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Suncoke Energy (SXC)
NYSE:SXC
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Suncoke Energy (SXC) AI Stock Analysis

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SXC

Suncoke Energy

(NYSE:SXC)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$10.00
▲(59.74% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/20/26
The score reflects pressured profitability and higher leverage (key drag) balanced by resilient/improving cash flow and supportive liquidity. Technically, momentum is positive with the stock above major moving averages, but overbought signals temper the near-term setup. Valuation is helped by a high dividend yield, though losses (negative P/E) constrain confidence in earnings-based valuation. Earnings-call guidance reaffirmation and strong cash flow are positives, but near-term operational execution remains a meaningful risk.
Positive Factors
Contracted & Diversified Business Model
SunCoke's core model combines metallurgical coke production under long-term, often dedicated or take-or-pay contracts with a logistics/terminal business. This two-segment setup materially diversifies revenue drivers, supports predictable volumes and contractually-linked cash flows, and reduces pure spot exposure over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
Higher leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.14) tightens the firm's financial cushion and increases sensitivity to persistent earnings weakness. While not distressed, elevated debt limits strategic optionality, raises interest/coverage risk if EBITDA softens, and makes achievement of management's target leverage materially important over the coming months.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Contracted & Diversified Business Model
SunCoke's core model combines metallurgical coke production under long-term, often dedicated or take-or-pay contracts with a logistics/terminal business. This two-segment setup materially diversifies revenue drivers, supports predictable volumes and contractually-linked cash flows, and reduces pure spot exposure over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Suncoke Energy Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Adjusted EBITDA by Segment
Adjusted EBITDA by Segment
Shows the cash-profit contribution of each business line (e.g., metallurgical coke, power) after routine adjustments. Highlights which segments generate the most earnings, how sensitive results are to steel demand and input costs, and where margins are expanding or shrinking.
Chart InsightsDomestic Coke has shifted from the company’s anchor to a clear drag—2025 shows a pronounced downshift driven by mix changes, the Algoma contract loss and the Haverhill shutdown, with only modest near‑term recovery implied by guidance. Brazil Coke has effectively disappeared by late‑2025, removing a small contribution. The real recovery lever is Industrial Services: post‑Phoenix it is accelerating and drove late‑2025 strength, and management is explicitly banking on ~ $60M of Phoenix EBITDA plus synergies to lift 2026 consolidated results and speed deleveraging.
Data provided by:The Fly

Suncoke Energy (SXC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Suncoke Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
SunCoke Energy, Inc. (SXC) functions as a prominent, standalone manufacturer of coke, conducting its operations across the Americas and in Brazil. The company structures its business into three primary divisions: Domestic Coke, Brazil Coke, and Lo...
How the Company Makes Money
SunCoke primarily makes money through (1) selling metallurgical coke and related byproducts and (2) providing bulk-materials logistics services. In its domestic coke business, revenue is generated by producing and delivering coke to steelmakers, c...

Suncoke Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a mixed picture: strong cash flow generation, ample liquidity, meaningful YoY improvement in Industrial Services driven by the Phoenix acquisition, and confidence in meeting full-year guidance are significant positives. Offsetting these are material short-term operational headwinds in the Domestic Coke business—primarily severe winter weather, a Middletown turbine outage and the Haverhill 1 shutdown—that drove lower coke volumes, a notable drop in domestic coke adjusted EBITDA (~29% YoY), and a small net loss per share in the quarter. Management communicated plans to restart Middletown power in late Q2 and to make up lost production over the balance of the year, which supports a constructive outlook but leaves near-term execution risks.
Positive Updates
Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA and Full-Year Guidance Reaffirmed
Delivered consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $56.5 million in Q1 2026 and management reaffirmed full-year consolidated adjusted EBITDA guidance of $230 million to $250 million, expressing confidence in achieving that range.
Negative Updates
Domestic Coke Adjusted EBITDA Decline
Domestic coke adjusted EBITDA fell to $35.3 million in Q1 2026 from $49.9 million in Q1 2025, a decline of $14.6 million or ~29% year-over-year, driven by severe winter weather impacts, lower power sales from the Middletown turbine failure, and the shutdown of the Haverhill 1 cokemaking facility.
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Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA and Full-Year Guidance Reaffirmed
Delivered consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $56.5 million in Q1 2026 and management reaffirmed full-year consolidated adjusted EBITDA guidance of $230 million to $250 million, expressing confidence in achieving that range.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
SunCoke reaffirmed full‑year guidance of consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $230–$250 million, with domestic coke adjusted EBITDA of $162–$168 million and Industrial Services adjusted EBITDA of $90–$100 million, noting the business is sold out for 2026, running at full capacity, expects Middletown power to resume late Q2 and to recover Q1 lost production, and targets gross leverage below 3x by end‑2026. First‑quarter metrics cited: consolidated adjusted EBITDA $56.5M; domestic coke adjusted EBITDA $35.3M on 842k tons (vs. 898k prior year); Industrial Services adjusted EBITDA $26.2M on 5.6M terminal tons and 5.6M steel customer tons; operating cash flow $72.7M; cash $104.4M; revolver availability $158M (ample liquidity $262M); $26M debt paydown; $17M CapEx; net loss $0.05 per share; and $10.7M of dividends paid at $0.12/share (27th consecutive quarter; next payable June 2, 2026), with Phoenix integration expected to add incremental contribution through the year.

Suncoke Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are mixed. Profitability has deteriorated into losses in 2025 and TTM as margins compressed, and leverage has increased (debt-to-equity ~1.14), which raises risk if weak earnings persist. Offsetting this, operating cash flow and free cash flow are positive and improved in TTM, supporting liquidity and debt paydown capacity.
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
68
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.86B1.84B1.94B2.06B1.97B1.46B
Gross Profit120.50M130.70M332.00M338.60M367.60M337.20M
EBITDA100.00M114.40M270.80M267.90M296.20M243.50M
Net Income-65.90M-44.20M95.90M57.50M100.70M43.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.73B1.79B1.67B1.66B1.65B1.62B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments104.40M88.70M189.60M140.10M90.00M63.80M
Total Debt662.40M685.50M503.50M492.80M532.20M616.80M
Total Liabilities1.12B1.16B957.20M1.01B1.03B1.08B
Stockholders Equity581.70M597.30M680.20M614.20M585.60M498.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow77.10M42.30M95.90M139.80M133.40M134.50M
Operating Cash Flow156.00M109.10M168.80M249.00M208.90M233.10M
Investing Cash Flow-350.30M-339.20M-72.30M-109.20M-70.20M-99.30M
Financing Cash Flow104.60M128.80M-47.00M-89.70M-112.50M-118.40M

Suncoke Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.26
Price Trends
50DMA
7.52
Positive
100DMA
7.12
Positive
200DMA
7.18
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.55
Positive
RSI
71.58
Negative
STOCH
61.31
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SXC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.26 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.84, below the 50-day MA of 7.52, and below the 200-day MA of 7.18, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.55 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 71.58 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SXC.

Suncoke Energy Risk Analysis

Suncoke Energy disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Suncoke Energy reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Suncoke Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$3.23B13.0613.66%11.05%-7.15%-11.05%
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
61
Neutral
$4.96B37.626.44%0.36%11.32%29.65%
56
Neutral
$801.86M-12.46-10.33%6.72%-1.41%-170.39%
53
Neutral
$2.40B-66.30-2.47%-19.15%-246.35%
53
Neutral
$3.21B-27.93-3.37%0.96%-6.75%-133.56%
48
Neutral
$926.74M-13.55-13.44%2.83%-16.66%-195120.00%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SXC
Suncoke Energy
9.59
1.84
23.76%
ARLP
Alliance Resource
25.03
1.44
6.12%
AMR
Alpha Metallurgical Resources
200.82
87.73
77.58%
METC
Ramaco Resources
15.26
3.87
33.98%
HCC
Warrior Met Coal
98.11
51.46
110.29%
BTU
Peabody Energy Comm
27.40
13.91
103.11%

Suncoke Energy Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Suncoke Energy Stockholders Back Board, Pay and Auditor
Positive
May 19, 2026
SunCoke Energy, Inc. held its 2026 Virtual Annual Meeting of Stockholders on May 14, 2026, with approximately 88% of outstanding common shares represented, establishing a strong quorum and demonstrating robust shareholder engagement. Stockholders ...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
SunCoke Energy Posts Q1 Loss but Reaffirms 2026 Outlook
Negative
Apr 30, 2026
On April 30, 2026, SunCoke Energy reported first-quarter 2026 results showing a net loss of $3.4 million, or a loss of $0.05 per diluted share attributable to SXC, versus a $19.4 million profit a year earlier, as storms, the shutdown of its Haverh...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 20, 2026