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Orange County Bancorp (OBT)
NASDAQ:OBT
US Market

Orange County Bancorp (OBT) AI Stock Analysis

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OBT

Orange County Bancorp

(NASDAQ:OBT)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$39.00
▲(11.91% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/17/26
The score is primarily supported by strong profitability, healthy returns, and improved leverage, plus an attractive valuation (low P/E and a dividend). Offsetting these positives are the pronounced 2025 cash-flow drop and weak near-term technical momentum (negative MACD and price below short-term moving averages), which temper the overall rating.
Positive Factors
Sustained Profitability
High and improving margins with mid-teens ROE indicate a profitable franchise that can internally generate capital and absorb shocks. Sustained profitability supports loan growth, dividend capacity and capital accumulation, strengthening long-term franchise value and strategic flexibility.
Negative Factors
Sharp Cash-Flow Decline
A dramatic drop in operating and free cash flow strains earnings quality and reduces internal funding for lending, capital returns, or loss provisioning. Persistent weak cash conversion would impair flexibility and raise the risk that profits are less durable than reported net income.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Sustained Profitability
High and improving margins with mid-teens ROE indicate a profitable franchise that can internally generate capital and absorb shocks. Sustained profitability supports loan growth, dividend capacity and capital accumulation, strengthening long-term franchise value and strategic flexibility.
Read all positive factors

Orange County Bancorp (OBT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Orange County Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Orange County Bancorp, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides commercial and consumer banking products and services, and trust and wealth management services to small businesses, middle-market enterprises, local municipal governments, and afflue...
How the Company Makes Money
Orange County Bancorp primarily makes money through its bank subsidiary’s net interest income and noninterest income. Net interest income is earned on the spread between (1) interest income from loans (such as commercial real estate and other busi...

Orange County Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and improving margins (2025 net margin ~26%, operating margin ~33%) and healthy ROE (~15%) support the score, along with a markedly improved leverage profile in 2025 (debt-to-equity ~0.12x). The main drag is the sharp decline in cash generation in 2025 (operating and free cash flow down ~77% YoY), raising earnings-quality and sustainability questions.
Income Statement
84
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
76
Positive
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue158.13M143.09M131.07M96.00M76.00M
Gross Profit119.46M99.92M93.82M80.35M69.60M
EBITDA53.10M36.77M39.12M31.97M28.34M
Net Income41.61M27.88M29.48M24.36M21.29M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.66B2.51B2.49B2.29B2.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments623.64M594.11M637.33M619.54M770.98M
Total Debt34.55M143.09M254.02M150.95M22.38M
Total Liabilities2.38B2.32B2.32B2.15B1.96B
Stockholders Equity284.36M185.53M165.38M138.14M182.84M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow41.33M32.87M40.96M28.94M18.36M
Operating Cash Flow43.85M34.60M44.50M30.48M20.32M
Investing Cash Flow-74.15M-29.42M-144.92M-434.11M-291.31M
Financing Cash Flow84.20M-2.23M161.72M183.53M455.93M

Orange County Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price34.85
Price Trends
50DMA
32.83
Positive
100DMA
30.49
Positive
200DMA
27.89
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.57
Negative
RSI
70.72
Negative
STOCH
89.81
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OBT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 34.85 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.32, above the 50-day MA of 32.83, and above the 200-day MA of 27.89, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.57 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.72 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.81 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OBT.

Orange County Bancorp Risk Analysis

Orange County Bancorp disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Orange County Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Orange County Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$465.89M8.5816.51%2.00%8.90%18.23%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$425.27M9.4110.03%1.41%9.76%4.43%
64
Neutral
$498.68M9.1410.02%2.96%3.49%33.86%
63
Neutral
$374.36M10.199.33%3.18%6.52%36.77%
54
Neutral
$520.13M-3.72-21.66%5.87%12.76%-401.62%
49
Neutral
$381.80M26.693.15%-15.07%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OBT
Orange County Bancorp
34.85
13.93
66.57%
CIVB
Civista Bancshares
24.05
5.72
31.20%
MSBI
Midland States Bancrop
24.23
10.10
71.47%
FRBA
First Bank
16.92
4.03
31.30%
FMAO
Farmers & Merchants Bancorp
27.23
6.55
31.65%
BRBS
Blue Ridge Bankshares
4.18
1.25
42.66%

Orange County Bancorp Corporate Events

Dividends
Orange County Bancorp Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend Payment
Positive
Feb 20, 2026
On February 20, 2026, Orange County Bancorp, Inc., parent of Orange Bank Trust Company and Orange Investment Advisors, Inc., announced it had declared a cash dividend of $0.18 per share on its common stock. The dividend was scheduled to be paid o...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 17, 2026