tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Ranpak Holdings Corp. Class A (PACK)
NYSE:PACK

Ranpak Holdings (PACK) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
141 Followers

Top Page

PA

Ranpak Holdings

(NYSE:PACK)

Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▼(-5.66%Downside)
Ranpak Holdings' overall stock score reflects a combination of mixed financial performance with modest revenue growth and cash flow improvements but persistent profitability challenges. The strong growth in North America and prospects in automation provide optimism, yet valuation concerns and technical indicators suggest caution. The company's strategic focus on cost management and maintaining liquidity are positives in a challenging environment.
Positive Factors
E-commerce Growth
Ranpak Holdings Corp. is benefiting from an inflection in volumes on a year-over-year basis with encouraging progress in e-commerce.
Financial Recovery
Ranpak is on a path to recover towards previous peak EBITDA levels.
Market Expansion
The growth in North America is reflective of accelerated adoption of paper packaging across e-commerce, including Amazon, with incremental momentum likely throughout 2H24.
Negative Factors
Balance Sheet Leverage
Balance sheet leverage remains elevated, with the company also exposed to industrial end-markets that are more susceptible to the macroeconomic backdrop.
Investment Rating
Investment rating is lowered to Neutral due to a preference towards defensive stocks.
Market Environment
The base operating environment remains sluggish, weighed upon by weaker industrial and consumer end-markets, along with a sequential increase in inflation.

Ranpak Holdings (PACK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ranpak Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRanpak Holdings Corp. is a leading provider of environmentally sustainable, paper-based packaging solutions for e-commerce and industrial supply chains. Founded in 1972 and headquartered in Concord Township, Ohio, the company operates in the broader packaging and shipping sectors. Ranpak's core products include protective packaging systems and paper consumables designed to provide efficient, cost-effective, and environmentally friendly alternatives to traditional plastic-based packaging.
How the Company Makes MoneyRanpak Holdings primarily generates revenue through the sale of its protective packaging systems and consumables. The company sells or leases its proprietary packaging machines to customers, who then purchase the paper consumables necessary for operation. This creates a recurring revenue stream as customers continuously need to replenish their paper supplies. In addition to direct sales, Ranpak also benefits from strategic partnerships with distributors and resellers, expanding its market reach. The company's focus on sustainable solutions aligns with increasing regulatory and consumer demand for eco-friendly products, further driving sales growth.

Ranpak Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -13.52%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong growth momentum in North America and promising prospects in automation, despite challenges in Europe and APAC regions, and margin pressures due to increased input costs and operational inefficiencies.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong North America Growth
North America business showed exceptional performance with sales up 33% and volumes up more than 40% over Q1 of 2024, driven by 45% PPS volume growth.
Volume Growth Streak
Achieved the 7th consecutive quarter of volume growth with a consolidated net revenue increase of 8.8% on a constant currency basis.
Automation Growth Prospects
Expectations of achieving 50% growth in automation with strong interest from large enterprise accounts and ongoing projects.
Strong Liquidity Position
Ended the first quarter with a cash balance of $65.5 million and no drawings on the revolving credit facility, maintaining a strong liquidity position.
Negative Updates
Decline in Adjusted EBITDA
Adjusted EBITDA declined 7.8% on a constant currency basis, impacted by increased input costs and lower sales volume in Europe and Asia Pacific.
Challenges in Europe and APAC
Revenue decreased 6% on a constant currency basis in Europe and APAC due to lower PPS volumes and timing of automation projects.
Margin Pressure
Gross profit declined 2.5% due to higher input costs and inefficiencies, with a gross margin profile affected by unfavorable mix and operational inefficiencies.
Impact of Amazon Warrants
The non-cash impact of Amazon warrants contributed a 4.2% headwind to adjusted EBITDA and impacted revenue figures.
Company Guidance
During the Ranpak Holdings Corp. First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company reported a 8.8% increase in consolidated net revenue on a constant currency basis, driven by a substantial 12% volume growth, particularly in North America where sales rose by 33% and volumes increased over 40% compared to Q1 2024. However, adjusted EBITDA declined by 7.8% due to increased input costs and lower sales in Europe and Asia Pacific. Despite these challenges, Ranpak remains optimistic about achieving 50% growth in its automation business, bolstered by strong enterprise account performance and strategic cost reduction initiatives. The company also highlighted its strong liquidity position with a cash balance of $65.5 million and no drawings on its revolving credit facility, maintaining a reported net leverage of 4.3 times on an LTM basis. As part of its strategy to navigate the uncertain macro environment, Ranpak is focused on driving volumes, winning market share, and maximizing cash while managing structural costs and addressing operational inefficiencies.

Ranpak Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ranpak Holdings shows modest revenue growth and improved cash flow, but faces challenges with profitability and efficiency. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, yet persistent net losses impact overall performance.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Ranpak Holdings shows a modest revenue growth with a TTM increase in total revenue of 1.6% compared to the previous year. However, the company is struggling with profitability, evidenced by negative net income and declining EBIT margins. EBITDA margin remains positive, indicating some operational efficiency, but overall profitability is weak.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a stable equity ratio of 48.6% and a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.79, indicating moderate leverage. However, the company has a negative return on equity due to consistent net losses, which remains a concern for potential investors.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Ranpak Holdings exhibits a positive free cash flow growth of 36.1% from the previous year, reflecting improved cash generation capabilities. Operating cash flow is positive, providing some cushion against net income losses, although the free cash flow to net income ratio is low, indicating limited cash conversion efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue374.80M368.90M336.30M326.50M383.90M298.20M
Gross Profit130.10M139.80M123.30M99.60M148.90M122.60M
EBITDA49.00M66.10M55.40M31.70M87.60M79.30M
Net Income-21.50M-21.50M-27.10M-41.40M-2.80M-23.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.12B1.10B1.12B1.13B1.21B1.13B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments65.50M76.10M62.00M62.80M103.90M48.50M
Total Debt430.80M431.20M428.80M399.00M408.10M433.20M
Total Liabilities575.40M556.10M550.70M520.70M577.20M610.60M
Stockholders Equity544.10M548.10M572.00M612.80M636.20M522.90M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow11.30M8.30M-2.70M-44.70M-1.40M30.60M
Operating Cash Flow35.10M41.40M52.60M700.00K54.30M63.80M
Investing Cash Flow-29.70M-32.50M-52.40M-37.50M-69.80M-34.50M
Financing Cash Flow300.00K1.80M-1.80M-4.50M72.00M-1.60M

Ranpak Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price3.71
Price Trends
50DMA
3.62
Positive
100DMA
4.70
Negative
200DMA
5.73
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
56.17
Neutral
STOCH
83.17
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PACK, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3.71 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.57, above the 50-day MA of 3.62, and below the 200-day MA of 5.73, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.17 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PACK.

Ranpak Holdings Risk Analysis

Ranpak Holdings disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ranpak Holdings reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ranpak Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
GEGEF
72
Outperform
$3.38B19.679.96%3.09%5.89%-23.91%
KRKRT
72
Outperform
$577.20M19.1719.64%6.26%6.21%1.47%
SOSON
71
Outperform
$4.51B29.735.54%4.63%-4.58%-61.14%
66
Neutral
$2.61B-69.06%9.15%4.42%70.21%
MYMYE
66
Neutral
$562.60M53.773.69%3.59%3.92%-73.64%
62
Neutral
$16.65B11.30-7.38%3.01%1.59%-23.30%
57
Neutral
$304.92M-3.89%10.11%6.77%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PACK
Ranpak Holdings
3.71
-2.43
-39.58%
GEF
Greif Class A
69.66
15.04
27.54%
MYE
Myers Industries
15.63
3.61
30.03%
SON
Sonoco Products
46.65
0.23
0.50%
KRT
Karat Packaging Inc
28.99
3.42
13.38%
AMBP
Ardagh Metal Packaging
4.43
1.42
47.18%

Ranpak Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Ranpak Holdings Approves Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 29, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Ranpak Holdings Corp. held its annual meeting of stockholders, where several key proposals were voted on. The election of Class III Directors saw Omar Asali, Pam El, and Salil Seshadri elected, despite significant withheld votes. The appointment of KPMG LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the 2025 fiscal year was ratified. Additionally, the compensation for Named Executive Officers was approved on an advisory basis. A significant development was the approval for the issuance of certain shares of Class A Common Stock to Amazon.com NV Investment Holdings LLC, aligning with NYSE Listing Rule 312.03(c).

The most recent analyst rating on (PACK) stock is a Hold with a $6.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ranpak Holdings stock, see the PACK Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Ranpak Holdings Announces Departure of Managing Director
Neutral
May 8, 2025

On May 8, 2025, Ranpak Holdings Corp. announced the departure of Mark Siebert as Managing Director, North America, effective May 16, 2025. His departure is amicable, with no disagreements on company operations, and includes a separation agreement allowing his restricted stock units to continue vesting as scheduled.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 27, 2025