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Myriad Genetics (MYGN)
NASDAQ:MYGN

Myriad Genetics (MYGN) AI Stock Analysis

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Myriad Genetics

(NASDAQ:MYGN)

Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$5.00
▼(-11.19%Downside)
The most significant factor impacting Myriad Genetics' stock score is its weak financial performance, with declining revenues and persistent losses. Technical analysis indicates a bearish trend, which further pressures the stock. The valuation is notably poor, with a negative P/E ratio and no dividend yield. The earnings call outlined some growth areas but revised guidance downwards, highlighting ongoing challenges.
Positive Factors
Leadership
CEO Raha is acting with urgency, and focused on righting the ship.
Market Position
MYGN still has a leading position and high margins in markets that are consolidating around a profitability paradigm.
Product Development
A partnership with PATHOMIQ has been launched to advance AI-powered testing solutions, which is expected to accelerate the timeline for gaining Level 1 evidence for Prolaris.
Negative Factors
Competition
Intensifying competition in MYGN's end markets and continued price compression on the GeneSight franchise led to a downgrade from BUY to NEUTRAL.
Market Uncertainty
The strategic review by new management suggests significant uncertainty as it is expected to take several months, and the updated guidance might not be fully de-risked.
Revenue Challenges
Revenue for GeneSight declined significantly due to the loss of coverage from a major insurer, affecting the company's financial performance.

Myriad Genetics (MYGN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Myriad Genetics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMyriad Genetics, Inc., a genetic testing and precision medicine company, develops and commercializes genetic tests in the United States and internationally. The company offers molecular diagnostic tests for use in oncology, and women's and mental health applications. It provides MyRisk Hereditary Cancer Test, a DNA sequencing test for assessing the risks for hereditary cancers; BRACAnalysis CDx Germline Companion Diagnostic Test, a DNA sequencing test to help determine the therapy for patients with metastatic breast, ovarian, metastatic pancreatic, or metastatic prostate cancer with deleterious or suspected deleterious germline BRCA variants; and MyChoice CDx Companion Diagnostic Test, a tumor test that determines homologous recombination deficiency status in patients with ovarian cancer. The company also offers Prolaris Prostate Cancer Prognostic Test, a RNA expression tumor analysis for assessing the aggressiveness of prostate cancer; EndoPredict Breast Cancer Prognostic Test, a RNA expression test for assessing the aggressiveness of breast cancer; Precise Tumor, a solution for precision oncology; and Prequel Prenatal Screen, a non-invasive prenatal screening test conducted using maternal blood to screen for severe chromosomal disorders in a fetus. In addition, it provides Foresight Carrier Screen, a prenatal test for future parents to assess their risk of passing on a recessive genetic condition to their offspring; and GeneSight Psychotropic Mental Health Medication Test, a DNA genotyping test to aid psychotropic drug selection for patients suffering from depression, anxiety, ADHD, and other mental health conditions. Myriad Genetics, Inc. has a strategic collaboration with Illumina, Inc. and Intermountain Precision Genomics for an offering of germline and somatic tumor testing services. The company was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, Utah.
How the Company Makes MoneyMyriad Genetics generates revenue through the sale of its diagnostic products and services. The primary revenue streams include testing services, where healthcare providers order tests for patients, and the company charges a fee for analyzing the genetic information and providing insights. Additionally, Myriad partners with pharmaceutical companies for companion diagnostics, which helps in identifying patients who are most likely to benefit from specific therapies. The company also earns through licensing its technology and intellectual property to other entities. Reimbursement from insurance companies and government health programs is a significant factor affecting its earnings, as these determine the extent of coverage for the company's tests.

Myriad Genetics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -22.56%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Negative
The earnings call highlighted challenges with revenue decline and specific issues with GeneSight and hereditary cancer testing. However, some positive aspects included growth in prenatal testing and progress in the product pipeline. The company's guidance was revised downwards, indicating significant challenges ahead.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Prenatal Testing Growth
Prenatal testing was a highlight in the quarter with revenue growth of 11% year-over-year, and 15% excluding SneakPeak, driven by strong demand for ForeSight and Prequel tests.
Oncology Test Volume Growth
Continued strong demand for the myRisk test for cancer patients, with test volume growth of 11% year-over-year.
Product Pipeline Progress
The company is on track to launch its first gene combined carrier screening and NIPS assay within the next couple of months, and the first AI-enabled Prolaris test by the end of the year.
Gross Margin Improvement
Despite the revenue decline, gross margins expanded by 50 basis points, delivering a 69% gross margin due to lab efficiencies.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Total revenue declined 3% year-over-year, with significant underperformance in GeneSight and myRisk testing for unaffected patients in the women's health channel.
GeneSight Revenue Impact
GeneSight revenue was down 20% year-over-year due to the UnitedHealthcare coverage policy change and reduced commercial resources.
Updated Financial Guidance
2025 annual revenue guidance was lowered by $35 million from the prior midpoint, and OpEx was reduced by $25 million from the prior midpoint.
Hereditary Cancer Testing Challenges
Hereditary cancer revenue was down 2% for the quarter, impacted by slower-than-expected EMR integrations and lower-than-expected ramp in testing volume.
Company Guidance
During the Myriad Genetics First Quarter 2025 earnings call, the company updated its 2025 financial guidance due to various challenges, including a decline in GeneSight test volumes and a softer than expected ramp in unaffected hereditary cancer testing. Myriad now projects annual revenue between $807 million and $823 million, down $35 million from the prior midpoint, and adjusted operating expenses between $555 million and $565 million, reduced by $25 million from the prior midpoint. Despite these challenges, Myriad reported strong performance in its prenatal testing, with a revenue growth of 11% year-over-year, and the company plans to launch new products such as the combined carrier screening and NIPS assay, PRECISE MRD, and AI-enabled Prolaris to drive future growth.

Myriad Genetics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Myriad Genetics faces significant challenges with declining revenues and persistent losses impacting profitability and cash flow. The income statement shows a decline in revenue, negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, and a negative net income. The balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio and a strong equity position, but negative return on equity. Cash flow analysis reveals negative operating and free cash flow, indicating challenges in funding operations without external financing.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows a decline in revenue from $837.6M to $831.3M in TTM, indicating a negative revenue growth. The gross profit margin remains relatively stable with slight fluctuations, while net income remains negative, impacting net profit margins significantly. The company is experiencing negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, suggesting ongoing operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, with total debt increasing slightly but still manageable. The equity ratio is strong, indicating a solid asset base supported by equity. However, the return on equity is negative due to consistent net losses, signaling inefficiencies in generating shareholder value.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis reveals a negative operating cash flow, which has improved slightly in TTM. Free cash flow remains negative, indicating challenges in funding operations without external financing. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting issues in converting income into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue831.30M837.60M753.20M678.40M690.60M557.00M
Gross Profit582.00M585.40M517.00M476.40M493.00M378.80M
EBITDA-61.20M-59.50M-186.10M-67.80M14.10M-123.40M
Net Income-101.40M-127.30M-263.30M-112.00M-27.20M-223.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.01B1.03B1.15B1.20B1.32B1.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments91.80M102.40M140.90M114.90M339.80M150.70M
Total Debt157.60M140.30M152.10M145.00M92.30M0.00
Total Liabilities301.20M326.50M363.30M312.90M352.90M537.80M
Stockholders Equity704.90M701.10M783.20M885.80M967.80M881.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-35.80M-38.40M-184.20M-151.60M600.00K-40.10M
Operating Cash Flow-6.40M-8.70M-110.90M-106.30M18.60M-26.90M
Investing Cash Flow-13.10M-11.90M31.90M-77.50M274.40M61.60M
Financing Cash Flow15.00M-7.40M152.90M-8.00M-150.60M-1.00M

Myriad Genetics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price5.63
Price Trends
50DMA
5.28
Positive
100DMA
7.82
Negative
200DMA
13.04
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.06
Negative
RSI
60.69
Neutral
STOCH
80.56
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MYGN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 5.63 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.15, above the 50-day MA of 5.28, and below the 200-day MA of 13.04, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.56 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for MYGN.

Myriad Genetics Risk Analysis

Myriad Genetics disclosed 50 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Myriad Genetics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Myriad Genetics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$1.05B16.3621.57%25.92%
73
Outperform
$587.26M30.59-1.20%38.43%86.19%
70
Neutral
$1.77B-62.22%30.47%-26.63%
54
Neutral
€4.84B18.34-49.50%1.94%13.92%-4.82%
52
Neutral
$606.13M-3.61%1.71%76.00%
NENEO
51
Neutral
$953.63M-8.57%10.10%8.79%
45
Neutral
$509.74M-13.84%7.38%60.45%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MYGN
Myriad Genetics
5.63
-19.27
-77.39%
NEO
NeoGenomics
7.40
-6.18
-45.51%
CDNA
CareDx
19.49
3.96
25.50%
FLGT
Fulgent Genetics
20.10
0.48
2.45%
CSTL
Castle Biosciences
20.01
2.61
15.00%
GRAL
GRAIL Inc
47.56
32.36
212.89%

Myriad Genetics Corporate Events

Legal ProceedingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Myriad Genetics Settles Shareholder Lawsuits with Reforms
Neutral
Nov 26, 2024

Myriad Genetics has resolved a series of shareholder derivative lawsuits alleging fiduciary breaches by former and current directors. The settlement, approved by the Delaware Court, includes corporate governance reforms and a $950,000 attorney fee award, with no admission of wrongdoing by the parties involved. This agreement may reassure investors, highlighting efforts to strengthen oversight and governance within the company.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 25, 2025