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Par Technology Corp (PAR)
NYSE:PAR

Par Technology (PAR) AI Stock Analysis

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PAR

Par Technology

(NYSE:PAR)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
,
Neutral 49 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$14.50
▲(0.35% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/18/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial quality (ongoing losses and persistent cash burn) and bearish technicals with the stock far below major moving averages. Offsetting these are constructive earnings-call signals (ARR momentum, cost reduction plans, improving non-GAAP profitability) and supportive capital actions (refinancing and buybacks), while valuation remains limited by negative earnings and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
ARR momentum / recurring revenue
Sustained ARR growth gives multi-quarter revenue visibility and predictable cash flows, supporting investment planning and valuation of subscription economics. A growing ARR base reduces revenue volatility, improves renewal visibility, and underpins long-term upsell and retention strategies across restaurant customers.
High subscription mix & improving subscription margins
A majority recurring revenue mix and rising subscription margins create durable operating leverage: subscription margins are materially higher than hardware, so as subscriptions grow, gross-profit stability and operating leverage should improve, enabling sustainable margin expansion assuming churn stays controlled.
Multi-product attach and commercial traction
High multiproduct attach rates increase customer stickiness and ARPU, lowering churn risk and enabling cross-sell-driven long-term revenue growth. Enterprise wins (Papa Johns, Shake Shack) validate platform value and support scalable expansion across large operator footprints over multiple years.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative operating cash flow
Recurring negative operating cash flow forces reliance on external financing or asset sales, creating dilution or higher leverage risk over time. Despite margin improvements, the business has not yet demonstrated consistent self-funding, leaving capital allocation and growth plans contingent on continued access to capital.
Hardware margin pressure and supply constraints
Hardware remains a meaningful revenue component; sustained component shortages, higher SSD/memory/processor prices and tariffs compress gross margins. Prolonged hardware margin weakness limits overall company margin upside and complicates the path to consistent GAAP profitability while hardware demand and costs remain out of management control.
Continued GAAP losses and rising operating expenses
Ongoing GAAP losses and increasing operating spend (notably R&D for AI) mean profitability remains distant on a GAAP basis. Higher fixed costs raise breakeven requirements and increase execution risk: revenue must scale materially to absorb these expenses and convert non-GAAP gains into sustainable GAAP profitability.

Par Technology (PAR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Par Technology Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPAR Technology Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides technology solutions to the restaurant and retail industries worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Restaurant/Retail and Government. The Restaurant/Retail segment offers point-of-sale (POS) technology solutions, including Brink POS, an open cloud solution that integrates with third party products and in-house systems; Punchh, an enterprise-grade customer loyalty and engagement solution for restaurant and convenience store brands; Data Central, a cloud software solution for back-office applications; PAR Payment Services, a merchant services offering; POS integrated solutions for wireless headsets for drive-thru order-taking; and the PAR Infinity, PAR Phase, PAR Helix, and the EverServ 8000 series platform. This segment also offers training, installation, technical support, and repair services. The Government segment provides intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance solutions; systems engineering support and software-based solutions; satellite and teleport facility operations and maintenance, engineering, and installation services; satellite control center; and information technology infrastructure library services to the Unites States Department of Defense and other federal agencies, as well as offers licensed software products. It offers products and services through its sales teams, channel partners, and resellers. The company was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in New Hartford, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyPAR makes money primarily by selling restaurant technology software and related services. A key revenue stream is recurring software revenue from cloud-based subscriptions for its restaurant POS and operational software products (customers pay ongoing fees to use the software). PAR also generates revenue from professional services tied to deploying, implementing, integrating, and supporting its software for restaurant operators. In addition, the company earns revenue from hardware and other product-related sales associated with restaurant technology deployments (e.g., POS-related equipment sold alongside software), and from ongoing customer support and maintenance-type services where applicable. Specific partnership-driven revenue arrangements or partner names are null.

Par Technology Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented multiple strong operating and commercial achievements — double-digit top-line growth, record ARR additions, returning to multi-quarter non-GAAP profitability, meaningful enterprise wins (Papa Johns, Shake Shack), high multiproduct attach rates, and early commercialization of AI products (Coach AI, PAR Drive AI). Offsetting these positives are persistent hardware margin pressure and supply-chain/cost constraints, a continued GAAP loss, higher operating spend tied to AI investment, and near-term seasonality with a muted first half of 2026. Overall, the positives around revenue, ARR momentum, product traction and improving non-GAAP profitability materially outweigh the negatives, though execution and supply-chain risks remain and are being actively managed.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Q4 revenue of $120.1M, up 14% year-over-year, driven primarily by subscription services and higher hardware revenue.
Strong Full-Year Performance
Full year revenue of $455.5M, up $105M year-over-year (~30% YoY increase), including 21% organic growth and subscription services growth of 40% for the year.
Return to Non-GAAP Profitability
Q4 non-GAAP net income of $2.6M ($0.06/share), marking the third consecutive quarter of non-GAAP profitability; full-year non-GAAP net income improved by over $30M year-over-year.
Improving Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA of $7M in Q4 (up $1.2M sequentially and $1.3M YoY), reflecting ongoing margin improvement and operating leverage.
ARR Momentum
Exited Q4 with ARR of $315.4M (reported as ~$315M), representing ~15% organic ARR growth year-over-year and a record incremental ARR addition of $17M in Q4; second-half growth more than double first-half growth.
Subscription Mix and Margins
Subscription services comprised 63% of Q4 revenue ($76M, up 18% YoY). Non-GAAP subscription service margin improved (reported non-GAAP subscription margin ~65.8% vs 64.7% prior year; company also cited a 71% figure excluding a specific acquired contract).
Commercial Wins & Product Adoption
Major customer wins and deployments: decade-long Papa Johns deal (3,200 sites), Shake Shack (Punchh), Lucky Strike Entertainment, Condado Tacos (PAR catering), Smoothie King (PAR Games), and first significant PAR Smart Pass sale. Coach AI adopted in ~1,000 stores with ~1,000 active users; launch of PAR Drive AI for C-stores/fuel retailers.
Bookings and Multiproduct Traction
Record bookings with over $25M booked for PAR POS in Q4; multiproduct deal mix high (over 80% of new deals multiproduct; nearly 90% of operator deals multiproduct), supporting cross-sell and ARPU expansion.
Hardware & Deployment Growth
Hardware revenue of $28M in Q4, up 7% YoY, driven by increased hardware demand, edge compute transitions, kiosk expansion and new store openings across large QSR customers.
Balance Sheet & Capital Allocation
Cash and cash equivalents of $80M as of Dec 31, 2025; company authorized a $100M share buyback program and signaled discipline to deploy capital across organic growth, M&A, and buybacks.
Negative Updates
GAAP Net Loss
Q4 GAAP net loss from continuing operations of $21M ($0.51 loss per share), though improved from $25M a year ago — GAAP profitability has not yet been achieved.
Hardware Margin Compression
Hardware gross margin declined to ~23% in Q4 from ~26% prior year, driven by higher component costs and tariffs; company expects hardware margin pressure to persist through 2026 and supply tightness possibly into 2027.
Supply Chain & Component Cost Pressure
Significant cost and availability pressures on SSDs, memory and processors due to AI infrastructure demand and tariffs — company anticipates constrained availability and elevated pricing that could extend into 2027 and is mitigating via supplier diversification and pricing discipline.
Intangible Impairment Impacting Margins
A write-off of capitalized software development costs within the drive-thru business reduced GAAP subscription service margin to 51% in Q4 (down from 53% prior year), requiring adjustments to reported margins.
Rising Operating Expenses
Operating expenses (GAAP) excluding non-GAAP adjustments were $54M in Q4, up $7M (15%) vs prior year; R&D increased $4M to $22M as the company invests in AI and product development.
Free Cash Flow & Working Capital
Cash used in operating activities was $27M for the year vs $21M prior year, largely driven by increased accounts receivable and higher DSO; management expects DSO to normalize in 2026.
Near-Term Growth Seasonality and Customer Churn
Management expects a more muted first half of 2026 (managing out legacy low-margin customers in Q1) with the majority of growth back-ended to the second half, introducing near-term seasonality and timing risk.
Market/Perception Risks
Company cited market 'sell down' and investor concern around AI-driven changes to software, and noted depressed stock price which reduces appetite for large M&A and influences capital allocation priorities.
Company Guidance
Management guided 2026 to mid‑teens organic ARR growth (reiterating “mid‑teens” ARR, with H1 more muted and a substantially stronger H2 and a Q4 exit rate meaningfully higher than Q1/Q2), said they will eliminate roughly $15 million of annualized OpEx by end of Q1 via AI‑driven automation (they report 100% AI adoption in R&D and doubled roadmap velocity), and will redeploy part of those savings into commercial AI products; they expect subscription‑led momentum to continue (subscription services were 63% of Q4 revenue, non‑GAAP subscription service margin ~65.8% in Q4 — 71% excluding one fixed contract), highlighted strong multiproduct attach (80–90%+ of new deals), noted incremental ARR acceleration (record $17M incremental ARR in Q4 and ARR exiting the quarter of ~$315M), warned hardware component cost pressures could persist into 2027, authorized up to $100M of buybacks, and said cash generation should be stronger in H2.

Par Technology Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong revenue acceleration and multi-year gross margin improvement are positives, and leverage has improved (debt-to-equity under 0.5 recently). However, profitability remains deeply negative and cash burn persists with negative operating cash flow and free cash flow, keeping overall financial quality constrained.
Income Statement
36
Negative
Revenue growth accelerated meaningfully in 2025 (annual revenue up strongly versus 2024), and gross margin improved steadily over the period (from ~18% in 2020 to ~43% in 2025), suggesting better pricing/mix and/or delivery efficiency. However, profitability remains the key weak point: operating results are deeply negative and net margin swung from a small loss in 2024 to a much larger loss in 2025, indicating the cost structure is still too high relative to the current revenue base.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Leverage looks manageable on recent numbers, with debt below equity in 2024–2025 (debt-to-equity under 0.5), providing a reasonable capital cushion versus the company’s earlier, more leveraged profile (debt-to-equity above 1.0 in 2022–2023). The main concern is that returns on shareholder capital remain negative across all years, reflecting continued losses and limiting balance-sheet compounding despite the improved leverage profile.
Cash Flow
31
Negative
Cash generation remains pressured: operating cash flow and free cash flow are negative every year shown, including 2025, which increases dependence on external funding over time. While free cash flow improved versus prior periods (notably in 2025 versus 2024), the business has not yet demonstrated consistent ability to self-fund operations, and negative operating cash flow continues to be a recurring risk.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue455.55M349.98M276.71M262.35M282.88M
Gross Profit184.62M146.12M89.45M81.72M62.12M
EBITDA-26.66M-46.60M-45.83M-44.48M-45.66M
Net Income-84.46M-4.99M-69.75M-69.32M-75.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.37B1.38B802.61M854.86M888.15M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments80.14M108.64M74.38M110.62M188.42M
Total Debt402.36M376.66M380.91M393.37M311.26M
Total Liabilities543.99M509.02M469.54M479.66M383.80M
Stockholders Equity825.15M871.71M333.06M375.19M504.35M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-30.48M-32.03M-27.44M-50.47M-61.44M
Operating Cash Flow-27.16M-25.25M-17.07M-43.07M-53.16M
Investing Cash Flow-13.11M-180.11M-7.78M-66.71M-382.99M
Financing Cash Flow12.27M278.51M-1.62M-2.57M443.61M

Par Technology Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price14.45
Price Trends
50DMA
24.78
Negative
100DMA
30.32
Negative
200DMA
42.31
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.67
Positive
RSI
28.65
Positive
STOCH
27.91
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PAR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 14.45 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.03, below the 50-day MA of 24.78, and below the 200-day MA of 42.31, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.67 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.65 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PAR.

Par Technology Risk Analysis

Par Technology disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Par Technology reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Par Technology Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$1.96B83.9610.50%17.77%-76.05%
68
Neutral
$3.32B197.732.22%4.89%55.80%
63
Neutral
$2.88B36.757.99%5.71%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
57
Neutral
$1.56B-12.84-94.12%9.47%16.97%
49
Neutral
$580.25M-17.39-10.01%13.49%-772.30%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PAR
Par Technology
14.10
-46.90
-76.89%
AGYS
Agilysys
69.56
-5.53
-7.36%
CALX
Calix
50.63
14.94
41.86%
ASAN
Asana
6.68
-7.32
-52.29%
GBTG
Global Business Travel Group
5.50
-2.24
-28.94%

Par Technology Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackPrivate Placements and FinancingShareholder Meetings
PAR Technology Completes Convertible Notes Offering and Buyback
Positive
Mar 17, 2026

On March 17, 2026, PAR Technology Corporation completed a $265 million private offering of 4.00% Convertible Senior Notes due 2031, structured as unsecured senior obligations with detailed conversion and redemption terms tied to its common stock performance. The notes carry an initial conversion price of $19.02 per share, reflecting a 20% premium to PAR’s March 12, 2026 closing price, and may be settled in cash, stock, or a mix at the company’s discretion.

PAR realized about $256.8 million in net proceeds and used roughly $207.5 million to retire $212 million of its 1.50% Convertible Senior Notes due 2027, while allocating about $33.1 million to repurchase approximately 2.1 million shares at $15.85 each under its buyback program. The remaining funds are earmarked for general corporate purposes and potential acquisitions, and PAR also rescheduled its 2026 annual shareholders’ meeting to May 29, 2026, signaling an active balance-sheet and capital-management strategy that reshapes its debt maturity profile and modestly reduces share count.

The most recent analyst rating on (PAR) stock is a Buy with a $33.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Par Technology stock, see the PAR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial DisclosuresShareholder Meetings
PAR Technology Reports Strong 2025 Growth, Launches Buyback Program
Positive
Feb 26, 2026

On February 26, 2026, PAR Technology reported fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, highlighting Annual Recurring Revenue of $315.4 million in Q4 2025, up 16% year on year, with revenue rising 14.4% in the quarter and 30.2% for the full year. While the company remained loss-making, it narrowed its GAAP net loss from continuing operations and delivered a sharp improvement in adjusted EBITDA, alongside growing subscription service margins and expanding its Engagement Cloud and Operator Cloud footprints, as management positioned PAR as an orchestration platform for AI-driven restaurant and retail operations.

The company’s board also authorized a share repurchase program of up to $100 million in common stock, effective February 26, 2026 and expiring February 26, 2028, giving PAR additional financial flexibility to return capital and potentially support its share price. PAR set its 2026 annual shareholder meeting for June 1, 2026, and scheduled a webcast conference call on February 26, 2026 to discuss the results for the quarter and year ended December 31, 2025, signaling active investor engagement as it builds on what management described as strong momentum heading into 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (PAR) stock is a Buy with a $48.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Par Technology stock, see the PAR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
PAR Technology to Acquire Bridg Shopper Intelligence Platform
Positive
Jan 26, 2026

On January 23, 2026, PAR Technology Corporation agreed to acquire substantially all assets of Bridg, the identity resolution and shopper intelligence platform division of Cardlytics, in a transaction valued at $27.5 million with a maximum of $30 million, to be paid in PAR common stock, with closing expected in the first quarter of 2026 subject to customary conditions. The deal, announced publicly on January 26, 2026, will fold Bridg’s point-of-sale data analytics, loyalty marketing and retail media network capabilities into PAR’s platform, creating one of the industry’s first unified data sets that combines loyalty and non-loyalty in-store transactions; PAR expects this to deliver full-funnel customer visibility, identity-based personalization at scale and closed-loop attribution for retailers, restaurants and CPG brands, strengthening its competitive positioning in consumer data, loyalty and media and enhancing its value proposition to enterprise customers.

The most recent analyst rating on (PAR) stock is a Buy with a $60.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Par Technology stock, see the PAR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
PAR Technology reduces debt through note-for-share exchange
Positive
Jan 15, 2026

On January 14, 2026, PAR Technology Corporation entered into privately negotiated exchange agreements with certain holders of its 2.875% Convertible Senior Notes due 2026 to exchange approximately $17.1 million in aggregate principal amount of these notes for about 398,650 shares of its common stock plus roughly $134,000 in cash for accrued and unpaid interest, with closing expected on January 23, 2026, subject to customary conditions. The company will not receive any cash proceeds from the transaction and will cancel the exchanged notes, leaving about $2.9 million principal amount of the notes outstanding, effectively reducing its debt load and increasing its share count through an exempt, non-public offering under U.S. securities laws.

The most recent analyst rating on (PAR) stock is a Hold with a $39.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Par Technology stock, see the PAR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 18, 2026