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OppFi (OPFI)
NYSE:OPFI
US Market

OppFi (OPFI) AI Stock Analysis

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OppFi

(NYSE:OPFI)

70Outperform
OppFi's strong financial performance and positive earnings call outlook are key strengths, reflecting robust revenue growth and improved profitability. However, the high valuation and mixed technical indicators, along with concerns about leverage, temper the overall score. The company is well-positioned for future growth, but potential investors should be mindful of valuation levels and leverage risks.
Positive Factors
Credit Performance
The company continued demonstrating operating leverage in 4Q along with higher yields on the portfolio and improving credit performance, leading to strong bottom-line outperformance versus expectations.
Financial Performance
Shares traded up ~11% following strong fourth-quarter performance and guidance for continued earnings growth in 2025.
Negative Factors
Dilution Concerns
Investors must revisit the additional dilution from SPAC-era warrants, which add approximately 3.6M shares to the diluted share count.
Valuation Concerns
Analyst remains on the sidelines based purely on a valuation perspective with shares fairly valued at ~9x the updated 2025 adjusted EPS estimate.

OppFi (OPFI) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

OppFi Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOppFi (OPFI) is a financial technology company that specializes in providing accessible and transparent credit products to underserved consumers. Operating primarily in the consumer finance sector, the company offers a range of products designed to help individuals who lack access to traditional financial services. Its core offerings include installment loans and other credit products tailored to meet the needs of consumers with lower credit scores.
How the Company Makes MoneyOppFi makes money primarily through the interest and fees generated from the financial products it offers, such as installment loans. The company partners with banks to facilitate its lending services, enabling it to reach a wider customer base while maintaining compliance with regulatory standards. Additionally, OppFi leverages its proprietary technology platform to assess credit risk and streamline the lending process, which helps in optimizing its revenue generation. By focusing on a segment of the market that is often overlooked by traditional financial institutions, OppFi is able to charge higher interest rates, which in turn contributes significantly to its earnings.

OppFi Financial Statement Overview

Summary
OppFi has shown strong financial performance characterized by robust revenue growth, improved profit margins, and efficient cash flow management. However, the high debt-to-equity ratio remains a concern, impacting overall financial stability.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
OppFi shows strong revenue growth with a consistent upward trend over the past few years, culminating in a significant increase in 2024. The gross profit margin remains robust at 100%, indicating effective cost management. The net profit margin improved substantially from negative in 2023 to a healthy 15.94% in 2024, reflecting enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also improved significantly, showing operational efficiency gains.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio due to substantial debt levels combined with limited equity, which poses a leverage risk. However, the increase in stockholders' equity from previous years is a positive sign. The equity ratio improved to 36.51% in 2024, indicating enhanced financial stability. Return on equity turned positive and reached 35.79% in 2024, showing effective utilization of equity to generate profits.
Cash Flow
90
Very Positive
The cash flow statement is robust, with significant free cash flow growth from 2023 to 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates strong cash generation relative to net income, signaling healthy cash flow management. The free cash flow to net income ratio is exceptionally high, pointing towards efficient cash conversion and strong liquidity position.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
525.96M508.95M452.86M350.57M291.01M
Gross Profit
420.78M388.98M344.67M251.34M239.19M
EBIT
94.54M46.35M-6.34M57.26M77.52M
EBITDA
308.60M46.35M55.32M118.20M103.53M
Net Income Common Stockholders
7.26M-1.00M7.10M25.55M77.52M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
61.34M31.79M16.24M25.06M25.60M
Total Assets
641.17M601.54M579.84M502.11M285.84M
Total Debt
332.05M349.18M363.62M274.02M158.10M
Net Debt
270.71M317.39M347.38M248.96M132.50M
Total Liabilities
406.96M407.51M420.69M344.23M186.51M
Stockholders Equity
234.21M10.44M-494.00K-9.04M99.33M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
323.81M287.15M230.05M152.97M181.39M
Operating Cash Flow
323.81M296.15M243.30M167.35M192.11M
Investing Cash Flow
-243.44M-244.29M-317.24M-199.47M-98.31M
Financing Cash Flow
-66.02M-27.58M61.26M48.83M-84.12M

OppFi Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price8.16
Price Trends
50DMA
11.13
Negative
100DMA
9.70
Negative
200DMA
7.05
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.36
Negative
RSI
42.59
Neutral
STOCH
22.66
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OPFI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 8.16 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.37, below the 50-day MA of 11.13, and above the 200-day MA of 7.05, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.36 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.66 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for OPFI.

OppFi Risk Analysis

OppFi disclosed 94 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. OppFi reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

OppFi Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
84
Outperform
$5.69B6.6727.18%3.03%3.88%56.29%
77
Outperform
$2.22B11.7217.19%25.51%36.96%
77
Outperform
$646.73M8.2419.28%-2.78%24.39%
70
Outperform
$714.57M43.0533.59%2.71%
63
Neutral
$12.88B9.219.18%4.78%16.30%-8.66%
LCLC
53
Neutral
$1.00B18.823.96%3.63%27.77%
53
Neutral
$3.26B-20.27%24.50%49.38%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OPFI
OppFi
7.92
4.84
157.14%
WRLD
World Acceptance
113.63
-28.54
-20.07%
LC
LendingClub
8.56
-0.25
-2.84%
ENVA
Enova International
86.19
23.15
36.72%
QFIN
Qifu Technology
35.86
16.84
88.54%
UPST
Upstart Holdings
37.78
11.51
43.81%

OppFi Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 5, 2025 | % Change Since: -12.73% | Next Earnings Date: May 8, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlights strong revenue growth, improved credit quality, and operational efficiencies, outweighing the concerns about macroeconomic uncertainties, leading to a positive outlook and increased guidance for 2025.
Highlights
Record Revenue Achievement
OppFi reported record Q4 and annual total revenue in 2024, with a 2.1% increase in Q4 revenue to $135.7 million and a full-year increase to $526 million, which was near the high end of their guidance.
Strong Growth in Net Revenue and Adjusted EPS
Net revenue increased by 22.9% to $80.8 million in Q4 2024, while adjusted EPS grew to $0.23 from $0.10. For the full year, adjusted EPS was $0.95, significantly exceeding the guidance of $0.85 to $0.87.
Improvement in Credit Quality
The annualized net charge-off rate as a percentage of average receivables decreased by 430 basis points to 54.5%, showcasing improved credit performance.
Operational Efficiency Gains
Automated loan approvals reached 79.5% in Q4 2024, up 630 basis points from the previous year, contributing to effective cost control.
Debt Reduction
OppFi paid down $10 million on its corporate debt in Q4 2024 and an additional $20 million in Q1 2025, extinguishing its corporate debt ahead of schedule.
Positive Guidance for 2025
OppFi expects total revenue growth of 7% to 13% in 2025 and a 15% to 17% increase in adjusted net income. Additionally, Q1 2025 adjusted net income expectations have been increased more than twofold.
Lowlights
Macroeconomic Concerns
There are concerns about macroeconomic uncertainties, inflation, and potential impacts of tariffs, although the company feels prepared to handle volatility.
Company Guidance
During the OppFi Fourth Quarter 2024 Earnings Call, the company provided optimistic guidance for 2025, expecting a double-digit percentage increase in revenue and adjusted EPS. The company anticipates total revenue to range between $563 million and $594 million, reflecting a 7% to 13% growth, and adjusted net income to increase by 15% to 17%, reaching $95 million to $97 million. The improved financial outlook is driven by strong growth, operational efficiency, and a significant increase in auto approval rates to nearly 80% in Q4 2024. Moreover, OppFi expects adjusted earnings per share to be between $1.06 and $1.07, supported by enhanced credit quality and refined machine learning models. The company also highlighted its strategic initiatives, including the extinguishment of corporate debt, expanded marketing efforts, and continued successful partnerships, such as their involvement with Bitty, which are expected to contribute to OppFi's growth and profitability in 2025.

OppFi Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
OppFi Reports Record 2024 Financial Results and Growth
Positive
Mar 5, 2025

On March 4, 2025, OppFi-LLC, a subsidiary of OppFi Inc., repaid all outstanding obligations under its Senior Secured Multi-Draw Term Loan Agreement, effectively terminating the agreement. The following day, OppFi Inc. announced its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2024, highlighting a significant increase in net income by 112.4% year over year to $83.8 million, and adjusted net income by 99.2% to $82.7 million, both setting company records. The company also raised its adjusted net income guidance for 2025, indicating strong anticipated growth, which positions OppFi favorably in the market and suggests potential positive implications for stakeholders.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
OppFi Expands Credit Facility with Blue Owl Capital
Positive
Feb 18, 2025

On February 13, 2025, OppFi announced a Second Amended and Restated Revolving Credit Agreement, increasing its credit facility with affiliates of Blue Owl Capital from $250 million to $300 million. This amendment extends the maturity date to February 2029 and aims to support OppFi’s growth by financing receivables and extinguishing corporate debt ahead of schedule. The increase in the credit facility highlights the company’s commitment to enhancing credit access for consumers and supporting its mission of financial inclusion.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.