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Nutanix Inc (NTNX)
:NTNX

Nutanix (NTNX) AI Stock Analysis

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NTNX

Nutanix

(NASDAQ:NTNX)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$50.00
▲(5.49% Upside)
Nutanix's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance in terms of revenue growth and cash flow, but is tempered by high leverage and negative equity. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and the high P/E ratio indicates a rich valuation. Positive developments from the earnings call and corporate events provide some support, but challenges in revenue recognition and guidance weigh on the outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong demand for Nutanix's offerings, supporting long-term business expansion and market presence.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation enhances financial flexibility, enabling Nutanix to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt effectively.
Strategic Partnerships
Partnerships with major players like AWS expand market reach and enhance Nutanix's position in government sectors, driving sustainable growth.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can limit Nutanix's ability to invest in growth and weather economic downturns, posing long-term financial risks.
Revenue Recognition Challenges
Challenges in revenue recognition can impact financial predictability and investor confidence, affecting long-term strategic planning.
Negative Equity
Negative equity reflects financial instability, potentially affecting Nutanix's ability to secure financing and invest in future growth.

Nutanix (NTNX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Nutanix Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNutanix (NTNX) is a cloud computing company that specializes in hyper-converged infrastructure (HCI) solutions, enabling businesses to manage their data centers more efficiently. Founded in 2009, Nutanix provides a software-defined approach to IT infrastructure, combining storage, computing, and virtualization into a single solution. Its core offerings include the Nutanix Enterprise Cloud Platform, which allows organizations to run applications in a private, public, or hybrid cloud environment, and various related services such as cloud management and virtualization solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyNutanix primarily generates revenue through the sale of its software and subscription services. The company’s revenue model includes software licenses, which are sold as perpetual licenses or as part of a subscription model, allowing customers to pay for ongoing access to their solutions. Additionally, Nutanix offers support and maintenance services, which provide a steady stream of recurring revenue. Key revenue streams include both software subscriptions and professional services, such as consulting and implementation. The company has established significant partnerships with major players in the technology sector, including Dell Technologies, IBM, and AWS, which enhance its market reach and contribute to overall earnings through collaborative offerings and integrated solutions.

Nutanix Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Annual Recurring Revenue
Annual Recurring Revenue
Measures the predictable and recurring revenue generated from subscriptions, indicating the stability and growth potential of the company's business model.
Chart InsightsNutanix's Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) has shown consistent growth, reaching $2.14 billion, an 18% increase year-over-year. This growth is driven by strong demand and expansion within existing customer segments. Despite a challenging macro environment and flat net retention rates, Nutanix's strategic focus on cloud platform expansion, partnerships, and innovation is paying off. The company exceeded its financial guidance, indicating robust performance and a positive outlook for continued growth, though federal business variability remains a concern.
Data provided by:The Fly

Nutanix Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 25, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call showcased strong ARR growth, new customer acquisitions, increased free cash flow expectations, and industry recognition, but was tempered by challenges in revenue recognition timing and a reduction in revenue guidance due to deferred revenue and reliance on OEM partners.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
ARR Growth
Nutanix reported an Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) of $2.28 billion, representing an 18% year-over-year growth.
Free Cash Flow Increase
The company increased its free cash flow expectations for FY26 to $800 million to $840 million, representing a margin of 28.9% at the midpoint.
New Customer Wins
Nutanix secured several significant new customers, including a European government agency and a seven-figure deal with a global 2,000 EMEA-based energy provider.
Industry Recognition
Nutanix was named a leader in the 2025 Gartner Magic Quadrant for Distributed Hybrid Infrastructure.
Negative Updates
Revenue Guidance Reduction
Full-year revenue guidance was reduced due to more revenue being deferred than planned, driven by customer demand for start dates aligned with their adoption timelines and increased reliance on third-party OEM partners.
Revenue Recognition Challenges
Revenue of $671 million was within the guided range but lower than expected due to a higher proportion of land and expand bookings with future start dates.
US Federal Business Variability
The company expects continued variability in its US Federal business due to recent personnel changes and policy shifts.
Company Guidance
During the Nutanix First Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call, management provided guidance with several key metrics highlighted. The company reported quarterly revenue of $671 million, within their guidance range of $670 to $680 million, marking a year-over-year growth rate of 13%. The annual recurring revenue (ARR) grew 18% year-over-year to $2.28 billion, with a net dollar-based retention rate (NRR) of 109%, remaining flat quarter-over-quarter. Nutanix also reported a non-GAAP operating margin of 19.7% and a free cash flow of $175 million, representing a margin of 26%. Despite some revenue deferral due to evolving business mix and customer demands for flexible start dates, the company maintained its bookings growth expectations and increased its free cash flow guidance for the full fiscal year 2026 to $800-$840 million. The updated revenue guidance for fiscal year 2026 is between $2.82 billion and $2.86 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth rate of 12% at the midpoint. Nutanix emphasized that the revenue shift was solely a timing issue, with no impact on the expected total revenue recognition over time.

Nutanix Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Nutanix demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability improvements, particularly in cash flow generation. However, the negative equity and high leverage pose financial risks. Continued focus on improving operational efficiency and reducing leverage will be crucial for long-term stability.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Nutanix has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 3.14%. Gross profit margins are robust at 87%, indicating efficient cost management. The net profit margin has improved to 8.43%, reflecting enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT margin of 6.44% suggests room for improvement in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The company faces challenges with a negative stockholders' equity, resulting in a high debt-to-equity ratio of -2.21. This indicates potential financial instability. Despite this, the company has managed to improve its return on equity, although it remains negative.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Nutanix has shown strong cash flow performance with a free cash flow growth rate of 3.01%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.61, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 0.90, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.54B2.15B1.86B1.58B1.39B
Gross Profit2.20B1.82B1.53B1.26B1.10B
EBITDA292.73M141.26M-93.08M-631.00M-842.80M
Net Income188.37M-124.78M-254.56M-797.54M-1.03B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.28B2.14B2.53B2.37B2.28B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.99B994.34M1.44B1.32B1.21B
Total Debt1.48B695.22M1.33B1.44B1.19B
Total Liabilities3.98B2.87B3.23B3.17B3.29B
Stockholders Equity-694.52M-728.15M-707.42M-800.50M-1.01B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow750.17M597.68M207.00M18.48M-158.46M
Operating Cash Flow821.46M672.93M272.40M67.54M-99.81M
Investing Cash Flow-951.69M529.59M-49.78M-54.19M-597.15M
Financing Cash Flow244.09M-1.06B-112.71M103.64M663.85M

Nutanix Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price47.40
Price Trends
50DMA
63.44
Negative
100DMA
68.22
Negative
200DMA
70.33
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-5.39
Positive
RSI
22.37
Positive
STOCH
46.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NTNX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 47.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 53.82, below the 50-day MA of 63.44, and below the 200-day MA of 70.33, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -5.39 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 22.37 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NTNX.

Nutanix Risk Analysis

Nutanix disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Nutanix reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Nutanix Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$33.70B-3.23%20.93%68.47%
70
Neutral
$15.92B83.172.96%12.12%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$12.95B63.2917.45%
60
Neutral
$17.05B22.11369.45%8.79%-55.15%
60
Neutral
$38.80B-2.41%23.24%-8.83%
50
Neutral
$18.93B48.93%69.39%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NTNX
Nutanix
47.40
-18.65
-28.24%
GDDY
GoDaddy
126.05
-80.73
-39.04%
OKTA
Okta
90.59
8.60
10.49%
MDB
MongoDB
420.39
153.20
57.34%
ZS
Zscaler
242.08
43.54
21.93%
RBRK
Rubrik, Inc. Class A
87.08
14.90
20.64%

Nutanix Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Nutanix Grants Annual Equity Awards to Executives
Neutral
Nov 13, 2025

Nutanix, Inc.’s Compensation Committee has decided to maintain the current annual base salaries for its executive officers for fiscal year 2026. On November 10, 2025, the company granted annual equity awards to its executives, consisting of time-based and performance-based restricted stock units, which are contingent on the company’s total shareholder return relative to the NASDAQ Composite Index.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Nutanix Appoints Greg Lavender to Board of Directors
Positive
Sep 18, 2025

On September 17, 2025, Nutanix appointed Greg Lavender to its Board of Directors, recognizing his extensive experience in software, cloud, AI, and enterprise infrastructure. Lavender, who previously served as CTO at Intel and held senior roles at VMware, Cisco, and Citigroup, brings valuable expertise in technology strategy and innovation to Nutanix. His appointment is expected to enhance Nutanix’s strategic positioning in the enterprise technology sector, particularly in advancing its multicloud and AI capabilities.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025