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Niagen Bioscience (NAGE)
NASDAQ:NAGE

Niagen Bioscience (NAGE) AI Stock Analysis

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Niagen Bioscience

(NASDAQ:NAGE)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$15.50
▲(9.00%Upside)
The overall stock score reflects strong financial improvements and a positive earnings call sentiment. Technical analysis supports an optimistic view, but valuation concerns due to a high P/E ratio and no dividend yield temper enthusiasm. Revenue growth challenges remain a critical area to watch.
Positive Factors
Clinical Study Results
Niagen Bioscience announced positive clinical study results recently published in the peer-reviewed journal Aging Cell.
Market Expansion
Niagen IV broadens U.S. clinic footprint, poised for further rapid market uptake.
Revenue Performance
Revenue outperforms expectations, with Niagen Bioscience reporting $30.5M in top-line revenue, exceeding forecasted figures.
Negative Factors
Clinical Study Uncertainty
Key clinical study in Parkinson's disease remains slated to potentially yield top-line results in 1H25, which could significantly impact the company's prospects.
Valuation Consideration
There is still little consideration in valuing NAGE's opportunity in rare and orphaned diseases, which is seen as a major positive for NAGE.

Niagen Bioscience (NAGE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Niagen Bioscience Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNiagen Bioscience (NAGE) is a biotechnology company specializing in the development and commercialization of advanced health supplements and nutraceuticals. The company operates within the sectors of health, wellness, and biotechnology, with a particular focus on products that enhance cellular health and promote longevity. Its core products include a range of supplements designed to support metabolism, energy production, and overall cellular function.
How the Company Makes MoneyNiagen Bioscience generates revenue primarily through the sale of its health supplements and nutraceutical products. The company's revenue model is based on direct consumer sales through both online platforms and retail partnerships. Additionally, Niagen Bioscience may engage in licensing agreements or partnerships with other health and wellness companies to expand the distribution and reach of its products. Collaborations with research institutions for product development and clinical trials also contribute to its business operations, potentially leading to new product offerings and revenue streams.

Niagen Bioscience Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 68.28%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Niagen Biosciences had a strong start to 2025 with significant revenue growth and net income achievement. The company saw impressive growth in e-commerce and ingredients, expanded its Niagen Plus availability, and improved gross margins. However, challenges persist with regulatory issues around NMN and misconceptions about NAD supplements. Additionally, there could be delays in obtaining study results for Parkinson's treatment. Overall, the positive achievements outweigh the challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Niagen Biosciences reported $30.5 million in revenue for Q1 2025, marking a 38% year-over-year increase.
Net Income Achievement
The company achieved a net income of $5.1 million, a significant improvement from a net loss of $0.5 million in the previous year.
E-commerce and Ingredient Growth
E-commerce sales grew by 31% year-over-year, while the Niagen ingredient business saw a 95% increase.
Expansion of Niagen Plus
Niagen Plus is now available in nearly 600 clinics nationwide, with plans to expand to 1,000 by year-end.
Patent Portfolio Expansion
A new composition of matter patent was granted, expanding protection for all salt forms of nicotinamide riboside.
Improved Gross Margin
Gross margin improved to 63.4%, up from 60.7% the previous year.
Increased Cash Flow
Net cash provided by operations was $7.9 million, compared to $300,000 in the same period last year.
Raised Full-Year Revenue Outlook
The full-year top-line growth outlook was raised to 20% to 25% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Regulatory Challenges with NMN
The FDA ruled NMN is not a lawful dietary ingredient, and Niagen supports enforcement against non-compliant NMN products.
Challenges with NAD Supplement Misconceptions
There are misconceptions about the effectiveness of NAD supplements, with three-quarters of NAD products on Amazon failing to meet label claims.
Potential Delays in Study Results
Results from the Phase 3 NOPARK study for Parkinson's disease may not be available for over a year due to the time needed for data analysis and publication.
Company Guidance
During the Niagen Biosciences' first quarter earnings call for fiscal 2025, several key financial metrics and strategic updates were highlighted. The company reported a revenue of $30.5 million, marking a 38% year-over-year increase, and a net income of $5.1 million. Cash generated from operations reached $7.9 million, with an ending cash balance of $55.6 million and no debt. The e-commerce sector was a significant driver of growth, contributing $16.8 million in net sales, a 31% increase from the previous year. The Niagen ingredient business also saw substantial growth, with sales reaching $8 million, a 95% year-over-year increase. Gross margin improved to 63.4%, up from 60.7% the previous year. The company's strategic initiatives include expanding the availability of Niagen Plus, now offered in nearly 600 clinics, and advancing research and regulatory engagements for pharmaceutical applications of NR (nicotinamide riboside), particularly in Parkinson's disease and ataxia-telangiectasia. The company also raised its full-year revenue growth outlook to 20%-25% year-over-year, reflecting confidence in the expanding NAD market.

Niagen Bioscience Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Chromadex shows strong profitability improvements with a positive net income turnaround and excellent cash flow growth. However, declining revenue presents a risk to sustained growth. The balance sheet remains robust with low leverage.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Chromadex shows a substantial recovery in net income from a loss of $4.94M in 2023 to a profit of $8.55M in 2024, indicating strong profitability improvements. However, revenue decreased from $83.57M in 2023 to $61.59M in 2024, resulting in a negative revenue growth rate, which is a concern. The company achieved a positive EBIT margin, shifting from a negative margin in the previous year, reflecting improved operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company has a strong equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.06, indicating low leverage. The equity ratio increased to 67.5% in 2024, up from 51.8% in 2023, highlighting a solid capital structure. Return on equity improved significantly with positive net income, reflecting enhanced shareholder value. The balance sheet is robust, but a reduction in total revenue could impact future stability.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Chromadex's free cash flow increased significantly from $6.97M in 2023 to $11.95M in 2024, showcasing strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating efficient conversion of income into cash. Despite a decrease in investing cash flow, the strong free cash flow growth signals good financial health.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue99.60M83.57M72.05M67.45M59.26M
Gross Profit61.59M50.78M42.80M41.49M35.27M
EBITDA9.21M-3.89M-16.74M-25.45M-18.34M
Net Income8.55M-4.94M-16.54M-27.13M-19.93M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets68.28M54.96M54.06M57.84M38.36M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments44.51M27.17M20.29M28.02M16.50M
Total Debt2.65M3.28M4.26M4.70M1.64M
Total Liabilities22.18M26.51M25.39M26.11M21.93M
Stockholders Equity46.09M28.46M28.67M31.73M16.42M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow11.95M6.97M-15.43M-24.57M-10.74M
Operating Cash Flow12.11M7.12M-15.10M-24.16M-10.60M
Investing Cash Flow-143.00K-143.00K-334.00K-409.00K-165.00K
Financing Cash Flow5.37M-90.00K7.65M36.09M8.65M

Niagen Bioscience Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.22
Price Trends
50DMA
10.60
Positive
100DMA
8.56
Positive
200DMA
6.90
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.97
Positive
RSI
66.93
Neutral
STOCH
53.64
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NAGE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.22 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.19, above the 50-day MA of 10.60, and above the 200-day MA of 6.90, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.97 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 66.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NAGE.

Niagen Bioscience Risk Analysis

Niagen Bioscience disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Niagen Bioscience reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Niagen Bioscience Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$1.06B80.0233.47%29.77%
60
Neutral
HK$15.14B5.55-7.43%5.48%11.72%-20.69%
SVSVA
50
Neutral
$460.27M-1.44%850.08%1.98%63.69%
49
Neutral
$629.01M-45.75%-11.76%-15.82%
48
Neutral
$491.34M-37.13%-38.14%29.69%
OPOPT
39
Underperform
$482.57M
-25.10%-7.06%
33
Underperform
$654.11M-71.44%19.94%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NAGE
Niagen Bioscience
14.22
11.49
420.88%
SVA
Sinovac Biotech
6.47
0.00
0.00%
BCYC
Bicycle Therapeutics
7.24
-13.00
-64.23%
OPT
Opthea Limited Sponsored ADR
3.20
1.27
65.80%
MRVI
Maravai Lifesciences Holdings
2.47
-4.69
-65.50%
SANA
Sana Biotechnology
2.81
-2.65
-48.53%

Niagen Bioscience Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Niagen Bioscience Approves Equity Plan Amendment
Positive
Jun 27, 2025

At the Annual Meeting of Stockholders on June 24, 2025, Niagen Bioscience‘s shareholders approved an amendment to the 2017 Equity Incentive Plan, increasing the available shares by 4.75 million. Additionally, the Employee Stock Purchase Plan was approved, allowing employees to purchase shares at a discounted rate. These decisions are expected to enhance employee engagement and align stakeholder interests with the company’s growth objectives.

The most recent analyst rating on (NAGE) stock is a Buy with a $6.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Niagen Bioscience stock, see the NAGE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Niagen Bioscience Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 7, 2025

On May 7, 2025, Niagen Bioscience, Inc. reported its financial results for the first quarter of 2025, revealing a significant year-over-year increase in net sales by 38% to $30.5 million, driven by strong demand for its Tru Niagen® and Niagen® ingredient products. The company achieved a gross margin of 63.4% and net income of $5.1 million, marking a substantial improvement from the previous year. Additionally, Niagen Bioscience announced an increased full-year outlook for 2025, expecting net sales growth between 20% and 25%, and highlighted its strategic rebranding and expansion of its NAD+ precursor patent portfolio, reinforcing its leadership in the healthy aging sector.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 28, 2025