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NovoCure Ltd (NVCR)
NASDAQ:NVCR
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NovoCure (NVCR) AI Stock Analysis

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NVCR

NovoCure

(NASDAQ:NVCR)

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Underperform 39 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:39Underperform
Price Target:
$11.50
▲(0.44% Upside)
NovoCure's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial challenges and weak technical indicators. The company's high leverage and negative cash flows, combined with bearish market momentum, contribute to a low score. Valuation concerns further weigh down the score, as the negative P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield make it less attractive to investors.
Positive Factors
International Market Growth
The expansion in international markets indicates a strong global demand for NovoCure's products, which can lead to sustained revenue growth and diversification of income streams, reducing reliance on any single market.
Regulatory Approval in Japan
Regulatory approval in Japan for a new indication enhances NovoCure's competitive position and opens up a significant market, potentially driving future revenue growth and market share.
GBM Patient Growth
Consistent growth in GBM patients demonstrates strong demand and effective market penetration, supporting long-term revenue stability and reinforcing NovoCure's market leadership in this segment.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can strain financial flexibility and increase risk, especially if revenue growth does not accelerate, potentially impacting NovoCure's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Negative Cash Flow
Negative cash flow indicates challenges in covering operational costs and funding growth initiatives, which could hinder NovoCure's ability to sustain long-term operations without external financing.
Challenges in U.S. Market
Flat growth in the U.S. market suggests competitive pressures and potential saturation, which could limit NovoCure's domestic revenue growth and necessitate strategic adjustments.

NovoCure (NVCR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

NovoCure Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNovoCure is a clinical-stage biotechnology company focused on developing and commercializing innovative therapies for the treatment of cancer. The company is primarily known for its proprietary Tumor Treating Fields (TTFields) technology, which uses electric fields to disrupt cancer cell division and enhance the efficacy of other treatments. NovoCure operates in the oncology sector, with its core product being Optune, a device approved for the treatment of glioblastoma multiforme, and it is also investigating the use of TTFields for other indications such as lung cancer and pancreatic cancer.
How the Company Makes MoneyNovoCure generates revenue primarily through the sales of its medical device, Optune, which is prescribed to patients for the treatment of certain types of cancer. The company earns money from both direct sales to hospitals and outpatient clinics, as well as through reimbursement from insurance providers and government healthcare programs. Key revenue streams include patient subscriptions and device rentals. NovoCure has established partnerships with healthcare providers and institutions for clinical trials and research collaborations that may enhance its market presence and facilitate broader adoption of its technology, contributing to future earnings growth.

NovoCure Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights strong growth in the GBM segment and international markets, along with regulatory progress for new indications. However, these positives are tempered by challenges in the non-small cell lung cancer launch, flat growth in the U.S. market, and financial setbacks such as reduced gross margin and net loss.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
GBM Patient Growth
The GBM business remains solid with active patients growing between 5% and 12% year-over-year for the last 9 consecutive quarters, ending Q3 2025 with 4,277 GBM patients on therapy.
International Expansion
Significant growth in international markets with France, Japan, and Germany contributing 27%, 8%, and 7% growth respectively. Positive national coverage decision from the Spanish Ministry of Health expected to mature over time.
Regulatory Progress in Japan
Received approval from Japanese regulators for the use of Optune Lua with checkpoint inhibitors in advanced or recurrent non-small cell lung cancer, anticipating strong physician adoption.
PANOVA-3 Progress
Substantial progress with PANOVA-3 data submitted to the FDA for pancreatic cancer treatment, with expected approval mid-next year.
Financial Performance
Net revenues of $167 million, an increase of 8% from the third quarter last year driven by strong performance in GBM franchises in France, Germany, and Japan.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Launch
The launch is behind expectations with only 100 lung cancer patients on therapy in Q3, facing challenges due to poor overall health status of patients and high competition from new targeted drug therapies.
Flat Growth in the U.S. Market
The U.S. GBM active patient count was flat compared to Q3 2024, with challenges in academic centers prioritizing pharmaceutical trials over device-based therapies.
Gross Margin Reduction
Gross margin for the third quarter was 73%, reflecting the rollout of HFE arrays, ongoing lung cancer launch without established reimbursement, and increased tariffs.
Net Loss
Net loss for the quarter was $37 million with a loss per share of $0.33, and adjusted EBITDA was negative $3 million.
Company Guidance
In the Novocure Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided guidance indicating a focus on expanding treatment to include four cancer indications by the end of 2026, alongside reaching profitability and making strategic investments to bolster their product portfolio. Key metrics highlighted include a 5% to 12% year-over-year growth in glioblastoma active patients over the past nine quarters, with the third quarter ending at 4,277 GBM patients on therapy, marking the largest patient count to date. Additionally, Net revenues for Q3 stood at $167 million, reflecting an 8% increase from the previous year, driven by growth in France, Germany, and Japan. The gross margin for the quarter was reported at 73%, with a noted reduction due to factors like global HFE array rollout and non-small cell lung cancer launch expenses. The company aims for a sustainable adjusted EBITDA breakeven by 2027, with a revenue target of $700 million to $750 million.

NovoCure Financial Statement Overview

Summary
NovoCure faces significant financial challenges, with negative profitability and high leverage. The company shows modest revenue growth but struggles with negative cash flows and high debt levels. The strong gross profit margin is a positive indicator, but overall financial health requires careful management.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
NovoCure's revenue has shown modest growth with a TTM increase of 1.92%. However, the company is experiencing negative profitability margins, with a TTM net profit margin of -27.66% and an EBIT margin of -18.84%. The gross profit margin remains strong at 75.37%, indicating efficient cost management, but the negative EBIT and net profit margins highlight ongoing operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.34 in the TTM period, indicating significant leverage. Return on equity is negative at -50.29%, reflecting ongoing losses. The equity ratio is not provided, but the high leverage suggests potential financial risk if revenue growth does not improve.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals negative operating cash flow and free cash flow in the TTM period, with a free cash flow growth rate of -18.94%. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive at 1.89, suggesting that cash flow is better than net income, but overall cash generation remains a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue642.27M605.22M509.34M537.84M535.03M494.37M
Gross Profit484.08M468.04M381.06M422.97M420.15M387.87M
EBITDA-107.50M-109.58M-177.45M-67.89M-38.38M44.83M
Net Income-177.65M-168.63M-207.04M-92.53M-58.35M19.81M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.36B1.24B1.15B1.19B1.14B1.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.04B959.87M910.62M969.42M938.51M854.08M
Total Debt797.94M683.35M596.24M584.27M581.90M450.68M
Total Liabilities1.02B880.61M783.63M750.48M729.00M575.46M
Stockholders Equity341.33M360.18M362.50M441.17M410.49M476.53M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-65.17M-69.22M-100.43M9.43M58.59M84.18M
Operating Cash Flow-34.48M-26.37M-73.34M30.79M82.76M99.15M
Investing Cash Flow78.74M-140.24M184.15M-139.96M-144.83M-472.85M
Financing Cash Flow110.84M90.31M15.79M15.49M25.70M440.21M

NovoCure Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price11.45
Price Trends
50DMA
12.93
Negative
100DMA
13.23
Negative
200DMA
15.89
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.55
Positive
RSI
38.37
Neutral
STOCH
52.39
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NVCR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 11.45 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.16, below the 50-day MA of 12.93, and below the 200-day MA of 15.89, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.55 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NVCR.

NovoCure Risk Analysis

NovoCure disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. NovoCure reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

NovoCure Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$68.92B17.7316.52%2.22%-6.18%-14.06%
65
Neutral
$1.65B-6.11%15.80%26.94%
54
Neutral
$1.17B-5.20%-18.82%92.56%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
45
Neutral
$1.43B-44.21%-3.43%38.98%
41
Neutral
$170.31M-27.19%30.55%-340.19%
39
Underperform
$1.26B-50.60%11.17%-15.64%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NVCR
NovoCure
11.45
-5.64
-33.00%
ATRC
Atricure
34.18
-1.50
-4.20%
TSE:IMO
Imperial Oil
139.21
34.15
32.51%
QDEL
QuidelOrtho
20.99
-16.90
-44.60%
BLFS
BioLife Solutions
24.38
-1.01
-3.98%
SMTI
Sanara MedTech
19.06
-18.26
-48.93%

NovoCure Corporate Events

NovoCure’s Mixed Q3: Growth Amid Challenges
Nov 1, 2025

NovoCure Ltd. recently held its third-quarter earnings call, which painted a mixed picture of the company’s current standing and future prospects. The sentiment was generally positive, highlighting strong growth in the glioblastoma multiforme (GBM) segment and international markets, as well as regulatory advancements for new indications. However, these positives were counterbalanced by challenges in launching treatments for non-small cell lung cancer, stagnant growth in the U.S. market, and financial hurdles such as reduced gross margins and net losses.

Novocure Ltd. Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Oct 31, 2025

Novocure Ltd. is a global oncology company specializing in the development and commercialization of Tumor Treating Fields (TTFields) therapy, aimed at extending survival in patients with aggressive forms of cancer.

NovoCure’s Phase 3 Glioblastoma Study: A Potential Game-Changer in Cancer Treatment
Oct 27, 2025

NovoCure Ltd. is conducting a significant clinical study titled ‘A Phase 3, Randomized, Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled Study of Optune® Concomitant With Maintenance Temozolomide and Pembrolizumab Versus Optune® Concomitant With Maintenance Temozolomide and Placebo for the Treatment of Newly Diagnosed Glioblastoma (EF-41/KEYNOTE D58).’ The study aims to evaluate the overall survival of patients with newly diagnosed glioblastoma, a highly aggressive brain cancer, by comparing the effectiveness of the Optune device combined with the chemotherapy agent Temozolomide and the immunotherapy drug Pembrolizumab against a control group receiving a placebo.

NovoCure’s LUNAR-2 Study: A New Horizon in Lung Cancer Treatment
Oct 27, 2025

The LUNAR-2 study by NovoCure Ltd. aims to evaluate the effectiveness and safety of Tumor Treating Fields (TTFields) when used alongside pembrolizumab and platinum-based chemotherapy in treating metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). The study’s primary objectives are to assess overall survival and progression-free survival, with secondary goals focusing on outcomes related to specific lung cancer subtypes.

NovoCure’s TIGER Meso Study: A Promising Update for Pleural Mesothelioma Treatment
Oct 27, 2025

In a recent update, NovoCure Ltd. announced the ongoing TIGER Meso Study, officially titled ‘TTFields in General Routine Clinical Care in Patients With Pleural Mesothelioma Study.’ The study aims to gather real-life data on the use of Tumor Treating Fields (TTFields) in treating pleural mesothelioma, a rare and aggressive cancer. This research is significant as it seeks to validate the effectiveness of TTFields in routine clinical settings, potentially offering new hope for patients.

NovoCure’s LUNAR-4 Study: A New Horizon in Lung Cancer Treatment
Oct 27, 2025

Study Overview: The LUNAR-4 study, officially titled ‘Pilot, Single Arm, Open-Label, Multinational Study of Tumor Treating Fields (TTFields, 150 kHz) Concomitant With Pembrolizumab for the Treatment of Metastatic Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC) Previously Treated With a PD-1/PD-L1 Inhibitor and Platinum-Based Chemotherapy,’ aims to evaluate the effectiveness and safety of TTFields therapy combined with pembrolizumab in patients with metastatic NSCLC. This study is significant as it explores a novel treatment combination for a challenging cancer type.

NovoCure’s TIGER France Study: A Potential Game-Changer for Glioblastoma Treatment
Oct 27, 2025

NovoCure Ltd. is conducting a study titled ‘Tumor Treating Fields General Routine Clinical Care in Newly Diagnosed Glioblastoma Patients: a French Prospective Non-Interventional Study – TIGER France.’ The study aims to confirm the survival benefits of the Optune Gio® device in terms of overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) for patients with newly diagnosed glioblastoma (GBM) in France. It also seeks to evaluate the device’s impact on quality of life (QoL) in a real-world setting.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
NovoCure Gains Approval for Optune Lua in Japan
Positive
Sep 15, 2025

On September 15, 2025, Novocure announced that Japan’s Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare approved Optune Lua® for use with PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors in treating unresectable advanced/recurrent non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) after platinum-based chemotherapy. This approval, supported by the Phase 3 LUNAR trial, marks a significant advancement for patients, showing improved survival rates without severe side effects. The approval enhances Novocure’s market positioning in Japan, addressing the urgent need for innovative NSCLC treatments, and potentially benefiting stakeholders by providing a new therapeutic option.

The most recent analyst rating on (NVCR) stock is a Buy with a $34.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on NovoCure stock, see the NVCR Stock Forecast page.

NovoCure’s Pivotal Study on Optune® for Glioblastoma: A Market Game-Changer?
Aug 7, 2025

NovoCure Ltd. is conducting a pivotal study titled ‘EF-32: Pivotal, Randomized, Open-Label Study of Optune® (Tumor Treating Fields, 200kHz) Concomitant With Radiation Therapy and Temozolomide for the Treatment of Newly Diagnosed Glioblastoma.’ The study aims to assess the effectiveness and safety of the Optune® device when used alongside radiation therapy and temozolomide in patients with newly diagnosed glioblastoma, compared to the standard treatment of radiation therapy and temozolomide alone. This study is significant as it explores the potential for improved clinical outcomes by introducing Optune® earlier in the treatment process.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 04, 2025