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Suncoke Energy (SXC)
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Suncoke Energy (SXC) AI Stock Analysis

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SXC

Suncoke Energy

(NYSE:SXC)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$7.00
▼(-10.26% Downside)
Suncoke Energy's overall stock score reflects significant challenges in financial performance and technical analysis, with declining profitability and bearish market momentum. However, the stock's attractive valuation and high dividend yield provide some offsetting value. The earnings call highlighted both ongoing challenges and potential future improvements, contributing to a moderate score.
Positive Factors
Strategic Partnerships
The extension of the agreement with U.S. Steel ensures stable revenue from a key customer, reinforcing SunCoke's market position and providing predictable cash flows.
Phoenix Global Acquisition
The acquisition of Phoenix Global is expected to drive synergies and enhance SunCoke's operational efficiency, potentially boosting profitability and competitive positioning in the logistics segment.
Dividend Stability
Consistent dividend payments reflect financial stability and a commitment to returning value to shareholders, enhancing investor confidence in the company's long-term prospects.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
The significant decline in revenue growth indicates challenges in maintaining sales momentum, which could impact future profitability and market share if not addressed.
Decreased Profitability
The sharp decline in gross profit margin suggests increased cost pressures and challenges in cost management, potentially affecting long-term profit sustainability.
Liquidity Concerns
The drastic reduction in free cash flow growth raises concerns about liquidity and the company's ability to fund operations and investments, potentially limiting strategic flexibility.

Suncoke Energy (SXC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Suncoke Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSunCoke Energy, Inc. (SXC) is a leading producer of metallurgical coke, primarily serving the steel industry. The company operates in two main segments: Coke and Coal Logistics. SunCoke's core products include metallurgical coke, which is essential for steel production, and various coal logistics services that enhance supply chain efficiency. With a commitment to sustainable practices, SunCoke also focuses on reducing emissions and optimizing energy usage in its operations.
How the Company Makes MoneySunCoke Energy generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of metallurgical coke, which is sold to steel manufacturers under long-term contracts. The company also earns from its Coal Logistics segment, which involves managing the transportation and handling of coal for its customers. Key revenue streams include fixed-price contracts with major steel producers, fee-based coal handling agreements, and ancillary services related to coal logistics. Additionally, SunCoke's partnerships with large steel mills and its strategic locations near major steel production hubs contribute to its earnings stability and growth potential.

Suncoke Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call highlighted some progress with the Phoenix Global acquisition and sequential improvement in adjusted EBITDA, but faced several challenges including a significant decline in net income, decreased adjusted EBITDA compared to the previous year, and financial impacts from a customer contract breach. The guidance was revised downwards, and there was an impact on free cash flow.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Sequential Improvement in Adjusted EBITDA
Delivered Q3 2025 consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $59.1 million, representing a sequential improvement over the second quarter.
Phoenix Global Acquisition
Completed the acquisition of Phoenix Global on August 1, and expect to begin recognizing synergies in 2026.
Extension of U.S. Steel Agreement
Extended coke-making agreement with U.S. Steel at Granite City through the end of 2025.
Dividend Declaration
Announced a quarterly dividend of $0.12 per share, marking the 25th consecutive quarter of dividend declaration.
Negative Updates
Decline in Net Income
Net income attributable to SunCoke was $0.26 per share in Q3 2025, down $0.10 versus the prior year period.
Decreased Adjusted EBITDA
Consolidated adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was $59.1 million compared to $75.3 million in the prior year period.
Customer Contract Breach
Deferral of the sale of approximately 200,000 coke tons due to a breach of contract by one of the customers (Algoma), impacting guidance.
Impact on Free Cash Flow
Expecting a $70 million unfavorable impact to free cash flow for the full year due to the deferral of cash receipts from a customer's breach of contract.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2025 earnings call, SunCoke Energy revised its consolidated adjusted EBITDA guidance to a range of $220 million to $225 million, reflecting the impact of a deferral of 200,000 tons of coke sales due to a breach of contract by a customer, Algoma. The company's domestic coke adjusted EBITDA is now expected to be between $172 million and $176 million, while the Industrial Services segment is projected to generate between $63 million and $67 million. Despite the challenges, SunCoke reported a sequential improvement in Q3 adjusted EBITDA to $59.1 million, though this was a decrease from the $75.3 million recorded in the same period last year. The company also announced a $0.12 per share dividend for the 25th consecutive quarter. SunCoke maintained a strong liquidity position with $206 million, factoring in cash and revolver availability post the Phoenix Global acquisition. Looking ahead to 2026, the company anticipates improvement, driven by the full-year integration of Phoenix Global and potential market recovery in its logistics operations.

Suncoke Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Suncoke Energy faces challenges in maintaining revenue and profitability, with declining margins and negative revenue growth. The balance sheet is stable with a balanced debt-to-equity ratio, but increasing debt levels could pose future risks. Cash flow metrics indicate potential liquidity issues, with significant declines in free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Suncoke Energy's income statement shows a decline in revenue and profitability over the TTM period. The gross profit margin decreased significantly from 17.15% in 2024 to 4.32% in TTM, indicating pressure on cost management. Net profit margin also declined from 4.96% to 3.53%. Revenue growth has been negative, with a -16.8% change in TTM, reflecting challenges in maintaining sales momentum. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a positive EBIT and EBITDA margin, though both have decreased compared to previous years.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of Suncoke Energy shows a stable debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 1.0 in TTM, indicating balanced leverage. The return on equity has decreased to 9.51% in TTM from 14.10% in 2024, reflecting reduced profitability. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a consistent capital structure. However, the increase in total debt over the years could pose a risk if profitability does not improve.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Suncoke Energy's cash flow statement indicates a significant decline in free cash flow growth, with a -70.39% change in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio has decreased to 0.50, suggesting reduced efficiency in converting income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio also declined, indicating challenges in generating free cash flow relative to net income. These trends highlight potential liquidity concerns if the situation does not improve.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.84B1.94B2.06B1.97B1.46B1.33B
Gross Profit254.10M332.00M338.60M367.60M337.20M284.80M
EBITDA212.50M270.80M267.90M296.20M243.50M209.10M
Net Income65.10M95.90M57.50M100.70M43.40M3.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.93B1.67B1.66B1.65B1.62B1.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments80.40M189.60M140.10M90.00M63.80M48.40M
Total Debt708.60M503.50M492.80M532.20M616.80M679.90M
Total Liabilities1.21B957.20M1.01B1.03B1.08B1.11B
Stockholders Equity695.90M680.20M614.20M585.60M498.10M469.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow45.60M95.90M139.80M133.40M134.50M83.90M
Operating Cash Flow113.40M168.80M249.00M208.90M233.10M157.80M
Investing Cash Flow-339.70M-72.30M-109.20M-70.20M-99.30M-75.30M
Financing Cash Flow141.60M-47.00M-89.70M-112.50M-118.40M-131.20M

Suncoke Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.80
Price Trends
50DMA
7.95
Negative
100DMA
7.94
Negative
200DMA
8.37
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.31
Positive
RSI
32.67
Neutral
STOCH
8.33
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SXC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.86, below the 50-day MA of 7.95, and below the 200-day MA of 8.37, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.31 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 8.33 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SXC.

Suncoke Energy Risk Analysis

Suncoke Energy disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Suncoke Energy reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Suncoke Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$3.21B13.1713.11%10.66%-9.45%-46.17%
66
Neutral
$4.27B121.601.67%0.39%-23.25%-90.78%
62
Neutral
$573.19M8.909.61%7.03%-6.44%-24.68%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
61
Neutral
$3.70B-0.87%1.16%-7.21%
56
Neutral
$2.18B-2.87%-32.53%-112.77%
45
Neutral
$1.53B-42.38-7.40%1.94%-16.99%-184.02%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SXC
Suncoke Energy
6.77
-5.24
-43.63%
ARLP
Alliance Resource
24.40
0.70
2.95%
AMR
Alpha Metallurgical Resources
169.33
-70.50
-29.40%
METC
Ramaco Resources
24.71
13.17
114.12%
HCC
Warrior Met Coal
81.19
10.12
14.24%
BTU
Peabody Energy Comm
30.39
2.63
9.47%

Suncoke Energy Corporate Events

SunCoke Energy Reports Q3 2025 Earnings and Updates
Nov 5, 2025

SunCoke Energy, Inc. is a company that supplies high-quality coke for steel production and offers industrial services, including material handling and logistics, primarily in the energy sector. In its third quarter of 2025, SunCoke Energy reported a net income of $23.8 million, a decrease from the previous year’s $33.3 million for the same period. The company’s Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA also saw a decline to $59.1 million from $75.3 million the previous year. Despite these declines, SunCoke completed the acquisition of Phoenix Global, which contributed positively to its Industrial Services segment, though the Domestic Coke segment faced challenges due to an unfavorable mix of contract and spot coke sales. The extension of the Granite City cokemaking contract with U.S. Steel is expected to provide stability through the end of 2025. Looking forward, SunCoke Energy has updated its full-year 2025 guidance, projecting a Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA range of $220 million to $225 million, reflecting the integration of Phoenix Global and the impact of a breach of contract by a coke customer. The company remains optimistic about navigating market challenges and realizing synergies from its recent acquisition.

SunCoke Energy’s Earnings Call: Progress Amid Challenges
Nov 5, 2025

SunCoke Energy’s recent earnings call painted a mixed picture for the company, highlighting both progress and challenges. While there was a sequential improvement in adjusted EBITDA and the completion of the Phoenix Global acquisition, the call also revealed significant hurdles, including a decline in net income, decreased adjusted EBITDA compared to the previous year, and financial impacts from a customer contract breach. The company’s guidance was revised downwards, reflecting these challenges, and there was a noted impact on free cash flow.

Financial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
SunCoke Energy Reports Q3 Results and Phoenix Global Acquisition
Negative
Nov 4, 2025

On November 4, 2025, SunCoke Energy reported its third-quarter financial results, revealing a net income of $23.8 million, down from $33.3 million the previous year. The company completed the acquisition of Phoenix Global, which contributed to the Industrial Services segment, though overall revenues decreased by $3.1 million due to lower pricing and volumes in the Domestic Coke segment. The company updated its full-year 2025 Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA guidance to $220 million – $225 million, reflecting the integration of Phoenix Global and challenges in coke sales volumes.

The most recent analyst rating on (SXC) stock is a Hold with a $9.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Suncoke Energy stock, see the SXC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2025