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NOVONIX Ltd Sponsored ADR (NVX)
NASDAQ:NVX

NOVONIX Ltd Sponsored ADR (NVX) AI Stock Analysis

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NVX

NOVONIX Ltd Sponsored ADR

(NASDAQ:NVX)

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Neutral 42 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:
$0.76
▼(-51.46% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/20/26
The score is weighed down primarily by weak financial performance (widening losses and accelerating cash burn) and bearish technical trend signals (price below key moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation is only mildly supportive because a negative P/E reflects ongoing losses and dividend yield data is unavailable.
Positive Factors
U.S. synthetic graphite expansion
Binding offtake agreements with large OEM buyers provide durable demand visibility as NOVONIX scales U.S. synthetic graphite. Long-term contracts de-risk initial plant ramp, support capacity planning and capital allocation, and improve the company's ability to qualify products for production tax credits tied to domestic supply.
Negative Factors
Severe cash burn
Persistent and accelerating negative operating and free cash flow create a structural funding need. Over months, this forces reliance on external financing or equity issuance, constrains the ability to self-fund capacity expansions, and raises execution risk if capital markets tighten or expected offtake timing slips.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
U.S. synthetic graphite expansion
Binding offtake agreements with large OEM buyers provide durable demand visibility as NOVONIX scales U.S. synthetic graphite. Long-term contracts de-risk initial plant ramp, support capacity planning and capital allocation, and improve the company's ability to qualify products for production tax credits tied to domestic supply.
Read all positive factors

NOVONIX Ltd Sponsored ADR (NVX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

NOVONIX Ltd Sponsored ADR Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Novonix Limited develops and supplies battery materials, equipment, and services to the lithium-ion battery market in North America. It operates through three segments: Graphite Exploration and Mining, Battery Technology, and Battery Materials. Th...
How the Company Makes Money
NOVONIX makes money primarily through (1) selling battery materials and (2) providing services/technology related to battery testing and development. A key intended revenue stream is the production and sale of synthetic graphite anode material to ...

NOVONIX Ltd Sponsored ADR Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Despite a sharp revenue rebound in 2025 (+44.2% YoY), profitability and cash flow are severely deteriorating. Gross margin turned deeply negative, net losses widened materially, and free cash flow burn accelerated (2025 FCF about -$153.5M vs. -$70.3M in 2024). The balance sheet still has meaningful equity, but leverage is rising and returns on equity remain strongly negative.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
44
Neutral
Cash Flow
16
Very Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.84M5.62M5.85M8.05M3.69M6.10M
Gross Profit-9.49M-24.36M4.08M5.24M-20.63M4.38M
EBITDA-66.41M-77.13M-66.61M-38.86M-36.08M-46.18M
Net Income-74.63M-92.79M-74.82M-46.25M-38.63M-51.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets226.10M282.83M226.10M263.34M189.59M302.98M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments42.56M84.12M42.56M78.63M99.04M142.74M
Total Debt70.42M110.74M70.42M68.22M40.37M41.41M
Total Liabilities88.51M125.73M88.51M79.41M38.20M51.85M
Stockholders Equity137.59M157.10M137.59M183.94M151.39M251.13M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-55.32M-102.45M-70.32M-55.42M-29.65M-113.02M
Operating Cash Flow-40.26M-42.23M-40.42M-36.23M-12.89M-29.23M
Investing Cash Flow-22.97M-32.88M-18.17M-11.74M-16.33M-106.80M
Financing Cash Flow24.64M109.98M25.21M29.31M-539.22K180.69M

NOVONIX Ltd Sponsored ADR Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price1.57
Price Trends
50DMA
0.84
Negative
100DMA
0.99
Negative
200DMA
1.22
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Negative
RSI
45.89
Neutral
STOCH
43.70
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NVX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 1.57 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.72, above the 50-day MA of 0.84, and above the 200-day MA of 1.22, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for NVX.

NOVONIX Ltd Sponsored ADR Risk Analysis

NOVONIX Ltd Sponsored ADR disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NOVONIX Ltd Sponsored ADR reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

NOVONIX Ltd Sponsored ADR Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
52
Neutral
$1.24B-10.09-0.23%45.98%44.14%
50
Neutral
$3.69B-1.40-110.00%2.53%-2.83%
45
Neutral
$339.59M-4.17-26.54%41.05%-1.02%
45
Neutral
$29.89M-0.43-265.36%-3.53%24.37%
43
Neutral
$27.71M-1.44209.00%61.78%
42
Neutral
$172.74M-1.85-70.19%-14.27%-28.56%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NVX
NOVONIX Ltd Sponsored ADR
0.72
-0.30
-29.41%
FCEL
Fuelcell Energy
6.41
2.37
58.66%
PLUG
Plug Power
2.65
1.44
119.01%
GWH
ESS Tech
1.10
-1.54
-58.33%
ENVX
Enovix
5.73
-0.91
-13.70%
SDST
Stardust Power
2.78
-2.28
-45.06%

NOVONIX Ltd Sponsored ADR Corporate Events

Novonix Sets April Hybrid AGM, Tables Equity and Board Resolutions
Mar 17, 2026
Novonix Limited has called its 2026 Annual General Meeting for 15 April 2026 at 9 a.m. Brisbane time, to be held as a hybrid event with both online and in‑person participation in Brisbane. Shareholders will receive the FY25 financial stateme...
NOVONIX Stays Course on U.S. Graphite Expansion After ITC Rejects New Duties on Chinese AAM
Mar 13, 2026
On March 13, 2026, NOVONIX Limited reported that the U.S. International Trade Commission concluded Chinese imports of anode active material do not materially impede the U.S. graphite industry, blocking new anti-dumping and countervailing duties de...
Novonix Issues Over 5.5 Million New Performance Rights to Executives Under Incentive Plan
Mar 13, 2026
On March 13, 2026, Novonix Ltd reported the issue of 5,517,712 unquoted performance rights under its employee incentive scheme, designated under the ASX security code NVXAD. The new performance rights, which rank equally with existing rights in th...
Novonix Discloses March 10 Director Share Sale in Form 6-K Filing
Mar 12, 2026
On March 12, 2026, Novonix Limited filed a Form 6-K with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, notifying investors of a change in a director’s shareholding as required for foreign private issuers. The filing included an Appendix 3Y lo...
Novonix Adds 451,991 New ASX-Quoted Shares Following Employee Performance Rights Vesting
Mar 11, 2026
On March 11, 2026, Novonix Limited filed a Form 6-K in the United States and an Appendix 2A with the ASX documenting the quotation of 451,991 new ordinary fully paid shares under ticker NVX. These shares were issued at an estimated value of A$0.30...
Novonix Issues New Shares from Vested Employee Performance Rights
Mar 3, 2026
Novonix Limited, listed on the ASX under ticker NVX, reported updated capital information following the conversion of performance rights into ordinary fully paid shares on March 3, 2026. Following this issuance, the company’s quoted share ca...
NOVONIX Sets April 15, 2026 AGM and Director Nomination Deadline
Feb 18, 2026
NOVONIX Limited, a battery materials and technology specialist, aims to reduce supply chain risk and support U.S. energy independence by developing an integrated North American supply chain for advanced battery materials. Its operations span anode...
NOVONIX to Sell Battery Technology Solutions Unit to Former CEO as It Sharpens Focus on Synthetic Graphite
Feb 18, 2026
On 18 February 2026, NOVONIX Limited announced it has entered into a binding term sheet to sell its NOVONIX Battery Technology Solutions Inc. business in Nova Scotia, Canada, to former chief executive Chris Burns, in a share sale that transfers al...
NOVONIX Backs U.S. Move to Lift Duties on Chinese Battery-Grade Graphite Above 160%
Feb 13, 2026
On February 13, 2026, NOVONIX Limited said it welcomed final U.S. Department of Commerce determinations that set combined antidumping and countervailing duties of at least 160% on Chinese battery-grade anode active materials, pending a final U.S. ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 20, 2026