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Keros Therapeutics (KROS)
NASDAQ:KROS
US Market

Keros Therapeutics (KROS) AI Stock Analysis

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Keros Therapeutics

(NASDAQ:KROS)

Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$14.00
▼( -0.28% Downside)
Keros Therapeutics is in a growth phase with strong revenue increases but significant unprofitability typical of biotech firms. The balance sheet is strong, but the company relies heavily on external financing. Technical indicators show short-term positive momentum, while valuation remains challenging due to negative earnings.
Positive Factors
Pipeline Strategy
The results suggest therapeutic potential for KER-065 in Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy and other neuromuscular diseases, which supports KROS' broader pipeline strategy.
Product Development
KER-065 is quietly becoming the company’s best internal option, showing directional gains in lean mass, reductions in fat, and improved bone density over just 85 days.
Strategic Agreements
KROS's recent agreement with TAK for elritercept in low-risk myelodysplastic syndromes, myelofibrosis, and potentially other anemia indications is viewed positively.
Negative Factors
Clinical Trials
The early termination of the TROPOS trial in PAH due to pericardial effusions across all dose cohorts was a clear setback for cibotercept.
Safety Concerns
The safety signal likely reflects on-target vascular effects, raising concerns about fluid dynamics or endothelial integrity.
Study Finalization
Many details of the Ph2 study remain to be finalized, making the addition of the program into valuation appear premature.

Keros Therapeutics (KROS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Keros Therapeutics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKeros Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel treatments for patients suffering from hematological and musculoskeletal disorders with high unmet medical need. The company's lead protein therapeutic product candidate is KER-050, which is being developed for the treatment of low blood cell counts, or cytopenias, including anemia and thrombocytopenia in patients with myelodysplastic syndromes, and in patients with myelofibrosis. It is also developing small molecule product candidate KER-047 that is being developed for the treatment of anemia, and is currently in Phase 1 clinical trial; and KER-012, which is in Phase 1 clinical trial to treat disorders associated with bone loss, such as osteoporosis and osteogenesis imperfecta, and for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Lexington, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyKeros Therapeutics makes money primarily through the development and commercialization of its proprietary drug candidates. As a clinical-stage company, its revenue is currently generated through partnerships with larger pharmaceutical entities, research and development collaborations, and potential upfront and milestone payments from licensing agreements. The company's long-term revenue model aims to include income from the sales of approved therapies, contingent upon successful clinical trials and regulatory approvals.

Keros Therapeutics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Keros Therapeutics is experiencing significant revenue growth, but remains unprofitable with very high negative margins, typical of early-stage biotech firms. The balance sheet is strong with a high equity ratio and low debt, though the company requires ongoing financing due to negative cash flow from operations.
Income Statement
35
Negative
Keros Therapeutics has experienced significant revenue growth, with an increase from $151K in 2023 to $3.55M in 2024. However, the company remains unprofitable with a negative EBIT margin of -5937% and a net profit margin of -5277% in 2024. This highlights ongoing challenges in managing operating expenses relative to revenues, typical of early-stage biotech firms.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows a strong equity position with an equity ratio of 92.8% and a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.03. However, the company consistently incurs losses, which could affect its ability to sustain this financial structure long-term without additional financing.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Operating cash flow is negative, indicating the company is not generating sufficient cash from its operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is positive but reflects heavy reliance on external financing, as seen in the substantial financing cash flow in 2024. This is a common situation for biotech companies investing heavily in R&D.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
3.55M151.00K0.0020.10M0.00
Gross Profit
2.32M-664.00K-1.61M19.20M-605.00K
EBIT
-210.83M-169.94M-114.79M-56.37M-46.66M
EBITDA
-185.82M-152.18M-103.06M-56.37M-44.92M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-187.35M-152.99M-104.68M-58.74M-45.36M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
559.93M331.15M279.05M230.04M265.88M
Total Assets
615.89M370.02M306.78M255.25M269.44M
Total Debt
18.86M14.44M13.27M1.09M899.00K
Net Debt
-541.07M-316.70M-265.78M-228.95M-264.98M
Total Liabilities
44.33M37.81M29.36M12.08M7.72M
Stockholders Equity
571.55M332.21M277.42M243.17M261.72M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-162.80M-126.97M-71.30M-63.17M-37.19M
Operating Cash Flow
-160.87M-124.51M-70.06M-62.15M-36.89M
Investing Cash Flow
-1.93M-2.46M-1.24M-1.02M-294.00K
Financing Cash Flow
391.82M178.96M120.31M28.55M296.04M

Keros Therapeutics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price14.04
Price Trends
50DMA
12.64
Positive
100DMA
12.31
Positive
200DMA
32.38
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.32
Positive
RSI
59.26
Neutral
STOCH
74.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KROS, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 14.04 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.08, above the 50-day MA of 12.64, and below the 200-day MA of 32.38, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.32 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KROS.

Keros Therapeutics Risk Analysis

Keros Therapeutics disclosed 77 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Keros Therapeutics reported the most risks in the “Tech & Innovation” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
We may seek Fast Track Designation by the FDA for product candidates that we develop, and we may be unsuccessful. If we are successful, the designation may not actually lead to a faster development or regulatory review or approval process. Q4, 2024

Keros Therapeutics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (53)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
53
Neutral
$574.30M0.71%91657.69%97.21%
53
Neutral
$5.14B3.06-43.57%2.81%16.81%-0.12%
49
Neutral
$446.49M-63.53%-47.94%30.94%
48
Neutral
$472.51M-31.46%6.11%-37.79%
44
Neutral
$442.01M-216.14%203.23%-80.71%
41
Neutral
$530.72M-27.04%6.72%
40
Neutral
$574.20M-37.07%26.24%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KROS
Keros Therapeutics
14.16
-35.00
-71.20%
TBPH
Theravance Biopharma
9.49
0.94
10.99%
SAGE
SAGE Therapeutics
6.61
-4.71
-41.61%
MNMD
Mind Medicine
7.07
-0.88
-11.07%
MGTX
Meiragtx Holdings
5.06
-0.08
-1.56%
TYRA
Tyra Bioscience
9.59
-7.41
-43.59%

Keros Therapeutics Corporate Events

Other
Keros Therapeutics CEO to Speak at Healthcare Conference
Neutral
May 12, 2025

On May 12, 2025, Keros Therapeutics announced that its Chair and CEO, Jasbir S. Seehra, will participate in a fireside chat at the Bank of America 2025 Global Healthcare Conference on May 13, 2025. This participation highlights Keros’ engagement with the healthcare investment community and may enhance its visibility and influence within the industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (KROS) stock is a Buy with a $100.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Keros Therapeutics stock, see the KROS Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Keros Therapeutics CEO to Speak at Major Conferences
Neutral
Feb 28, 2025

On February 28, 2025, Keros Therapeutics announced that its Chair and CEO, Jasbir Seehra, will participate in fireside chat presentations at the TD Cowen 45th Annual Healthcare Conference on March 3, 2025, and the Leerink Partners Global Healthcare Conference on March 10, 2025. These events are significant as they provide Keros with a platform to discuss its innovative therapeutic developments and engage with stakeholders, potentially impacting its industry positioning and investor relations.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.