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Orange County Bancorp, Inc. (OBT)
:OBT
US Market

Orange County Bancorp (OBT) AI Stock Analysis

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Orange County Bancorp

(NASDAQ:OBT)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$29.00
▲( 13.73% Upside)
Orange County Bancorp's robust financial foundations and reasonable valuation contribute significantly to its overall score. Despite liquidity challenges, its operational efficiency and market momentum present a solid investment case. The dividend announcement further supports investor confidence, although not factored into the score due to weighting adjustments.

Orange County Bancorp (OBT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Orange County Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOrange County Bancorp, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides commercial and consumer banking products and services, and trust and wealth management services to small businesses, middle-market enterprises, local municipal governments, and affluent individuals. It accepts various deposit products, including interest-bearing and noninterest-bearing demand accounts, money market deposit accounts, savings accounts, and certificates of deposit. The company also offers commercial real estate loans, commercial and industrial loans, commercial real estate construction loans, residential real estate loans, home equity loans, and consumer loans. In addition, it provides traditional trust and administration, asset management, financial planning, and wealth management services. The company operates 14 full-service branches and one loan production office in Orange, Westchester, Rockland, and Bronx counties in New York. Orange County Bancorp, Inc. was founded in 1892 and is headquartered in Middletown, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyOrange County Bancorp makes money primarily through the interest income generated from its loan portfolio, which includes commercial loans, residential mortgages, and consumer loans. The company also earns revenue from non-interest income sources, such as fees for account services, transaction processing, and wealth management services. Additionally, the bank invests in securities, which contributes to its earnings through interest and dividends. The company's earnings are further supported by its strategic focus on building strong customer relationships and maintaining a diverse range of financial products tailored to meet the needs of its local community.

Orange County Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Orange County Bancorp shows strong revenue growth and operational performance, with excellent management of debt and equity. However, concerns exist regarding net income margins and cash flow management, which need addressing for sustained financial health.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Orange County Bancorp has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a significant increase from $59.7 million in 2020 to $127.2 million in 2024. The gross profit margin remains high at 100%, as expected in the banking industry, where cost of goods sold is minimal. The net profit margin decreased slightly from 31.4% in 2023 to 21.9% in 2024, indicating increased expenses or lower efficiency. Nevertheless, the EBIT margin improved significantly from 39.5% in 2023 to 95.3% in 2024, showcasing strong operational performance. Overall, the income statement reflects robust revenue growth and operational efficiency but highlights potential concerns in net income management.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a strong equity base with stockholders' equity increasing from $165.4 million in 2023 to $185.5 million in 2024. The debt-to-equity ratio is excellent at 0, reflecting a debt-free position in 2024. The return on equity declined from 17.8% in 2023 to 15.0% in 2024, suggesting a slight decrease in profitability relative to equity. The equity ratio remains stable, covering a healthy portion of total assets. Overall, the balance sheet portrays financial stability with solid equity growth and no debt, though there is a slight dip in profitability.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a decrease in operating cash flow from $44.5 million in 2023 to $5.66 million in 2024, which could indicate liquidity concerns or increased operational costs. The free cash flow also decreased significantly from $40.96 million in 2023 to $5.66 million in 2024, reflecting tight cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio dropped significantly, indicating a weakening cash conversion. While the company has managed cash effectively in the past, recent figures suggest a need for improved cash flow management.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
107.63M93.94M89.87M72.03M59.71M
Gross Profit
107.63M93.94M89.87M72.03M59.71M
EBIT
34.82M37.15M36.41M26.68M14.52M
EBITDA
0.0039.12M31.97M28.34M15.80M
Net Income Common Stockholders
27.88M29.48M24.36M21.29M11.68M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
594.11M147.38M619.54M770.98M451.34M
Total Assets
2.51B2.49B2.29B2.14B1.66B
Total Debt
143.09M254.02M282.45M22.38M22.32M
Net Debt
-7.24M106.64M196.37M-283.80M-98.91M
Total Liabilities
2.32B2.32B2.15B22.38M22.32M
Stockholders Equity
185.53M165.38M138.14M182.84M135.42M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
32.87M40.96M28.94M18.36M10.65M
Operating Cash Flow
34.60M44.50M30.48M20.32M11.34M
Investing Cash Flow
-29.42M-144.92M-434.11M-291.31M-330.96M
Financing Cash Flow
-2.23M161.72M183.53M455.93M415.74M

Orange County Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price25.50
Price Trends
50DMA
24.19
Positive
100DMA
25.09
Positive
200DMA
26.73
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.72
Positive
RSI
51.16
Neutral
STOCH
36.72
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OBT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 25.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.65, above the 50-day MA of 24.19, and below the 200-day MA of 26.73, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.72 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.72 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for OBT.

Orange County Bancorp Risk Analysis

Orange County Bancorp disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Orange County Bancorp reported the most risks in the “Legal & Regulatory” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
Q4, 2024

Orange County Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$278.60M9.8811.19%5.79%13.25%1.46%
OBOBT
77
Outperform
$290.29M10.5714.76%1.85%6.08%-23.52%
75
Outperform
$298.48M10.499.62%3.21%9.53%63.45%
PCPCB
75
Outperform
$284.87M10.208.00%3.66%14.10%11.76%
69
Neutral
$314.58M16.325.60%8.57%37.95%
64
Neutral
$12.66B9.797.67%17015.07%12.23%-6.06%
60
Neutral
$241.31M12.495.50%4.74%5.89%96.63%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OBT
Orange County Bancorp
25.50
2.70
11.84%
FNLC
First Bancorp
23.78
0.34
1.45%
SFST
Southern First Bancshares
36.39
9.23
33.98%
WSBF
Waterstone Financial
12.65
0.69
5.77%
CZFS
Citizens Financial Services
62.54
23.32
59.46%
PCB
PCB Bancorp
19.80
5.34
36.93%

Orange County Bancorp Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Orange County Bancorp Approves Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 20, 2025

On May 20, 2025, Orange County Bancorp, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders where all submitted proposals were approved. Key decisions included the election of directors for varying terms and the ratification of Crowe LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (OBT) stock is a Buy with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orange County Bancorp stock, see the OBT Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
Orange County Bancorp Declares Cash Dividend Announcement
Positive
May 16, 2025

On May 16, 2025, Orange County Bancorp, Inc. announced a $0.13 cash dividend per share of its common stock, to be paid on June 16, 2025, to shareholders of record on June 4, 2025. This declaration reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to providing value to its shareholders and may positively influence its market positioning by reinforcing investor confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (OBT) stock is a Buy with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Orange County Bancorp stock, see the OBT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.