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Kura Oncology (KURA)
NASDAQ:KURA
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Kura Oncology (KURA) AI Stock Analysis

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KURA

Kura Oncology

(NASDAQ:KURA)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$11.50
▲(18.80% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/22/26
The score is driven by strong technical momentum and a constructive earnings-call backdrop (early commercial traction, reiterated guidance, and continued clinical progress). These positives are tempered by weak financial performance from sustained losses and cash burn, and a challenging valuation setup given the negative P/E and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Commercial Launch Momentum
Sustained early adoption across multiple accounts, repeat prescriptions and physician switching signal that commercial demand exists beyond a pilot. Over months this supports a durable revenue ramp as prescribing patterns, account activation, and refill behavior become more predictable and scalable.
Negative Factors
Negative Cash Flow
Persistent operating and free cash flow deficits indicate the company must rely on external financing or partnership receipts to sustain R&D and commercialization. Over a multi‑quarter horizon, continued negative cash flow raises financing and execution risk if milestones or payments slip.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Commercial Launch Momentum
Sustained early adoption across multiple accounts, repeat prescriptions and physician switching signal that commercial demand exists beyond a pilot. Over months this supports a durable revenue ramp as prescribing patterns, account activation, and refill behavior become more predictable and scalable.
Read all positive factors

Kura Oncology (KURA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Kura Oncology Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Kura Oncology, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops medicines for the treatment of cancer in the United States. The company's pipeline consists of small molecule product candidates that target cancer. Its lead product candida...
How the Company Makes Money
Kura Oncology does not consistently generate revenue from product sales because, as a clinical-stage biotechnology company, it generally does not have approved commercial drugs. Its cash inflows have historically been primarily supported by financ...

Kura Oncology Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 12, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a largely positive commercial and clinical outlook: Comzifty's first full quarter produced $5.8M in revenue with strong early adoption signals (85 new patient starts, repeat prescriptions, switching, broad payer coverage >93%, rapid access times). The pipeline is active with multiple near‑term clinical catalysts (EHA, ASCO, multiple combination readouts) and COMMODORE‑17 enrollment is ahead of plan. Offsetting these positives are rising R&D and SG&A spending that widened the net loss (~27.7%), a quarter‑over‑quarter dip in collaboration revenue (~11.4%), and a roughly 13% decrease in cash vs. year‑end 2025. Management expects collaboration payments to extend runway and maintained multi‑year collaboration revenue guidance. Overall, the operational and clinical momentum appears to outweigh the near‑term financial headwinds, though continued execution and monitoring of burn and clinical readouts will be critical.
Positive Updates
Commercial Launch Momentum
Comzifty generated $5.8M in net product revenue in Q1 2026 (first full quarter of launch) vs. $0 in Q1 2025; 85 new patient starts and ~160 total prescriptions (reported as 157 in the call). Repeat prescriptions, early physician switching from other menin inhibitors, and expanding use across ~60 activated accounts indicate early adoption and real‑world uptake. Scripts are typically 1 month in duration and time from prescription to patient receipt is ~3 days.
Negative Updates
Rising R&D and SG&A Expenses
R&D expenses increased to $65.3M in Q1 2026 from $56.0M in Q1 2025 (increase of $9.3M, +16.6%) driven by ziftomenib combination trials and COMMODORE‑17 enrollment. SG&A rose to $31.6M from $22.8M (increase of $8.8M, +38.6%) driven by commercial launch costs.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Commercial Launch Momentum
Comzifty generated $5.8M in net product revenue in Q1 2026 (first full quarter of launch) vs. $0 in Q1 2025; 85 new patient starts and ~160 total prescriptions (reported as 157 in the call). Repeat prescriptions, early physician switching from other menin inhibitors, and expanding use across ~60 activated accounts indicate early adoption and real‑world uptake. Scripts are typically 1 month in duration and time from prescription to patient receipt is ~3 days.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Kura reiterated collaboration revenue guidance of $45–$55M for 2026 and $90–$110M for both 2027 and 2028, and said current cash, cash equivalents and short‑term investments of $580.8M (down from $667.2M at 12/31/25), together with anticipated Kyowa Kirin payments of $180M, are expected to fund the ziftomenib AML program through the first topline COMMODORE‑17 phase 3 readout (management referenced 2028 timing); operational launch metrics supporting the outlook included Q1 net product revenue of $5.8M, 85 new patient starts, ~160 total prescriptions across ~60 activated accounts, payer coverage at parity or better for >93% of covered lives (with >10 plans covering >12M lives), ~3‑day script‑to‑patient turnaround and gross‑to‑net in the ~20–30% range; Q1 P&L items reported were collaboration revenue $12.5M, R&D $65.3M, SG&A $31.6M, net loss $73.3M (including $8.4M of non‑cash stock‑based comp), and management reiterated a $350–$400M relapsed/refractory NPM1 market opportunity.

Kura Oncology Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Revenue is meaningful and growing with very high gross profitability, and leverage is low (debt-to-equity ~0.13). However, the company remains deeply unprofitable with expanding losses and negative operating/free cash flow, increasing financing and execution risk.
Income Statement
28
Negative
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
35
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue71.64M67.48M53.88M0.000.000.00
Gross Profit67.81M67.42M53.88M-849.00K0.000.00
EBITDA-298.10M-275.82M-169.50M-150.23M-134.85M-129.49M
Net Income-294.57M-278.67M-173.98M-152.63M-135.84M-130.47M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets652.55M738.36M760.16M448.94M456.31M534.05M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments580.82M667.24M727.39M423.96M437.99M517.96M
Total Debt24.27M20.46M16.59M17.20M14.02M6.88M
Total Liabilities544.67M564.23M346.52M51.66M36.03M27.44M
Stockholders Equity107.88M174.13M413.64M397.27M420.28M506.61M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-84.46M-70.70M133.84M-124.99M-110.69M-105.70M
Operating Cash Flow-77.98M-64.06M134.32M-124.82M-110.06M-104.55M
Investing Cash Flow64.08M-13.10M-101.59M15.56M32.63M-126.83M
Financing Cash Flow1.72M1.79M154.42M94.78M38.56M-3.44M

Kura Oncology Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price9.68
Price Trends
50DMA
8.97
Positive
100DMA
8.87
Positive
200DMA
9.14
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.30
Negative
RSI
70.71
Negative
STOCH
67.20
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KURA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 9.68 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 9.38, above the 50-day MA of 8.97, and above the 200-day MA of 9.14, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.71 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.20 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KURA.

Kura Oncology Risk Analysis

Kura Oncology disclosed 75 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Kura Oncology reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Kura Oncology Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$917.93M-141.95%5.37%-60.20%
58
Neutral
$3.66B-21.26-25.99%54.61%
57
Neutral
$1.26B-31.13-9.44%7295.60%58.57%
54
Neutral
$217.31M-17.04%-84.55%-1998.74%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$1.99B-15.04-42.66%-33.07%
50
Neutral
$946.70M39.24%150.30%59.74%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KURA
Kura Oncology
11.13
4.89
78.37%
ORKA
Oruka Therapeutics
58.69
47.50
424.49%
PHAT
Phathom Pharmaceuticals
11.58
7.35
173.76%
KROS
Keros Therapeutics
11.22
-2.94
-20.76%
TYRA
Tyra Bioscience
33.02
23.43
244.32%
SEPN
Septerna, Inc.
27.92
18.44
194.51%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 22, 2026