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Plug Power (PLUG)
NASDAQ:PLUG

Plug Power (PLUG) AI Stock Analysis

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PLUG

Plug Power

(NASDAQ:PLUG)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▼(-12.66% Downside)
Plug Power's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, with persistent losses impacting profitability and cash flow. However, positive strategic initiatives and corporate events provide some optimism. Technical analysis and valuation remain moderate, with mixed signals and a challenging valuation due to ongoing losses. The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth and strategic positioning, contributing positively to the score.
Positive Factors
Strategic Partnerships
This partnership enhances Plug Power's market position in Europe, expanding its hydrogen infrastructure and supporting long-term growth in the renewable energy sector.
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth, particularly in the electrolyzer business, indicates increasing market demand and effective strategic execution, supporting long-term business expansion.
Financial Structure Improvement
The refinancing reduces interest expenses and strengthens the balance sheet, providing stability and flexibility to support future growth and operational needs.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues can hinder long-term financial stability and limit the company's ability to reinvest in growth opportunities, impacting future performance.
Cash Flow Issues
Negative cash flows raise concerns about liquidity and the company's ability to sustain operations without additional financing, potentially affecting long-term viability.
Leadership Transition
Leadership changes can introduce uncertainty and disrupt strategic continuity, potentially affecting the company's ability to execute its long-term growth plans effectively.

Plug Power (PLUG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Plug Power Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPlug Power Inc. is a leader in alternative energy technology, primarily focused on developing hydrogen fuel cell systems that replace conventional batteries in electric vehicles and provide backup power systems. The company operates in the sectors of clean energy and transportation, offering a range of products including fuel cell systems for material handling, stationary power, and on-road vehicles. Plug Power aims to advance the hydrogen economy and supports various industries with renewable energy solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyPlug Power makes money primarily through the sale of its hydrogen fuel cell systems and related services. The company's revenue model includes the direct sale of fuel cell products, long-term contracts for fuel cell systems, and the leasing of hydrogen fuel systems to customers, which generates recurring revenue. Key revenue streams include the sale of hydrogen fuel for its systems, as well as service and maintenance agreements with clients. Significant partnerships with companies in logistics, transportation, and energy sectors, such as Amazon and Walmart, contribute to Plug Power's earnings by securing large contracts for fuel cell technology and hydrogen supply agreements, thus enhancing its market presence and revenue stability.

Plug Power Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue from different business segments, highlighting which areas are driving growth and profitability, and indicating the company's strategic focus and market opportunities.
Chart InsightsPlug Power's 'Other' segment experienced significant volatility, peaking in late 2023 before a sharp decline by mid-2025. Fuel Cell System Sales showed a strong recovery in 2023 but faced a downturn in 2024. The latest earnings call highlights strategic initiatives under Project Quantum Leap, focusing on improving gross margins and operational efficiency. Despite ongoing negative gross margins, revenue growth and strong electrolyzer sales are promising. The company's focus on cost-saving hydrogen supply agreements and policy tailwinds could stabilize future performance, though tariff impacts remain a concern.
Data provided by:The Fly

Plug Power Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong revenue growth and strategic initiatives that improved liquidity and operational efficiency. However, there were some challenges with a noncash charge and plant issues affecting the fuel business. Despite these challenges, the overall sentiment leans towards positive due to significant growth and strategic positioning.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Plug Power Inc. reported $177 million in revenue for the quarter, with GenEco electrolyzer business generating about $65 million, up 46% sequentially and 13% year over year.
Operational Improvements
Operational cash burn improved by more than 50% from the prior quarter, driven by pricing discipline, better execution, and tighter working capital management.
Strategic Initiatives
Announced a strategic initiative expected to generate more than $275 million in liquidity through asset monetization and the release of restricted cash.
Electrolyzer Business Growth
Delivered $124 million in revenue year to date for the GenEco electrolyzer business, up 33% year over year, with around $200 million expected in sales for the year.
Leadership Transition
Jose Luis Crespo to become Chief Executive Officer on March 1, 2026, ensuring continuity in strategy focused on growth, profitability, and disciplined execution.
Negative Updates
Noncash Charge
A noncash charge was recognized this quarter as part of efforts to clean up past issues and sharpen strategic priorities.
Plant Issues
There were plant issues in the network, affecting the fuel business, although improvements are expected in the next quarter.
Company Guidance
In the Plug Power Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, CEO Andy Marsh highlighted the company's strong financial performance, reporting $177 million in revenue with significant contributions from the GenEco electrolyzer business, which generated $65 million, representing a 46% sequential and 13% year-over-year increase. The company has improved operational cash burn by over 50% from the previous quarter, driven by better pricing and tighter working capital management. Plug Power is actively working on more than 230 megawatts of GenEco electrolyzer programs globally and has delivered its first 10-megawatt electrolyzer in Portugal. The Georgia green hydrogen plant achieved 324 tons of production with 97% uptime and 92.8% efficiency. A strategic initiative to monetize electricity rights is expected to generate over $275 million in liquidity. Looking forward, the company is targeting a record year in its electrolyzer business with around $200 million in expected sales and is on track to achieve gross margin neutrality by year-end, aiming for EBITDA positivity in the second half of 2026.

Plug Power Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Plug Power faces significant financial challenges, with persistent losses impacting profitability and cash flow. Despite some revenue growth, the company's margins and cash flow metrics indicate ongoing struggles to achieve financial stability. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage, but the negative return on equity and cash flow issues highlight the need for strategic improvements.
Income Statement
30
Negative
Plug Power's income statement reveals significant challenges, with negative gross and net profit margins indicating substantial losses. Despite a positive revenue growth rate in the TTM period, the company struggles with high operating losses, as evidenced by negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. The trajectory shows some revenue growth, but profitability remains a major concern.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the negative return on equity highlights ongoing profitability issues. The equity ratio indicates a reasonable level of equity financing, but the company's financial stability is undermined by persistent losses.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates negative operating and free cash flows, with a declining free cash flow growth rate. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting cash flow challenges. Despite a high free cash flow to net income ratio, the overall cash flow position is weak, raising concerns about liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue676.17M628.81M891.34M701.44M502.34M-93.24M
Gross Profit-482.02M-624.89M-507.79M-194.36M-171.31M-469.42M
EBITDA-2.01B-1.98B-1.26B-632.53M-409.57M-550.92M
Net Income-2.12B-2.10B-1.37B-724.01M-459.96M-596.15M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.10B3.60B4.90B5.76B5.95B1.36B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments165.90M205.69M135.03M2.16B3.87B448.14M
Total Debt991.43M1.08B1.13B898.73M810.15M560.10M
Total Liabilities1.61B1.80B2.00B1.70B1.34B769.83M
Stockholders Equity1.42B1.73B2.90B4.06B4.61B586.26M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-667.19M-1.06B-1.80B-1.08B-551.44M-205.70M
Operating Cash Flow-518.43M-728.64M-1.11B-620.83M-358.18M-155.48M
Investing Cash Flow-161.54M-402.36M728.05M-679.37M-1.74B-95.33M
Financing Cash Flow517.08M983.17M6.12M-77.46M3.60B1.52B

Plug Power Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.29
Price Trends
50DMA
2.62
Negative
100DMA
2.26
Negative
200DMA
1.74
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Negative
RSI
45.04
Neutral
STOCH
37.14
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PLUG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.29 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.12, below the 50-day MA of 2.62, and above the 200-day MA of 1.74, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.14 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PLUG.

Plug Power Risk Analysis

Plug Power disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Plug Power reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Plug Power Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
$20.72B-2,645.022.82%44.53%
56
Neutral
$4.31B-1.47324.10%-214.91%
51
Neutral
$3.19B-0.99-95.42%2.53%-2.83%
51
Neutral
$884.44M-8.06-23.63%25.24%-12.96%
51
Neutral
$1.34B-33.76-39.01%234.14%42.67%
45
Neutral
$403.82M-0.86-29.51%78.82%-20.81%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PLUG
Plug Power
2.16
-0.06
-2.70%
FCEL
Fuelcell Energy
7.90
-1.92
-19.55%
BE
Bloom Energy
76.97
53.51
228.09%
EOSE
Eos Energy Enterprises
12.27
8.23
203.71%
SLDP
Solid Power
4.32
3.14
266.10%
AMPX
Amprius Technologies Inc
10.28
8.62
519.28%

Plug Power Corporate Events

Shareholder Meetings
Plug Power Adjusts Record Date for Stockholder Meeting
Neutral
Dec 5, 2025

On December 3, 2025, Plug Power Inc. announced changes to the record date and special meeting date for stockholders, moving the record date to December 12, 2025, and the meeting to January 29, 2026. This adjustment aims to provide stockholders additional time to recall shares on loan and ensure maximum participation in the voting process, with the purpose of the meeting remaining unchanged.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Plug Power Completes $431.25M Convertible Notes Offering
Positive
Nov 21, 2025

On November 21, 2025, Plug Power Inc. completed a private offering of $431.25 million in Convertible Senior Notes due 2033, which included an option exercised by initial purchasers to buy additional notes. The proceeds, approximately $399.4 million after expenses, were used to repay existing debts and for general corporate purposes, positioning the company to strengthen its financial structure. The notes, which bear a 6.75% interest rate, are convertible into cash or stock and are part of Plug Power’s strategy to manage its financial obligations and enhance liquidity. This move is expected to impact the company’s market positioning by potentially improving its balance sheet and providing flexibility for future growth.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Plug Power Hosts Annual Symposium on Hydrogen Vision
Positive
Nov 18, 2025

On November 18, 2025, Plug Power hosted its seventh annual Plug Symposium at its Vista manufacturing facility in New York, highlighting its strategic vision in the hydrogen economy and providing a financial update. The event featured discussions on the company’s Project Quantum Leap initiatives, operational milestones, and leadership transition as CEO Andy Marsh prepares to hand over the role to Jose Luis Crespo in March 2026. The symposium emphasized Plug Power’s advancements in electrolyzer deployment, hydrogen production, and key partnerships, underscoring its role in strengthening energy independence.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Plug Power Reports Strong Q3 2025 Revenue Growth
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

Plug Power reported $177 million in revenue for the third quarter of 2025, driven by strong performance in its electrolyzer business and increased hydrogen fuel sales. The company saw a significant improvement in cash flow and reduced operational cash burn, ending the quarter with $166 million in cash and completing a $370 million capital raise. Strategic initiatives under Project Quantum Leap are enhancing margins and cash flow, while the company continues to expand its global market presence with significant projects in Europe, Australia, and North America. Plug Power is also focusing on new markets, such as large-scale stationary power and mobility, and has extended a multi-year hydrogen supply contract to strengthen its domestic position. The company is poised for future growth with a planned leadership transition and ongoing operational improvements.

Business Operations and Strategy
Plug Power Announces Data Center Collaboration Initiative
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

On November 10, 2025, Plug Power announced a non-binding letter of intent to monetize its electricity rights and collaborate with a U.S. data center developer to provide auxiliary and back-up power solutions using its advanced fuel cell technology. This initiative is expected to generate over $275 million in liquidity improvement through asset monetization, release of restricted cash, and reduced maintenance expenses. The collaboration highlights Plug Power’s growing presence in the data center sector, emphasizing the need for reliable, low-carbon energy. Additionally, Plug Power will suspend activities related to the Department of Energy loan program, reallocating capital towards higher-return opportunities in its hydrogen network. This strategic move reflects Plug Power’s agility and financial discipline, expanding its reach into a high-growth market that values reliability, resiliency, and sustainability.

Private Placements and Financing
Plug Power Enters Warrant Inducement Agreement
Positive
Oct 8, 2025

On October 8, 2025, Plug Power Inc. entered into a Warrant Inducement Agreement with an investor, which involves the exercise of existing warrants and the issuance of new warrants to purchase up to 185,430,464 shares of common stock. This transaction, expected to close on October 9, 2025, could generate approximately $371 million in gross proceeds initially, with the potential for an additional $1.4 billion if the new warrants are fully exercised. The proceeds are intended for working capital and general corporate purposes, potentially impacting the company’s financial flexibility and market positioning.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Plug Power Announces Leadership Transition with New President
Positive
Oct 7, 2025

On October 3, 2025, Plug Power announced the resignation of Sanjay Shrestha as President, effective October 10, 2025, and the appointment of Jose Luis Crespo as the new President, with a transition to CEO expected in March 2026. Crespo, who has been with the company since 2014, is credited with driving significant sales growth and strengthening key customer relationships, ensuring continuity and strategic focus during this leadership transition. These changes reflect Plug Power’s commitment to maintaining its leadership in the hydrogen economy and ensuring long-term shareholder value.

Private Placements and Financing
Plug Power Expands Sales Agreement with Yorkville
Neutral
Sep 30, 2025

Plug Power Inc. has expanded its At Market Issuance Sales Agreement by adding Yorkville Securities, LLC as an additional sales agent or principal, allowing the company to offer and sell shares of its common stock through this new partner. The agreement, originally established in January 2024 and amended multiple times, enables Plug Power to raise up to $1 billion through an at-the-market offering, with the latest amendment made on September 29, 2025, keeping the material terms and conditions unchanged.

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Plug Power Registers Shares for Warrant Resale
Neutral
Sep 22, 2025

On March 19, 2025, Plug Power Inc. sold warrants to purchase 185,430,464 shares of its common stock, with an exercise price of $2.00 per share, expiring on March 20, 2028. This move, part of an underwriting agreement with Oppenheimer & Co. Inc., aims to bolster the company’s financial position and market presence. The company filed a new registration statement on May 27, 2025, to replace an expiring one, and on September 22, 2025, registered for resale the shares issuable upon exercise of the warrants, indicating a strategic effort to manage its stock offerings and maintain investor interest.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025