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Agilysys (AGYS)
NASDAQ:AGYS

Agilysys (AGYS) AI Stock Analysis

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AGYS

Agilysys

(NASDAQ:AGYS)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$81.00
▲(12.24% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/02/26
The score is driven by strong fundamental quality (cash generation and low leverage) and a very constructive earnings call with raised guidance and improving profitability/cash. This is meaningfully offset by weak technicals (price far below major moving averages with bearish momentum) and a demanding valuation (high P/E with no dividend yield provided).
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Very low leverage and a conservative balance sheet give Agilysys durable financial flexibility. Being effectively debt-light reduces refinancing and interest risks, supports investment in product modernization and rollouts (like Marriott), and provides a cushion to fund growth or M&A without stressing liquidity.
Strong Cash Generation
Consistent and growing free cash flow is a durable strength, enabling reinvestment in R&D, go-to-market, and implementation capacity without heavy external financing. High FCF conversion supports margin sustainability and funds the SaaS transition and integration of acquisitions over multiple quarters.
Recurring Revenue / SaaS Momentum
A growing SaaS and recurring base increases revenue predictability and customer lifetime value. Strong subscription bookings, ARR growth and cross-sell show product-market fit in hospitality software, supporting sustainable margins and lower churn risk as cloud-native deployments simplify implementations.
Negative Factors
Slowing Reported Revenue Growth
A marked deceleration in headline revenue growth reduces margin leverage and raises execution risk. If sustained, slower top-line gains make it harder to hit elevated adjusted-EBITDA targets and justify reinvestment cadence; growth volatility also magnifies sensitivity to large, lumpy hospitality deals.
Subscription Backlog Below Peak
Backlog below peak suggests near-term revenue visibility remains imperfect. Lower backlog increases the chance of quarter-to-quarter choppiness in recognized subscription revenue, which can delay margin expansion and make cash flow timing more variable during large rollouts or seasonally weak periods.
Professional Services Margin Pressure
Lower services margins and utilization drag overall gross margin and can persist while new hires ramp. Because services are integral to implementations and cross-sell, sustained mid-20% margins compress company-level profitability and can weaken cash conversion if project timing or utilization remains uneven.

Agilysys (AGYS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Agilysys Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAgilysys, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a developer and marketer of hardware and software products and services to the hospitality industry in North America, Europe, the Asia-Pacific, and India. It offers point of sale, property management systems, inventory and procurement, payments, reservations management, and seat solutions to enhance guest experience. The company also provides technical software support, maintenance, and subscription services; and professional services. It offers its solutions for gaming, hotels, resorts and cruise, corporate foodservice management, restaurants, universities, stadium, and healthcare. The company was formerly known as Pioneer-Standard Electronics, Inc. and changed its name to Agilysys, Inc. in 2003. Agilysys, Inc. was founded in 1932 and is headquartered in Alpharetta, Georgia.
How the Company Makes MoneyAgilysys generates revenue primarily through software sales, subscription fees, and service contracts related to its hospitality management software solutions. The company employs a recurring revenue model, particularly through SaaS (Software as a Service) offerings, which provide ongoing monthly or annual subscription revenues. Key revenue streams include licensing fees for on-premise solutions, subscription fees for cloud-based services, and maintenance and support services for existing clients. Additionally, Agilysys benefits from partnerships with various hospitality organizations and technology providers, which enhance its market reach and allow for bundled services, further driving revenue growth.

Agilysys Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 26, 2026
(Q3-2026)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong positive momentum: record quarterly revenue, robust recurring and subscription growth, raised full-year revenue guidance, improving implementation efficiencies, expanding customer wins and cross-sell, accelerating AI-driven product and implementation benefits, and improving profitability and cash position. Headwinds mentioned were moderate and mostly transitory — a brief casino/gaming slowdown in Oct–Nov (recovered in December), international quarter-to-quarter variability, slight gross margin compression due to mix and ramping services hires, professional services utilization seasonality, and a subscription backlog below its all-time peak. Overall, the positives (record results, guidance raise, margin and cash improvements, strong subscription traction and strategic wins including Marriott pilot progress) materially outweigh the limited operational and seasonality-related lowlights.
Q3-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Revenue
Q3 fiscal 2026 revenue was a record $80.4 million, a 15.6% increase year-over-year and the 16th consecutive record revenue quarter.
Strong Recurring and Subscription Growth
Recurring revenue was a record $52.0 million, up 17.2% YoY and represented 64.7% of total revenue. Subscription revenue was a record $34.9 million, up 23.1% YoY and the 17th consecutive quarter of ≥23% subscription YoY growth.
Robust Year-to-Date Subscription Momentum
Fiscal 2026 year-to-date subscription sales are up 37% YoY; cumulative subscription SaaS sales through three quarters reached 95% of the previous best full year; subscription run rate doubled over the past 2.5 years.
Raised Full-Year Revenue Guidance
Company raised top-line guidance to $318 million for fiscal 2026 (top end of recent range) while maintaining subscription revenue growth guidance of 29% and adjusted EBITDA target of 20% of revenue.
Profitability and Cash Strength
Q3 operating income of $11.7 million (vs $7.4M prior year), net income $9.9 million (vs $3.8M), GAAP diluted EPS $0.35 (vs $0.14), adjusted net income $12.2M (vs $10.7M), adjusted diluted EPS $0.42 (vs $0.38). Adjusted EBITDA was $17.3M (vs $14.7M) and FY-to-date adjusted EBITDA is 19.5% of revenue, trending to >20% full-year. Cash and marketable securities $81.5M (up from $73M), company is debt-free after paying down $24M revolver; free cash flow $22.7M (vs $19.7M).
Services and Implementation Improvements
Professional services revenue was $17.7 million, up 22% YoY and a record for normal project implementation services. Services revenue backlog decreased quarter-over-quarter, indicating improved implementation efficiency and faster conversion of bookings to revenue.
Customer Wins, Additions and Cross-Sell
Added 16 new customers (all subscription-based), 13 Book4time Spa customers, 91 new properties (parent already a customer) and 120 total new properties in the quarter; 118 of 120 were partially or fully subscription-based. There were 109 instances of cross-sell to properties adding 248 new products.
Product-Specific Strengths
PMS subscription revenue grew 30% YoY; POS and POS-related subscription revenue grew 20% YoY (improving from mid-to-high teen growth prior); add-on modules including Book4time constituted 37% of subscription revenue.
Major Strategic Wins & Marriott Milestone
Notable wins include large HRC brand deals, a global POS hunting license master agreement with a major hospitality corporation and successful completion of the Marriott PMS pilot with rollout waves starting; Marriott rollout is being managed by customer and excluded from sales/backlog figures.
AI Adoption and Product Modernization Benefits
AI tools are being deployed across product development, QA, implementation, marketing, sales and support. Modernized cloud-native products are increasingly easier and faster to implement, contributing to higher implementation velocity and a 40% YoY increase in subscription ARR installed in Q3.
Negative Updates
Gaming/Casino Sales Slowdown in Oct–Nov
Casino gaming vertical experienced a relative sales slowdown in October and November that pulled down sales in those months; activity recovered in December but some deals were postponed (not lost) and catch-up remains in coming months.
International Sales Variability
Q3 international sales were described as somewhat lackluster with an up-and-down trajectory quarter-to-quarter; international cumulative sales are close to the second-best year-to-date but remain dependent on larger, uneven deals rather than a consistent mix.
Gross Margin Slight Compression
Gross profit margin was 62.5% in Q3 versus 63.0% in prior-year Q3, modestly down due to one-time revenue mix and ramping professional services hires.
Professional Services Margin/Utilization Pressure
Professional services gross margins came in around the mid-20% range this quarter, slightly below expectations, driven primarily by seasonal utilization declines over the holiday period while newly hired services staff continue to ramp.
Subscription Backlog Below All-Time Peak
Subscription backlog is about 88% of its all-time high, indicating that while sales momentum is strong, backlog has not yet fully returned to peak levels and some quarters may show deceleration.
Near-Term Growth Choppiness from Book4time Mix
The Book4time acquisition impacts year-over-year comps such that implied subscription growth for Q4 is expected to be a bit north of 20% (lower than earlier quarterly growth rates), creating an apparent deceleration in the near term though core business remains stronger.
Company Guidance
Management raised full‑year FY26 revenue guidance to $318.0 million (top end of the $315–$318M range) while reaffirming subscription revenue growth guidance of 29% year‑over‑year (ex‑Marriott) and an adjusted EBITDA target of 20% of revenue; year‑to‑date revenue is $236.4M (+17.4% YTD) with Q3 revenue a record $80.4M (+15.6% YoY), Q3 recurring revenue $52.0M (+17.2%), Q3 subscription revenue $34.9M (+23.1%), subscription bookings up 37% YTD and subscription backlog ~88% of its all‑time high. Management expects Q4 professional services to return to roughly $18M (Q3 services were $17.7M, +22% YoY), noted product revenue of $10.7M and product backlog at ~85% of the prior quarter exit (nearly double last year’s Q3), combined backlog (ex‑Marriott) at ~90% of record levels, ARR installed in Q3 +40% YoY, subscription run‑rate doubled in 2.5 years, adjusted EBITDA through three quarters at 19.5% of revenue trending just north of 20%, free cash flow in Q3 $22.7M, cash & marketable securities $81.5M, and the company is debt‑free after a $24M revolver paydown.

Agilysys Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong balance sheet with very low leverage and improving equity base, plus solid and growing free cash flow (TTM FCF ~$59.2M). Offsetting factors are the sharp slowdown in reported annual revenue growth in FY2025/TTM and signs that FY2024 profitability was unusually elevated and potentially non-recurring.
Income Statement
78
Positive
AGYS shows a solid multi-year revenue uptrend (annual revenue rising from ~$137M in 2021 to $275.6M in FY2025; TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) at $310.6M). Profitability has structurally improved versus the 2021 loss, with healthy gross margins consistently ~61–65% and TTM operating profitability around the mid-teens on an EBITDA basis. Key watch-outs: revenue growth has slowed materially (from ~18–22% in FY2022–FY2024 to ~0.2% in FY2025 annual and ~3.6% in TTM), and FY2024 net margin was unusually high versus other periods, indicating earnings volatility/non-recurring drivers.
Balance Sheet
87
Very Positive
The balance sheet looks conservative with low leverage and a growing equity base. Debt-to-equity is modest across periods and is particularly low in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) (~0.07), providing flexibility and limiting financial risk. Return on equity is positive in the most recent periods (high-single-digits in FY2025 and TTM), but it is not consistently strong and was distorted by an outsized FY2024 profit year, which reduces confidence in the sustainability of headline returns.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash generation is a clear strength: operating cash flow and free cash flow are positive and growing (TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) free cash flow ~$59.2M, up ~5.3% vs. the prior period provided), and free cash flow tracks closely with reported earnings (free cash flow to net income near ~0.95–0.96 in FY2025/TTM), supporting earnings quality. The main weakness is that cash conversion is not consistently strong relative to reported operating performance (operating cash flow coverage ratio remains below 1.0 across periods), implying working-capital or timing headwinds that can create quarter-to-quarter variability.
BreakdownTTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue310.64M275.62M237.46M198.06M162.64M137.18M
Gross Profit189.13M171.99M144.26M120.82M101.53M89.38M
EBITDA49.41M35.16M25.95M19.43M10.39M-16.40M
Net Income30.42M23.23M86.19M14.58M6.48M-21.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets475.18M434.37M350.43M243.04M214.16M189.87M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments81.45M73.04M144.89M112.84M96.97M99.18M
Total Debt35.19M46.96M23.89M16.74M10.70M13.63M
Total Liabilities162.06M168.48M113.95M98.27M81.36M74.54M
Stockholders Equity313.12M265.89M236.48M144.77M132.80M115.33M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow59.19M52.34M40.06M27.23M27.28M27.02M
Operating Cash Flow61.31M55.13M48.19M34.46M28.48M28.41M
Investing Cash Flow-2.94M-148.57M-7.60M-6.87M-25.68M-1.39M
Financing Cash Flow-37.90M21.93M-8.56M-11.09M-4.90M25.32M

Agilysys Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price72.17
Price Trends
50DMA
101.66
Negative
100DMA
111.30
Negative
200DMA
109.90
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-8.28
Positive
RSI
28.15
Positive
STOCH
11.45
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AGYS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 72.17 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 81.45, below the 50-day MA of 101.66, and below the 200-day MA of 109.90, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -8.28 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.15 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.45 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AGYS.

Agilysys Risk Analysis

Agilysys disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Agilysys reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Agilysys Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$2.03B67.3210.68%17.77%-76.05%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
59
Neutral
$381.90M-8.72-26.69%13.09%32.34%
56
Neutral
$2.23B20.39-78.53%-1.17%-597.89%
53
Neutral
$2.10B91.236.29%7.36%-40.62%
46
Neutral
$470.20M-0.15-114.93%8.12%-12.37%-754.18%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AGYS
Agilysys
72.17
-6.37
-8.11%
BLKB
Blackbaud
48.54
-16.77
-25.68%
BL
BlackLine
35.25
-12.78
-26.61%
SPT
Sprout Social
6.45
-20.51
-76.08%
ALIT
Alight
0.88
-5.47
-86.16%

Agilysys Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Agilysys Highlights Strong Q3 FY26 Growth and Outlook
Positive
Feb 2, 2026

In an investor presentation for Q3 fiscal year 2026, Agilysys reported trailing twelve-month results through December 31, 2025 showing $310.6 million in revenue, $191.6 million in gross profit and $61.0 million in adjusted EBITDA, with recurring revenue comprising 64% of total revenue and subscription revenue making up 66% of recurring revenue. The company highlighted strong subscription momentum with 36% year-over-year subscription revenue growth, 29% overall revenue growth, a 20% adjusted EBITDA margin, and 74 new customers added over the period, and it raised its fiscal 2026 annual revenue guidance in October 2025 from a range of $308–$312 million to $315–$318 million, as well as increasing its Q1 FY26 subscription growth outlook, underscoring confidence in its expanding hospitality software footprint and solid balance sheet position.

The most recent analyst rating on (AGYS) stock is a Buy with a $107.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Agilysys stock, see the AGYS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Agilysys Raises Fiscal Year 2026 Revenue Guidance
Positive
Dec 16, 2025

Agilysys has raised its fiscal year 2026 revenue guidance, projecting annual revenue between $315 million and $318 million, with a 20% adjusted EBITDA margin. The company has experienced significant growth, with a 29% year-over-year revenue increase and a 41% growth in subscription revenue. This positive outlook reflects Agilysys’s strategic focus on hospitality solutions and its ability to maintain strong sales levels and integrate acquisitions effectively.

The most recent analyst rating on (AGYS) stock is a Buy with a $140.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Agilysys stock, see the AGYS Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 02, 2026