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Intuit (INTU)
NASDAQ:INTU

Intuit (INTU) AI Stock Analysis

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INTU

Intuit

(NASDAQ:INTU)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$442.00
▲(8.06% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/27/26
Overall score reflects strong financial quality and a constructive earnings outlook with reaffirmed double-digit growth guidance and shareholder returns. This is tempered by notably weak technicals (broad downtrend across moving averages and negative momentum), while valuation is reasonable but not a major bargain cushion.
Positive Factors
Recurring subscription ecosystem
Intuit’s subscription-led QuickBooks and enterprise offerings drive durable recurring revenue and cross-sell. Strong mid-market adoption (QBO Advanced and IES growth) increases lifetime value, reduces churn risk, and supports multi-year revenue visibility and predictable cashflows.
High margins and strong cash generation
Sustained high gross and EBIT margins plus consistently strong free cash flow underpin capital returns and reinvestment capacity. Reliable cash conversion supports buybacks, dividend increases and funding for product investment, insulating the business during growth cyclicality.
AI adoption and payments momentum
Rapid AI agent adoption boosts product stickiness and productivity gains for customers, enhancing retention and upsell potential. Simultaneously accelerating payments volumes create recurring transaction revenue and deepen platform monetization, reinforcing structural ecosystem value.
Negative Factors
Mailchimp underperformance
Mailchimp’s prolonged recovery undermines a previously strategic marketing/business platform and dampens near- to medium-term growth contribution. Ongoing churn and slower acquisition among smaller customers may restrain cross-sell and margin leverage until product fixes and re-engagement take hold.
Sizeable absolute debt
Moderate but meaningful absolute debt increases interest and refinancing exposure, potentially limiting flexibility for large M&A or faster buybacks if growth slows or rates rise. While leverage is manageable, it reduces optionality in adverse macro or capital-intensive initiatives.
Slowing revenue growth & legacy segment drag
A clear deceleration in overall revenue growth and slower legacy desktop traction signal maturation headwinds. Sustaining margin expansion will rely more on cost control and upsells, leaving earnings sensitive to execution and making long-term growth restoration a multi-quarter effort.

Intuit (INTU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Intuit Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIntuit Inc. provides financial management and compliance products and services for consumers, small businesses, self-employed, and accounting professionals in the United States, Canada, and internationally. The company operates in four segments: Small Business & Self-Employed, Consumer, Credit Karma, and ProConnect. The Small Business & Self-Employed segment provides QuickBooks online services and desktop software solutions comprising QuickBooks Online Advanced, a cloud-based solution; QuickBooks Enterprise, a hosted solution; QuickBooks Self-Employed solution; QuickBooks Commerce, a solution for product-based businesses; QuickBooks Online Accountant and QuickBooks Accountant Desktop Plus solutions; and payroll solutions, such as online payroll processing, direct deposit of employee paychecks, payroll reports, electronic payment of federal and state payroll taxes, and electronic filing of federal and state payroll tax forms. This segment also offers payment-processing solutions, including credit and debit cards, Apple Pay, and ACH payment services; QuickBooks Cash business bank account; and financial supplies and financing for small businesses. The Consumer segment provides TurboTax income tax preparation products and services; and personal finance. The Credit Karma segment offers consumers with a personal finance platform that provides personalized recommendations of home, auto, and personal loans, as well as credit cards and insurance products. The ProConnect segment provides Lacerte, ProSeries, and ProFile desktop tax-preparation software products; and ProConnect Tax Online tax products, electronic tax filing service, and bank products and related services. It sells products and services through various sales and distribution channels, including multi-channel shop-and-buy experiences, websites and call centers, mobile application stores, and retail and other channels. The company was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Mountain View, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyIntuit primarily generates revenue through subscription services, software licenses, and transaction-based fees. Its key revenue streams include: 1) **TurboTax**: Revenue is generated from software purchases, e-filing fees, and value-added services, such as live tax advice. 2) **QuickBooks**: This product line earns money through subscription fees for cloud-based services, as well as one-time sales of desktop versions. 3) **Payments and Payroll Services**: Intuit receives transaction fees from businesses that process payments through QuickBooks and payroll services. 4) **Consumer Services**: Intuit also offers additional financial products and services that contribute to revenue, such as credit monitoring and personal finance tools. Significant partnerships with banks and financial institutions enhance its ecosystem, driving customer acquisition and retention, thereby boosting overall earnings.

Intuit Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down sales across Intuit's various business lines, revealing which areas are strongest and where there might be opportunities or challenges.
Chart InsightsIntuit's Small Business and Self-Employed segment shows robust growth, reflecting a strategic focus on expanding its online ecosystem. The Consumer segment, driven by TurboTax Live, is experiencing significant seasonal peaks, aligning with the earnings call highlighting a 47% surge in TurboTax Live revenue. Credit Karma's consistent upward trajectory is notable, supported by a 32% annual growth. Despite Mailchimp's slight decline, Intuit's overall revenue growth of 16% and strong Q4 performance underscore its successful AI-driven strategies and mid-market expansion, positioning the company well for future growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

Intuit Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 21, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong execution and momentum across Intuit's core growth vectors (AI+HI, mid-market, payments, and consumer tax), backed by robust revenue growth (Q2 +17%), margin expansion and clear product adoption signals (AI agents, QuickBooks Live, payments). Management reiterated confident full-year guidance and announced aggressive capital returns. Key near-term challenges include Mailchimp underperformance, timing-related margin cadence into Q3, and market concerns about third-party LLM partnerships; however, management addressed controls and emphasized the strength of proprietary data and human-intelligence integration. Overall, the positives substantially outweigh the negatives.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Top-Line Growth
Total Q2 revenue of $4.7 billion, up 17% year-over-year; first-half revenue growth of 18%, demonstrating sustained momentum across the business.
Improved Profitability and EPS
GAAP operating income of $855 million versus $593 million a year ago; non-GAAP operating income of $1.5 billion versus $1.3 billion; GAAP diluted EPS of $2.48 versus $1.67; non-GAAP diluted EPS of $4.15 versus $3.32.
Online Ecosystem and Mid-Market Traction
Online ecosystem revenue grew ~21% in Q2 (25% excluding Mailchimp); QBO Advanced and Intuit Enterprise Suite online ecosystem revenue increased approximately 40%, highlighting accelerating mid-market adoption.
AI & HI Adoption and Productivity Gains
Over 3 million customers have used AI agents with >85% repeat engagement; accounting agents categorized 237 million transactions in January (over half of all transactions categorized that month); accounting agent saves ~12 hours/month and finance agents save ~17–18 hours/week for customers.
Payments and Cash-Flow Momentum
Total online payments volume (payments + bill pay) grew 29% in Q2; bill pay volume nearly doubled; payments volume excluding bill pay grew 17% (with a 1-point impact from winter storms).
QuickBooks Live and QuickBooks Online Strength
QuickBooks Live customer growth >50% in Q2; QuickBooks Online accounting revenue grew 24% year-over-year driven by higher effective prices, customer growth and mix shift.
Consumer Platform & Tax Performance
TurboTax revenue grew 12% in Q2 despite IRS returns being down >5 points through Feb 6; Credit Karma revenue grew 23%; ProTax revenue grew 7% in Q2. New AI tax agents delivering material customer value (e.g., cost-basis agent lowers taxable income by average ~$12,000 for users).
Go-to-Market and Partnerships Momentum
New Intuit Enterprise Suite (IES) contracts grew nearly 50% quarter-over-quarter; accountant-influenced new contracts were ~1/3 of new deals in Q2 (10 points higher than Q1). Strategic partnerships announced including a multiyear deal with Anthropic and apps in OpenAI's App Directory.
Capital Allocation and Financial Position
Repurchased $961 million of stock in Q2; Board increased quarterly dividend 15% to $1.20 per share; ended the quarter with approximately $3.0 billion in cash and investments and $6.2 billion of debt; company reaffirmed FY26 guidance: revenue $20.997B–$21.186B (growth 12%–13%) and EPS guidance (GAAP and non-GAAP) implying mid-teens EPS growth.
Negative Updates
Mailchimp Underperformance and Longer Fix Timeline
Mailchimp revenue was down slightly year-over-year and management said improving churn and acquisition among smaller customers is taking longer than expected; Mailchimp is now expected to return to double-digit growth sometime beyond fiscal 2026.
Near-Term Margin Timing and Q3 Pressure
Management noted Q2 overdelivery shifted some marketing and customer success costs into Q3 and moved spend to maximize ROI, contributing to a Q3 operating margin cadence that worried some investors despite reaffirmed full-year margin guidance.
Macro/Timing Headwinds in Tax and SMB Subsegments
IRS returns were down over 5 percentage points through Feb 6 (timing impact), and management noted micro businesses saw some decline in cash reserves; certain industry pockets (advertising, discretionary retail) showed softness.
Desktop Growth Slower than Cloud
Desktop ecosystem revenue grew 10% in Q2, but management expects desktop ecosystem revenue to grow only low single digits for fiscal 2026, signaling a slower legacy segment cadence.
Investor Concerns about Third-Party LLM Partnerships
Investors expressed worry about partnerships with third-party LLM providers (Anthropic/OpenAI) and potential risks; management emphasized controls (data and domain models remain within Intuit) but market perception remains a short-term lowlight.
One-Point External Impact to Payments Growth
Payments growth excluding bill pay was 17% and was impacted by a 1-point headwind from winter storms, indicating some sensitivity to external events in payments volume.
Company Guidance
Intuit reaffirmed fiscal 2026 guidance with total company revenue of $20.997B–$21.186B (growth 12%–13%); Global Business Solutions Group revenue +14%–15%; Consumer Group revenue +8%–9% (TurboTax +8%, Credit Karma +10%–13%, ProTax +2%–3%). GAAP diluted EPS guided to $15.49–$15.69 (up 13%–15%), non‑GAAP diluted EPS $22.98–$23.18 (up 14%–15%), and an expected GAAP tax rate of ~23%. Q3 guidance calls for ~10% revenue growth with GAAP EPS $10.56–$10.62 and non‑GAAP EPS $12.45–$12.51. On the balance sheet and capital allocation, Intuit finished the quarter with ~ $3B cash & investments, $6.2B debt, repurchased $961M of stock in Q2 and plans increased share buybacks, and the Board approved a $1.20 quarterly dividend (payable Apr 17, 2026; +15% YoY); Mailchimp is expected to return to double‑digit growth sometime beyond FY26.

Intuit Financial Statement Overview

Summary
High-quality fundamentals with durable profitability (very high gross margins and solid EBIT margins) and strong free cash flow generation with good earnings quality. The main offsets are a clear slowdown in TTM revenue growth and moderate but meaningful absolute debt, which can constrain flexibility if growth cools further.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
INTU shows consistently strong profitability with very high gross margins (roughly ~78%–83%) and solid operating profitability (EBIT margin ~21%–27%). Revenue has grown steadily across the period, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) growth at 3.54% (a clear slowdown versus prior double-digit years). Net profit margin remains healthy (about ~16%–22%), though it has not expanded meaningfully versus earlier peaks, suggesting growth is moderating even as profitability stays strong.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Leverage looks manageable: debt-to-equity is moderate (~0.34–0.46 historically) and sits at ~0.37 in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Equity has grown over time, supporting balance sheet resilience. Return on equity is strong and improving overall (about ~12.6% in 2022 to ~21.4% in TTM), but total debt remains sizable in absolute dollars, which can limit flexibility if growth slows further or financing conditions tighten.
Cash Flow
84
Very Positive
Cash generation is a key strength: operating cash flow and free cash flow are both large and rising, with TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) free cash flow growth of 7.65%. Free cash flow closely tracks earnings (free cash flow is ~0.94–0.98x net income), indicating good earnings quality. A watch item is that cash flow relative to EBITDA has been uneven (coverage below 1.0 in most recent periods), suggesting some working-capital or timing headwinds even though absolute cash flow remains strong.
BreakdownTTMJul 2025Jul 2024Jul 2023Jul 2022Jul 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue20.12B18.83B16.29B14.37B12.73B9.63B
Gross Profit16.34B15.21B12.82B11.22B10.32B7.95B
EBITDA6.58B5.89B4.58B4.04B3.37B2.95B
Net Income4.34B3.87B2.96B2.38B2.07B2.06B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets34.28B36.96B32.13B27.78B27.73B15.52B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.94B4.55B4.07B3.66B3.28B3.87B
Total Debt7.13B6.64B6.57B6.69B7.54B2.48B
Total Liabilities15.23B17.25B13.70B10.51B11.29B5.65B
Stockholders Equity19.05B19.71B18.44B17.27B16.44B9.87B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.84B6.08B4.63B4.79B3.66B3.13B
Operating Cash Flow6.98B6.21B4.88B5.05B3.89B3.25B
Investing Cash Flow-1.14B-2.32B-227.00M-922.00M-5.42B-3.96B
Financing Cash Flow-4.42B-1.51B-397.00M-4.27B1.73B-3.18B

Intuit Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price409.03
Price Trends
50DMA
533.50
Negative
100DMA
594.84
Negative
200DMA
658.57
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-42.66
Negative
RSI
39.62
Neutral
STOCH
76.84
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For INTU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 409.03 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 411.71, below the 50-day MA of 533.50, and below the 200-day MA of 658.57, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -42.66 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 39.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.84 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for INTU.

Intuit Risk Analysis

Intuit disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Intuit reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Intuit Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$113.12B28.0121.99%0.64%17.14%41.18%
71
Outperform
$182.52B24.9712.40%0.63%8.41%22.92%
69
Neutral
$230.03B28.4216.64%1.07%11.85%167.23%
67
Neutral
$52.12B46.9740.33%15.62%2.59%
66
Neutral
$35.18B51.778.23%13.35%-60.76%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
60
Neutral
$57.63B-42.62-54.09%28.48%-19.12%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
INTU
Intuit
409.03
-200.67
-32.91%
ADSK
Autodesk
245.87
-28.34
-10.34%
CRM
Salesforce
194.79
-101.13
-34.17%
SAP
SAP AG
201.53
-71.74
-26.25%
WDAY
Workday
133.76
-129.58
-49.21%
SNOW
Snowflake
168.41
-8.69
-4.91%

Intuit Corporate Events

Dividends
Intuit Board Declares Cash Dividend, Signals Ongoing Confidence
Positive
Feb 26, 2026

On February 26, 2026, Intuit announced that its board of directors approved a cash dividend of $1.20 per share, reinforcing its practice of returning capital to shareholders. The dividend is scheduled to be paid on April 17, 2026, to shareholders of record as of the close of business on April 9, 2026, signaling continued confidence in the company’s cash generation and financial position.

The most recent analyst rating on (INTU) stock is a Buy with a $396.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Intuit stock, see the INTU Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Intuit Secures New Short-Term Credit Facility for Refunds
Positive
Jan 30, 2026

On January 30, 2026, Intuit Inc. entered into a new Credit Agreement with a syndicate of lenders led by JPMorgan Chase Bank, establishing a $5.8 billion unsecured short-term revolving credit facility maturing on March 31, 2026, dedicated exclusively to funding the company’s early tax refund offering. The facility, which is incremental to Intuit’s existing commercial paper program and an earlier credit agreement dated January 9, 2026, allows borrowings at SOFR or a base rate plus a modest margin, carries a 0.07% commitment fee on unused commitments, and includes customary covenants such as a maximum consolidated leverage ratio, though Intuit had not drawn any funds as of the agreement date. The arrangement strengthens Intuit’s liquidity and operational capacity to advance federal tax refunds up to five days before IRS settlement—only after IRS confirmation and Treasury initiation of payment to a company-controlled account—reinforcing its position in consumer tax services while leveraging longstanding banking relationships for flexible seasonal funding support.

The most recent analyst rating on (INTU) stock is a Buy with a $598.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Intuit stock, see the INTU Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Intuit updates director pay and confirms board leadership
Neutral
Jan 27, 2026

On January 22, 2026, Intuit’s board approved an amended compensation program for non-employee directors, signaling an update to how the company rewards its outside board members. On the same day, at its annual meeting of stockholders, shareholders elected eleven directors, gave advisory approval to the company’s executive compensation, and ratified Ernst & Young LLP as Intuit’s independent auditor for the fiscal year ending July 31, 2026, while a shareholder proposal requesting a report on the return on investment of the company’s diversity and inclusion programs failed to gain approval, underscoring continued support for existing leadership and governance practices but limited investor appetite for additional mandated reporting in this area.

The most recent analyst rating on (INTU) stock is a Hold with a $615.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Intuit stock, see the INTU Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 27, 2026