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QuidelOrtho (QDEL)
NASDAQ:QDEL
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QuidelOrtho (QDEL) AI Stock Analysis

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QDEL

QuidelOrtho

(NASDAQ:QDEL)

Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$28.00
▲(6.34%Upside)
The most significant factors affecting the score are the challenging financial performance and valuation, with recent losses and a negative P/E ratio. Technical indicators reinforce a bearish trend, as the stock trades below key moving averages. However, financial stability improvements and strategic efforts to mitigate headwinds provide some positive outlook.
Positive Factors
China growth prospects
There is an expectation for medium to high single-digit growth in China, indicating positive international prospects.
Cost savings initiatives
The company announced additional cost savings initiatives, which are expected to enhance financial performance.
EBITDA margins
The company's EBITDA margins have improved significantly, showing a 450 basis point increase year-over-year.
Negative Factors
Earnings uncertainty
Estimating the earnings impact from tariffs is extremely challenging, creating uncertainty around profitability estimates.
Revenue expectations
There is a decrease in first-quarter revenue expectations primarily driven by a reduction in COVID and flu revenue.
Tariff exposure
QuidelOrtho faces challenges due to tariff exposure, with a significant portion of revenue coming from China and being subject to U.S. tariffs.

QuidelOrtho (QDEL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

QuidelOrtho Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionQuidelOrtho Corporation focuses on the development and manufacture of diagnostic testing technologies across the continuum of healthcare testing needs. The company operates through Labs, Transfusion Medicine, Point-of-Care, and Molecular Diagnostics business units. The Labs business unit provides clinical chemistry laboratory instruments and tests that measure target chemicals in bodily fluids for the evaluation of health and the clinical management of patients; immunoassay laboratory instruments and tests, which measure proteins as they act as antigens in the spread of disease, antibodies in the immune response spurred by disease, or markers of proper organ function and health; testing products to detect and monitor disease progression across a spectrum of therapeutic areas; and specialized diagnostic solutions. The Transfusion Medicine business unit offers immunohematology instruments and tests used for blood typing to ensure patient-donor compatibility in blood transfusions; and donor screening instruments and tests used for blood and plasma screening for infectious diseases. The Point-of-Care business unit provides tests to provide rapid results across a continuum of point-of-care settings. The Molecular Diagnostics business unit offers polymerase chain reaction thermocyclers; and analyzers and amplification systems. The company sells its products directly to end users through a direct sales force; and through a network of distributors for professional use in physician offices, hospitals, clinical laboratories, reference laboratories, urgent care clinics, universities, retail clinics, pharmacies, wellness screening centers, blood banks, and donor centers, as well as for individual, non-professional, and over-the-counter use. It operates in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, China, and internationally. The company was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyQuidelOrtho makes money primarily through the sale of its diagnostic products and solutions. The company's revenue streams are derived from the manufacturing and distribution of rapid diagnostic tests, often used at the point of care, as well as laboratory-based diagnostic systems. These products are sold directly to healthcare providers, laboratories, and clinics, and through a network of distributors. Significant partnerships with healthcare institutions and other industry players enhance market reach and adoption. Additionally, the company may engage in licensing agreements and collaborations that provide ancillary revenue. Factors such as the prevalence of infectious diseases, regulatory approvals, and technological advancements in diagnostic testing significantly influence QuidelOrtho's earnings.

QuidelOrtho Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 1.86%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted solid revenue growth excluding COVID impacts, improved profitability metrics, and effective cost-saving measures. However, challenges such as declining total revenue, COVID-related declines, and tariff impacts were noted. Despite these challenges, the company is confident in its mitigation strategies and maintains its financial guidance.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth Excluding COVID and Donor Screening
Achieved mid-single-digit revenue growth of 6% in Q1 2025, driven by strong performance in the labs business, immunohematology, and a robust flu season.
Improved Adjusted EBITDA Margin
Saw a 450 basis point year-over-year improvement in adjusted EBITDA margin, reflecting cost-saving initiatives.
Significant Increase in Adjusted Diluted EPS
Adjusted diluted earnings per share increased by 68% compared to the prior year period.
Lab Business and Geographical Growth
The labs business, comprising 54% of total revenue, grew by 7%. The 'Other' region, including Japan, Asia-Pac, and Latin America, experienced 12% growth.
Cost Savings Initiatives
On track to realize $100 million in annualized cost savings, with $50 million expected in the first half of 2025.
Negative Updates
Decline in Total Reported Revenue
Total reported revenue for Q1 2025 was $693 million, down from $711 million in the prior year period, primarily due to lower COVID and donor screening revenue.
COVID Revenue Decline
COVID revenue was $23 million, reflecting a 53% year-over-year decline.
Tariff and Macroeconomic Challenges
Potential tariff headwinds estimated at $30 million to $40 million for 2025, necessitating mitigation plans.
Softness in China Revenue
China revenue was flat compared to the prior year period, impacted by timing of orders and decreased reimbursement rates for certain cardiac markers.
Company Guidance
During the QuidelOrtho Q1 2025 earnings call, the company provided specific financial guidance and metrics reflecting their performance and strategic outlook. The call highlighted a mid-single-digit revenue growth of 6%, excluding COVID and donor screening, driven by a 7% increase in their labs business and 4% growth in immunohematology. Adjusted EBITDA margin improved by 450 basis points year-over-year, resulting in a 68% increase in adjusted diluted EPS. The company maintained its full-year guidance with expected revenue between $2.6 billion and $2.81 billion, and adjusted EBITDA of $575 million to $615 million. QuidelOrtho aims to offset anticipated tariff impacts of $30 million to $40 million through cost-saving initiatives and strategic mitigations, expecting $50 million in cost savings in the first half of 2025. Additionally, they project COVID revenue of $110 million to $140 million, with strong flu sales contributing to 18% year-over-year growth. The company is also focused on completing the clinical trial for their Savanna respiratory panel, aiming for an FDA submission in the summer, while continuing to expand their global operating footprint and manufacturing capabilities to support business growth.

QuidelOrtho Financial Statement Overview

Summary
QuidelOrtho is facing profitability challenges due to recent losses, impacting its income statement score. However, improvements in debt management and cash flow stability suggest potential for financial recovery. Strong gross profit margin and equity ratio are positive indicators amid current difficulties.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The revenue has shown a fluctuating trend with a recent decline in TTM compared to the previous year. Gross profit margin remains relatively strong at 55.94% TTM, but the company is currently experiencing negative net and EBIT margins due to substantial losses, impacting profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The debt-to-equity ratio has improved significantly in TTM (0.19) compared to the previous year, indicating better leverage. However, the return on equity is negative due to net losses, while the equity ratio remains stable at 46.38%.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The company has shown a positive shift in free cash flow in TTM, reflecting improved cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, but overall cash flow performance is affected by past negative free cash flows.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Mar 2023Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.76B2.78B3.00B3.27B1.70B1.66B
Gross Profit1.55B1.29B1.49B1.94B1.27B1.35B
EBITDA160.40M-1.46B607.00M1.09B955.44M1.09B
Net Income-333.70M-2.05B-10.10M548.70M704.20M810.29M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.46B6.42B8.56B8.86B2.43B1.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments127.10M98.30M167.30M345.00M828.50M489.94M
Total Debt557.10M2.68B2.61B2.85B139.30M108.50M
Total Liabilities3.46B3.44B3.56B3.92B501.00M538.46M
Stockholders Equity3.00B2.98B5.01B4.93B1.93B1.33B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow30.40M-112.10M70.90M744.40M513.14M564.84M
Operating Cash Flow149.30M83.00M280.20M885.30M805.87M629.76M
Investing Cash Flow-185.90M-149.90M-187.60M-1.64B-319.53M-63.32M
Financing Cash Flow84.90M48.80M-265.80M252.00M-173.18M-130.28M

QuidelOrtho Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price26.33
Price Trends
50DMA
29.68
Negative
100DMA
30.90
Negative
200DMA
36.25
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.01
Positive
RSI
39.26
Neutral
STOCH
16.23
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For QDEL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 26.33 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.52, below the 50-day MA of 29.68, and below the 200-day MA of 36.25, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.23 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for QDEL.

QuidelOrtho Risk Analysis

QuidelOrtho disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. QuidelOrtho reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

QuidelOrtho Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (52)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
$40.08B30.6925.81%0.78%9.54%37.23%
79
Outperform
$3.57B22.3918.83%3.95%44.09%
70
Outperform
$14.70B27.8511.77%1.66%21.95%
61
Neutral
$8.75B116.65-23.93%-0.12%-713.82%
54
Neutral
$6.85B-1.16%4.88%-196.93%
52
Neutral
$7.61B0.10-63.03%2.08%16.34%0.32%
47
Neutral
$1.80B-10.59%-3.18%81.18%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
QDEL
QuidelOrtho
26.33
-12.58
-32.33%
HAE
Haemonetics
74.26
-16.80
-18.45%
HOLX
Hologic
66.10
-12.53
-15.94%
MASI
Masimo
161.38
52.39
48.07%
RGEN
Repligen
121.87
-18.92
-13.44%
RMD
Resmed
273.50
78.22
40.06%

QuidelOrtho Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
QuidelOrtho Stockholders Approve Equity Plan Changes
Neutral
May 27, 2025

At the Annual Meeting, QuidelOrtho‘s stockholders approved significant changes to the company’s equity incentive plan, increasing the number of shares authorized for issuance by 6,200,000 and extending the plan’s term to 2035. Additionally, the stockholders elected eleven directors to the board, approved executive compensation, and ratified KPMG LLP as the independent auditor for the 2025 fiscal year.

The most recent analyst rating on (QDEL) stock is a Buy with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on QuidelOrtho stock, see the QDEL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 15, 2025