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Xencor Inc (XNCR)
NASDAQ:XNCR

Xencor (XNCR) AI Stock Analysis

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XNCR

Xencor

(NASDAQ:XNCR)

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Neutral 43 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:43Neutral
Price Target:
$11.50
▼(-3.12% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/10/26
The score is driven primarily by weak financial performance (sharp revenue decline to $0 in 2025, heavy losses, and ongoing cash burn). Technicals also remain bearish with negative momentum and price below key moving averages. Valuation is constrained by losses (negative P/E), and recent corporate events add uncertainty via collaboration and royalty headwinds, partially offset by stated liquidity runway.
Positive Factors
Balance-sheet strength
Low leverage and a sizable equity/cash asset base provide durable financial flexibility across the next 2–6 months. This supports continued R&D spend, funds operations without immediate dilution, and reduces near-term refinancing pressure versus peers with weaker balance sheets.
Partnering-driven business model
A partnership-and-licensing model supplies milestone, upfront and royalty streams that can fund development without relying on product sales. Structurally this provides multiple non-dilutive funding levers and strategic tie-ins to large pharma, sustaining operations over the medium term.
Engineered-antibody platform
Proprietary Fc-engineering and bispecific antibody capabilities create a durable competitive advantage: they enable multiple programs, licensing opportunities, and technical differentiation that can drive partnership interest and recurring royalties if candidates progress.
Negative Factors
Revenue and profitability deterioration
A collapse to reported $0 revenue and sustained large losses materially weaken the company's ability to self-fund development. Over the next several months this undermines margin recovery prospects and elevates execution risk absent material new contract or milestone receipts.
Persistent cash burn
Large, sustained negative operating and free-cash-flow increases dependence on external financing or milestone receipts. Even with near-term runway, continued cash burn raises the probability of future dilution or constrained program funding within a 2–6 month horizon if expected inflows don't materialize.
Partnership and royalty uncertainty
A formalized Genentech wind-down and a U.S. royalty dispute with Alexion reduce expected future cash inflows and raise legal/contract risk. This structurally increases revenue volatility and weakens the reliability of partnership-derived funding over the medium term.

Xencor (XNCR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Xencor Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionXencor, Inc., a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery and development of engineered monoclonal antibody and cytokine therapeutics to treat patients with cancer and autoimmune diseases. The company provides Sotrovimab that targets the SARS-CoV-2 virus; Ultomiris for the treatment of patients with paroxysmal nocturnal hemoglobinuria and atypical hemolytic uremic syndrome; and Monjuvi for the treatment of patients with relapsed or refractory diffuse large B-cell lymphoma. It develops Plamotamab, a tumor-targeted antibody, which is in Phase I clinical trial to treat non-Hodgkin lymphoma; Vudalimab, a bispecific antibody, which is in Phase II clinical trial to treat metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer and other solid tumor types; and Tidutamab that is in Phase II clinical trial to treat neuroendocrine tumors. The company is also developing XmAb306, which is in Phase I clinical trial to treat solid tumors; XmAb104 and XmAb841, which are in Phase I clinical trial to treat patients with selected solid tumors; XmAb564 that is in Phase I clinical trial to treat autoimmune diseases; AMG 509, which is in Phase I clinical trial to treat prostate cancer; XmAb819 for patients with renal cell carcinoma; and Novartis XmAb. It develops VIR-3434, which is in Phase II clinical trial for patients with hepatitis B virus infection; VIR-2482 that is in Phase 1/2 clinical trial to trat influenza A; VIR-7832, which is in Phase 1b/2a trial to treat mild-to-moderate COVID-19; and BMS-986414 + BMS-986413 is in Phase 2/3 NIH ACTIV-2 trial in treating COVID-19. The company develops AIMab7195 to reduce blood serum levels of IgE that mediates allergic responses and allergic disease; Obexelimab to treat autoimmune disease; and Xpro1595 to treat patients with Alzheimer's disease, mild cognitive impairment, and depression. It has a license agreement with Caris Life Sciences. Xencor, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Monrovia, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyXencor generates revenue primarily through partnerships and collaborations with other pharmaceutical companies, whereby it licenses its proprietary XmAb technology for the development of new therapeutics. These partnerships often involve upfront payments, milestone payments as the partnered products progress through clinical development, and royalties on future sales. In addition, Xencor may also receive research funding from partners to support the development of collaborative projects. The company's revenue model is heavily reliant on the success of its clinical trials and the commercialization of its partnered products.

Xencor Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 27, 2024
(Q4-2023)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a positive outlook with significant pipeline progress and a strong financial position. However, safety concerns with vudalimab and a strategic pause on XmAb564 development were noted.
Q4-2023 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Position
Xencor ended 2023 with $697 million, providing runway into 2027 due to robust milestone and royalty revenues.
Clinical Pipeline Progress
Significant advancement in bispecific T-cell engagers for solid tumors, including vudalimab in prostate and lung cancer.
Encouraging Vudalimab Data
The prostate cancer monotherapy cohort showed a RECIST response rate of 35% and a disease control rate of 50%.
XmAb Bispecific Technology Development
XmAb bispecific technology shows promise for solid tumor selectivity, with ongoing studies in renal and prostate cancer.
Negative Updates
Safety Concerns with Vudalimab
One case of Grade 5 immune-related hepatitis was reported, raising safety considerations for the treatment.
Pause on XmAb564 Development
Development paused to focus on T-cell engagers, pending further validation of cytokines.
Company Guidance
During Xencor's fourth-quarter 2023 earnings call, the company provided comprehensive guidance on its clinical pipeline and financial outlook. They highlighted a significant focus on the development of bispecific T-cell engagers for solid tumors, including XmAb819 and XmAb808, with ongoing Phase I studies in renal cell carcinoma and prostate cancer, respectively. Vudalimab, a key candidate, showed promising monotherapy results in heavily pre-treated metastatic castrate-resistant prostate cancer patients, with a RECIST response rate of 35% and a PSA90 rate of 25%. Financially, Xencor bolstered its balance sheet through the partial monetization of Ultomiris and Monjuvi royalties, ending 2023 with $697 million, ensuring operational runway until 2027. The company's 2024 priorities include advancing its solid tumor bispecific programs and selecting the next IND candidate, while maintaining a strategic focus on T-cell engager discovery and development.

Xencor Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating results are very weak: revenue deteriorated sharply (including $0 reported revenue in 2025) with sustained, large net losses and deeply negative margins since 2022. Cash flow reinforces the risk, with significant operating and free-cash-flow burn from 2023–2025, despite a relatively strong, low-leverage balance sheet that provides some near-term flexibility.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Profitability and growth have deteriorated meaningfully. Revenue fell from $275.1M (2021) to $164.6M (2022), recovered modestly in 2023, then declined again in 2024 and dropped to $0 in 2025 (annual report), driving large losses (net income: -$55.2M in 2022 to -$133.1M in 2023, -$232.6M in 2024, and -$91.9M in 2025). Margins were solid in 2021 but have been deeply negative since 2022, indicating the cost structure is not supported by the current revenue base.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet remains a relative strength. Leverage is low-to-moderate with debt-to-equity improving to ~0.11 in 2025 from ~0.34 in 2024, supported by a sizable equity base ($635.6M in 2025) and substantial assets ($875.5M). The key weakness is persistent value erosion from losses, reflected in negative returns on equity across 2022–2025, which could pressure equity over time if profitability does not improve.
Cash Flow
22
Negative
Cash generation is weak and volatile. Operating cash flow was positive in 2022 (+$24.5M) but turned meaningfully negative in 2023–2025 (-$77.9M, -$202.2M, and -$135.1M), with free cash flow also consistently negative and worsening in 2023–2025. While free cash flow has generally moved in line with reported losses (free cash flow roughly matching net loss in recent years), the ongoing cash burn increases dependence on financing and raises execution risk.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue125.58M110.49M174.62M164.58M275.11M
Gross Profit115.06M110.49M174.62M164.58M275.11M
EBITDA-46.98M-186.17M-101.96M-45.70M90.14M
Net Income-91.92M-232.62M-133.13M-55.18M82.63M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets875.50M951.95M952.69M846.27M838.21M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments547.73M497.77M593.73M623.06M334.11M
Total Debt187.75M231.95M83.43M59.63M33.97M
Total Liabilities239.91M277.92M283.56M118.77M104.71M
Stockholders Equity635.59M677.61M668.80M727.50M733.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-138.27M-208.28M-96.37M-18.92M-32.83M
Operating Cash Flow-135.12M-202.19M-77.93M24.48M-16.85M
Investing Cash Flow139.99M-7.87M-110.56M-119.72M-46.25M
Financing Cash Flow8.23M197.15M188.72M5.70M43.04M

Xencor Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price11.87
Price Trends
50DMA
12.85
Negative
100DMA
14.11
Negative
200DMA
11.54
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.24
Negative
RSI
47.37
Neutral
STOCH
19.05
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XNCR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 11.87 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.94, below the 50-day MA of 12.85, and above the 200-day MA of 11.54, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.05 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for XNCR.

Xencor Risk Analysis

Xencor disclosed 53 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Xencor reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Xencor Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$2.19B-8.9813.28%1128.17%
60
Neutral
$1.81B-6.61-43.17%-16.50%33.02%
54
Neutral
$3.42B-28.57%-42.64%-39.78%
53
Neutral
$933.15M-3.61-51.07%-30.56%48.79%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$431.15M-1.37-63.76%407.86%30.35%
43
Neutral
$870.53M-42.71-14.58%38.16%48.43%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XNCR
Xencor
11.87
-1.76
-12.91%
DNTH
Dianthus Therapeutics
79.23
54.89
225.51%
AUTL
Autolus Therapeutics
1.62
-0.32
-16.49%
STOK
Stoke Therapeutics
38.31
30.36
381.89%
RLAY
Relay Therapeutics
10.14
6.87
210.09%
MRVI
Maravai Lifesciences Holdings
3.63
0.77
26.92%

Xencor Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Xencor, Genentech to End Protein Therapeutics Collaboration
Negative
Mar 9, 2026

Xencor, Inc., a biopharmaceutical developer of engineered protein therapeutics, has relied on collaborations with major pharma companies to advance candidates such as cytokine-Fc fusion proteins. Its business model emphasizes partnering for late-stage development and commercialization in key therapeutic areas.

On March 4, 2026, Xencor disclosed that Genentech, a unit of Roche, will terminate their collaboration and license agreement, effective September 4, 2026, after Roche had already removed the joint drug efbalropendekin alfa from its development pipeline in January 2025. Xencor had stopped cost-sharing in the first half of 2024 by opting out of co-development, leaving Genentech solely responsible for development activities, so the administrative termination largely formalizes a wind-down that was already reflected in operations and pipeline expectations.

The most recent analyst rating on (XNCR) stock is a Sell with a $10.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xencor stock, see the XNCR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresLegal Proceedings
Xencor Updates Outlook Amid Ultomiris Royalty Dispute
Negative
Mar 4, 2026

On March 2, 2026, Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc., licensee of Xencor’s XmAb Fc technology for Ultomiris, told Xencor it would no longer pay royalties on U.S. sales of the drug, while continuing to pay royalties on sales outside the United States. Xencor disputes Alexion’s position, is evaluating its options, and had previously forecast an additional $100 million to $120 million in U.S. Ultomiris royalties through 2028 tied to a recently issued U.S. patent.

Following the change in royalty expectations, Xencor updated its financial guidance but maintained that, based on current plans, it expects to end 2026 with $380 million to $400 million in cash, cash equivalents and marketable debt securities. The company said this liquidity should be sufficient to fund its research and development programs and operations into mid-2028, suggesting a solid near- to medium-term operating runway despite the U.S. Ultomiris royalty dispute.

The most recent analyst rating on (XNCR) stock is a Hold with a $11.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Xencor stock, see the XNCR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 10, 2026