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Oaktree Specialty Lending (OCSL)
NASDAQ:OCSL

Oaktree Specialty Lending (OCSL) AI Stock Analysis

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OCSL

Oaktree Specialty Lending

(NASDAQ:OCSL)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
Oaktree Specialty Lending's overall performance reflects a stable yet challenging financial landscape. The robust balance sheet and high dividend yield are key strengths, but operational inefficiencies and technical weakness present notable risks. The recent earnings call highlights strategic initiatives yet underscores ongoing challenges, contributing to a moderate overall stock score.
Positive Factors
Robust Balance Sheet
A strong balance sheet with no debt provides financial stability and flexibility, allowing OCSL to navigate market challenges and invest in growth opportunities.
Strategic Refinancing
Successful refinancing efforts reduce interest expenses and extend debt maturity, enhancing financial stability and supporting long-term strategic initiatives.
Strong Investment Activity
Active investment in senior secured loans diversifies the portfolio and generates stable income, aligning with OCSL's strategy to provide tailored capital solutions.
Negative Factors
Increased Non-Accrual Investments
Rising non-accrual investments indicate potential credit quality issues, which could impact income generation and require increased focus on risk management.
Revenue Decline
Volatile revenue growth and recent declines suggest instability in income streams, necessitating strategic adjustments to stabilize and grow revenue.
Decreased Net Investment Income
A decline in net investment income reflects challenges in maintaining profitability, potentially affecting dividend sustainability and investor returns.

Oaktree Specialty Lending (OCSL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Oaktree Specialty Lending Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOaktree Specialty Lending Corporation is a business development company specializing in investments in middle market, bridge financing, first and second lien debt financing, unsecured and mezzanine loan, mezzanine debt, senior and junior secured debt, expansions, sponsor-led acquisitions, preferred equity and management buyouts in small and mid-sized companies. It seeks to invest in education services, business services, retail and consumer, healthcare, manufacturing, food and restaurants, construction and engineering, and media and advertising sectors. It invests between $5 million to $75 million principally in the form of one-stop, first lien, and second lien debt investments, which may include an equity co-investment component in companies with enterprise value between $20 million and $150 million and EBITDA between $3 million and $50 million. The fund has a hold size of up to $75 million and may underwrite transactions up to $100 million. It primarily invests in North America. The fund seeks to be a lead investor in its portfolio companies.
How the Company Makes MoneyOCSL makes money primarily through interest income generated from its portfolio of debt investments. As a BDC, the company lends capital to middle-market companies, charging interest on these loans, which serves as the main revenue stream. Additionally, OCSL may realize gains from equity investments, which can contribute to its earnings. The company also benefits from its strategic affiliation with Oaktree Capital Management, L.P., which provides management expertise and access to a broad network of industry contacts. This partnership can enhance deal flow and investment opportunities, ultimately supporting the company's revenue generation and growth.

Oaktree Specialty Lending Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 18, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mix of positive and negative aspects. Notable improvements were seen in net investment income and nonaccrual reductions, alongside a significant investment in Walgreens. However, challenges remain with declines in NAV per share and persistent nonaccrual issues in certain sectors.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Net Investment Income
The company achieved adjusted net investment income of $0.40 per share in the fourth quarter, up from $0.37 in the prior quarter, reflecting normalized prepayment fees, higher dividend income, and lower interest expenses.
Reduction in Nonaccruals
Nonaccruals were reduced to 2.8% of the portfolio measured at fair value, down 20 basis points from the third quarter and 100 basis points from last year.
Significant Investment in Walgreens Boots Alliance
Oaktree funds acted as joint lead arranger for the $2.5 billion first in, last out, first lien term loan to support the US retail business of Walgreens Boots Alliance, priced at SOFR Plus 700 with 2.5 points of OID.
Strong Portfolio Composition
83% of the portfolio was comprised of first lien senior secured debt with a weighted average yield on debt investments of 9.8%.
Increased New Funded Investment Commitments
New funded investment commitments, including drawdowns from existing commitments, amounted to $120 million, up 54% from the prior quarter.
Negative Updates
NAV Per Share Decline
NAV per share was $16.64, down from $16.76 in the third quarter due to unrealized depreciation on certain debt and equity investments.
Continued Nonaccrual Challenges in Life Sciences
Ongoing challenges with nonaccruals in the healthcare and pharma segments, particularly with long-standing positions such as FIO2.
Baymark's Loan on Nonaccrual
Added Baymark's first lien loan to nonaccrual status, with the company’s second lien loan already on nonaccrual.
Company Guidance
During Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation's fourth fiscal quarter and full year 2025 earnings call, key metrics highlighted include an adjusted net investment income of $0.40 per share, up from $0.37 in the previous quarter, with the company's nonaccruals at 2.8% of the portfolio at fair value, a decrease of 20 basis points from the third quarter. The company announced a $0.40 per share dividend for the quarter, consistent with their policy. New funded investment commitments for the quarter reached $120 million, a 54% increase from the prior quarter, with prepayments from exits and other paydowns totaling $177 million. The weighted average spread on deployments was approximately SOFR plus 570, with first lien loans making up 88% of new originations. The company's NAV per share was $16.64, slightly down from $16.76 in the third quarter, and the leverage ratio stood at 0.97 times. The call also noted a significant transaction involving Walgreens Boots Alliance, where Oaktree acted as a joint lead arranger for a $2.5 billion loan.

Oaktree Specialty Lending Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Oaktree Specialty Lending shows a mixed financial performance. Strong gross profit margins indicate efficient cost management, but operational challenges are evident with a negative EBIT margin. The balance sheet is robust with no debt, providing stability, yet profitability is modest. Cash flow is strong in operations but inconsistent in free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
60
Neutral
Oaktree Specialty Lending shows a mixed financial performance. The TTM gross profit margin is strong at 84.81%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin for TTM is modest at 23.97%, and a negative EBIT margin of -29.24% suggests operational challenges. Revenue growth is volatile, with a significant decline in the latest annual report, indicating potential revenue instability.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company's balance sheet is robust with no debt, resulting in a favorable debt-to-equity ratio of 0. The equity ratio is stable at around 47%, indicating a solid equity base. However, the return on equity is relatively low at 3.77% TTM, suggesting limited profitability relative to equity.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Oaktree Specialty Lending's cash flow statement reveals strong operating cash flow with an impressive operating cash flow to net income ratio of 5.89 for TTM. However, free cash flow growth is inconsistent, with a significant drop in the latest annual report, indicating potential cash flow management issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue173.37M299.70M186.23M236.85M86.04M278.82M
Gross Profit70.44M261.37M57.61M125.20M39.11M248.31M
EBITDA61.21M151.02M57.80M119.06M32.86M240.84M
Net Income33.92M33.92M57.91M117.33M29.22M237.26M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.00B3.00B3.20B3.22B2.65B2.64B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments79.63M79.63M63.97M136.45M23.53M29.33M
Total Debt1.49B1.49B1.64B1.60B1.30B1.27B
Total Liabilities1.54B1.54B1.71B1.70B1.40B1.32B
Stockholders Equity1.47B1.47B1.49B1.52B1.25B1.31B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow181.82M142.40M19.08M228.76M22.39M-230.52M
Operating Cash Flow181.82M142.40M19.08M228.76M22.39M-230.52M
Investing Cash Flow46.55M85.98M0.000.000.000.00
Financing Cash Flow-229.35M-229.35M-86.77M-110.41M-26.82M224.19M

Oaktree Specialty Lending Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price13.78
Price Trends
50DMA
13.48
Positive
100DMA
13.41
Positive
200DMA
13.57
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Negative
RSI
56.55
Neutral
STOCH
64.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OCSL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 13.78 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.59, above the 50-day MA of 13.48, and above the 200-day MA of 13.57, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OCSL.

Oaktree Specialty Lending Risk Analysis

Oaktree Specialty Lending disclosed 70 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Oaktree Specialty Lending reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Oaktree Specialty Lending Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$938.02M9.268.60%13.25%-10.40%-11.42%
71
Outperform
$1.25B3.3617.76%5.33%9.32%29.40%
70
Outperform
$1.93B10.3013.72%3.20%27.36%12.55%
70
Outperform
$2.21B21.627.40%9.68%94.85%
70
Outperform
$380.19M2.2012.53%9.68%10.48%-30.67%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
59
Neutral
$1.21B34.972.30%13.35%22.17%-46.78%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OCSL
Oaktree Specialty Lending
13.78
-0.46
-3.23%
AGM
Federal Agricultural
184.14
-25.84
-12.31%
BBDC
Barings BDC
8.98
0.40
4.66%
LC
LendingClub
19.76
3.75
23.42%
YRD
Yiren Digital
4.34
-0.23
-5.03%
FINV
FinVolution Group
5.20
-1.39
-21.09%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 02, 2025