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Samsara (IOT)
NYSE:IOT
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Samsara (IOT) AI Stock Analysis

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IOT

Samsara

(NYSE:IOT)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$41.00
▲(6.74% Upside)
Samsara's strong financial performance, particularly in revenue growth and cash flow improvements, is a major positive factor. The positive sentiment from the earnings call further supports the stock's outlook. However, the negative P/E ratio and profitability challenges weigh on the valuation, while technical indicators suggest neutral momentum.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Samsara's strong ARR growth indicates robust demand for its IoT solutions, enhancing its market position and supporting long-term revenue expansion.
Innovative Product Launches
Launching innovative products strengthens Samsara's competitive edge, diversifies its offerings, and meets evolving customer needs, driving sustainable growth.
Strong Customer Base
Increasing large customer acquisitions enhances revenue stability and indicates strong market acceptance of Samsara's solutions, supporting future growth.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing net losses and negative profit margins highlight profitability challenges, which may impact Samsara's ability to reinvest and grow sustainably.
Negative Return on Equity
Negative ROE indicates inefficiencies in capital use, potentially affecting investor confidence and Samsara's capacity to fund future growth initiatives.
Tariff and Regulatory Uncertainty
Regulatory uncertainties can disrupt Samsara's operations and customer strategies, introducing variability and risk to its financial performance.

Samsara (IOT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Samsara Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSamsara Inc. provides solutions that connect physical operations data to its Connected Operations Cloud in the United States and internationally. The company's Connected Operations Cloud includes Data Platform, which ingests, aggregates, and enriches data from its IoT devices and has embedded capabilities for AI, workflows and analytics, alerts, API connections, and data security and privacy; and applications for video-based safety, vehicle telematics, apps and driver workflows, equipment monitoring, and site visibility. It serves customers across a range of industries, including transportation and logistics, construction, field services, utilities and energy, government, healthcare and education, manufacturing, wholesale and retail trade, and food and beverage. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is based in San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneySamsara primarily generates revenue through a subscription-based model, where customers pay for access to its IoT platform and services. Key revenue streams include monthly or annual subscriptions for hardware devices, software services, and data analytics. The company offers different pricing tiers, allowing businesses of varying sizes to select packages that suit their operational needs. Additionally, Samsara benefits from selling its hardware products, such as GPS tracking devices and sensors, which are essential for its service offerings. Significant partnerships with industry leaders in transportation and logistics also contribute to its earnings, providing expanded market reach and collaborative service offerings.

Samsara Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 02, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 27, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Samsara's earnings call was largely positive, with significant ARR growth, successful large customer acquisitions, and new product launches driving impressive results. While there were some challenges regarding sales cycles and tariff impacts, these were addressed effectively in the quarter.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong ARR Growth
Samsara ended Q2 with $1.6 billion in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR), showing a 30% year-over-year increase. The $100,000+ ARR customers now represent 59% of total ARR, contributing close to $1 billion, which is up 35% year over year.
Increase in Large Customers
The company added 17 new customers with more than $1 million in ARR, marking a quarterly record. The $1 million+ ARR customers now generate over 20% of total ARR, approximately $350 million.
Innovative Product Launches
New products such as asset maintenance, commercial navigation, route planning, AI multicam, and worker safety were launched, enhancing Samsara's product portfolio.
High Customer Impact
Examples of customer success include Maxim Crane saving $13 million in maintenance costs and Mohawk Industries reducing mileage by 4.2 million miles, saving $7.75 million.
International and Market Expansion
15% of net new ACV came from non-US geographies, with Europe showing the highest level of net new ACV growth in the last four quarters.
Operating Efficiency Gains
Non-GAAP gross margin was 78%, Non-GAAP operating margin was 15%, and free cash flow margin was 11%, all showing improvement year over year.
AI and Data Utilization
Samsara processes approximately 20 trillion data points annually, using AI to deliver actionable insights, which is enhancing their product experience.
Negative Updates
Elongated Sales Cycles
Q1 experienced elongated sales cycles due to macroeconomic factors and tariff impacts, although these issues were resolved in Q2.
Tariff and Regulatory Uncertainty
There is ongoing uncertainty regarding tariff rates, which affects customer procurement strategies and introduces variability into quarterly results.
Company Guidance
During Samsara's second quarter fiscal 2026 earnings call, the company reported strong financial performance and growth metrics. Notably, Samsara ended Q2 with $1.6 billion in annual recurring revenue (ARR), marking a 30% year-over-year increase. Customers with over $100,000 in ARR contributed approximately $1 billion of this total, up 35% from the previous year. Samsara also added a record 17 customers with more than $1 million in ARR, with this segment now accounting for over 20% of total ARR, approximately $350 million. The company highlighted its strategic partnerships with large enterprises, processing around 20 trillion data points annually. Samsara's platform enhancements and AI-driven innovations were key themes, with new products like asset maintenance, commercial navigation, and AI multicam being launched to address customer needs in safety and efficiency. The company achieved a non-GAAP operating margin of 15% and projected full-year fiscal 2026 revenue growth of 26%.

Samsara Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Samsara is showing strong revenue growth and improving cash flow metrics, which are positive indicators for future performance. However, the company continues to face profitability challenges, as evidenced by negative net income and margins. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, but the negative return on equity highlights the need for better capital efficiency.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Samsara has shown impressive revenue growth, with a TTM growth rate of 6.84% and a strong gross profit margin of 76.87%. However, the company is still operating at a net loss, with a net profit margin of -6.16% and negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating ongoing profitability challenges.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.06, reflecting conservative leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -7.97%, suggesting inefficiencies in generating returns from equity. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated but appears stable given the total assets and equity figures.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Samsara's cash flow position is strengthening, with a free cash flow growth rate of 22.42% and a solid free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.88. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.24, indicating improving cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.43B1.25B937.38M652.54M428.35M249.91M
Gross Profit1.10B950.88M690.35M469.89M303.86M174.51M
EBITDA-9.77M-164.45M-171.08M-167.10M-304.39M-173.01M
Net Income-87.93M-154.91M-286.73M-247.42M-355.02M-210.21M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.21B2.02B1.73B1.62B1.57B886.63M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments701.80M694.80M547.66M689.86M921.22M399.89M
Total Debt77.18M80.28M99.49M122.92M144.96M173.27M
Total Liabilities992.33M955.11M819.70M678.99M578.98M1.42B
Stockholders Equity1.21B1.07B915.15M938.02M988.95M-532.80M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow169.63M111.48M-22.77M-136.26M-190.83M-203.87M
Operating Cash Flow192.65M131.66M-11.81M-103.02M-171.48M-171.77M
Investing Cash Flow-119.83M-66.62M-78.69M-631.85M-20.04M-32.20M
Financing Cash Flow29.16M27.10M21.00M14.21M701.64M401.97M

Samsara Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price38.41
Price Trends
50DMA
36.84
Positive
100DMA
39.64
Negative
200DMA
42.09
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.68
Positive
RSI
46.34
Neutral
STOCH
21.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IOT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 38.41 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 38.28, above the 50-day MA of 36.84, and below the 200-day MA of 42.09, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.68 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IOT.

Samsara Risk Analysis

Samsara disclosed 84 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Samsara reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Samsara Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
134.25B125.4314.49%14.87%-57.43%
70
Outperform
$22.55B-8.07%30.32%67.92%
70
Neutral
75.82B-642.75-9.44%27.32%-11.94%
67
Neutral
64.06B33.3694.14%14.46%48.06%
67
Neutral
45.02B-1,060.48-2.31%23.31%31.04%
66
Neutral
119.54B-398.07-7.91%23.46%-270.07%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IOT
Samsara
36.94
-12.44
-25.19%
FTNT
Fortinet
83.60
6.99
9.12%
PANW
Palo Alto Networks
200.70
30.44
17.88%
ZS
Zscaler
284.42
112.67
65.60%
CRWD
CrowdStrike Holdings
476.33
189.86
66.28%
NET
Cloudflare
217.57
134.16
160.84%

Samsara Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Samsara Appoints Gary Steele to Board of Directors
Positive
Aug 21, 2025

On August 16, 2025, Samsara Inc. announced the appointment of Gary Steele to its Board of Directors, effective September 1, 2025. Steele, with over 30 years of experience in software, cybersecurity, and AI innovation, is expected to bring significant value to Samsara’s ongoing product innovation and operational excellence. His previous roles include CEO positions at Shield AI, Splunk Inc., and Proofpoint, Inc. Steele’s appointment aligns with Samsara’s commitment to expanding its product offerings and driving multi-product adoption, reinforcing its position as a leader in connected operations.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Samsara Stockholders Approve Key Governance Proposals
Neutral
Jul 31, 2025

On July 29, 2025, Samsara Inc. held its annual stockholders meeting where three key proposals were voted on. The stockholders elected nine directors to the board, ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent auditors for the fiscal year ending January 31, 2026, and approved the compensation for the company’s named executive officers. These decisions are pivotal for Samsara’s governance and financial oversight, potentially impacting its strategic direction and stakeholder confidence.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 25, 2025