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Salesforce.com (CRM)
NYSE:CRM

Salesforce (CRM) AI Stock Analysis

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CRM

Salesforce

(NYSE:CRM)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$212.00
▲(6.28% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/26/26
The score is supported primarily by strong and improving financial fundamentals (especially free cash flow generation and profitability) and an upbeat earnings outlook with raised long-term targets and significant capital returns. These positives are tempered by clearly weak technicals (price below major moving averages with negative MACD) and only moderate valuation support given the mid‑20s P/E and low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Free cash flow strength and conversion
Sustained, large free cash flow and very high cash conversion provide durable funding for R&D, acquisitions, and the $50B buyback/dividend program. Strong FCF reduces financing risk, supports capital returns, and gives flexibility to invest in platform scale and AI initiatives over multiple years.
Recurring revenue, backlog and large-deal momentum
Large, growing backlog and RPO give multi-quarter revenue visibility and protect near-term cash flow. Rising big-ticket wins and contract depth indicate strong enterprise penetration and upsell potential, supporting predictable recurring revenue and long-term commercial scale advantages.
Improving margins and profitability
Material margin recovery to mid-teens+ net margins and sustained high gross margins reflect operating leverage as cloud scale and AI products mature. Margin expansion guidance plus disciplined cost management enhance sustainable earnings power and strengthen free cash flow durability.
Negative Factors
Revenue growth deceleration
A marked slowdown in top-line growth reduces the runway for operating leverage and makes meeting elevated long-term targets harder without reacceleration. Slower organic growth increases reliance on upsells, product adoption gains or M&A to sustain multi-year revenue trajectories.
Concentration of recent growth on Agentforce/Data 360 and Informatica
Heavy dependence on a few product areas concentrates execution risk: if adoption, pricing, or cross-sell into legacy clouds lags, overall organic growth could falter. This structural concentration raises sensitivity to product-specific adoption cycles and integration execution over the next several quarters.
Monetization uncertainty and partner competitive risk
Evolving consumption-based monetization (AWUs/tokens) and immature pricing models create long-term margin and revenue predictability risk. Additionally, foundational model providers could shift into competitive roles, pressuring pricing power and complicating sustainable monetization of AI-enabled services.

Salesforce (CRM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Salesforce Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSalesforce, Inc. provides customer relationship management technology that brings companies and customers together worldwide. Its Customer 360 platform empowers its customers to work together to deliver connected experiences for their customers. The company's service offerings include Sales to store data, monitor leads and progress, forecast opportunities, gain insights through analytics and relationship intelligence, and deliver quotes, contracts, and invoices; and Service that enables companies to deliver trusted and highly personalized customer service and support at scale. Its service offerings also comprise flexible platform that enables companies of various sizes, locations, and industries to build business apps to bring them closer to their customers with drag-and-drop tools; online learning platform that allows anyone to learn in-demand Salesforce skills; and Slack, a system of engagement. In addition, the company's service offerings include Marketing offering that enables companies to plan, personalize, and optimize one-to-one customer marketing journeys; and Commerce offering, which empowers brands to unify the customer experience across mobile, web, social, and store commerce points. Further, its service offerings comprise Tableau, an end-to-end analytics solution serving various enterprise use cases; and MuleSoft, an integration offering that allows its customers to unlock data across their enterprise. The company provides its service offering for customers in financial services, healthcare and life sciences, manufacturing, and other industries. It also offers professional services; and in-person and online courses to certify its customers and partners on architecting, administering, deploying, and developing its service offerings. The company provides its services through direct sales; and consulting firms, systems integrators, and other partners. Salesforce, Inc. was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneySalesforce generates revenue primarily through subscription fees for its cloud-based software solutions. Its revenue model is predominantly based on a tiered pricing structure, where customers pay based on the number of users and the level of functionality they require. Key revenue streams include Sales Cloud, Service Cloud, Marketing Cloud, and additional products such as Tableau and MuleSoft, which are acquired technologies that integrate seamlessly with its core offerings. The company also benefits from professional services and training fees related to the deployment and optimization of its software. Significant partnerships with major tech companies, including Google and Amazon, enhance its offerings and expand its market reach, further contributing to its financial success.

Salesforce Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Salesforce is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsSalesforce's revenue growth is robust across all regions, with the Americas and EMEA showing steady increases. However, the Asia Pacific region faces challenges, particularly in Australia and India, which could hinder its growth momentum. The recent earnings call highlights strong overall financial performance, driven by the successful integration of Informatica and significant growth in AgentForce. Despite these strengths, the unpredictability in MuleSoft and Tableau revenues and weaknesses in marketing and commerce segments could pose risks to sustained growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

Salesforce Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 25, 2026
(Q4-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jun 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented multiple material positive developments: healthy top-line growth, sizable backlog and RPO expansion, rapid traction for Agentforce and Data 360 (large ARR growth and deal wins), strong usage metrics (19T tokens, 2.4B AWUs), upgraded FY30 target to $63B, and aggressive shareholder returns (dividend increase and $50B buyback). Challenges were acknowledged around Marketing/Commerce and Tableau performance, more modest organic CRPO beats in places, evolving monetization models (AWU/AELAs) with short-term margin neutrality but longer-term uncertainty, and partner-competitive risk. Overall, the positives — particularly the clear product and commercial momentum in Agentforce/Data 360, recurring revenue strength and capital allocation — substantially outweigh the isolated weaknesses, though execution on cross-sell and margin management will be important to sustain the momentum.
Q4-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Full-Year and Q4 Revenue Growth
FY26 revenue of $41.5B, up 10% year-over-year (9% constant currency). Q4 revenue of $11.2B, up 12% year-over-year (10% constant currency). Subscription and support grew slightly above 10% Y/Y.
Growing Backlog and Contract Metrics
CRPO ended Q4 at $35.1B, up ~16% Y/Y (13% constant currency). Total RPO reached $72B, up 14% year-over-year.
Agentforce and Data 360 Momentum
Agentforce + Data 360 ARR (including Informatica) exceeded $2.9B, up over 200% Y/Y. Agentforce ARR ~ $800M (up ~169% Y/Y). Agentforce closed 29,000 deals in its first 15 months (up 50% quarter-over-quarter); customers in production grew ~50% in Q4.
Large Deal Strength
Wins > $1M were up 26% Y/Y and wins > $10M were up 33% Y/Y. Company reported a record quarter with 12 deals above $10M (including one > $50M and three > $20M). More than 75% of top 100 wins included both Agentforce and Data 360.
New Performance Metrics & Usage Scale
Introduced Agentic Work Unit (AWU) metric: 2.4B AWUs to date and ~771M AWUs in Q4. Platform consumption scale: over 19 trillion tokens consumed to date.
Updated Long-Term Targets and Near-Term Guidance
Updated FY30 revenue target to $63B (implies ~11% CAGR FY26–FY30). FY27 revenue guidance initiated at $45.8B–$46.2B (~10%–11% growth). Q1 FY27 revenue guidance $11.03B–$11.08B (~12%–13% nominal growth; 10%–11% cc).
Capital Allocation & Shareholder Returns
Returned >$14B (99% of free cash flow) to shareholders in FY26. Board approved 5.8% dividend increase to $0.44/sh and increased share repurchase authorization to $50B.
Commercial Momentum & Cross-sell
More than 60% of Agentforce & Data 360 bookings in the quarter came from expansions of existing customers. Informatica contributed ~$1.1B of cloud ARR and featured in 6 of the top 10 wins, evidencing improved cross-sell and data-platform traction.
Margin Expansion & Operational Discipline
Delivered 60 basis points of margin expansion in FY26. FY27 non-GAAP operating margin guide of 34.3% (up ~20 bps) and GAAP operating margin guide of 20.9% (up ~80 bps). Company plans targeted investments partially funded by efficiency gains.
Negative Updates
Weakness in Marketing, Commerce and Tableau
Management cited continued weakness in Marketing and Commerce businesses and weaker-than-expected Tableau performance, including on‑prem timing impacts affecting Q4 results.
CRPO Growth Slightly Below Some Expectations (Organic Basis)
Organic CRPO growth was ~9% on an organic basis (management noted this was roughly in line with guidance but below some investors' expectations for a modest beat), prompting investor questions about breadth of reacceleration across the portfolio.
Revenue Concentration & Reliance on Agentforce Upsell
A material portion of recent growth is driven by Agentforce/Data 360 and Informatica; management must sustain cross-sell into legacy clouds to reaccelerate overall organic revenue (risk if adoption is uneven across customer base).
Token Costs and Monetization Uncertainties
Short‑term margin impact from model/token consumption is expected to be roughly neutral but token pricing could commoditize; AWU is a new metric and long-term monetization/pricing (AELAs, credits, consumption) remains evolving and still being standardized.
Partner Competitive Risk
Management acknowledged the theoretical risk that foundational model providers (e.g., Anthropic, OpenAI, others) could evolve into competitive platforms or shift dynamics, creating strategic uncertainty in long run.
Revenue Disclosure Changes & Transition
Company will reevaluate revenue-by-cloud disclosures in FY27, which introduces a transition in reporting that may temporarily reduce transparency into cloud-level performance until new disclosures are provided.
Company Guidance
Salesforce guided fiscal 2027 revenue of $45.8 billion to $46.2 billion (≈10–11% growth nominal and constant currency), subscription & support growth of ~11% YoY (cc), non‑GAAP operating margin of 34.3% (up 20 bps) and GAAP operating margin of 20.9% (up 80 bps); Q1 revenue is guided to $11.03–$11.08 billion (≈12–13% nominal, 10–11% cc) with Q1 CRPO growth ~14% nominal (~13% cc). The company raised its FY2030 revenue target to $63 billion (an 11% CAGR from FY26–FY30), increased its share‑repurchase authorization to $50 billion, raised the quarterly dividend 5.8% to $0.44, and expects continued investment to drive adoption while remaining margin‑disciplined; for context FY26 results included $41.5B revenue (+10% YoY, 9% cc), Q4 revenue $11.2B (+12% YoY, 10% cc), CRPO $35.1B (+16% YoY, 13% cc), total RPO $72B (+14% YoY), Agentforce & Data 360 ARR >$2.9B (+200% YoY), >19 trillion tokens consumed and 2.4 billion Agentic Work Units to date.

Salesforce Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cash flow is a major strength (free cash flow ~$14.4B in 2026 with ~11.7% growth and ~96% conversion vs net income), profitability has improved materially (net margin ~18% in 2026), and leverage looks manageable with declining debt. Offsets are slowing recent revenue growth and some margin/earnings volatility.
Income Statement
84
Very Positive
Salesforce shows solid top-line expansion over the period (revenue rising from ~$21.3B in 2021 to ~$41.5B in 2026), but growth has clearly decelerated in the most recent year (2026 revenue growth ~3.0%). Profitability has strengthened meaningfully versus 2022–2023, with net margin improving to ~18.0% in 2026 (vs ~0.7% in 2023) and gross margin holding strong in the mid-to-high 70% range. A notable watch item is margin volatility year-to-year (including a sharp dip in 2023) and a large step-down in EBITDA margin in 2026 versus 2025, suggesting earnings quality/mix is still moving around.
Balance Sheet
76
Positive
The balance sheet looks conservatively levered overall: debt has come down meaningfully from 2023–2024 levels to ~$6.7B in 2026, supported by a large equity base (~$59.1B). Total assets have expanded steadily to ~$112.3B, indicating scale and capacity to invest. The main concern is that returns on equity have been uneven historically (very low in 2022–2023 before improving in 2024–2025), pointing to some inconsistency in how efficiently equity capital has been translated into profits.
Cash Flow
91
Very Positive
Cash generation is a standout strength. Operating cash flow and free cash flow have climbed strongly over time (free cash flow from ~$4.1B in 2021 to ~$14.4B in 2026), and free cash flow growth remains robust in 2026 (~11.7%). Free cash flow tracks closely to net income (free cash flow is ~96% of net income in 2026), supporting earnings quality. The main weakness is that the provided cash-flow coverage metric is not consistently strong across earlier years, but overall cash conversion and absolute cash flow are very healthy.
BreakdownJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue41.52B37.90B34.86B31.35B26.49B
Gross Profit32.26B29.25B26.32B22.99B19.47B
EBITDA13.15B11.14B9.22B5.64B3.85B
Net Income7.46B6.20B4.14B208.00M1.44B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets112.31B102.93B99.82B98.85B95.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.56B14.03B14.19B12.51B10.54B
Total Debt6.74B11.39B12.59B14.09B13.98B
Total Liabilities53.16B41.76B40.18B40.49B37.08B
Stockholders Equity59.14B61.17B59.65B58.36B58.13B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow14.40B12.43B9.50B6.31B5.28B
Operating Cash Flow15.00B13.09B10.23B7.11B6.00B
Investing Cash Flow-8.59B-3.16B-1.33B-1.99B-14.54B
Financing Cash Flow-8.08B-9.43B-7.48B-3.56B7.84B

Salesforce Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price199.47
Price Trends
50DMA
225.68
Negative
100DMA
235.67
Negative
200DMA
246.61
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-9.35
Negative
RSI
44.28
Neutral
STOCH
87.16
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CRM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 199.47 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 192.00, below the 50-day MA of 225.68, and below the 200-day MA of 246.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -9.35 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.16 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for CRM.

Salesforce Risk Analysis

Salesforce disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Salesforce reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Salesforce Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$112.98B64.7015.49%21.05%28.67%
71
Outperform
$182.52B24.9712.40%0.63%8.41%22.92%
70
Outperform
$13.95B304.032.31%19.21%75.32%
69
Neutral
$230.03B28.4216.64%1.07%11.85%167.23%
67
Neutral
$3.69B32.4210.43%28.62%186.67%
66
Neutral
$35.18B51.778.23%13.35%-60.76%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CRM
Salesforce
194.79
-96.37
-33.10%
SAP
SAP AG
201.53
-77.36
-27.74%
WDAY
Workday
133.76
-120.81
-47.46%
NOW
ServiceNow
108.01
-74.05
-40.67%
HUBS
HubSpot
264.51
-443.12
-62.62%
MNDY
Monday.com
72.64
-205.73
-73.91%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 26, 2026