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Plug Power (PLUG)
NASDAQ:PLUG
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Plug Power (PLUG) AI Stock Analysis

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PLUG

Plug Power

(NASDAQ:PLUG)

Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▲(1.35% Upside)
Plug Power's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, with persistent negative margins and cash flow issues being the most impactful. The earnings call provided some optimism with strategic initiatives and revenue growth, but valuation concerns and technical analysis suggest caution. The company's efforts to improve operational efficiency and leverage policy tailwinds are positive, yet substantial risks remain.
Positive Factors
Cost Management
Gross margins improved significantly due to equipment cost reductions, better hydrogen pricing, and lower service costs.
Financial Performance
PLUG reported $174 MM in 2Q revenue, which was slightly ahead of analyst estimates and consensus.
Regulatory Incentives
The reintroduction of the 48E fuel-cell tax credit has drawn increased interest in Plug Power's core GenDrive products and should increase the growth of the business.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow
Free cash flow burn was above consensus, indicating higher than expected expenses impacting financial health.
Funding Challenges
Uncertainty around the DOE loan creates funding challenges for the Texas project.
Liquidity Concerns
There remains very little margin for further degradation of the company's unrestricted cash balance which is down to $141 MM after another $232 MM of cash burn during the quarter.

Plug Power (PLUG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Plug Power Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPlug Power Inc. is a leading provider of alternative energy technology, specializing in the development and commercialization of hydrogen fuel cell systems that replace conventional batteries in electric-powered vehicles and equipment. The company operates primarily in the transportation, industrial, and stationary power sectors, offering a range of products including fuel cell systems, hydrogen generation, and distribution solutions. Plug Power aims to accelerate the adoption of hydrogen as a clean energy source and provides comprehensive solutions for customers looking to transition to zero-emission technologies.
How the Company Makes MoneyPlug Power generates revenue through several key streams, primarily focusing on the sale of hydrogen fuel cell systems and related services. The company sells its fuel cell systems to various sectors, including material handling, transportation, and stationary power applications. Additionally, Plug Power has established significant partnerships with major corporations such as Amazon and Walmart, which utilize its fuel cell technology in their logistics and warehouse operations. The company also produces and sells hydrogen, creating an additional revenue stream through its hydrogen generation and distribution operations. Ongoing contracts and agreements for fuel cell system deployments, as well as service and maintenance agreements, further contribute to its earnings, allowing Plug Power to capitalize on the growing demand for clean energy solutions.

Plug Power Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue from different business segments, highlighting which areas are driving growth and profitability, and indicating the company's strategic focus and market opportunities.
Chart InsightsPlug Power's revenue from 'Other' surged in 2023, indicating diversification beyond core segments. Despite a dip in Fuel Cell System Sales in 2024, the company remains resilient, meeting Q1 2025 targets amid macro challenges. The earnings call highlights strategic cost reductions and a strong position in Europe's electrolyzer market, suggesting long-term growth potential. However, tariff challenges and US policy uncertainties could impact future performance. The company's proactive financial maneuvers, including significant equity raises, bolster its liquidity and strategic initiatives.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Plug Power Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 11, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected positive momentum with significant revenue growth, improved gross margins, and strong sales in the electrolyzer segment. Despite the ongoing issue of negative gross margins and tariff impacts, the company is making progress with strategic initiatives and benefits from favorable policy changes.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Plug Power closed the second quarter with $174 million in revenue, up 21% year-over-year, driven by strong demand across the GenDrive, GenFuel, and GenEco platforms.
Electrolyzer Sales Surge
Electrolyzer sales more than tripled from a year ago, reaching roughly $45 million in the quarter.
Improved Gross Margins
Gross margins improved significantly from negative 92% in Q2 of last year to negative 31% this quarter.
Hydrogen Plant Performance
Hydrogen plants in Georgia and Louisiana are performing well, with the Louisiana plant offering the lowest cost support for the business.
Strong Cash Position
Ended the quarter with over $140 million in cash and have access to more than $300 million in additional debt capacity. Net cash in operating and investing activities declined over 40% year-over-year.
Policy Tailwinds
Recent legislation on production and investment tax credits provides long-term clarity and aligns with Plug Power's strategy to expand hydrogen production.
Negative Updates
Ongoing Negative Gross Margins
Despite improvements, the gross margins are still negative at -31%.
Tariff Impacts
Material handling business is facing tariff impacts, which are over 10% in cost, impacting pricing strategies.
Company Guidance
During Plug Power's second quarter earnings call for fiscal year 2025, CEO Andy Marsh emphasized the company's strategic priorities under Project Quantum Leap, targeting improvements in gross margins, operational efficiency, and cash discipline. The company reported a 21% year-over-year revenue increase to $174 million, driven by strong demand across its GenDrive, GenFuel, and GenEco platforms. Electrolyzer sales burgeoned to approximately $45 million, and gross margins improved from negative 92% in the previous year to negative 31% this quarter. The company's goal is to achieve gross margin neutrality by the fourth quarter, facilitated by pricing adjustments and enhanced service performance. The hydrogen plants in Georgia and Louisiana are operating effectively, and a new hydrogen supply agreement is projected to yield significant cost savings. Plug Power also forecasts approximately $700 million in revenue for the year, with a robust electrolyzer pipeline anticipated to contribute to future growth. The organization remains committed to maintaining strict cash discipline, reducing net cash outflows by over 40% year-over-year, ending the quarter with $140 million in cash and over $300 million in additional debt capacity.

Plug Power Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Plug Power faces significant financial challenges with negative profit margins and cash flow inefficiencies. Despite moderate leverage, the company's poor returns on equity and persistent losses are concerning. Improvements in operational efficiencies and cash flow generation are needed.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Plug Power's income statement reveals significant challenges with profitability and growth. The company reported a negative gross profit margin of -84.00% and a net profit margin of -312.25% for the TTM period. Revenue growth showed a modest increase of 2.13% compared to the previous annual period, but EBIT and EBITDA margins remain deeply negative. There is a persistent trend of high negative margins, indicating ongoing operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a mixed picture. Plug Power has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35, indicating moderate leverage, but the return on equity of -107.98% shows poor returns on shareholder investments. The equity ratio stands at 51.12%, suggesting a balanced asset structure. Despite the manageable debt levels, the company's significant equity losses raise concerns about financial sustainability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates troubling signs with a negative free cash flow growth rate of 15.19% and an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.33, highlighting inefficiencies in converting income into cash flow. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.45 further underscores the cash flow challenges the company faces.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue672.84M628.81M891.34M701.44M502.34M-100.47M
Gross Profit-461.88M-624.89M-507.79M-194.36M-99.32M-69.72M
EBITDA-1.84B-1.98B-1.26B-632.53M-409.57M-550.95M
Net Income-1.97B-2.10B-1.37B-724.01M-459.96M-596.15M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.35B3.60B4.90B5.76B5.95B2.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments140.74M205.69M135.03M2.16B3.87B1.31B
Total Debt546.67M1.08B968.85M898.73M810.15M560.10M
Total Liabilities1.59B1.80B2.00B1.70B1.34B910.10M
Stockholders Equity1.68B1.73B2.90B4.06B4.61B1.47B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-770.41M-1.06B-1.80B-1.29B-551.44M-206.53M
Operating Cash Flow-603.55M-728.64M-1.11B-828.62M-358.18M-156.31M
Investing Cash Flow-221.02M-402.36M728.05M-679.37M-1.74B-95.33M
Financing Cash Flow682.48M983.17M6.12M-77.46M3.60B1.52B

Plug Power Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.48
Price Trends
50DMA
1.55
Negative
100DMA
1.25
Positive
200DMA
1.61
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
43.12
Neutral
STOCH
30.86
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PLUG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.48 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.59, below the 50-day MA of 1.55, and below the 200-day MA of 1.61, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.86 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PLUG.

Plug Power Risk Analysis

Plug Power disclosed 48 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Plug Power reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Plug Power Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
$886.79M-68.88%209.20%4.24%
64
Neutral
$10.74B15.628.16%2.00%2.79%-14.82%
63
Neutral
$12.39B11,263.834.65%22.72%
56
Neutral
$1.79B125.43%128.49%-697.81%
54
Neutral
$1.89B-68.46%60.04%52.49%
53
Neutral
$1.81B-84.40%-1.70%9.93%
43
Neutral
$95.72M-20.52%48.62%0.23%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PLUG
Plug Power
1.48
-0.27
-15.43%
FCEL
Fuelcell Energy
4.02
-7.53
-65.19%
BE
Bloom Energy
51.35
40.33
365.97%
EOSE
Eos Energy Enterprises
7.51
5.05
205.28%
ENVX
Enovix
9.38
0.76
8.82%
AMPX
Amprius Technologies Inc
7.32
6.33
639.39%

Plug Power Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Plug Power Extends Sales Agreement with B. Riley
Neutral
Aug 15, 2025

Plug Power Inc. has extended its At Market Issuance Sales Agreement with B. Riley Securities, Inc. through Amendment No. 3, dated August 15, 2025. This amendment allows the company to continue offering and selling its common stock, with a total potential gross sales price of up to $1 billion, until August 15, 2027, or until all shares are sold, under its automatic shelf registration statement filed with the SEC.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Plug Power Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Aug 12, 2025

On August 11, 2025, Plug Power reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, highlighting a 21% year-over-year revenue increase to $174 million, driven by strong demand across its platforms. The company made significant strides in improving gross margins, reducing them from negative 92% to negative 31%, and emphasized its commitment to operational efficiencies under Project Quantum Leap. Plug Power is on track to achieve gross margin neutrality by the fourth quarter and aims for $700 million in revenue for the year. The company is also expanding its hydrogen generation network and securing early-stage agreements in its electrolyzer business, positioning itself as a leader in the growing hydrogen economy.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Plug Power Reports 21% Revenue Increase in Q2 2025
Positive
Aug 11, 2025

Plug Power reported a 21% increase in Q2 2025 revenue compared to the previous year, driven by strong demand for its hydrogen solutions, including GenDrive fuel cells and GenEco electrolyzer platforms. The company achieved significant improvements in gross margin, reduced operating expenses, and enhanced cash flow, largely due to Project Quantum Leap, which optimized workforce and renegotiated supply contracts. Plug Power is expanding its global reach with over 230 megawatts of GenEco electrolyzer programs in development across Europe, Australia, and North America, and it continues to strengthen its market position with strategic partnerships and tax credit benefits, setting the stage for future growth in the hydrogen economy.

Private Placements and FinancingStock SplitBusiness Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Plug Power Files Prospectus for Warrant Resale
Positive
Jul 9, 2025

On July 8, 2025, Plug Power issued a warrant to YA II PN, Ltd. for the purchase of 31,500,000 shares of common stock at an exercise price of $1.37, following stockholder approval to increase authorized shares or conduct a reverse stock split. The warrant, exercisable immediately and expiring on July 10, 2028, was issued under an exemption from registration under the Securities Act. On July 9, 2025, Plug Power filed a prospectus supplement for the resale of common stock issuable upon exercise of the warrant, indicating a strategic move to enhance liquidity and shareholder value.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsStock Split
Plug Power Approves Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jul 9, 2025

On July 3, 2025, Plug Power Inc. held its annual stockholders meeting where several key proposals were voted on. The stockholders elected three Class II Directors and approved the Reverse Stock Split Proposal, the 2021 Plan Amendment Proposal, and the advisory resolution on executive compensation. However, proposals to increase authorized shares, amend voting requirements, and officer exculpation were not approved. Deloitte was ratified as the independent auditor for 2025.

Business Operations and Strategy
Plug Power Gains Momentum with New Legislation
Positive
Jul 8, 2025

On July 7, 2025, Plug Power discussed the impact of the newly passed One Big Beautiful Bill Act during a conference call. The legislation provides significant tax credits for hydrogen fuel cells and production, allowing Plug Power to make long-term strategic decisions and expand its operations. The bill’s provisions, such as the 30% investment tax credit for fuel cells and the extension of the production tax credit for clean hydrogen, are expected to enhance Plug Power’s market positioning and facilitate growth in its electrolyzer and hydrogen production businesses. This legislative support is seen as a critical momentum boost, enabling the company to better meet market demand and expand into new sectors.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Plug Power to Hold Annual Stockholders Meeting
Positive
Jul 3, 2025

On July 3, 2025, Plug Power Inc. will hold its annual stockholders meeting via a live webcast, where CEO Andrew J. Marsh will provide a corporate overview and engage with stockholders. The company is focused on achieving profitability and expanding its green hydrogen network, with strategic plans to be EBITDAS positive by 2026 and overall profitable by 2028. Plug Power is actively pursuing favorable government policies and financial support in the US, Europe, and Australia to enhance its market position and drive growth in the hydrogen sector.

Shareholder MeetingsStock Split
Plug Power Issues Series F Stock to CEO
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Plug Power Inc. announced the issuance of a single share of its newly designated Series F Mirroring Preferred Stock to CEO Andrew J. Marsh for $1,000. This move is intended to facilitate a vote on a proposed reverse stock split at the upcoming annual meeting on July 3, 2025. The Series F Mirroring Preferred Stock is designed to reflect the voting preferences of common stockholders on the reverse stock split proposal without overriding their decisions. This strategic step is crucial for aligning shareholder interests and potentially impacting the company’s stock structure.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 30, 2025