tiprankstipranks
Owlet Inc (OWLT)
NYSE:OWLT
US Market

Owlet (OWLT) AI Stock Analysis

144 Followers

Top Page

OWLT

Owlet

(NYSE:OWLT)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▼(-2.72% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/13/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial quality (continued GAAP losses and negative free cash flow) and very bearish technicals (sharp downtrend with deeply weak momentum). These are partially offset by constructive earnings-call signals, including upbeat 2026 growth/EBITDA guidance and subscription traction, but valuation provides limited support given a non-meaningful negative P/E and no dividend.
Positive Factors
Subscription Momentum / Recurring Revenue
A growing base of 110k+ paid subscribers creates predictable, recurring revenue that de-risks unit sales cyclicality. Sustained MRR, attach-rate and retention improvements raise LTV/CAC, improve margin visibility, and support durable operating leverage as services scale.
Negative Factors
Persistent Negative Cash Flow and GAAP Losses
Sustained negative operating and free cash flow (~-$10.8M) and continued GAAP losses indicate the business is not yet self-funding. Ongoing burn increases reliance on external capital, raising dilution and refinancing risk that could constrain strategic investments.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Subscription Momentum / Recurring Revenue
A growing base of 110k+ paid subscribers creates predictable, recurring revenue that de-risks unit sales cyclicality. Sustained MRR, attach-rate and retention improvements raise LTV/CAC, improve margin visibility, and support durable operating leverage as services scale.
Read all positive factors

Owlet (OWLT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Owlet Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Owlet, Inc. operates as a digital parenting platform in the United States. The company's platform focuses on giving real-time data and insights to parents. Its products include Smart Sock, a baby monitor to track an infant's oxygen levels, heart r...
How the Company Makes Money
Owlet primarily makes money by selling connected baby monitoring hardware directly to consumers and through retail channels. Key revenue streams include: (1) Product sales of its smart sock wearable infant monitor and companion camera/monitoring d...

Owlet Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 05, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized multiple material achievements — record annual revenue, record full-year gross margin and adjusted EBITDA, strong product launches (Dream Sight) and subscription momentum (110k+ paying subscribers), significant market share gains and international regulatory progress — and management provided a confident 2026 growth outlook. Near-term headwinds include meaningful tariff-related margin pressure, Q4 adjusted EBITDA softness relative to the prior year, a light Q1 guide due to seasonality and tough comps, and ongoing external uncertainties (tariffs, geopolitical risk, regulatory). On balance, the positive operating and financial momentum (record full-year results, subscription and market-share traction, improved operating efficiency and strengthened liquidity) outweigh the near-term challenges and risks.
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Strong Top-Line Growth
Q4 2025 revenue of $26.6M, up 29.6% year-over-year; full year 2025 revenue of $105.7M, up 35.4% versus 2024 and at the high end of guidance.
Negative Updates
Tariff Headwinds Impacting Margins and Profitability
Q4 2025 gross margin included a 510 basis point impact from tariffs; full year 2025 gross margin was impacted by tariffs by ~270 basis points; tariffs cited as the primary drag on Q4 adjusted EBITDA versus prior year.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Revenue and Strong Top-Line Growth
Q4 2025 revenue of $26.6M, up 29.6% year-over-year; full year 2025 revenue of $105.7M, up 35.4% versus 2024 and at the high end of guidance.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Owlet guided Q1 2026 revenue of $20.0–$21.0 million, gross margins of 50%–52% and adjusted EBITDA of negative $2.5–$1.5 million (noting Q1 is seasonally the weakest quarter and lapping an unusually strong Q1 2025 driven by RSV/flu); for full-year 2026 they expect revenue of $126–$130 million (growth of 19%–23% vs. 2025’s $105.7M), gross margins of 49%–52% and adjusted EBITDA of $3–$5 million (up 50%–150% vs. 2025’s $2.0M), with revenue weighted roughly 40% in H1 and 60% in H2 as subscription becomes a larger portion of revenue; the outlook assumes continued tariff headwinds (~510 basis points per quarter) and does not bake in material contribution from new international markets or the OnCall telehealth rollout (both treated as upside).

Owlet Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Improving revenue growth and solid ~50% gross margins, plus a better-capitalized balance sheet with positive equity and modest debt. However, GAAP profitability and cash generation remain the key weaknesses, with continued net losses and negative operating/free cash flow indicating ongoing reliance on external capital.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
Cash Flow
30
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue105.70M78.06M54.01M69.20M75.84M
Gross Profit53.50M39.31M22.59M23.31M35.06M
EBITDA-7.80M-9.47M-27.49M-75.53M-42.71M
Net Income-41.90M-12.54M-32.90M-79.34M-71.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets85.60M49.52M44.12M58.10M140.05M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments35.50M20.25M16.56M11.23M95.05M
Total Debt13.03M11.87M16.39M18.30M16.53M
Total Liabilities50.20M70.66M73.80M68.74M84.86M
Stockholders Equity35.40M-21.15M-29.68M-10.63M55.19M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-11.06M-11.97M-23.59M-82.94M-42.58M
Operating Cash Flow-10.80M-11.21M-23.53M-81.38M-40.56M
Investing Cash Flow-943.00K-761.00K-59.00K-1.56M-2.02M
Financing Cash Flow32.10M16.04M28.91M-878.00K120.62M

Owlet Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.14
Price Trends
50DMA
8.29
Negative
100DMA
11.13
Negative
200DMA
9.71
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.89
Negative
RSI
36.83
Neutral
STOCH
74.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OWLT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.14 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.14, below the 50-day MA of 8.29, and below the 200-day MA of 9.71, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.89 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 36.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for OWLT.

Owlet Risk Analysis

Owlet disclosed 73 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Owlet reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Owlet Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$118.53M-2.59-103.93%-20.10%7.87%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
46
Neutral
$96.38M-2.75-68.83%16.63%10.43%
45
Neutral
$57.86M-1.67-82.79%15.59%4.13%
45
Neutral
$68.95M-4.06197.15%21.02%-200.88%
45
Neutral
$186.32M-10.76-55.72%-4.39%11.70%
43
Neutral
$141.08M-217.35239.66%26.83%-52.47%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OWLT
Owlet
5.33
2.02
61.03%
LUNG
Pulmonx
1.44
-3.48
-70.73%
LNSR
LENSAR
5.92
-7.58
-56.15%
HYPR
Hyperfine
1.24
0.54
77.40%
SGHT
Sight Sciences
3.69
1.17
46.43%
RPID
Rapid Micro Biosystems
2.13
-0.15
-6.58%

Owlet Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Owlet Reinstates Co‑Founder Kurt Workman as CEO
Neutral
Apr 6, 2026
On April 3, 2026, Owlet’s board appointed co-founder Kurt Workman as president and chief executive officer effective April 6, 2026, succeeding Jonathan Harris and shifting Workman from his prior role as executive chairman to a continuing sea...
Legal Proceedings
Owlet Awaits Court Decision on Derivative Settlement
Negative
Feb 5, 2026
Owlet has notified investors that the U.S. District Court for the Central District of California has rescheduled the hearing to consider a proposed settlement of consolidated shareholder derivative litigation, In re Owlet, Inc. Shareholder Derivat...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 13, 2026