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NACCO Industries (NC)
NYSE:NC

NACCO Industries (NC) AI Stock Analysis

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NC

NACCO Industries

(NYSE:NC)

Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$38.00
▲(4.45%Upside)
NACCO Industries is positioned well with strong financials and a low P/E ratio, suggesting potential undervaluation. The recent dividend increase and positive earnings call highlights, particularly in coal mining, bolster the outlook. However, challenges in cash flow conversion and certain operational segments temper the score.

NACCO Industries (NC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

NACCO Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNACCO Industries, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the natural resources business. The company operates through three segments: Coal Mining, North American Mining, and Minerals Management. The Coal Mining segment operates surface coal mines under long-term contracts for power generation companies and an activated carbon producer in North Dakota, Texas, Mississippi, and Louisiana in the United States, as well as Navajo Nation in New Mexico. The North American Mining segment provides value-added contract mining and other services for producers of aggregates, lithium, and other minerals; and contract mining services for independently owned mines and quarries in Florida, Texas, Arkansas, and Indiana. The Minerals Management segment is involved in the leasing of its royalty and mineral interests to third-party exploration and production companies, and other mining companies, which grants them the rights to explore, develop, mine, produce, market, and sell gas, oil, and coal. The company was founded in 1913 and is headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio.
How the Company Makes MoneyNACCO Industries generates revenue primarily through its coal mining operations, where it supplies coal to power generation companies under long-term contracts. This provides a stable and predictable revenue stream. Additionally, NACCO earns income from its minerals management services, which involve managing mineral and royalty interests. The company's revenue model benefits from its strategic focus on long-term contracts and its ability to provide specialized services to natural resources companies. Significant partnerships with power generation companies and strategic management of mineral assets are key factors contributing to its earnings.

NACCO Industries Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.96%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a generally positive outlook with strong financial performance and strategic advancements in key projects like coal mining and lithium production. However, challenges in specific segments such as North American Mining and Mississippi Lignite Mining, as well as anticipated financial adjustments, indicate areas of concern.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Consolidated operating profit increased over 60%, net income increased by 7%, and EBITDA increased by 14%.
Coal Mining Segment Success
Segment adjusted EBITDA more than tripled over the prior year due to higher pricing at Falkirk and increased customer demand at Coteau.
Positive Regulatory Environment
Encouragement from the current administration's actions fostering a more favorable regulatory environment for the fossil fuel industry.
Thacker Pass Lithium Project Progress
Lithium Americas and General Motors announced their final investment decision for Phase I of the project, seen as a positive step for the U.S. lithium supply chain.
Minerals Management Growth
Segment adjusted EBITDA increased by 10% over the prior year, driven by investments in the Hugoton Basin.
Negative Updates
Challenges in North American Mining
Reduced customer demand due to temporary one-off situations and a softer market led to a decrease in operating profit due to a significant reduction in ton sold and increased operating expenses.
Inventory Challenges at Mississippi Lignite Mining
High-cost coal inventory due to inefficiencies and lower contractually determined per-ton sales prices.
Anticipated Decrease in Net Income
Net income is expected to decrease moderately from 2024 due to a significant non-cash settlement charge anticipated upon the termination of the defined benefit pension plan.
Company Guidance
During the NACCO Industries First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, several key metrics and guidance were discussed. The company reported a 60% increase in consolidated operating profit, and a 7% rise in net income, with EBITDA up by 14%. The coal mining segment saw its adjusted EBITDA more than triple, driven by higher pricing at Falkirk and increased demand at Coteau. However, North American Mining experienced a decline in operating profit due to reduced customer demand and increased expenses, though improvements are expected in the second half of the year. Minerals Management reported a 10% increase in segment-adjusted EBITDA, with contributions from an investment in the Hugoton Basin expected to continue enhancing earnings. Looking forward, NACCO anticipates a moderate year-over-year increase in consolidated operating profit for 2025, with potential challenges in the coal segment offset by expected gains in North American Mining and continued strong performance from Minerals Management. The company's focus on expanding its portfolio and improving efficiencies across its segments aims to drive long-term value and profitability.

NACCO Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
NACCO Industries demonstrates a stable financial position with a strong equity base and improving revenue. However, there are concerns regarding profitability margins and cash flow generation. The company's low leverage is a positive aspect, providing flexibility, but cash conversion remains an area for improvement.
Income Statement
65
Positive
The company shows a mixed performance with improving revenue and profitability. The gross profit margin for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) is 12.91%, and the net profit margin is 13.63%. Revenue growth from 2024 to TTM is 5.15%, indicating a positive trend. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins have weakened compared to previous years, with TTM EBIT margin at 6.36% and EBITDA margin at 14.79%.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's balance sheet is stable with a strong equity base. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.26, indicating low leverage, and the equity ratio is 64.50%, suggesting high asset financing through equity. However, the return on equity (ROE) is modest at 8.33% for TTM, reflecting moderate profitability.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Cash flow metrics present both challenges and opportunities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.32, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is -0.46 for TTM, indicating issues with converting profits into cash. Free cash flow growth is negative, highlighting challenges in cash generation.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
249.99M237.71M214.79M241.72M191.85M128.43M
Gross Profit
32.28M29.76M14.59M67.84M43.45M16.97M
EBIT
15.90M35.70M-70.14M69.99M55.41M22.48M
EBITDA
36.98M63.86M-32.31M25.85M5.96M-20.72M
Net Income Common Stockholders
34.07M33.74M-39.59M74.16M48.13M14.79M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
61.84M72.83M85.11M110.75M86.00M88.45M
Total Assets
538.00M631.69M539.71M568.07M507.22M476.18M
Total Debt
57.84M108.56M46.22M27.20M30.44M57.66M
Net Debt
-4.01M35.72M-38.89M-83.55M-55.56M-30.79M
Total Liabilities
156.38M226.74M157.37M141.11M155.10M175.56M
Stockholders Equity
381.61M404.95M382.34M426.97M352.12M300.62M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-15.64M-32.42M-27.63M25.21M35.65M-32.67M
Operating Cash Flow
10.96M22.29M54.49M67.73M74.88M-2.49M
Investing Cash Flow
-65.19M-71.29M-81.60M-33.15M-44.15M-45.98M
Financing Cash Flow
28.16M36.73M1.47M-9.84M-33.17M14.03M

NACCO Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price36.38
Price Trends
50DMA
34.94
Positive
100DMA
33.43
Positive
200DMA
30.88
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.49
Negative
RSI
54.64
Neutral
STOCH
44.65
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 36.38 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.69, above the 50-day MA of 34.94, and above the 200-day MA of 30.88, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.49 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NC.

NACCO Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (57)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
NRNRP
70
Outperform
$1.26B9.2231.98%3.10%-19.21%-30.92%
SXSXC
70
Neutral
$697.52M7.4414.26%5.83%-8.76%51.59%
NCNC
68
Neutral
$276.19M8.038.62%2.52%14.70%
66
Neutral
$495.83M43.10-0.08%2.77%-10.23%-100.04%
HCHCC
65
Neutral
$2.42B22.885.20%0.68%-21.04%-75.78%
57
Neutral
$7.16B3.10-4.49%5.66%0.82%-49.15%
55
Neutral
$735.32M-107.44%-27.04%-892.84%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NC
NACCO Industries
36.38
4.71
14.87%
HNRG
Hallador Energy Company
16.81
8.57
104.00%
NRP
Natural Resource PRN
97.46
12.11
14.19%
SXC
Suncoke Energy
8.12
-1.16
-12.50%
METC
Ramaco Resources
9.71
-2.18
-18.33%
HCC
Warrior Met Coal
46.59
-20.60
-30.66%

NACCO Industries Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Lori Robinson Resigns from NACCO Industries Board
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

On May 27, 2025, Lori Robinson resigned from the Board of Directors of NACCO Industries, Inc., effective immediately. Her resignation was not due to any disagreements with the company’s operations, policies, or practices.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
NACCO Industries Approves Amended Equity Compensation Plan
Neutral
May 19, 2025

On February 19, 2025, NACCO Industries, Inc. adopted an Amended and Restated Non-Employee Directors’ Equity Compensation Plan, which was approved by stockholders on May 14, 2025. The plan increases the number of Class A Common shares available for issuance to 200,000 and extends the plan term to 2035, impacting the company’s governance and compensation structure. At the Annual Meeting on May 14, 2025, stockholders elected directors, approved the amended compensation plan, endorsed executive compensation, and ratified Ernst & Young LLP as the independent accounting firm.

Dividends
NACCO Industries Announces Dividend Increase
Positive
May 15, 2025

On May 15, 2025, NACCO Industries, Inc. announced an 11% increase in its regular quarterly cash dividend, raising it to 25.25 cents per share from the previous 22.75 cents. This dividend, applicable to both Class A and Class B Common Stock, will be paid on June 16, 2025, to shareholders recorded by May 30, 2025, reflecting an annual rate increase to $1.01 per share.

Business Operations and Strategy
NACCO Industries Subsidiary Ends Pension Plan
Neutral
Apr 28, 2025

On April 22, 2025, The Coteau Properties Company, a subsidiary of NACCO Industries, announced the termination of its Pension Plan effective June 30, 2025. The plan, a qualified defined benefit pension plan, will distribute its assets to participants, including Carroll L. Dewing, the company’s Senior Vice President. Mr. Dewing’s benefits were frozen in 2004 but adjusted for cost-of-living until 2013. He will receive his vested benefits, valued at $469,300, in accordance with the plan’s terms.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
NACCO Industries Releases Updated Investor Presentation
Neutral
Apr 9, 2025

On April 9, 2025, NACCO Industries, Inc. released an updated investor presentation on its website, providing historical information on the company’s operational results. This update is part of a regulatory filing but is not considered a formal submission under certain securities laws, indicating it is for informational purposes only and not subject to certain legal liabilities.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.