rate base at an attractive price of 1.05x rate base. Expected to generate $1.5 million in annual revenue.
New Water Legislation
Arizona Governor signed 'Ag-to-Urban' water legislation, expected to create new groundwater supply to support growth in Global Water's service areas.
Highway 347 Expansion
Full funding approved for Highway 347 expansion, expected to support continued growth in the City of Maricopa, which is projected to grow by nearly 90% by 2040.
Growth in Service Connections
Total active service connections increased by 6.6% to 68,130 as of September 30, 2025.
Revenue Increase
Total revenue for Q3 2025 was $15.5 million, up 8.4% compared to Q3 2024. Year-to-date revenue increased by 7% to $42.2 million.
Negative Updates
Decline in Building Permits
Building permits in Phoenix area decreased by 29% in Q3 2025 compared to the prior year. Maricopa market saw a 20% decrease in building permits from 2024.
Increased Operating Expenses
Operating expenses for Q3 2025 increased by 21.9% to $12.6 million. Year-to-date operating expenses increased by 12.8% to $35.4 million.
Decrease in Net Income
Net income for Q3 2025 was $1.7 million, down from $2.9 million in Q3 2024. Year-to-date net income was $3.9 million, down from $5.3 million in 2024.
Adjusted EBITDA Decline
Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 decreased by 5% to $7.8 million compared to Q3 2024.
Rate Case Challenges
Initial staff report on rate cases was 50% below company's proposal. The process is ongoing and expected to complete in mid-2026.
Company Guidance
During the Global Water Resources, Inc. 2025 Third Quarter Conference Call, the company provided detailed guidance on several key metrics. The acquisition of seven Tucson water systems added approximately 2,200 connections and $7.7 million to the rate base at a favorable multiple. The systems are expected to generate $1.5 million in annual revenue. Active service connections increased by 6.6% to 68,130, and the company invested $49.6 million in infrastructure improvements. Revenue for Q3 2025 was $15.5 million, an 8.4% increase from Q3 2024, while year-to-date revenue rose by 7% to $42.2 million. Operating expenses increased by 21.9% to $12.6 million for the quarter. The net income for Q3 2025 was $1.7 million, or $0.06 per diluted share, a decrease from $2.9 million in Q3 2024. Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was $7.8 million, down by 5% from the previous year. The company is working on a rate case that could result in a $4.3 million annual rate increase. Additionally, the Arizona Ag-to-Urban law and the Highway 347 expansion are expected to drive further growth and sustainability for the company.

Global Water Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Global Water Resources demonstrates solid revenue growth and stable profitability, with improvements in leverage and equity positions. However, the company faces challenges in operational efficiency and cash flow management, particularly with negative free cash flow.
Income Statement
Global Water Resources has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 2.21%. The company maintains strong gross profit margins, though there has been a slight decline from previous years. Net profit margins have been stable, indicating effective cost management. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have slightly decreased in the TTM period, suggesting some pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has significantly improved in the TTM period, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity has decreased, which may suggest challenges in generating returns from equity investments. The equity ratio has improved, reflecting a stronger equity position relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
Operating cash flow remains robust, but the free cash flow is negative in the TTM period, which could indicate high capital expenditures or other cash outflows. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, but the negative free cash flow to net income ratio highlights potential cash management issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue55.47M52.69M53.03M44.73M41.91M38.63M
Gross Profit36.91M38.97M40.36M33.84M31.61M29.09M
EBITDA26.09M27.06M27.50M20.55M19.45M16.28M
Net Income4.36M5.79M7.98M5.51M3.61M1.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets480.65M405.14M361.10M323.09M294.07M283.45M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments15.26M9.05M3.09M6.56M12.64M18.03M
Total Debt131.94M124.77M109.46M110.90M112.91M114.69M
Total Liabilities391.03M357.53M312.48M278.69M264.05M251.26M
Stockholders Equity89.63M47.60M48.62M44.40M30.03M32.19M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-39.32M-10.54M3.08M-10.65M2.14M5.43M
Operating Cash Flow23.46M21.79M25.39M23.34M20.39M14.57M
Investing Cash Flow-71.03M-32.48M-28.60M-34.19M-20.32M-9.44M
Financing Cash Flow43.07M17.09M406.00K4.97M-7.93M7.09M

Global Water Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.62
Price Trends
50DMA
8.81
Negative
100DMA
9.42
Negative
200DMA
9.73
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Negative
RSI
50.97
Neutral
STOCH
54.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GWRS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.62 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.52, below the 50-day MA of 8.81, and below the 200-day MA of 9.73, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GWRS.

Global Water Resources Risk Analysis

Global Water Resources disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Global Water Resources reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Global Water Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$266.20M20.229.62%-9.25%12.89%
70
Outperform
$333.55M14.679.25%3.87%5.80%12.33%
69
Neutral
$463.50M23.078.58%2.68%3.63%-5.82%
68
Neutral
$569.86M34.018.10%1.40%-17.62%-54.25%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
59
Neutral
$948.07M21.709.27%2.67%6.24%3.35%
58
Neutral
$244.38M51.996.30%3.56%7.06%-38.94%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GWRS
Global Water Resources
8.81
-2.60
-22.79%
ARTNA
Artesian Resources
32.33
3.23
11.10%
CWCO
Consolidated Water Co
37.03
11.48
44.93%
MSEX
Middlesex Water Company
52.56
3.80
7.79%
PCYO
Pure Cycle
11.46
0.01
0.09%
YORW
The York Water Company
32.99
2.84
9.42%

Global Water Resources Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Global Water Resources Secures $15 Million Loan
Neutral
Dec 16, 2025

On December 10, 2025, Global Water Resources, Inc. entered into a credit agreement with CoBANK, securing a $15 million term loan with a fixed interest rate of 5.49% per annum, maturing on December 10, 2035. The loan is guaranteed by the company’s subsidiaries and secured by a pledge of equity interests, with covenants limiting certain financial and operational activities, impacting the company’s financial strategy and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (GWRS) stock is a Hold with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Water Resources stock, see the GWRS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Global Water Resources Appoints New Board Member
Positive
Nov 17, 2025

On November 11, 2025, Global Water Resources appointed Christa Steele to its Board of Directors, effective January 1, 2026, succeeding Debra G. Coy. Steele, who brings over two decades of leadership experience, will serve on the Audit Committee and as Chair of the Corporate Governance, Nominating, Environmental, and Health and Safety Committee. Her appointment aligns with the company’s goals of leading in water resource management and expanding in Arizona’s major metro growth corridors. Steele’s expertise in regulatory navigation and growth strategy is expected to enhance the company’s strategic direction as it faces challenges of water scarcity and population growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (GWRS) stock is a Buy with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Water Resources stock, see the GWRS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Global Water Faces Rate Case Challenges in Arizona
Neutral
Oct 16, 2025

On March 5, 2025, Global Water Resources‘ subsidiaries filed rate case applications with the Arizona Corporation Commission (ACC) seeking increased rates, which could lead to a $6.5 million revenue boost. However, on October 1, 2025, the ACC Staff and the Residential Utility Consumer Office (RUCO) presented differing recommendations, with the ACC Staff suggesting a revenue decrease and RUCO a smaller increase. The company is engaging in settlement discussions and preparing for a hearing in December 2025, with potential impacts on its financial condition depending on the ACC’s final decision expected in the first half of 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (GWRS) stock is a Hold with a $11.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Global Water Resources stock, see the GWRS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025