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Vir Biotechnology (VIR)
NASDAQ:VIR
US Market

Vir Biotechnology (VIR) AI Stock Analysis

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VIR

Vir Biotechnology

(NASDAQ:VIR)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$8.00
▲(2.83% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (continued losses and negative cash flow) and limited earnings-based valuation support (negative P/E). These are partially offset by strong technical momentum and encouraging program progress plus liquidity/runway improvements highlighted in the earnings update and recent corporate developments.
Positive Factors
Cash runway extended
A multi-year cash runway into late 2027 materially reduces near-term financing pressure and allows Vir to advance pivotal trials and registrational activities without immediate dilution. This funding visibility supports strategic partnerships and execution of clinical milestones across programs.
Positive Phase 2 SOLSTICE data
Robust, durable viral suppression with a favorable safety profile strengthens the regimen's chance to become a standard of care for chronic hepatitis delta. Positive late-stage signal enhances regulatory and commercial prospects and makes partnerships/licensing outcomes more likely and valuable.
Low leverage balance sheet
Conservative financial leverage gives Vir flexibility to fund ongoing R&D and absorb trial timing risk without excessive interest burden. Low debt improves negotiation leverage with partners and preserves capacity for opportunistic licensing or M&A to augment the pipeline.
Negative Factors
Ongoing large net losses
Sustained multi-hundred-million quarterly losses consume cash and increase reliance on external financing or milestone payments. Continued negative profitability constrains reinvestment, pressures returns for equity holders, and raises the stakes on upcoming clinical readouts for long-term viability.
Severe revenue decline
A steep drop in revenue signals limited current commercial traction or lumpy partner/milestone recognition. Without stable revenue, Vir must rely on cash, licensing, or fundraising to sustain operations, increasing execution risk and making long-term self-sufficiency dependent on successful approvals.
Binary pipeline dependence
Vir's value proposition is pipeline-driven; regulatory approvals and commercial outcomes hinge on a few pivotal trials. Binary clinical outcomes and timing uncertainty create material execution risk: negative or delayed readouts would significantly impair growth prospects and capital strategy.

Vir Biotechnology (VIR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Vir Biotechnology Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVir Biotechnology, Inc., a commercial-stage immunology company, develops therapeutic products to treat and prevent serious infectious diseases. It develops Sotrovimab (VIR-7832), a SARS-CoV-2-neutralizing mAbs to treat and prevent COVID-19 infection under the Xevudy brand; VIR-2218 and VIR-3434 for the treatment of hepatitis B virus; VIR-2482 for the prevention of influenza A virus; and VIR-1111 for the prevention of human immunodeficiency virus. The company has grant agreements with Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation and National Institutes of Health; an option and license agreement with Brii Biosciences Limited and Brii Biosciences Offshore Limited; a collaboration and license agreement with Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.; license agreements with The Rockefeller University and MedImmune, Inc.; collaboration with WuXi Biologics and Glaxo Wellcome UK Ltd.; and a collaborative research agreement with GlaxoSmithKline Biologicals SA. It also has a manufacturing agreement with Samsung Biologics Co.,Ltd. for the manufacture of SARS-COV-2 antibodies; and clinical collaboration with Gilead Sciences, Inc. for chronic hepatitis B virus. Vir Biotechnology, Inc. was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyVir Biotechnology generates revenue primarily through the development and commercialization of its therapeutic products. Key revenue streams include sales of approved products, licensing agreements, and collaborations with pharmaceutical companies. The company has entered into significant partnerships, such as its collaboration with GlaxoSmithKline for the development of COVID-19 treatments, which can lead to milestone payments and royalties on future sales. Additionally, Vir may receive funding from government grants and contracts, especially during public health emergencies, contributing to its financial earnings.

Vir Biotechnology Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Provides insight into which business areas are driving sales, highlighting strengths and potential vulnerabilities in the company's revenue streams.
Chart InsightsVir Biotechnology's revenue from collaborations has experienced volatility, with recent quarters showing negative or minimal contributions. Despite this, the company is advancing its hepatitis delta and oncology programs, as highlighted in the latest earnings call. The focus on these strategic initiatives, alongside cost efficiency improvements, suggests a potential shift towards stabilizing revenues through new partnerships and commercialization efforts. However, the continued net losses and cash consumption underscore the financial challenges ahead, making the success of these programs crucial for future revenue growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

Vir Biotechnology Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant progress in key clinical programs and a strong financial position, with clear paths to future value creation. However, continuous financial losses and high R&D expenses remain challenges. The sentiment is balanced between the achievements and ongoing challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Completion of ECLIPSE 1 Enrollment
Successfully completed enrollment in ECLIPSE 1, the first registrational Phase III study for hepatitis delta, ahead of schedule. This positions the company well for regulatory submissions with top line data expected by early 2027.
Strong Financial Position
Ended the third quarter with approximately $810.7 million in cash, cash equivalents, and investments, with a projected cash runway extending into mid-2027.
Progress in Oncology Portfolio
Substantial progress in dose escalation for VIR-5500, a PSMA-targeted T-cell engager, with promising potential for future data updates expected in Q1 2026.
Cost Savings and Reduced Expenses
Year-over-year decrease in operating expenses by $46.2 million, driven by restructuring initiatives and lower licensing expenses.
Negative Updates
Continued Financial Losses
Reported a net loss of $163.1 million for the third quarter of 2025, though it was an improvement from the previous year's loss of $213.7 million.
High R&D Expenses
R&D expenses for the third quarter of 2025 were significant at $151.5 million, driven by milestone payments and increased clinical development expenses.
Dependence on Future Data
The success of upcoming programs heavily relies on future data updates, particularly for the VIR-5500 and other T-cell engager programs.
Company Guidance
During Vir Biotechnology's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided detailed guidance on its clinical programs and financial outlook. Key highlights included the completion of enrollment in the ECLIPSE 1 Phase III study for hepatitis delta, with primary completion expected by Q4 2026 and top-line data by Q1 2027. The company plans to present a comprehensive data update for the VIR-5500 T-cell engager in Q1 2026. The call also discussed the initiation of a combination study in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer. Financially, Vir reported a net loss of $163.1 million for the quarter, with R&D expenses totaling $151.5 million. The company ended the quarter with $810.7 million in cash and investments, projecting a cash runway into mid-2027.

Vir Biotechnology Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials remain weak overall: the income statement reflects declining revenue and continued net losses, and cash flow is negative with operating and free cash outflows. The balance sheet is a relative bright spot with low leverage (debt-to-equity 0.10), but negative ROE underscores ongoing value destruction.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Vir Biotechnology's income statement shows significant challenges with negative net profit margins and declining revenue growth. The TTM data reveals a gross profit margin of 95.53%, but this is overshadowed by a net loss, indicating inefficiencies in cost management. The revenue growth rate is negative, reflecting a downturn in sales performance. Overall, the company is struggling to maintain profitability.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet indicates a relatively low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.10, suggesting conservative leverage. However, the return on equity is negative, highlighting the company's inability to generate positive returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is stable, but the overall financial health is compromised by persistent losses.
Cash Flow
30
Negative
The cash flow statement shows negative operating and free cash flows, with a slight decline in free cash flow growth. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, indicating cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly above 1, suggesting some alignment between cash flow and reported earnings, but overall cash flow management remains a concern.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.86M74.20M86.18M1.62B1.10B67.25M
Gross Profit-438.52M-404.44M-486.65M994.83M581.54M67.25M
EBITDA-511.54M-508.91M-641.64M839.85M426.56M-291.54M
Net Income-499.65M-521.96M-615.06M515.84M528.58M-298.67M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.02B1.40B1.92B2.80B1.95B918.76M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments506.51M905.35M1.52B2.40B708.14M736.86M
Total Debt100.17M97.89M124.54M127.97M137.49M70.18M
Total Liabilities223.35M248.43M328.82M724.13M522.42M201.91M
Stockholders Equity796.10M1.15B1.59B2.08B1.43B716.85M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-460.43M-453.65M-800.36M1.60B-69.41M-197.49M
Operating Cash Flow-453.54M-446.35M-778.78M1.66B-47.59M-190.94M
Investing Cash Flow364.46M499.37M164.73M-1.19B-140.81M-9.86M
Financing Cash Flow4.01M4.39M7.38M34.76M100.33M529.47M

Vir Biotechnology Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price7.78
Price Trends
50DMA
6.31
Positive
100DMA
5.95
Positive
200DMA
5.57
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.42
Negative
RSI
67.50
Neutral
STOCH
93.94
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VIR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.78 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.57, above the 50-day MA of 6.31, and above the 200-day MA of 5.57, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.94 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for VIR.

Vir Biotechnology Risk Analysis

Vir Biotechnology disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Vir Biotechnology reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Vir Biotechnology Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$435.13M-9.03-43.11%-5.71%
55
Neutral
$1.05B-2.15-49.06%-78.55%7.74%
54
Neutral
$1.06B-15.76-22.38%2147.20%-269.99%
52
Neutral
$1.09B-53.89%175.62%19.63%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
47
Neutral
$1.30B-1.55-12.52%-82.84%
46
Neutral
$881.92M-6.97-19.61%38.16%48.43%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VIR
Vir Biotechnology
7.78
-2.62
-25.19%
XNCR
Xencor
12.38
-5.90
-32.28%
IOVA
Iovance Biotherapeutics
2.63
-3.22
-55.04%
AVXL
Anavex Life Sciences
4.91
-4.36
-47.03%
IVA
Inventiva
6.32
3.90
160.62%
SEPN
Septerna, Inc.
23.80
6.89
40.75%

Vir Biotechnology Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresProduct-Related Announcements
Vir Biotechnology advances hepatitis delta program and cash runway
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

On January 12, 2026, Vir Biotechnology reported updated positive Phase 2 SOLSTICE data in chronic hepatitis delta showing that combination therapy with tobevibart and elebsiran achieved undetectable HDV RNA in 88% of evaluable participants at Week 96, with a favorable safety profile and stronger viral suppression than tobevibart alone, reinforcing the potential of this regimen as a future standard of care. The company outlined progress in its registrational ECLIPSE Phase 3 program in chronic hepatitis delta, highlighted upcoming presentations of Phase 1 data for PSMA-targeted T-cell engager VIR-5500 in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer at a major oncology meeting, and noted continued advancement of its broader PRO-XTEN oncology portfolio, while disclosing an unaudited year-end 2025 cash and investment balance of about $781 million and an extended cash runway into the fourth quarter of 2027, supported by a regional licensing deal with Norgine and disciplined spending.

The most recent analyst rating on (VIR) stock is a Buy with a $13.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vir Biotechnology stock, see the VIR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Vir Biotechnology Secures Licensing Deal with Norgine
Positive
Dec 16, 2025

On December 16, 2025, Vir Biotechnology entered into a license agreement with Norgine Pharma UK Limited, granting Norgine exclusive commercial rights to a combination treatment for chronic hepatitis delta (CHD) in Europe, Australia, and New Zealand. Vir will receive an initial EUR 55 million reimbursement and up to EUR 495 million in milestones, with shared clinical development costs for ongoing trials. The combination treatment of tobevibart and elebsiran showed promising results in a Phase 2 trial, achieving significant virologic suppression and being well-tolerated, which could enhance Vir’s market positioning and impact stakeholders positively.

The most recent analyst rating on (VIR) stock is a Buy with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Vir Biotechnology stock, see the VIR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 30, 2026