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Plug Power (PLUG)
NASDAQ:PLUG
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Plug Power (PLUG) AI Stock Analysis

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Plug Power

(NASDAQ:PLUG)

Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▲(8.70%Upside)
Plug Power's overall score reflects its significant financial hurdles, despite positive technical momentum and strategic initiatives highlighted in the earnings call and recent corporate events. The company's valuation remains weak, but improvements in operational efficiency and strategic market positioning offer potential upside.
Positive Factors
Cost Reduction
Cost reduction programs are underway and expected to drive over $200mn of annual cost reduction initiatives contributing to reduced cash burn going forward.
International Expansion
Management noted its focus on Europe as it highlighted opportunities in Denmark, France, Spain, Portugal, and the UK.
Tax Incentives
The One Big Beautiful Bill Act provides a runway in the near-term while Plug continues to expand its global presence.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Concerns
Free cash flow of -$152m was lower than consensus and lower than the company's own preview earlier this quarter.
Regulatory Challenges
The House Ways and Means Committee shared details from a draft tax cut proposal which would eliminate the 45V tax credit for clean hydrogen facilities, posing long-term challenges for green hydrogen projects in the US.
Tax Credit Uncertainty
Proposed rules terminate the 45V clean hydrogen production credit for facilities that begin construction after December 31, 2025, requiring Plug Power to accelerate spending for future projects.

Plug Power (PLUG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Plug Power Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPlug Power Inc. delivers end-to-end clean hydrogen and zero-emissions fuel cell solutions for supply chain and logistics applications, on-road electric vehicles, stationary power market, and others in North America and internationally. It engages in building an end-to-end green hydrogen ecosystem, including green hydrogen production, storage and delivery, and energy generation through mobile or stationary applications. The company provides proton exchange membrane (PEM), fuel cell and fuel processing technologies, and fuel cell/battery hybrid technologies, as well as related hydrogen and green hydrogen generation, storage, and dispensing infrastructure. The company offers GenDrive, a hydrogen-fueled PEM fuel cell system that provides power to material handling electric vehicles; GenFuel, a liquid hydrogen fueling delivery, generation, storage, and dispensing system; GenCare, an ongoing Internet of Things-based maintenance and on-site service program for GenDrive fuel cell systems, GenSure fuel cell systems, GenFuel hydrogen storage and dispensing products, and ProGen fuel cell engines; and GenSure, a stationary fuel cell solution that offers modular PEM fuel cell power to support the backup and grid-support power requirements of the telecommunications, transportation, and utility sectors. It also provides GenKey, an integrated turn-key solution for transitioning to fuel cell power; ProGen, a fuel cell stack and engine technology used in mobility and stationary fuel cell systems, and as engines in electric delivery vans; and GenFuel Electrolyzers that are hydrogen generators optimized for clean hydrogen production. The company sells its products through a direct product sales force, original equipment manufacturers, and dealer networks. It has strategic agreements with Airbus; Lhyfe; Edison Motors; Phillips 66; Apex Clean Energy; BAE Systems; and Universal Hydrogen Co. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Latham, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyPlug Power generates revenue primarily through the sale of hydrogen fuel cell systems and related services. The company's key revenue streams include the production and sale of fuel cell units, maintenance services, and hydrogen fuel supply. Additionally, Plug Power engages in strategic partnerships and collaborations with major industry players to expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings. These partnerships often involve joint development projects, co-marketing efforts, or supply agreements that contribute to Plug Power's earnings. Furthermore, the company's revenue is bolstered by government incentives and grants aimed at promoting clean energy solutions, which support its growth and adoption in various markets.

Plug Power Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue from different business segments, highlighting which areas are driving growth and profitability, and indicating the company's strategic focus and market opportunities.
Chart InsightsPlug Power's Fuel Cell System Sales experienced a sharp decline in 2024, reflecting potential challenges in market demand or competitive pressures. However, the company is optimistic about its strategic position in the European electrolyzer market, which is supported by regulatory incentives. Despite tariff challenges and US policy uncertainties, Plug Power's cost reduction initiatives and financial strategies, including the Quantum Leap program, are expected to enhance margins and liquidity. The company's focus on hydrogen production and infrastructure support positions it well for future growth opportunities.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Plug Power Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 104.44%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Plug Power demonstrated strong financial and operational performance in Q1 2025, with progress in hydrogen production and significant cost reductions. The company is strategically positioned in the European market, although it faces challenges with tariffs and US policy uncertainties.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Financial Performance
Plug Power met its Q1 2025 financial and operational targets with revenue at $134 million, in line with guidance. The company projects $140 million to $180 million in revenue for Q2. Cash burn was down nearly 50% year-over-year.
Progress in Hydrogen Production
The 15-ton per day Louisiana hydrogen plant was commissioned on time, and together with Georgia and Tennessee, the company now has 40 tons per day in internal production capacity.
Significant Cost Reduction Efforts
The Quantum Leap program targeted over $200 million in annualized run rate reductions, and most of these savings have been executed.
Strategic Position in Europe
Plug Power is strategically positioned in the European electrolyzer market, with significant opportunities in Denmark, Spain, Portugal, and the UK, supported by regulatory frameworks and subsidies.
Financial Flexibility and Infrastructure Support
In March, Plug Power raised $280 million in equity and secured a $525 million structured financing facility. The company holds nearly $300 million in unrestricted cash.
Negative Updates
Tariff Challenges
Increased duties on Chinese imports have impacted core product lines, resulting in increased costs for some models, particularly on ballast assemblies, battery modules, and plates.
Uncertainty in US Policy
The transition in Washington has introduced uncertainty about clean energy programs, particularly the future of Section 45B of the hydrogen tax credit.
Company Guidance
During the Plug Power First Quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported meeting its financial and operational targets despite a challenging macro environment. Revenue for Q1 was $134 million, aligning with guidance, and the company is projecting between $140 million to $180 million for the second quarter. Significant improvements were made in margins and cash burn, with the latter reducing by nearly 50% year-over-year. Plug Power's Quantum Leap program aims for over $200 million in annualized cost reductions. The company raised $280 million in equity and secured a $525 million structured financing facility to bolster liquidity. Additionally, Plug Power is actively navigating tariff impacts and engaging with policymakers on the future of hydrogen tax credits. The company also highlighted a $21 billion opportunity in Europe's electrolyzer market, driven by regulatory mandates and funded incentives, with Plug Power strategically positioned to capitalize on these opportunities.

Plug Power Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Plug Power faces significant financial challenges with negative profit margins and cash flow inefficiencies, despite having a manageable debt-to-equity ratio. The company struggles with operating inefficiencies and poor returns on equity, indicating the need for improvement in financial health.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Plug Power's income statement reveals significant challenges with profitability and growth. The company reported a negative gross profit margin of -84.00% and a net profit margin of -312.25% for the TTM period. Revenue growth showed a modest increase of 2.13% compared to the previous annual period, but EBIT and EBITDA margins remain deeply negative. There is a persistent trend of high negative margins, indicating ongoing operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a mixed picture. Plug Power has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35, indicating moderate leverage, but the return on equity of -107.98% shows poor returns on shareholder investments. The equity ratio stands at 51.12%, suggesting a balanced asset structure. Despite the manageable debt levels, the company's significant equity losses raise concerns about financial sustainability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates troubling signs with a negative free cash flow growth rate of 15.19% and an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.33, highlighting inefficiencies in converting income into cash flow. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.45 further underscores the cash flow challenges the company faces.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue628.81M891.34M701.44M502.34M-100.47M
Gross Profit-624.89M-507.79M-194.36M-171.31M-523.81M
EBITDA-1.98B-1.26B-632.53M-409.57M-550.95M
Net Income-2.10B-1.37B-724.01M-459.96M-561.68M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.60B4.90B5.76B5.95B2.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments205.69M135.03M2.16B3.87B1.31B
Total Debt1.08B968.85M898.73M810.15M715.12M
Total Liabilities1.80B2.00B1.70B1.34B910.10M
Stockholders Equity1.73B2.90B4.06B4.61B1.51B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-1.06B-1.80B-1.29B-551.44M-206.53M
Operating Cash Flow-728.64M-1.11B-828.62M-358.18M-156.31M
Investing Cash Flow-402.36M728.05M-679.37M-1.74B-95.33M
Financing Cash Flow983.17M6.12M-77.46M3.60B1.52B

Plug Power Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.84
Price Trends
50DMA
1.18
Positive
100DMA
1.22
Positive
200DMA
1.69
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.17
Negative
RSI
67.78
Neutral
STOCH
72.80
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PLUG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.84 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.50, above the 50-day MA of 1.18, and above the 200-day MA of 1.69, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PLUG.

Plug Power Risk Analysis

Plug Power disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Plug Power reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Plug Power Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
BEBE
70
Neutral
$5.80B0.86%20.95%
65
Neutral
$10.91B15.535.25%2.19%3.15%-27.00%
58
Neutral
$2.11B-83.81%-19.85%4.94%
58
Neutral
$2.98B-85.86%60.23%51.95%
54
Neutral
$1.45B125.43%37.60%-161.38%
54
Neutral
$1.04B-68.88%209.20%4.24%
46
Neutral
$130.59M-20.52%48.62%0.23%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PLUG
Plug Power
1.84
-0.65
-26.10%
FCEL
Fuelcell Energy
5.73
-10.57
-64.85%
BE
Bloom Energy
25.93
10.82
71.61%
EOSE
Eos Energy Enterprises
6.03
4.31
250.58%
ENVX
Enovix
14.69
-1.51
-9.32%
AMPX
Amprius Technologies Inc
8.19
6.91
539.84%

Plug Power Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingStock SplitBusiness Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Plug Power Files Prospectus for Warrant Resale
Positive
Jul 9, 2025

On July 8, 2025, Plug Power issued a warrant to YA II PN, Ltd. for the purchase of 31,500,000 shares of common stock at an exercise price of $1.37, following stockholder approval to increase authorized shares or conduct a reverse stock split. The warrant, exercisable immediately and expiring on July 10, 2028, was issued under an exemption from registration under the Securities Act. On July 9, 2025, Plug Power filed a prospectus supplement for the resale of common stock issuable upon exercise of the warrant, indicating a strategic move to enhance liquidity and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (PLUG) stock is a Buy with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Plug Power stock, see the PLUG Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsStock Split
Plug Power Approves Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jul 9, 2025

On July 3, 2025, Plug Power Inc. held its annual stockholders meeting where several key proposals were voted on. The stockholders elected three Class II Directors and approved the Reverse Stock Split Proposal, the 2021 Plan Amendment Proposal, and the advisory resolution on executive compensation. However, proposals to increase authorized shares, amend voting requirements, and officer exculpation were not approved. Deloitte was ratified as the independent auditor for 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (PLUG) stock is a Buy with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Plug Power stock, see the PLUG Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Plug Power Gains Momentum with New Legislation
Positive
Jul 8, 2025

On July 7, 2025, Plug Power discussed the impact of the newly passed One Big Beautiful Bill Act during a conference call. The legislation provides significant tax credits for hydrogen fuel cells and production, allowing Plug Power to make long-term strategic decisions and expand its operations. The bill’s provisions, such as the 30% investment tax credit for fuel cells and the extension of the production tax credit for clean hydrogen, are expected to enhance Plug Power’s market positioning and facilitate growth in its electrolyzer and hydrogen production businesses. This legislative support is seen as a critical momentum boost, enabling the company to better meet market demand and expand into new sectors.

The most recent analyst rating on (PLUG) stock is a Buy with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Plug Power stock, see the PLUG Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Plug Power to Hold Annual Stockholders Meeting
Positive
Jul 3, 2025

On July 3, 2025, Plug Power Inc. will hold its annual stockholders meeting via a live webcast, where CEO Andrew J. Marsh will provide a corporate overview and engage with stockholders. The company is focused on achieving profitability and expanding its green hydrogen network, with strategic plans to be EBITDAS positive by 2026 and overall profitable by 2028. Plug Power is actively pursuing favorable government policies and financial support in the US, Europe, and Australia to enhance its market position and drive growth in the hydrogen sector.

The most recent analyst rating on (PLUG) stock is a Buy with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Plug Power stock, see the PLUG Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsStock Split
Plug Power Issues Series F Stock to CEO
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Plug Power Inc. announced the issuance of a single share of its newly designated Series F Mirroring Preferred Stock to CEO Andrew J. Marsh for $1,000. This move is intended to facilitate a vote on a proposed reverse stock split at the upcoming annual meeting on July 3, 2025. The Series F Mirroring Preferred Stock is designed to reflect the voting preferences of common stockholders on the reverse stock split proposal without overriding their decisions. This strategic step is crucial for aligning shareholder interests and potentially impacting the company’s stock structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (PLUG) stock is a Hold with a $2.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Plug Power stock, see the PLUG Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Plug Power Reports Q1 2025 Financial Improvements
Positive
May 12, 2025

Plug Power reported its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, highlighting significant improvements in cash flow and operational milestones, including the commissioning of a hydrogen liquefaction plant in Louisiana. The company’s revenue increased to $133.7 million, driven by growing electrolyzer deliveries and material handling demand, while gross margin losses improved from -132% to -55% year-over-year. Plug Power also secured a $525 million credit facility to enhance liquidity and reduce potential dilution risk. The company continues to focus on expanding its hydrogen generation network and global electrolyzer business, with notable achievements such as a 3 GW supply agreement for a green hydrogen-to-ammonia project in Australia and surpassing 8 GW in global contracts.

The most recent analyst rating on (PLUG) stock is a Buy with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Plug Power stock, see the PLUG Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Plug Power Secures $525M Debt Facility Agreement
Positive
Apr 28, 2025

On April 28, 2025, Plug Power Inc. announced a secured debt facility agreement with Yorkville Advisors for up to $525 million in secured debentures. The initial $210 million tranche is expected to close on May 2, 2025, with proceeds used to retire existing convertible debenture principal, reducing potential dilution. Additionally, Plug Power reported strong preliminary Q1 2025 results, with expected revenue between $130 million and $134 million, and significant cost-saving measures projected to save over $200 million annually. The completion of a new hydrogen production plant in Louisiana further strengthens Plug’s hydrogen network, positioning the company for long-term growth and profitability.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 10, 2025