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SAP SE
(NYSE:SAP)
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Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$164.00
▼(-9.50% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/04/26
Score is driven mainly by strong financial performance (high margins, conservative balance sheet, solid cash generation) and a supportive earnings update with maintained guidance and robust cloud momentum. The key constraint is weak-to-neutral technicals (price below major moving averages and negative MACD), with valuation only moderately attractive at a ~22x P/E and a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Cloud backlog and recurring revenue visibility
A 25% y/y rise in cloud backlog gives multi-quarter forward visibility for subscription revenue. Large, contracted backlog underpins predictable recurring cash flows, supports multi-year upsell and retention economics, and reduces reliance on sporadic license deals.
Negative Factors
Geopolitical exposure
Persistent Middle East conflict and potential Strait of Hormuz disruption create sustained downside risk to bookings, supply chains and customer investment cycles. This external uncertainty can compress demand and widen outcome ranges over multiple quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cloud backlog and recurring revenue visibility
A 25% y/y rise in cloud backlog gives multi-quarter forward visibility for subscription revenue. Large, contracted backlog underpins predictable recurring cash flows, supports multi-year upsell and retention economics, and reduces reliance on sporadic license deals.
Read all positive factors
SAP SE Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Cloud Backlog
Reflects the total value of future cloud service contracts, providing insight into anticipated revenue streams and the strength of customer demand for SAP's cloud offerings.
Reflects the total value of future cloud service contracts, providing insight into anticipated revenue streams and the strength of customer demand for SAP's cloud offerings.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlySAP SE (SAP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$184.07B
Dividend Yield1.07%
Average Volume (3M)2.74M
Price to Earnings (P/E)21.5
Beta (1Y)0.94
Revenue Growth14.77%
EPS Growth41.36%
CountryUS
Employees108,187
SectorTechnology
Sector Strength88
IndustrySoftware - Application
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)6.41
Shares Outstanding1,228,504,300
10 Day Avg. Volume2,088,352
30 Day Avg. Volume2,737,199
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.27
Price to Book (P/B)5.39
Price to Sales (P/S)6.55
P/FCF Ratio30.37
Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.84
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.16
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit5.71
Enterprise Value/Ebitda12.59
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$231.83Price Target Upside27.92% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering6
EPS Forecast (FY)8.39
Revenue Forecast (FY)$46.72B
SAP SE Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
SAP SE, founded in Walldorf, Germany, in 1972, is a global provider of diverse software applications, technology, and services. The company's core enterprise resource planning (ERP) platform, SAP S/4HANA, offers robust functionalities for finance,...
How the Company Makes Money
SAP primarily generates revenue by licensing and subscribing customers to its enterprise software and related cloud services, complemented by ongoing support and services. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Software and cloud subscriptions...
SAP SE Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Apr 23, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented multiple strong operational and financial achievements: double-digit total revenue growth (+12% to EUR 9.6B), robust cloud momentum (+27% cloud revenue, +25% cloud backlog), material profitability gains (non-IFRS operating profit +24%, 30% operating margin), strong customer wins and demonstrable AI-driven customer and internal productivity gains. These positives are tempered by macro and geopolitical uncertainty (Middle East conflict, potential Strait of Hormuz disruption), a planned modest deceleration in cloud growth, a sharp decline in software licenses (-33%), and near-term services revenue pressure. Management reiterated full-year guidance but noted it is contingent on a near-term stabilization and on contributions from the Reltio acquisition. Overall, the operational and financial strengths outweigh the risks discussed, though meaningful uncertainty remains.Positive Updates
Strong Cloud Backlog Growth
Current cloud backlog increased 25% year-on-year to EUR 21.9 billion, providing healthy forward visibility for cloud revenue.
Negative Updates
Geopolitical Risk and Uncertainty
Ongoing conflict in the Middle East (including potential Strait of Hormuz disruption) has created higher uncertainty; management warns a prolonged or escalated disruption could materially derail supply chains, customer investment behavior and the company's ability to meet outlook.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Cloud Backlog Growth
Current cloud backlog increased 25% year-on-year to EUR 21.9 billion, providing healthy forward visibility for cloud revenue.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
SAP maintained its full‑year 2026 outlook, noting key assumptions (near‑term de‑escalation in the Middle East, reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, cost mitigation and the expected contribution from the Reltio acquisition) while warning the conflict could materially derail results; Q1 metrics underpinning the guidance included current cloud backlog up 25% to EUR 21.9bn, cloud revenue up 27% (nearly €6bn), cloud ERP Suite revenue +30% (87% of cloud revenue growth), total revenue €9.6bn (+12%), software licenses −33%, non‑IFRS operating profit €2.9bn (+24%) and IFRS operating profit €2.7bn (+17%), an operating margin of 30% (+2.9 pp), IFRS/non‑IFRS cloud gross margins ~74.6%/75.2%, free cash flow €3.2bn (including a €408m payout), IFRS EPS €1.66 (+9%) and non‑IFRS EPS €1.72 (+20%), effective tax rates ~29.1/29.3%, and the company reiterated that less than 40% of 2025 cloud revenue was tied to named users; SAP expects a slight deceleration in current cloud backlog and cloud revenue growth into Q2, a wide range of outcomes given macro uncertainty (with the second half typically accounting for the lion’s share of bookings), plans to keep total expenses growing at roughly 80–90% of revenue growth, and targets around EUR 2bn run‑rate efficiencies by end‑2028.SAP SE Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 37.34B | 36.80B | 34.18B | 31.21B | 29.52B | 26.95B |
| Gross Profit | 27.18B | 26.81B | 24.93B | 22.53B | 21.48B | 19.73B |
| EBITDA | 12.33B | 12.07B | 7.08B | 8.03B | 8.28B | 10.99B |
| Net Income | 7.31B | 7.16B | 3.12B | 6.14B | 2.28B | 5.26B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 73.46B | 70.33B | 74.12B | 68.33B | 72.16B | 71.17B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 10.04B | 9.77B | 11.24B | 11.28B | 9.86B | 11.66B |
| Total Debt | 0.00 | 8.07B | 10.65B | 8.79B | 13.09B | 15.15B |
| Total Liabilities | 28.10B | 25.11B | 28.31B | 24.93B | 29.31B | 29.65B |
| Stockholders Equity | 44.86B | 44.73B | 45.44B | 43.16B | 40.13B | 38.85B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 8.06B | 7.94B | 4.42B | 5.55B | 4.77B | 5.52B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 8.86B | 8.65B | 5.22B | 6.33B | 5.65B | 6.22B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -283.02M | -1.33B | -667.00M | 906.00M | 667.00M | -3.06B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -9.93B | -7.85B | -3.40B | -7.73B | -6.34B | -56.00M |
SAP SE Technical Analysis
Negative
181.22
Price Trends
168.92
Negative
175.37
Negative
209.82
Negative
Market Momentum
-3.61
Negative
44.07
Neutral
72.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SAP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 181.22 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 159.55, above the 50-day MA of 168.92, and below the 200-day MA of 209.82, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -3.61 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SAP.
SAP SE Risk Analysis
SAP SE disclosed 13 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. SAP SE reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
SAP SE Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
81 Outperform | $136.43B | 19.21 | 14.95% | 0.63% | 10.98% | 34.24% | |
74 Outperform | $74.43B | 16.44 | 23.29% | 0.64% | 15.07% | 33.69% | |
73 Outperform | $111.15B | 63.78 | 14.98% | ― | 21.72% | 13.59% | |
72 Outperform | $184.07B | 21.52 | 17.25% | 1.07% | 14.77% | 41.36% | |
63 Neutral | $34.06B | 42.82 | 10.41% | ― | 13.70% | 76.27% | |
61 Neutral | $37.18B | 12.37 | -10.20% | 1.83% | 8.50% | -7.62% | |
58 Neutral | $90.57B | -74.24 | -57.21% | ― | 31.07% | 16.46% |
* Technology Sector Average
SAP
SAP SE
157.42
-150.64
-48.90%
INTU
Intuit
272.10
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CRM
Salesforce
166.58
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WDAY
Workday
137.88
-102.29
-42.59%
NOW
ServiceNow
107.78
-94.96
-46.84%
SNOW
Snowflake
261.31
39.41
17.76%
SAP SE Corporate Events
SAP Shareholders Approve All Proposals at 2026 Virtual AGM
May 8, 2026
SAP SE held its 2026 virtual Annual General Meeting of Shareholders on May 5, 2026, where investors voted on a wide range of governance, financial and structural items. Shareholder participation ranged around 67%–69% of capital stock, unders...
SAP SE Posts Strong Q1 2026 Cloud Growth and Confirms Full-Year Outlook
Apr 28, 2026
SAP SE, based in Walldorf, Germany, is a global enterprise software provider specializing in cloud-based ERP suites, business applications and related services for corporate and public-sector customers. The company has been accelerating its shift ...
SAP SE Sets Virtual 2026 AGM, Proposes €2.50 Dividend and New Capital Measures
Apr 21, 2026
SAP SE has convened its 2026 Annual General Meeting of Shareholders for May 5, 2026, to be held as a virtual-only event in accordance with German stock corporation law, with shareholders participating remotely rather than in person. The agenda cov...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.