tiprankstipranks
Suncoke Energy Inc (SXC)
NYSE:SXC

Suncoke Energy (SXC) AI Stock Analysis

447 Followers

Top Page

SXC

Suncoke Energy

(NYSE:SXC)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$6.50
▲(5.35% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/18/26
The score is primarily held back by weakened 2025 profitability, sharp revenue decline, and higher leverage, partially offset by continued positive free cash flow. Guidance and commentary suggest a modest 2026 recovery with planned deleveraging, while valuation is attractive (low P/E and high dividend yield). Technical indicators are broadly neutral, offering limited incremental support.
Positive Factors
Positive free cash flow
SunCoke generated positive operating and free cash flow in 2025 despite earnings weakness; this cash-generation ability provides durable funding for dividends, debt paydown and capex. Sustained FCF supports management’s deleveraging plan and cushions cyclical volatility in steel demand.
Negative Factors
Rising leverage
Debt-to-equity increased materially in 2025, reducing financial flexibility and increasing interest and refinancing risk. Higher leverage constrains capital allocation, limits ability to absorb cyclical earnings shocks, and makes progress dependent on sustained free cash flow and successful execution of the deleveraging plan.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Positive free cash flow
SunCoke generated positive operating and free cash flow in 2025 despite earnings weakness; this cash-generation ability provides durable funding for dividends, debt paydown and capex. Sustained FCF supports management’s deleveraging plan and cushions cyclical volatility in steel demand.
Read all positive factors

Suncoke Energy (SXC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Suncoke Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
SunCoke Energy, Inc. operates as an independent producer of coke in the Americas and Brazil. The company operates through three segments: Domestic Coke, Brazil Coke, and Logistics. It offers metallurgical and thermal coal. The company also provide...
How the Company Makes Money
SunCoke makes money primarily by (1) producing coke and selling/supplying it to steelmakers under customer contracts and (2) providing logistics services related to handling and transporting raw materials and other bulk commodities. In its cokemak...

Suncoke Energy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Adjusted EBITDA by Segment
Adjusted EBITDA by Segment
Shows the cash-profit contribution of each business line (e.g., metallurgical coke, power) after routine adjustments. Highlights which segments generate the most earnings, how sensitive results are to steel demand and input costs, and where margins are expanding or shrinking.
Chart InsightsDomestic Coke’s EBITDA has lost momentum into 2025 and is the main drag—part seasonal volatility, part a material hit from a customer breach that deferred ~200k tons and forced lowered guidance and weaker free cash flow. Brazil Coke has dwindled to immaterial levels, removing a small cushion. Industrial Services is the growth lever: a sharp Q3 uptick (and the Aug. Phoenix Global close) points to 2026 upside as synergies ramp, so the stock’s turnaround hinges on tonnage recovery and successful integration driving EBITDA replacement.
Data provided by:The Fly

Suncoke Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 17, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presents a mixed but stabilizing picture: 2025 was a challenging year with notable EBITDA declines, domestic coke headwinds, an ongoing Algoma dispute, one‑time impairment and transaction charges, and short‑term operational disruptions. Offsetting this, management closed the Phoenix acquisition (integration progressing), Industrial Services growth materially improved, the company retains solid liquidity and dividend discipline, and 2026 guidance points to a meaningful recovery in consolidated EBITDA and free cash flow with a clear deleveraging plan.
Positive Updates
Consolidated 2025 Adjusted EBITDA and 2026 Guidance
Delivered consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $219.2M in 2025. Management guides to a recovery in 2026 with consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $230M–$250M (up ~4.9% to ~14.0% vs. 2025), and free cash flow guidance of $140M–$150M.
Negative Updates
Year‑over‑Year EBITDA Decline
Consolidated adjusted EBITDA declined $53.6M (≈19.7% YoY) to $219.2M in 2025. Q4 adjusted EBITDA was $56.7M, down $9.4M (≈14.2% YoY).
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Consolidated 2025 Adjusted EBITDA and 2026 Guidance
Delivered consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $219.2M in 2025. Management guides to a recovery in 2026 with consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $230M–$250M (up ~4.9% to ~14.0% vs. 2025), and free cash flow guidance of $140M–$150M.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
SunCoke guided 2026 consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $230–$250 million, with Domestic Coke EBITDA of $162–$168 million on roughly 3.4 million tons of sales (about a 500,000‑ton reduction from the Haverhill One closure and ~3.7 million tons of domestic blast‑furnace equivalent capacity) and Industrial Services EBITDA of $90–$100 million (including a full year of Phoenix Global, ~ $60M of incremental Phoenix EBITDA and $5–$10M of synergies, and ~24 million tons of terminals handling / ~22 million tons of steel customer volume). They expect CapEx of $90–$100 million, operating cash flow of $230–$250 million, free cash flow of $140–$150 million, corporate and other expenses up $5–$9 million, and plan to use excess free cash to pay down revolver borrowings to reach year‑end gross leverage around 2.45x (below the 3.0x target); management also flagged a roughly $10 million Q1 headwind from severe winter weather and a Middletown turbine outage (turbine expected back mid‑year) and reiterated continuation of the quarterly dividend (2025 dividend was ~$0.48/sh).

Suncoke Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials weakened materially in 2025: revenue declined sharply and results swung to a net loss with meaningful margin compression (income statement weakness). Leverage increased with debt-to-equity rising above 1.0 (balance-sheet risk). Offsetting these pressures, operating cash flow and free cash flow stayed positive, supporting a mid-range score despite deteriorating profitability.
Income Statement
44
Neutral
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
Cash Flow
61
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.84B1.94B2.06B1.97B1.46B
Gross Profit130.70M332.00M338.60M367.60M337.20M
EBITDA109.20M270.80M267.90M296.20M243.50M
Net Income-44.20M95.90M57.50M100.70M43.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.79B1.67B1.66B1.65B1.62B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments88.70M189.60M140.10M90.00M63.80M
Total Debt685.50M503.50M492.80M532.20M616.80M
Total Liabilities1.16B957.20M1.01B1.03B1.08B
Stockholders Equity597.30M680.20M614.20M585.60M498.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow42.30M95.90M139.80M133.40M134.50M
Operating Cash Flow109.10M168.80M249.00M208.90M233.10M
Investing Cash Flow-339.20M-72.30M-109.20M-70.20M-99.30M
Financing Cash Flow128.80M-47.00M-89.70M-112.50M-118.40M

Suncoke Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price6.17
Price Trends
50DMA
6.61
Negative
100DMA
6.88
Negative
200DMA
7.26
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Negative
RSI
47.99
Neutral
STOCH
24.90
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SXC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 6.17 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.33, below the 50-day MA of 6.61, and below the 200-day MA of 7.26, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.99 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SXC.

Suncoke Energy Risk Analysis

Suncoke Energy disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Suncoke Energy reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Suncoke Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$3.40B9.5817.15%11.05%-9.45%-46.37%
69
Neutral
$3.44B-1.47%0.96%-7.21%-106.39%
66
Neutral
$2.48B-42.11-3.88%-32.53%-112.77%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
60
Neutral
$4.64B81.302.71%0.36%-23.25%-90.78%
59
Neutral
$535.93M-13.93-6.66%6.72%-6.44%-24.68%
50
Neutral
$899.27M-18.74-12.01%2.83%-16.99%-184.02%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SXC
Suncoke Energy
6.17
-2.36
-27.68%
ARLP
Alliance Resource
25.65
1.47
6.08%
AMR
Alpha Metallurgical Resources
186.86
68.85
58.34%
METC
Ramaco Resources
13.23
4.85
57.84%
HCC
Warrior Met Coal
85.77
38.68
82.16%
BTU
Peabody Energy Comm
27.69
15.49
127.00%

Suncoke Energy Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
SunCoke Energy announces planned board and finance transition
Neutral
Feb 24, 2026
On February 24, 2026, SunCoke Energy, Inc. announced that longtime director Michael W. Lewis, 76, plans to retire from the board at the company’s annual meeting in May 2026 to focus on personal commitments, after serving since 2020 on both t...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
SunCoke Energy Posts 2025 Loss, Offers 2026 Outlook
Negative
Feb 17, 2026
On February 17, 2026, SunCoke Energy reported a full-year 2025 net loss attributable to shareholders of $44.2 million, or $0.52 per diluted share, and a fourth-quarter 2025 net loss of $85.6 million, or $1.00 per diluted share, as revenues decline...
Business Operations and Strategy
Suncoke Energy Extends Granite City Cokemaking Agreement
Positive
Jan 22, 2026
On January 22, 2026, SunCoke Energy, Inc. announced that it had agreed with United States Steel Corporation to extend their Granite City, Illinois cokemaking agreement for one year, covering the period from January 1 to December 31, 2026. Under th...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
SunCoke Energy Announces CFO Retirement and Successor Appointment
Positive
Jan 15, 2026
On January 15, 2026, SunCoke Energy, Inc. announced that long-serving Chief Financial Officer Mark W. Marinko will retire effective March 13, 2026, after playing a key role in major phases of the company’s evolution, including the acquisitio...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 18, 2026