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ServiceNow (NOW)
NYSE:NOW

ServiceNow (NOW) AI Stock Analysis

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NOW

ServiceNow

(NYSE:NOW)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$130.00
▲(11.10% Upside)
The score is supported by strong financial quality (profitability improvement, low leverage, and robust free cash flow) and a bullish earnings outlook with margin expansion and sizable buybacks. Offsetting this, the stock’s technical setup is very weak (below all key moving averages with negative MACD) and valuation remains expensive (high P/E), with the provided TTM revenue growth deceleration a key fundamental risk to monitor.
Positive Factors
Recurring subscription revenue & strong RPO/CRPO
A large, growing backlog (RPO/CRPO) and recurring subscription model provide durable revenue visibility and high renewal economics. This supports predictable cash flows, easier long-term planning, and creates a base for upsells and cross-sell across IT, CSM, and new AI modules, reducing revenue volatility.
Robust free cash flow & improving operating margins
Sustained high FCF and rising operating margins enhance financial flexibility for R&D, inorganic expansion and shareholder returns. Strong cash generation also de-risks execution versus peers, funding AI investments and buybacks while preserving balance sheet strength and creditor confidence over the medium term.
AI monetization & deep strategic partnerships
Rapid Now Assist adoption plus integrations with Anthropic, OpenAI and Microsoft create durable competitive moats: sticky workflow embedding, higher ACV per customer, and platform stickiness. This structural AI tailwind supports long-term upsell, higher usage-based revenue and differentiated enterprise value.
Negative Factors
Revenue growth deceleration risk
A marked slowdown in reported TTM growth versus prior multi-year trends signals potential maturity or emerging headwinds. If sustained, slower top-line expansion can compress investment return prospects, reduce operating leverage upside, and make funding aggressive AI and M&A initiatives more costly.
Gross margin pressure from hyperscalers & AI costs
A structural shift to hyperscaler capacity and higher AI inference costs can erode software gross margins over time unless offset by pricing, product mix upgrades, or efficiency gains. Persistent margin pressure would challenge the sustainability of current operating margins and FCF margin targets.
Acquisition dilution & integration execution risk
Serial acquisitions boost TAM but create near-term margin dilution and integration complexity. Execution risks and investor scrutiny over pace could distract management, pressure margins and delay synergies; sustained missteps would weaken returns on capital and strain cash allocation priorities.

ServiceNow (NOW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ServiceNow Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionServiceNow, Inc. provides enterprise cloud computing solutions that defines, structures, consolidates, manages, and automates services for enterprises worldwide. It operates the Now platform for workflow automation, artificial intelligence, machine learning, robotic process automation, performance analytics, electronic service catalogs and portals, configuration management systems, data benchmarking, encryption, and collaboration and development tools. The company also provides information technology (IT) service management applications; IT service management product suite for enterprise's employees, customers, and partners; IT business management product suite; IT operations management product that connects a customer's physical and cloud-based IT infrastructure; IT Asset Management to automate IT asset lifecycles; and security operations that connects with internal and third party. In addition, it offers governance, risk, and compliance product to manage risk and resilience; human resources, legal, and workplace service delivery products; safe workplace applications; customer service management product; and field service management applications. Further, it provides App Engine product; IntegrationHub enables application to extend workflows; and professional, industry solutions, and customer support services. It serves government, financial services, healthcare, telecommunications, manufacturing, IT services, technology, oil and gas, education, and consumer products through direct sales team and resale partners. It has a strategic partnership with Celonis to help customers identify and prioritize processes that are suitable for automation. The company was formerly known as Service-now.com and changed its name to ServiceNow, Inc. in May 2012. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyServiceNow generates revenue primarily through subscription-based licensing for its cloud platform and applications. Customers pay annual or multi-year fees to access its suite of products, which include ITSM, ITOM, and CSM solutions, along with additional modules for security, governance, and compliance. A significant portion of the revenue comes from upselling and cross-selling additional features and products to existing clients. ServiceNow also benefits from a robust ecosystem of partnerships with technology providers, system integrators, and consulting firms, which help drive customer acquisition and implementation services. Additionally, the company invests in innovation and product development to maintain a competitive edge, further enhancing its revenue potential.

ServiceNow Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where ServiceNow is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsServiceNow's revenue is experiencing robust growth across all regions, with North America leading the charge. The company's recent earnings call highlights a 20.5% year-over-year subscription revenue increase, driven by strong AI product adoption and federal business success. Despite potential Q4 impacts from the U.S. government shutdown, ServiceNow remains optimistic, raising its full-year guidance. This growth trajectory underscores the company's strategic focus on AI and workflow integration, positioning it well for continued market leadership.
Data provided by:The Fly

ServiceNow Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 28, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call portrayed a strong finish to 2025 with multiple beats (revenue, RPO/CRPO, margins, free cash flow) and accelerated AI-driven monetization (Now Assist growth, workflows, partnerships). Management provided confident 2026 guidance with margin expansion and significant cash returns via a $5B repurchase authorization. Near-term headwinds include gross margin pressure from hyperscaler capacity and AI inference costs, a small mix-shift impact in Q1, and modest near-term dilution from announced security-focused acquisitions. On balance, the positives (robust growth, margin and cash-flow outperformance, large deal flow, accelerating AI adoption and partnerships) substantially outweigh the limited near-term challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Subscription Revenue Growth and Beat
Q4 subscription revenues of $3,466,000,000, up 19.5% year-over-year in constant currency, exceeding the high end of guidance by ~150 basis points (company also cited a 21% subscription growth figure in commentary).
Strong RPO / CRPO Performance
RPO ended at approximately $28.2 billion, representing ~22.5% year-over-year constant-currency growth. Current RPO was $12.85 billion, up ~21% year-over-year in constant currency and ~200 basis points ahead of guidance. CRPO growth was reported at 25% (21% in constant currency), ~2 points above guidance.
Margin and Cash Flow Outperformance
Q4 non-GAAP operating margin was 31%, ~100 basis points above guidance. Full-year 2025 operating margin was 31% (up 150 bps YoY). Full-year free cash flow was $4.6 billion (+34% YoY) and full-year free cash flow margin was 35% (up 350 bps YoY). Q4 free cash flow margin was highlighted at 57% (up ~950 bps YoY).
Large Deal Volume and Enterprise Traction
244 deals greater than $1,000,000 in net new ACV in Q4 (including multiple new logos), seven deals greater than $10,000,000 reported, and 603 customers generating over $5,000,000 in ACV. Number of customers contributing $20,000,000+ rose over 30% YoY.
Now Assist & AI Monetization Acceleration
Now Assist surpassed $600,000,000 in ACV; Now Assist NNACV more than doubled YoY in Q4. Q4 saw nearly triple the number of >$1M deals QoQ for Now Assist; customers spending >$1M on Now Assist grew over 40%. Company is tracking toward a $1,000,000,000+ Now Assist ACV target for 2026.
Usage and Workflow Expansion
Monthly active users grew ~25%. Number of workflows grew >33% (from ~60,000,000,000 to ~80,000,000,000) and transactions grew >33% (from ~4,800,000,000,000 to ~6,400,000,000,000), indicating strong engagement and scale.
Industry and Product Area Strength
Transportation & logistics net new ACV >80% YoY; business & consumer services >70% YoY; financial services >40% YoY. ITOM net new ACV grew nearly 50% YoY; security & risk drove ~40% net new ACV growth YoY. Emerging areas (workflow data fabric, Raptor, CPQ, creator workflows) outperformed.
Strategic Partnerships and M&A to Extend Platform
Expanded partnerships with Microsoft, OpenAI, Anthropic, and NTT Data to accelerate AI-native workflows and interoperability. Announced acquisitions (e.g., Armis and VESA/Vezza) to add visibility and identity/governance layers for agentic AI; Armis expected to close in early H2 and expand security TAM.
Capital Allocation — Share Repurchase
Board authorized an incremental $5,000,000,000 share repurchase program with an immediate $2,000,000,000 accelerated share repurchase (ASR). Q4 buybacks of ~3,600,000 shares were completed and the company ended the year with >$10,000,000,000 in cash and investments.
2026 Guidance — Durable Growth and Margin Expansion
FY2026 subscription revenue guidance of $15.53B–$15.57B (19.5%–20% YoY constant-currency growth, including ~1 point from Moveworks). FY2026 operating margin expected at ~32% (up ~100 bps YoY) and free cash flow margin at ~36% (up ~100 bps YoY). Q1 2026 subscription revenue guidance $3.65B–$3.655B (18.5%–19% YoY cc).
Negative Updates
Gross Margin Headwinds from Hyperscaler & AI Costs
Management cited gross margin pressure driven by incremental data center and public cloud investments and a shift toward hyperscaler capacity (hyperscaler arrangements currently yield slightly lower gross margins). LLM inference / API costs were discussed as a headwind but described as largely manageable and offset by OpEx efficiencies.
Near-Term Mix Shift Impact
Q1 2026 guidance includes a ~1.5 point headwind from a mix shift of on‑prem to hosted revenue (partially driven by strong hyperscaler adoption), which may temper near-term growth margin dynamics.
Acquisition Dilution and Integration Timing
Armis (and related deals) are expected to contribute ~1 point to 2026 subscription revenue but potentially cause up to ~50 basis points of operating margin headwind in 2026. Management expects to absorb dilution by 2027, but near-term margin impact and integration execution remain watch‑points.
Procurement / Public Sector Timing
Government procurement cycles and a prior U.S. government shutdown shortened the quarter for federal deals; while management said this created upside for 2026, timing uncertainty in public sector procurement can delay deal recognition and booking cadence.
Investor Concern Over M&A Pace (Market Reaction)
Management referenced a market cap pullback (~$10B) tied to investor questions about rapid successive M&A announcements; while leadership framed acquisitions as strategic and already integrated, investor sentiment was initially unsettled.
Ongoing Questions on Consumption vs. Seat-Based Pricing
Management acknowledged customer desire for both flexibility and predictability; while hybrid pricing (subscription + consumption/assist packs) is resonating, the company cautioned that moving entirely to consumption-based pricing could risk customer predictability and slower adoption if not managed carefully.
Company Guidance
ServiceNow guided 2026 subscription revenues of $15,530M–$15,570M (≈19.5%–20% year‑over‑year CC growth, including a 1‑point contribution from Moveworks), subscription gross margin of 82%, non‑GAAP operating margin of 32% (up 100 bps YoY), and free cash flow margin of 36% (up 100 bps YoY and 350 bps ahead of the Financial Analyst Day target); GAAP diluted weighted average shares are expected to be ~1,050M. For Q1 2026 they guided subscription revenue of $3,650M–$3,655M (18.5%–19% YoY CC, including a 1‑pt contribution from Loopworks and a 1.5‑pt on‑prem→hosted mix headwind), CRPO growth of 20% CC (including a 1‑pt Moveworks benefit), and a 31.5% operating margin (with ~1,050M GAAP shares). They also expect Armis to close in H2 with roughly a 1‑pt subscription revenue contribution to 2026 (and up to a 50 bps operating‑margin headwind in 2026) and announced an incremental $5.0B share‑repurchase authorization with an immediate $2.0B ASR.

ServiceNow Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals: high and durable gross margins (~77%–79%), meaningfully improved profitability (TTM net margin ~13.7%, EBIT margin ~17.4%), conservative and improving leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.21 TTM), and robust/free-cash-flow generation ($4.6B TTM). Key risk in the dataset is the sharp TTM revenue growth deceleration (shown as 4.8%), which could pressure forward expectations if sustained.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Revenue has compounded strongly from $4.5B (2020) to $11.0B (2024) and $13.3B in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), supported by consistently high gross margins (~77%–79%). Profitability has structurally improved since 2021–2022 (net margin ~3%–4%), reaching ~13.7% in TTM, with operating margin also stepping up (EBIT margin ~17.4% TTM). Key watch-out: TTM revenue growth rate is shown as 4.8%, a sharp deceleration versus ~22%–30% levels in prior annual periods, which could pressure the valuation and future margin expansion if it persists.
Balance Sheet
90
Very Positive
The balance sheet looks conservative for a software business: leverage is low and improving, with debt-to-equity down from ~0.75 (2020) to ~0.24 (2024) and ~0.21 in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Equity has expanded meaningfully (to ~$14.8B TTM), supporting a larger asset base (~$26.0B TTM). Returns on equity are healthy (mid-teens in 2024/TTM), though below the 2023 peak, suggesting profitability is solid but not accelerating at the same pace as the balance sheet is scaling.
Cash Flow
92
Very Positive
Cash generation is a major strength: operating cash flow rose from ~$1.8B (2020) to $4.3B (2024) and $5.4B in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), with free cash flow reaching $4.6B TTM. Free cash flow growth is strong in TTM (15.6%), and free cash flow remains closely aligned with earnings (roughly 0.8x net income across periods), indicating generally good earnings quality. The main drawback is that the provided operating cash flow coverage metric remains below 1.0 and only modestly improving, implying cash flow is strong but not as dominant relative to the referenced base as best-in-class peers.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.28B10.98B8.97B7.25B5.90B
Gross Profit10.29B8.70B7.05B5.67B4.54B
EBITDA3.00B2.23B1.59B768.00M729.00M
Net Income1.75B1.43B1.73B325.00M230.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets26.04B20.38B17.39B13.30B10.80B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.28B5.76B4.88B4.28B3.30B
Total Debt3.20B2.28B2.28B2.23B2.21B
Total Liabilities13.07B10.77B9.76B8.27B7.10B
Stockholders Equity12.96B9.61B7.63B5.03B3.69B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.58B3.42B2.70B2.17B1.79B
Operating Cash Flow5.44B4.27B3.40B2.72B2.19B
Investing Cash Flow-1.69B-2.50B-2.17B-2.58B-1.61B
Financing Cash Flow-2.34B-1.34B-803.00M-344.00M-506.00M

ServiceNow Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price117.01
Price Trends
50DMA
150.98
Negative
100DMA
166.77
Negative
200DMA
178.86
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-8.64
Positive
RSI
25.34
Positive
STOCH
25.76
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NOW, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 117.01 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 135.03, below the 50-day MA of 150.98, and below the 200-day MA of 178.86, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -8.64 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 25.34 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NOW.

ServiceNow Risk Analysis

ServiceNow disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ServiceNow reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ServiceNow Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$198.92B28.3212.18%0.63%8.41%22.92%
73
Outperform
$122.39B70.0915.49%21.05%28.67%
71
Outperform
$46.19B73.747.34%13.35%-60.76%
69
Neutral
$45.35B438.083.52%26.63%-46.13%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
59
Neutral
$31.09B-167.87-15.35%19.51%53.35%
54
Neutral
$65.94B-47.75-53.32%28.48%-19.12%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NOW
ServiceNow
117.01
-87.18
-42.70%
CRM
Salesforce
212.29
-124.75
-37.01%
WDAY
Workday
175.63
-84.14
-32.39%
TEAM
Atlassian
118.18
-193.22
-62.05%
DDOG
Datadog
129.32
-13.84
-9.67%
SNOW
Snowflake
192.70
10.16
5.57%

ServiceNow Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsStock Split
ServiceNow tops Q4 guidance and accelerates AI expansion
Positive
Jan 28, 2026

On January 28, 2026, ServiceNow reported that it had exceeded its guidance across all fourth-quarter 2025 topline growth and profitability metrics, posting subscription revenue of $3.47 billion, up 21% year over year, and total revenue of $3.57 billion, up 20.5%, while current remaining performance obligations rose 25% to $12.85 billion and overall remaining performance obligations climbed 26.5% to $28.2 billion. The company highlighted rapid uptake of its AI offerings, including Now Assist whose net new ACV more than doubled, expanded partnerships with Anthropic, OpenAI, Microsoft, Figma, NTT DATA, Fiserv, and Panasonic Avionics, closed its acquisition of Moveworks, and announced plans to acquire Armis and Veza to build an end-to-end AI-driven security and identity stack. ServiceNow also stepped up capital returns with an additional $5 billion authorized for share repurchases following $597 million of buybacks in Q4, signaled an imminent $2 billion accelerated repurchase, completed a 5-for-1 stock split in December 2025, and committed CA$110 million to support AI adoption in Canada’s public sector, reinforcing its growth ambitions, AI leadership narrative, and confidence in long-term demand from global enterprise and government customers.

The most recent analyst rating on (NOW) stock is a Hold with a $148.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ServiceNow stock, see the NOW Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
ServiceNow Extends CEO McDermott Agreement, Updates Severance Policy
Positive
Dec 23, 2025

On December 23, 2025, ServiceNow amended the employment agreement of Chairman and CEO William R. McDermott, effective January 1, 2026, to secure his service with the company through at least December 31, 2030, in roles that may include CEO, co-CEO, Executive Chairman or Non-Executive Chairman, with compensation aligned to company performance and the scope of his responsibilities. The company also revised its Executive Severance Policy, effective January 1, 2026, enhancing and clarifying severance, equity vesting and benefit entitlements for the CEO in scenarios including qualifying terminations with or without a change in control, retirement after age 65, death, and disability, signaling an emphasis on leadership continuity and structured executive transition planning that could influence governance stability and long-term strategic execution for shareholders and other stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (NOW) stock is a Buy with a $255.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ServiceNow stock, see the NOW Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
ServiceNow Files Prospectus for Moveworks Acquisition Shares
Neutral
Dec 15, 2025

On December 15, 2025, ServiceNow filed a prospectus supplement with the SEC for the resale of shares acquired by stockholders through the acquisition of Moveworks, Inc. This filing may impact the company’s stock liquidity and shareholder composition.

The most recent analyst rating on (NOW) stock is a Sell with a $775.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ServiceNow stock, see the NOW Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsStock Split
ServiceNow Shareholders Approve 5-for-1 Stock Split
Positive
Dec 5, 2025

On December 5, 2025, ServiceNow‘s shareholders approved a 5-for-1 stock split, which will be effective on December 17, 2025. This move is expected to increase the number of shares and adjust trading on a split-adjusted basis starting December 18, 2025, potentially enhancing the company’s market positioning and shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (NOW) stock is a Buy with a $1225.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ServiceNow stock, see the NOW Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 30, 2026