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Olo (OLO)
NYSE:OLO
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Olo (OLO) AI Stock Analysis

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OLO

Olo

(NYSE:OLO)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$11.50
▲(12.52% Upside)
Olo's overall stock score reflects strong revenue growth and strategic corporate events, such as the acquisition by Thoma Bravo. However, profitability challenges and valuation concerns weigh on the score. The technical analysis indicates a positive trend, while the earnings call provides a positive outlook despite some challenges.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Olo reported second-quarter results that were slightly ahead of analyst estimates on revenue and adjusted operating income.
Market Position
Strong franchise value associated with being an operating system/growth-oriented platform for enterprise and emerging enterprise restaurant brands could have attracted a variety of suitors.
Strategic Partnerships
Traction with brands of high caliber, like Chipotle, is highly encouraging, especially considering Chipotle's historical preference for home-grown technology.
Negative Factors
Growth Rate
Growth deceleration in adjusted gross profit was noted, slowing from 18% in the previous quarter to 10%.
Product Offerings
Olo still has some notable gaps in its solutions, especially in facilitating in-person commerce.
Stock Valuation
The transaction price values Olo at 4.1x EV/26E sales, compared to the 10-20% growth peer group trading at 5.7x EV/26E sales.

Olo (OLO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Olo Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOlo (OLO) is a leading on-demand commerce platform for multi-location restaurant brands. The company operates in the technology and restaurant sectors, providing digital ordering and delivery solutions to enhance customer experiences and streamline operations for restaurants. Olo's core products and services include online ordering, delivery integration, and customer engagement tools aimed at helping restaurants optimize their digital presence and operational efficiency.
How the Company Makes MoneyOlo primarily generates revenue through a subscription-based model, charging restaurants for access to its digital platform and services. The company's key revenue streams include subscription fees for its software-as-a-service (SaaS) offerings, transaction fees from orders processed through its platform, and service fees for additional features and integrations. Significant partnerships with major restaurant brands and delivery service providers also contribute to its earnings by expanding its user base and enhancing its service offerings.

Olo Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Locations Served
Locations Served
Shows the number of locations utilizing the company's services, reflecting market penetration and potential for expansion.
Chart InsightsOlo experienced a notable dip in locations served in early 2023, likely reflecting operational challenges or market shifts. However, the subsequent recovery and growth through 2024 into 2025 suggest strategic adjustments or renewed market demand. The consistent increase in locations served highlights Olo's resilience and potential for continued expansion, which could enhance its competitive position and revenue prospects in the digital ordering space.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Olo Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -1.35%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth, significant new client wins, and continued innovation in product offerings. However, the company faces some challenges in cash flow and expects pressure on gross margins moving forward. Overall, the highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights, indicating strong business momentum.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Growth Exceeds Expectations
Olo exceeded the high end of their revenue and non-GAAP operating income guidance ranges with a total revenue of $80.7 million for Q1 2025, which represents a 21% increase year-over-year.
Significant Client Wins and Expansion
Olo signed a Catering Plus pilot with Chipotle and a full deployment deal for Olo Pay card-present with an existing publicly-traded enterprise customer. They added approximately 2,000 new locations in Q1, reaching around 88,000 active locations.
ARPU and Net Revenue Retention Growth
Average Revenue Per User (ARPU) increased by 12% year-over-year, and net revenue retention was 111%, with gross revenue retention above 98%.
Introduction of New Product Features
Olo launched several new features including the beta launch of Olo Guest Intelligence (OGI), and Catering Plus calendar feature, alongside the integration with additional loyalty partners.
Strong Financial and Operational Performance
Olo achieved a GAAP profitability of $0.01 per share, and non-GAAP operating income was $11.5 million, marking a strong operational performance.
Negative Updates
Cash Flow Challenges
Net cash provided by operating activities was $0.5 million, and free cash flow was negative $1.9 million, primarily due to changes in payment terms from a partner.
Pressure on Gross Margins
Olo expects gross margins to decrease by approximately 250 to 275 basis points through 2025 as they scale into the card-present opportunity.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, Olo Inc. exceeded its revenue and non-GAAP operating income guidance, adding approximately 2,000 new locations to reach a total of about 88,000 active locations. The company reported a 21% year-over-year increase in total revenue, amounting to $80.7 million, and a 20% increase in platform revenue. The gross revenue retention was above 98%, with a net revenue retention of 111% and a 12% year-over-year growth in Average Revenue Per User (ARPU), reaching approximately $911. Olo's gross profit rose by 18% year-over-year to $49.2 million, achieving a gross margin of 60.9%. The company also announced new customer signings, including a Catering Plus pilot with Chipotle and a full deployment deal of Olo Pay card-present with an existing publicly-traded enterprise customer. For the second quarter of 2025, Olo projects revenue between $82 million and $82.5 million, with non-GAAP operating income ranging from $11.5 million to $11.8 million. The full-year 2025 revenue is expected to be between $338.5 million and $340 million, with non-GAAP operating income anticipated between $48.6 million and $49.8 million.

Olo Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Olo demonstrates strong revenue growth and a robust balance sheet with low leverage, despite challenges in profitability and cash flow efficiency. The company has turned a positive net income and maintains positive cash flows, indicating potential for growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Olo shows a positive trend in revenue growth with a significant increase in Total Revenue from $228.3M in 2023 to $299.1M in TTM. The Gross Profit Margin remains robust at 54.7% (TTM). However, profitability remains a concern as evidenced by negative EBIT and low Net Profit Margin at 1.09% (TTM). Despite these challenges, the company has managed to turn a positive net income in the latest period, indicating potential for improved profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Olo maintains a solid financial position with a high equity ratio of 90.9% (TTM), reflecting strong shareholder equity relative to total assets. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio is low at 0.02, indicating minimal leverage and financial risk. However, the Return on Equity is modest at 0.47% (TTM), suggesting room for improvement in efficiently utilizing equity to generate profits.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
The company has demonstrated a positive Free Cash Flow growth, with Free Cash Flow improving from $38.8M in 2024 to $22.3M in TTM, albeit a decrease but remaining positive. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is strong at 10.48 (TTM), highlighting effective cash conversion from operations. However, the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio stands at a lower 6.82, indicating some challenges in translating profits into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue314.33M284.94M228.29M185.40M149.37M98.42M
Gross Profit167.55M156.42M138.97M127.89M118.54M79.76M
EBITDA16.56M14.61M-47.56M-41.05M-45.21M4.08M
Net Income-884.00K-897.00K-58.29M-45.97M-42.27M3.06M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets780.67M754.78M742.82M775.56M755.88M134.42M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments377.44M360.74M362.55M448.77M514.45M75.76M
Total Debt12.73M13.98M18.86M20.05M0.000.00
Total Liabilities71.68M71.55M91.35M77.95M54.13M186.91M
Stockholders Equity708.99M683.22M651.47M697.62M701.75M-52.48M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow37.02M38.80M-19.67M-6.65M14.41M19.50M
Operating Cash Flow42.92M39.69M-6.57M2.34M16.25M20.77M
Investing Cash Flow-10.92M-16.87M-19.49M-158.48M-77.07M-1.27M
Financing Cash Flow7.90M-14.28M-45.80M-8.23M499.51M45.33M

Olo Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price10.22
Price Trends
50DMA
9.68
Positive
100DMA
8.54
Positive
200DMA
7.76
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.12
Positive
RSI
60.13
Neutral
STOCH
12.37
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OLO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 10.22 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.27, above the 50-day MA of 9.68, and above the 200-day MA of 7.76, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.37 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OLO.

Olo Risk Analysis

Olo disclosed 67 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Olo reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Olo Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$1.48B27.9029.66%2.65%14.21%23.74%
71
Outperform
$1.73B593.71-0.13%21.92%95.91%
68
Neutral
¥243.34B15.376.64%2.41%9.16%-0.18%
63
Neutral
$745.27M74.995.33%4.51%8241.83%
63
Neutral
$869.69M-32.50%14.79%27.52%
50
Neutral
$736.48M-93.00%-4.76%67.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OLO
Olo
10.22
4.61
82.17%
SPT
Sprout Social
14.71
-19.21
-56.63%
KARO
Karooooo
47.25
9.75
26.00%
BLND
Blend Labs
3.01
-1.09
-26.59%
VTEX
VTEX
4.06
-3.61
-47.07%

Olo Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Olo Receives FTC Approval for Merger Progress
Positive
Aug 18, 2025

Olo Inc., a Delaware corporation, has entered into a Merger Agreement with Project Hospitality Parent, LLC and its subsidiary, Project Hospitality Merger Sub, Inc. On August 15, 2025, the U.S. Federal Trade Commission granted early termination of the HSR Waiting Period, a key condition for the merger’s completion. The merger’s finalization is still subject to other customary closing conditions, including approval by Olo’s stockholders, with a special meeting scheduled for September 9, 2025.

M&A Transactions
Olo Announces Acquisition by Thoma Bravo for $2B
Positive
Jul 3, 2025

On July 3, 2025, Olo Inc. announced its acquisition by Thoma Bravo in an all-cash transaction valued at approximately $2.0 billion. The merger, unanimously approved by Olo’s Board, offers shareholders $10.25 per share, a 65% premium over the unaffected share price. This acquisition is expected to accelerate Olo’s growth and enhance its offerings for restaurant brands globally. Upon completion, Olo will become a privately held company, continuing to operate under its current name. The transaction is anticipated to close by the end of 2025, subject to customary conditions, including shareholder and regulatory approvals.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Olo Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting with Key Votes
Neutral
Jun 18, 2025

On June 12, 2025, Olo Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders with a significant quorum present, representing 92.87% of the voting power. During the meeting, stockholders voted to elect three Class I directors, ratify the appointment of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, and approve the compensation of the company’s named executive officers on a non-binding advisory basis.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025