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Nutanix Inc (NTNX)
:NTNX
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Nutanix (NTNX) AI Stock Analysis

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NTNX

Nutanix

(NASDAQ:NTNX)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$81.00
▲(4.30% Upside)
Nutanix's strong revenue growth and strategic advancements in AI and cloud capabilities are significant strengths. However, financial stability concerns due to negative equity and high leverage, coupled with a high P/E ratio, present risks. The positive earnings call and strategic partnerships enhance the outlook, but challenges in the federal sector and retention metrics need monitoring.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth of 18% annually indicates strong market demand and effective sales strategies, enhancing long-term business stability.
Strategic Partnerships
Strategic partnerships expand market reach and product offerings, fostering competitive advantages and driving customer acquisition and retention.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow growth enhances financial flexibility, enabling reinvestment in growth initiatives and providing a buffer against economic downturns.
Negative Factors
Financial Stability
Negative equity and high leverage pose risks to financial stability, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth and weather financial challenges.
Retention Metrics
A decline in net dollar-based retention rate suggests challenges in upselling and cross-selling, which could impact future revenue growth and customer lifetime value.
Challenges in Federal Sector
Challenges in the federal sector may lead to unpredictable revenue streams and hinder growth in a key market segment, affecting overall business performance.

Nutanix (NTNX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Nutanix Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNutanix, Inc. provides an enterprise cloud platform in North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Latin America, and Africa. The company offers Acropolis converges virtualization, enterprise storage services, and networking visualization and security services; Acropolis Hypervisor, an enterprise-grade virtualization solution; Nutanix Karbon for automated deployment and management of Kubernetes clusters to simplify the provisioning, operations, and lifecycle management of cloud-native environments; and Nutanix Clusters solution. It also offers Prism Pro; Nutanix Beam, a cloud governance; and Nutanix Calm, an application marketplace, which provides automation services that streamline application lifecycle management and deliver powerful hybrid cloud orchestration. In addition, the company provides Nutanix Files, an enterprise-grade NFS and SMB files services; Nutanix Objects, a S3-compatible object services; Nutanix Era, a database automation and database-as-a-service solution; and Nutanix Frame, a desktop-as-a-service product to deliver virtual apps or desktops to users from multiple public cloud environments and/or an enterprises private cloud datacenter. Further, it offers products support, and consulting and implementation services. It serves customers in a range of industries, including automotive, consumer goods, education, energy, financial services, healthcare, manufacturing, media, public sector, retail, technology, and telecommunications, as well as service providers. The company was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyNutanix generates revenue primarily through the sale of software licenses, subscriptions, and support services. The company's revenue model consists of a mix of perpetual licensing and a growing subscription-based approach, which provides ongoing recurring revenue. Key revenue streams include the sale of its hyper-converged infrastructure software, cloud management products, and professional services. Nutanix has also established significant partnerships with major cloud providers and technology companies, enhancing its market reach and offering customers comprehensive solutions. These partnerships contribute to Nutanix's earnings by facilitating joint marketing efforts and expanding its ecosystem, thus driving customer adoption and retention.

Nutanix Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Annual Recurring Revenue
Annual Recurring Revenue
Measures the predictable and recurring revenue generated from subscriptions, indicating the stability and growth potential of the company's business model.
Chart InsightsNutanix's Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) has shown consistent growth, reaching $2.14 billion, an 18% increase year-over-year. This growth is driven by strong demand and expansion within existing customer segments. Despite a challenging macro environment and flat net retention rates, Nutanix's strategic focus on cloud platform expansion, partnerships, and innovation is paying off. The company exceeded its financial guidance, indicating robust performance and a positive outlook for continued growth, though federal business variability remains a concern.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Nutanix Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 27, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 26, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted Nutanix's solid financial performance, significant customer growth, and innovative product development, despite facing some challenges in the federal sector and retention metrics. Strategic partnerships and strong cash flow further contributed to a positive outlook.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Growth
Nutanix reported quarterly revenue of $653 million, up 19% year over year. For the full fiscal year 2025, revenue was $2.54 billion, an 18% increase from the previous year.
Robust Free Cash Flow
The company generated free cash flow of $750 million for fiscal year 2025, representing a 26% increase year over year, with a free cash flow margin of 30%.
New Customer Acquisition
Nutanix added over 2,700 new customers during fiscal year 2025, the highest in four years, including more than 50 Global 2,000 accounts.
Innovative Product Developments
Nutanix enhanced its platform with Gen AI capabilities, launched GPT in a Box 2.0, and integrated with NVIDIA AI Enterprise. They also extended hybrid multi-cloud capabilities with Google Cloud support.
Strategic Partnerships
The company successfully initiated partnerships with Dell PowerFlex and Pure Storage, with the former already yielding significant wins.
Negative Updates
Challenges in US Federal Business
Despite a strong Q4 in US federal business, the company noted longer deal cycles and increased variability due to personnel changes and additional reviews.
Slight Decline in Net Dollar-Based Retention Rate (NRR)
The NRR decreased slightly, influenced by larger initial deal sizes with new logos, which could impact future expansion potential within those customers.
Potential Impact of Contract Duration Changes
For fiscal year 2026, Nutanix expects a slight year-over-year decline in average contract duration, which could impact revenue timing.
Company Guidance
During Nutanix's Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided robust guidance reflecting strong financial performance. Nutanix reported fourth-quarter revenue of $653 million, marking a 19% year-over-year increase, with annual revenue reaching $2.54 billion, up 18% from the previous year. The Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) grew to $2.22 billion, a 17% rise year over year. The company also noted a significant increase in free cash flow, which reached $750 million for fiscal year 2025, representing a 26% year-over-year increase and yielding a free cash flow margin of 30%. Nutanix achieved a Rule of 40 score of 48 for the fiscal year, underscoring its balanced growth and profitability. Looking ahead to fiscal year 2026, Nutanix anticipates revenue between $2.9 billion and $2.94 billion, with a non-GAAP operating margin of 21 to 22%, and free cash flow ranging from $790 million to $830 million. Additionally, the company highlighted its strategic advancements, including enhanced Gen AI capabilities and extended hybrid multi-cloud support, which underscore its commitment to innovation and strategic partnerships.

Nutanix Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nutanix shows strong revenue growth and gross profit margins, indicating a solid market position and cost management. However, financial stability challenges due to negative equity and high leverage are concerning. Cash flow generation is improving, but sustaining this trend is crucial for long-term financial health.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Nutanix has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a 4.33% increase in the latest period. The gross profit margin is strong at 86.81%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 7.42%, suggesting room for improvement in profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved significantly, reflecting better operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The company has a negative stockholders' equity, leading to a high and negative debt-to-equity ratio of -2.14. This indicates financial instability and potential risk. Return on equity is also negative, reflecting challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is not favorable, highlighting a reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
68
Positive
Operating cash flow has improved, with a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.58. Free cash flow growth is negative, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.91, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. However, the decline in free cash flow growth suggests potential challenges in sustaining cash flow improvements.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.54B2.54B2.15B1.86B1.58B1.39B
Gross Profit2.20B2.20B1.82B1.53B1.26B1.10B
EBITDA278.65M284.35M141.26M-93.08M-631.00M-842.80M
Net Income188.37M188.37M-124.78M-254.56M-797.54M-1.03B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.28B3.28B2.14B2.53B2.37B2.28B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.99B1.99B994.34M1.44B1.32B1.21B
Total Debt1.48B1.48B695.22M1.33B1.44B1.19B
Total Liabilities3.98B3.98B2.87B3.23B3.17B3.29B
Stockholders Equity-694.52M-694.52M-728.15M-707.42M-800.50M-1.01B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow750.17M750.17M597.68M207.00M18.48M-158.46M
Operating Cash Flow821.46M821.46M672.93M272.40M67.54M-99.81M
Investing Cash Flow-951.69M-951.69M529.59M-49.78M-54.19M-597.15M
Financing Cash Flow244.09M244.09M-1.06B-112.71M103.64M663.85M

Nutanix Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price77.66
Price Trends
50DMA
72.64
Positive
100DMA
74.22
Positive
200DMA
70.68
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.08
Negative
RSI
62.78
Neutral
STOCH
63.95
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NTNX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 77.66 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 72.46, above the 50-day MA of 72.64, and above the 200-day MA of 70.68, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.95 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NTNX.

Nutanix Risk Analysis

Nutanix disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Nutanix reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Nutanix Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
25.66B-319.69-2.67%21.90%67.81%
67
Neutral
44.24B-1,085.42-2.31%23.31%31.04%
66
Neutral
$20.82B121.466.85%18.11%
66
Neutral
15.87B110.362.49%12.68%0.00%
59
Neutral
19.95B26.08199.93%8.09%-54.94%
51
Neutral
14.59B-33.2178.65%47.72%61.95%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NTNX
Nutanix
78.16
19.17
32.50%
GDDY
GoDaddy
146.36
-13.78
-8.60%
OKTA
Okta
93.60
18.58
24.77%
MDB
MongoDB
316.30
32.44
11.43%
ZS
Zscaler
291.11
118.53
68.68%
RBRK
Rubrik, Inc. Class A
78.02
45.32
138.59%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 09, 2025