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Plug Power (PLUG)
NASDAQ:PLUG

Plug Power (PLUG) AI Stock Analysis

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PLUG

Plug Power

(NASDAQ:PLUG)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▲(9.65% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (losses and negative operating/free cash flow). Offsetting factors include improving operational momentum highlighted on the earnings call and a constructive price trend versus key moving averages, while valuation remains challenged due to ongoing losses.
Positive Factors
Strategic Partnerships & Customer Base
Large, long-term partnerships with enterprise customers like Amazon and Walmart provide recurring contract revenue, scale for product deployment, and strong referenceability. This supports durable sales pipelines, easier customer acquisition, and resilience as Plug scales its hydrogen ecosystem over the next several years.
Electrolyzer Business Momentum
Rapid growth in GenEco electrolyzer sales and a multi-hundred-million dollar sales target signal durable demand for green hydrogen infrastructure. A scaling electrolyzer unit business diversifies revenue away from fuel cells, leverages industrial projects, and positions the company to capture structural growth in decarbonization and industrial hydrogen markets.
Improving Cash Burn and Liquidity Initiatives
A targeted liquidity initiative and measures that materially cut operational cash burn enhance financial flexibility. Sustained liquidity reduction lowers refinancing risk, funds commercial scale-up of electrolyzers, and buys time to achieve gross-margin neutrality and EBITDA positivity, making execution on long-term plans more feasible.
Negative Factors
Persistent Negative Margins
Ongoing negative gross and net margins indicate structural unprofitability that impairs free cash generation and shareholder returns. Until gross-margin neutrality and sustained positive operating income are achieved, the business depends on external finance and faces pressure to improve unit economics across products and services.
Weak Operating and Free Cash Flow
Sustained negative operating and free cash flows create persistent liquidity pressure and increase reliance on capital markets. This constrains the company’s ability to self-fund expansion, raises refinancing risk, and can force trade-offs between margin-improving investments and near-term survival, affecting long-term execution.
Financing Raises Create Dilution & Interest Burden
Large convertible note financings improve near-term liquidity but embed future dilution and fixed interest costs. Conversion risk and interest expense can weaken per-share economics and deter margin recovery if growth decelerates, leaving equity holders exposed to dilution while debt-like obligations constrain capital allocation.

Plug Power (PLUG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Plug Power Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPlug Power Inc. delivers end-to-end clean hydrogen and zero-emissions fuel cell solutions for supply chain and logistics applications, on-road electric vehicles, stationary power market, and others in North America and internationally. It engages in building an end-to-end green hydrogen ecosystem, including green hydrogen production, storage and delivery, and energy generation through mobile or stationary applications. The company provides proton exchange membrane (PEM), fuel cell and fuel processing technologies, and fuel cell/battery hybrid technologies, as well as related hydrogen and green hydrogen generation, storage, and dispensing infrastructure. The company offers GenDrive, a hydrogen-fueled PEM fuel cell system that provides power to material handling electric vehicles; GenFuel, a liquid hydrogen fueling delivery, generation, storage, and dispensing system; GenCare, an ongoing Internet of Things-based maintenance and on-site service program for GenDrive fuel cell systems, GenSure fuel cell systems, GenFuel hydrogen storage and dispensing products, and ProGen fuel cell engines; and GenSure, a stationary fuel cell solution that offers modular PEM fuel cell power to support the backup and grid-support power requirements of the telecommunications, transportation, and utility sectors. It also provides GenKey, an integrated turn-key solution for transitioning to fuel cell power; ProGen, a fuel cell stack and engine technology used in mobility and stationary fuel cell systems, and as engines in electric delivery vans; and GenFuel Electrolyzers that are hydrogen generators optimized for clean hydrogen production. The company sells its products through a direct product sales force, original equipment manufacturers, and dealer networks. It has strategic agreements with Airbus; Lhyfe; Edison Motors; Phillips 66; Apex Clean Energy; BAE Systems; and Universal Hydrogen Co. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Latham, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyPlug Power makes money primarily through the sale of its hydrogen fuel cell systems and related services. The company's revenue model includes the direct sale of fuel cell products, long-term contracts for fuel cell systems, and the leasing of hydrogen fuel systems to customers, which generates recurring revenue. Key revenue streams include the sale of hydrogen fuel for its systems, as well as service and maintenance agreements with clients. Significant partnerships with companies in logistics, transportation, and energy sectors, such as Amazon and Walmart, contribute to Plug Power's earnings by securing large contracts for fuel cell technology and hydrogen supply agreements, thus enhancing its market presence and revenue stability.

Plug Power Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue from different business segments, highlighting which areas are driving growth and profitability, and indicating the company's strategic focus and market opportunities.
Chart InsightsPlug Power's 'Other' segment experienced significant volatility, peaking in late 2023 before a sharp decline by mid-2025. Fuel Cell System Sales showed a strong recovery in 2023 but faced a downturn in 2024. The latest earnings call highlights strategic initiatives under Project Quantum Leap, focusing on improving gross margins and operational efficiency. Despite ongoing negative gross margins, revenue growth and strong electrolyzer sales are promising. The company's focus on cost-saving hydrogen supply agreements and policy tailwinds could stabilize future performance, though tariff impacts remain a concern.
Data provided by:The Fly

Plug Power Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong revenue growth and strategic initiatives that improved liquidity and operational efficiency. However, there were some challenges with a noncash charge and plant issues affecting the fuel business. Despite these challenges, the overall sentiment leans towards positive due to significant growth and strategic positioning.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Plug Power Inc. reported $177 million in revenue for the quarter, with GenEco electrolyzer business generating about $65 million, up 46% sequentially and 13% year over year.
Operational Improvements
Operational cash burn improved by more than 50% from the prior quarter, driven by pricing discipline, better execution, and tighter working capital management.
Strategic Initiatives
Announced a strategic initiative expected to generate more than $275 million in liquidity through asset monetization and the release of restricted cash.
Electrolyzer Business Growth
Delivered $124 million in revenue year to date for the GenEco electrolyzer business, up 33% year over year, with around $200 million expected in sales for the year.
Leadership Transition
Jose Luis Crespo to become Chief Executive Officer on March 1, 2026, ensuring continuity in strategy focused on growth, profitability, and disciplined execution.
Negative Updates
Noncash Charge
A noncash charge was recognized this quarter as part of efforts to clean up past issues and sharpen strategic priorities.
Plant Issues
There were plant issues in the network, affecting the fuel business, although improvements are expected in the next quarter.
Company Guidance
In the Plug Power Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, CEO Andy Marsh highlighted the company's strong financial performance, reporting $177 million in revenue with significant contributions from the GenEco electrolyzer business, which generated $65 million, representing a 46% sequential and 13% year-over-year increase. The company has improved operational cash burn by over 50% from the previous quarter, driven by better pricing and tighter working capital management. Plug Power is actively working on more than 230 megawatts of GenEco electrolyzer programs globally and has delivered its first 10-megawatt electrolyzer in Portugal. The Georgia green hydrogen plant achieved 324 tons of production with 97% uptime and 92.8% efficiency. A strategic initiative to monetize electricity rights is expected to generate over $275 million in liquidity. Looking forward, the company is targeting a record year in its electrolyzer business with around $200 million in expected sales and is on track to achieve gross margin neutrality by year-end, aiming for EBITDA positivity in the second half of 2026.

Plug Power Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Plug Power faces significant financial challenges, with persistent losses impacting profitability and cash flow. Despite some revenue growth, the company's margins and cash flow metrics indicate ongoing struggles to achieve financial stability. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage, but the negative return on equity and cash flow issues highlight the need for strategic improvements.
Income Statement
Plug Power's income statement reveals significant challenges, with negative gross and net profit margins indicating substantial losses. Despite a positive revenue growth rate in the TTM period, the company struggles with high operating losses, as evidenced by negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. The trajectory shows some revenue growth, but profitability remains a major concern.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting manageable leverage. However, the negative return on equity highlights ongoing profitability issues. The equity ratio indicates a reasonable level of equity financing, but the company's financial stability is undermined by persistent losses.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis indicates negative operating and free cash flows, with a declining free cash flow growth rate. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting cash flow challenges. Despite a high free cash flow to net income ratio, the overall cash flow position is weak, raising concerns about liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue676.17M628.81M891.34M701.44M502.34M-93.24M
Gross Profit-482.02M-624.89M-507.79M-194.36M-171.31M-469.42M
EBITDA-2.01B-1.98B-1.26B-632.53M-409.57M-550.92M
Net Income-2.12B-2.10B-1.37B-724.01M-459.96M-596.15M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.10B3.60B4.90B5.76B5.95B1.36B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments165.90M205.69M135.03M2.16B3.87B448.14M
Total Debt991.43M1.08B1.13B898.73M810.15M560.10M
Total Liabilities1.61B1.80B2.00B1.70B1.34B769.83M
Stockholders Equity1.42B1.73B2.90B4.06B4.61B586.26M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-667.19M-1.06B-1.80B-1.08B-551.44M-205.70M
Operating Cash Flow-518.43M-728.64M-1.11B-620.83M-358.18M-155.48M
Investing Cash Flow-161.54M-402.36M728.05M-679.37M-1.74B-95.33M
Financing Cash Flow517.08M983.17M6.12M-77.46M3.60B1.52B

Plug Power Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.28
Price Trends
50DMA
2.28
Positive
100DMA
2.34
Negative
200DMA
1.78
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
53.16
Neutral
STOCH
76.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PLUG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.28 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.19, above the 50-day MA of 2.28, and above the 200-day MA of 1.78, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.16 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PLUG.

Plug Power Risk Analysis

Plug Power disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Plug Power reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Plug Power Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
$24.37B-3,711.342.82%44.53%
51
Neutral
$396.21M-0.99-26.12%41.05%-1.02%
51
Neutral
$974.22M-9.40-23.63%25.24%-12.96%
50
Neutral
$1.20B-34.22-39.01%234.14%42.67%
49
Neutral
$4.59B-1.67324.10%-214.91%
48
Neutral
$3.33B-1.04-95.42%2.53%-2.83%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PLUG
Plug Power
2.28
-0.39
-14.61%
FCEL
Fuelcell Energy
7.75
-3.78
-32.78%
BE
Bloom Energy
108.00
83.62
342.99%
EOSE
Eos Energy Enterprises
13.98
8.80
169.88%
SLDP
Solid Power
5.04
3.22
176.92%
AMPX
Amprius Technologies Inc
8.90
5.87
193.73%

Plug Power Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Plug Power, Walmart Sign Long-Term GenKey License Agreement
Positive
Jan 6, 2026

On December 30, 2025, Plug Power entered into a 15-year Release Event License Agreement with Walmart that establishes a contingency framework for Walmart to access escrowed GenKey System-related software, documentation and materials solely for internal maintenance of its facilities if certain defined release events occur, while Plug Power retains all intellectual property rights. The agreement also sets out Plug Power’s efforts to qualify alternative fuel cell stack suppliers, gives Walmart limited conditional rights around stack sourcing, provides for compensation to Walmart under certain circumstances for costs to sustain industrial truck operations, and structures a tiered fee arrangement under which Walmart pays one-time and annual license fees that increase if a release event is triggered. As part of the deal, Walmart irrevocably terminated a 2017 transaction agreement and forfeited all vested portions of a warrant to purchase Plug Power common stock, with all unvested portions cancelled, thereby eliminating potential future dilution of up to 42,192,479 shares and removing 34,554,185 vested warrant shares and 7,638,294 unvested shares from Plug Power’s future share issuance overhang.

The most recent analyst rating on (PLUG) stock is a Buy with a $3.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Plug Power stock, see the PLUG Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder Meetings
Plug Power Adjusts Record Date for Stockholder Meeting
Neutral
Dec 5, 2025

On December 3, 2025, Plug Power Inc. announced changes to the record date and special meeting date for stockholders, moving the record date to December 12, 2025, and the meeting to January 29, 2026. This adjustment aims to provide stockholders additional time to recall shares on loan and ensure maximum participation in the voting process, with the purpose of the meeting remaining unchanged.

The most recent analyst rating on (PLUG) stock is a Hold with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Plug Power stock, see the PLUG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Plug Power Completes $431.25M Convertible Notes Offering
Positive
Nov 21, 2025

On November 21, 2025, Plug Power Inc. completed a private offering of $431.25 million in Convertible Senior Notes due 2033, which included an option exercised by initial purchasers to buy additional notes. The proceeds, approximately $399.4 million after expenses, were used to repay existing debts and for general corporate purposes, positioning the company to strengthen its financial structure. The notes, which bear a 6.75% interest rate, are convertible into cash or stock and are part of Plug Power’s strategy to manage its financial obligations and enhance liquidity. This move is expected to impact the company’s market positioning by potentially improving its balance sheet and providing flexibility for future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (PLUG) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Plug Power stock, see the PLUG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Plug Power Hosts Annual Symposium on Hydrogen Vision
Positive
Nov 18, 2025

On November 18, 2025, Plug Power hosted its seventh annual Plug Symposium at its Vista manufacturing facility in New York, highlighting its strategic vision in the hydrogen economy and providing a financial update. The event featured discussions on the company’s Project Quantum Leap initiatives, operational milestones, and leadership transition as CEO Andy Marsh prepares to hand over the role to Jose Luis Crespo in March 2026. The symposium emphasized Plug Power’s advancements in electrolyzer deployment, hydrogen production, and key partnerships, underscoring its role in strengthening energy independence.

The most recent analyst rating on (PLUG) stock is a Hold with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Plug Power stock, see the PLUG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Plug Power Reports Strong Q3 2025 Revenue Growth
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

Plug Power reported $177 million in revenue for the third quarter of 2025, driven by strong performance in its electrolyzer business and increased hydrogen fuel sales. The company saw a significant improvement in cash flow and reduced operational cash burn, ending the quarter with $166 million in cash and completing a $370 million capital raise. Strategic initiatives under Project Quantum Leap are enhancing margins and cash flow, while the company continues to expand its global market presence with significant projects in Europe, Australia, and North America. Plug Power is also focusing on new markets, such as large-scale stationary power and mobility, and has extended a multi-year hydrogen supply contract to strengthen its domestic position. The company is poised for future growth with a planned leadership transition and ongoing operational improvements.

The most recent analyst rating on (PLUG) stock is a Buy with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Plug Power stock, see the PLUG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Plug Power Announces Data Center Collaboration Initiative
Positive
Nov 10, 2025

On November 10, 2025, Plug Power announced a non-binding letter of intent to monetize its electricity rights and collaborate with a U.S. data center developer to provide auxiliary and back-up power solutions using its advanced fuel cell technology. This initiative is expected to generate over $275 million in liquidity improvement through asset monetization, release of restricted cash, and reduced maintenance expenses. The collaboration highlights Plug Power’s growing presence in the data center sector, emphasizing the need for reliable, low-carbon energy. Additionally, Plug Power will suspend activities related to the Department of Energy loan program, reallocating capital towards higher-return opportunities in its hydrogen network. This strategic move reflects Plug Power’s agility and financial discipline, expanding its reach into a high-growth market that values reliability, resiliency, and sustainability.

The most recent analyst rating on (PLUG) stock is a Hold with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Plug Power stock, see the PLUG Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Plug Power Enters Warrant Inducement Agreement
Positive
Oct 8, 2025

On October 8, 2025, Plug Power Inc. entered into a Warrant Inducement Agreement with an investor, which involves the exercise of existing warrants and the issuance of new warrants to purchase up to 185,430,464 shares of common stock. This transaction, expected to close on October 9, 2025, could generate approximately $371 million in gross proceeds initially, with the potential for an additional $1.4 billion if the new warrants are fully exercised. The proceeds are intended for working capital and general corporate purposes, potentially impacting the company’s financial flexibility and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (PLUG) stock is a Hold with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Plug Power stock, see the PLUG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Plug Power Announces Leadership Transition with New President
Positive
Oct 7, 2025

On October 3, 2025, Plug Power announced the resignation of Sanjay Shrestha as President, effective October 10, 2025, and the appointment of Jose Luis Crespo as the new President, with a transition to CEO expected in March 2026. Crespo, who has been with the company since 2014, is credited with driving significant sales growth and strengthening key customer relationships, ensuring continuity and strategic focus during this leadership transition. These changes reflect Plug Power’s commitment to maintaining its leadership in the hydrogen economy and ensuring long-term shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (PLUG) stock is a Buy with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Plug Power stock, see the PLUG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 07, 2026