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Suncoke Energy (SXC)
:SXC

Suncoke Energy (SXC) AI Stock Analysis

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Suncoke Energy

(NYSE:SXC)

Rating:70Neutral
Price Target:
$9.50
▲(13.64%Upside)
Suncoke Energy's stock is bolstered by attractive valuation metrics and strong financial management. However, technical analysis indicates bearish trends, and earnings call highlighted some operational challenges. The company's strategic merger could provide future growth opportunities.
Positive Factors
Acquisition
The acquisition of Phoenix Global by SunCoke Energy will diversify its earnings, product offerings, and customer base both domestically and internationally.
Financial Performance
The transaction is forecast to be immediately accretive with annual synergies, enhancing SunCoke Energy's financial performance.
Growth Potential
Significant opportunities exist for SunCoke Energy to leverage its expertise to grow the platform organically in the electric arc furnace space.
Negative Factors
Domestic Coke Business
The decline is largely driven by a lower expected contribution from the domestic coke business.
Financial Risk
Reduced economics on the extended Granite City contract as well as more spot exposure in the second half at Haverhill will likely weigh on results in the back half of the year.
Margins
Margins will be pressured due to the combination of reduced economics on the previously extended Granite City contract as well as more spot exposure at Haverhill.

Suncoke Energy (SXC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Suncoke Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSunCoke Energy, Inc. operates as an independent producer of coke in the Americas and Brazil. The company operates through three segments: Domestic Coke, Brazil Coke, and Logistics. It offers metallurgical and thermal coal. The company also provides handling and/or mixing services to steel, coke, electric utility, coal producing, and other manufacturing based customers. In addition, it owns and operates five cokemaking facilities in the United States and one cokemaking facility in Brazil. SunCoke Energy, Inc. was founded in 1960 and is headquartered in Lisle, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneySunCoke Energy primarily generates revenue through its Domestic Coke segment by producing and selling coke to integrated steel mills under long-term, take-or-pay contracts. These agreements ensure a stable revenue stream by obligating customers to purchase a minimum amount of coke, regardless of their production needs. Additionally, SunCoke's Logistics segment contributes to its earnings by providing material handling and transportation services for coal and other bulk materials. This segment includes the operation of terminals and docks, leveraging strategic partnerships with steel manufacturers and other industrial clients to facilitate the movement of raw materials. The company's innovative heat recovery technology also allows it to produce and sell energy, adding an additional revenue stream.

Suncoke Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -13.55%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
SunCoke Energy demonstrated strong liquidity and growth in its logistics segment, maintaining its dividend and reaffirming full-year guidance despite a decline in adjusted EBITDA and net income due to challenging market conditions. The company is cautiously managing CapEx in response to uncertainties.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Liquidity Position
SunCoke Energy ended the first quarter with a liquidity position of $543.7 million, including a cash balance of $193.7 million and a fully undrawn revolver of $350 million.
Logistics Business Performance
Logistics segment generated $13.7 million in adjusted EBITDA in Q1 2025, up from $13 million in Q1 2024, driven by higher transloading volumes at CMT.
Dividend Announcement
SunCoke Energy announced a $0.12 per share dividend payable to shareholders on June 2, 2025.
Reaffirmed Full Year Guidance
The company reaffirmed its full-year consolidated adjusted EBITDA guidance range of $210 million to $225 million.
Negative Updates
Decreased Adjusted EBITDA
Consolidated adjusted EBITDA for Q1 2025 was $59.8 million compared to $67.9 million in the prior year period, mainly due to lower economics on the Granite City contract extension and lower spot blast coke sales volumes.
Net Income Decline
Net income attributable to SunCoke was $0.20 per share in Q1 2025, down $0.03 from the prior year period.
Challenging Spot Coke Market
The spot blast coke pricing environment remains highly challenged, impacting Domestic Coke business with lower sales volumes.
Potential CapEx Reduction
The company may not spend the planned $65 million in CapEx for the year, deferring some non-essential projects due to economic uncertainties.
Company Guidance
During the SunCoke Energy Q1 2025 earnings call, the company reaffirmed its full-year consolidated adjusted EBITDA guidance range of $210 million to $225 million. In the first quarter, SunCoke reported a consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $59.8 million, down from $67.9 million in the same period last year, primarily due to lower economics from the Granite City contract extension and reduced spot blast coke sales volumes. Despite these challenges, SunCoke maintained a strong liquidity position of $543.7 million and declared a $0.12 per share dividend payable on June 2, 2025. The Domestic Coke segment achieved a first-quarter adjusted EBITDA of $49.9 million, with sales volumes of 898,000 tons, while the Logistics segment generated $13.7 million in adjusted EBITDA, driven by higher transloading volumes. SunCoke's net income was $0.20 per share, and they ended the quarter with a cash balance of $193.7 million. The company plans to continue its disciplined approach to capital allocation, including potential growth opportunities.

Suncoke Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Suncoke Energy demonstrates solid financial health with stable gross profit margins and efficient cash flow management. However, inconsistent revenue growth and moderate leverage slightly detract from the overall financial performance.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Suncoke Energy's income statement shows a stable gross profit margin at 34.67% for TTM, indicating effective cost management. The net profit margin is 4.95%, with a slight decrease from the previous year, suggesting moderate profitability. Revenue growth has been inconsistent, with a decline in TTM revenue compared to the previous annual report. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins remain robust at 7.84% and 13.80% respectively, highlighting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.72 for TTM, which indicates a moderate level of leverage. Return on equity stands at 13.62%, reflecting a solid return on shareholder investments. With an equity ratio of 41.02%, Suncoke Energy maintains a stable capital structure, though there is room for improvement in reducing debt levels.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
The cash flow statement highlights a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.98 and a free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.31 for TTM, indicating efficient cash flow management and capacity to cover net income with cash. Free cash flow growth shows an increase, contributing positively to the financial health.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.88B1.94B2.06B1.97B1.46B1.33B
Gross Profit
290.80M332.00M338.60M367.60M337.20M284.80M
EBIT
147.60M151.90M125.10M153.70M141.50M69.70M
EBITDA
262.00M270.80M267.90M296.20M243.50M210.20M
Net Income Common Stockholders
93.20M95.90M57.50M100.70M43.40M8.80M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
193.70M189.60M140.10M90.00M63.80M48.40M
Total Assets
1.67B1.67B1.66B1.65B1.62B1.61B
Total Debt
495.70M495.00M490.30M532.20M613.60M676.90M
Net Debt
302.00M305.40M350.20M442.20M549.80M628.50M
Total Liabilities
953.90M957.20M1.01B1.03B1.08B1.11B
Stockholders Equity
684.60M680.20M614.20M585.60M498.10M469.00M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
122.30M95.90M139.80M133.40M134.50M83.90M
Operating Cash Flow
184.60M168.80M249.00M208.90M233.10M157.80M
Investing Cash Flow
-61.80M-72.30M-109.20M-70.20M-99.30M-75.30M
Financing Cash Flow
-49.20M-47.00M-89.70M-112.50M-118.40M-131.20M

Suncoke Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price8.36
Price Trends
50DMA
8.68
Negative
100DMA
8.92
Negative
200DMA
9.37
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.11
Negative
RSI
47.34
Neutral
STOCH
56.56
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SXC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 8.36 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.31, below the 50-day MA of 8.68, and below the 200-day MA of 9.37, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.56 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SXC.

Suncoke Energy Risk Analysis

Suncoke Energy disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Suncoke Energy reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Suncoke Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
BTBTU
76
Outperform
$1.65B5.1010.33%2.13%-7.42%-26.06%
NRNRP
70
Neutral
$1.27B9.2731.98%3.11%-19.21%-30.92%
SXSXC
70
Neutral
$701.76M7.6014.26%5.79%-8.76%51.59%
HCHCC
62
Neutral
$2.46B23.215.20%0.68%-21.04%-75.78%
55
Neutral
$690.20M-107.44%-27.04%-892.84%
AMAMR
53
Neutral
$1.47B57.331.66%0.36%-23.34%-95.18%
51
Neutral
$2.01B-1.26-21.11%4.38%2.92%-30.46%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SXC
Suncoke Energy
8.36
-0.91
-9.82%
HNRG
Hallador Energy Company
16.29
8.59
111.56%
NRP
Natural Resource PRN
95.05
6.47
7.30%
AMR
Alpha Metallurgical Resources
115.71
-177.43
-60.53%
HCC
Warrior Met Coal
47.01
-19.05
-28.84%
BTU
Peabody Energy Comm
14.27
-8.01
-35.95%

Suncoke Energy Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
SunCoke Energy Announces Merger with Phoenix Global
Positive
May 28, 2025

SunCoke Energy, Inc. has announced a definitive Merger Agreement to acquire Flame Aggregator, LLC, which operates as Phoenix Global, a provider of critical mill services to steel producers. The merger, approved by both companies’ boards and a majority of Flame Aggregator’s unitholders, is valued at $325 million and is expected to close in the second half of 2025, pending regulatory approvals and other customary conditions. This acquisition is poised to enhance SunCoke’s position in the steel industry by integrating Phoenix Global’s services, potentially impacting stakeholders by expanding operational capabilities and market reach.

The most recent analyst rating on (SXC) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Suncoke Energy stock, see the SXC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
SunCoke Energy Holds Virtual Annual Stockholders Meeting
Positive
May 15, 2025

On May 15, 2025, SunCoke Energy held its Virtual Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where approximately 85.52% of the total outstanding shares were represented. Key outcomes included the election of directors Arthur F. Anton and Michael W. Lewis, approval of executive compensation, and the ratification of KPMG LLP as the independent auditor for 2025. These decisions reflect shareholder support for the company’s leadership and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (SXC) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Suncoke Energy stock, see the SXC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
SunCoke Energy Reports Q1 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Apr 30, 2025

On April 30, 2025, SunCoke Energy reported its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, showing a net income of $19.4 million, a decrease from $21.1 million in the previous year. The company faced challenges in the steel industry, impacting its Domestic Coke segment with reduced revenues and adjusted EBITDA due to lower spot coke sales and contract extension economics at Granite City. Despite these challenges, the logistics segment performed well with increased revenues and adjusted EBITDA driven by higher transloading volumes. SunCoke extended its Granite City contract with U.S. Steel and reaffirmed its full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance, indicating a strategic focus on navigating market uncertainties.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.