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Personalis Inc (PSNL)
NASDAQ:PSNL

Personalis (PSNL) AI Stock Analysis

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Personalis

(NASDAQ:PSNL)

Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$6.50
▲(2.04%Upside)
Personalis' overall stock score is driven by mixed financial performance, with strong revenue growth potential but significant profitability challenges. Technical analysis supports a current positive trend but warns of possible overbought conditions. Valuation is a concern due to the lack of profitability. Positive sentiment from the earnings call provides some optimism, but high operating costs and net losses weigh heavily.
Positive Factors
Clinical Diagnostics
PSNL envisions that its clinical diagnostic testing business, which now consists of its NeXT Personal MRD test and its NeXT Dx therapy selection panel, will consist of 60-70% of its total revenue, up from just 1% now, at a GM of 60%.
Pharma Contracts
PSNL has had recent wins with pharma companies, as it announced that it signed two MRD contracts with biopharma companies expected to contribute $5M apiece this year.
Negative Factors
Enterprise Sales Decline
Revenue growth improved to 6% in 1Q25 from (15%) growth in 4Q24 as growth in biopharma and VA MVP revenues offset declines in enterprise sales.
Revenue Decline
The year-over-year revenue decrease was driven by lower Natera and VA MVP volumes.

Personalis (PSNL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Personalis Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPersonalis, Inc. (PSNL) is a leading genomics company that specializes in advanced genomic sequencing and analytics. The company operates primarily in the healthcare and biotechnology sectors, offering comprehensive solutions for genetic testing and analysis. Its core products and services include genomic testing for cancer and other genetic disorders, which are utilized by researchers, healthcare providers, and pharmaceutical companies for precision medicine and customized treatment plans.
How the Company Makes MoneyPersonalis makes money through a revenue model that primarily revolves around providing genomic sequencing services and data analytics to various clients, including healthcare institutions, pharmaceutical companies, and research organizations. The company generates revenue by charging for its sequencing services, which involve analyzing and interpreting genomic data to aid in diagnostic and therapeutic decision-making. Key revenue streams include sales of genomic tests, licensing of proprietary technology, and partnerships with pharmaceutical firms for drug development and clinical trials. Additionally, Personalis engages in collaborations and contracts with government and private entities, contributing to its earnings by leveraging its expertise in genomics to support precision medicine initiatives.

Personalis Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 59.25%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Personalis reported strong revenue growth and significant progress in molecular test delivery and biopharma revenue. The company maintains a healthy cash position and positive guidance for 2025. However, high operating expenses and net loss, alongside the impact of unreimbursed clinical test costs on gross margin, present challenges. Overall, the sentiment leans positive due to the outweighing highlights and the strategic steps towards future reimbursement and revenue growth.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth and Molecular Test Delivery
Personalis achieved revenues of over $20 million in Q1 2025 and delivered over 2,000 molecular tests, marking a 52% increase from the previous quarter and approximately 650% year-over-year growth compared to Q1 2024.
Biopharma Revenue Surge
Biopharma revenue grew to $13.6 million, a 39% increase compared to the same period in 2024, driven by strong growth in the use of NeXT Personal.
Cash Position and Financial Guidance
The company has cash and cash equivalents of $185.7 million, reiterating revenue guidance of $80 million to $90 million for 2025, with expected 30% to 40% quarter-over-quarter growth in molecular results.
Clinical and Reimbursement Progress
Personalis is advancing towards reimbursement in breast, lung cancer, and IO therapy monitoring, with promising interim data in colorectal cancer indicating potential for future reimbursement.
Negative Updates
Operating Expenses and Net Loss
Operating expenses were $24.9 million, and the net loss for Q1 2025 was $15.8 million, compared to $13 million for the same period last year.
Impact of Unreimbursed Clinical Test Costs on Gross Margin
Gross margin was 35%, impacted by approximately 8 percentage points due to unreimbursed clinical test costs, highlighting a challenge until reimbursement is achieved.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, Personalis reported revenues of $20.6 million, delivering over 2,000 molecular tests. The company is projecting revenues between $80 million and $90 million for the full year, with a growth expectation of 30% to 40% quarter-over-quarter in molecular results. Cash and cash equivalents stood at $185.7 million, providing a strong runway to pursue growth objectives. The biopharma segment contributed $13.6 million, marking a 39% increase from the prior year, driven by the adoption of NeXT Personal. Clinical diagnostics achieved their highest quarterly revenue, and Personalis reiterated its goal of achieving reimbursement for at least two indications in 2025. The company aims to expand market presence through partnerships, such as with Tempus, while also advancing research to support reimbursement efforts, particularly in breast, lung, and colorectal cancers.

Personalis Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Personalis displays mixed financial health with strong equity positions, yet struggles with profitability and cash flow negativity. Revenue growth provides some optimism, but operational losses and cash flow issues are concerning. The company must strategically manage costs and leverage growth opportunities to improve financial performance.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
The company shows a mixed performance on the income statement. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) Gross Profit Margin stands at 33.31%, which indicates a reasonable level of profitability, albeit with high operational costs reflected in negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. The Net Profit Margin is significantly negative at -98.10%, highlighting ongoing losses. Revenue growth is positive at 3.20% year-over-year, suggesting some potential for future revenue expansion despite current challenges.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Personalis maintains a solid balance sheet, with a Debt-to-Equity ratio of 0.21, indicating low leverage and financial stability. The Equity Ratio is strong at 75.88%, showing substantial equity funding. However, despite a positive Return on Equity of -40.54%, the company operates at a loss, impacting overall financial health.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges with negative free cash flow, though the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 0.56 suggests some alignment between cash outflows and net loss. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio at 0.51 indicates cash operations are not fully supporting net income, a risk factor for liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue85.69M84.61M73.48M65.05M85.49M78.65M
Gross Profit28.54M26.82M18.21M13.35M31.66M20.11M
EBITDA-73.31M-70.30M-96.81M-104.64M-59.01M-34.05M
Net Income-84.07M-81.28M-108.30M-113.31M-65.23M-41.28M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets225.10M270.27M225.10M292.70M396.53M244.84M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments114.18M185.01M114.18M167.66M287.06M203.29M
Total Debt48.96M44.25M48.96M48.65M52.80M10.99M
Total Liabilities95.66M67.31M95.66M74.56M86.23M49.90M
Stockholders Equity129.44M202.96M129.44M218.14M310.30M194.94M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-46.71M-46.75M-67.17M-120.13M-81.91M-45.90M
Operating Cash Flow-42.70M-45.15M-56.26M-70.23M-70.83M-42.65M
Investing Cash Flow-63.91M-35.07M13.10M52.54M-60.07M-65.14M
Financing Cash Flow133.63M114.67M11.03M1.37M169.70M121.27M

Personalis Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.37
Price Trends
50DMA
4.84
Positive
100DMA
4.48
Positive
200DMA
4.71
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.44
Negative
RSI
66.84
Neutral
STOCH
50.35
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PSNL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.37 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.67, above the 50-day MA of 4.84, and above the 200-day MA of 4.71, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.44 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PSNL.

Personalis Risk Analysis

Personalis disclosed 71 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Personalis reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Personalis Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (46)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$2.22B-38.22%25.30%2.75%
GHGH
57
Neutral
$6.18B-4584.47%28.20%13.87%
55
Neutral
$532.60M-51.25%15.57%31.82%
OPOPK
52
Neutral
$1.01B-3.04%-13.79%82.82%
46
Neutral
C$189.62M-4.26-8.56%3.09%13.57%-1.98%
45
Neutral
$1.06B-16.71%-2.50%-30760.27%
45
Neutral
$471.95M-13.84%7.38%60.45%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PSNL
Personalis
6.37
5.20
444.44%
MYGN
Myriad Genetics
5.33
-19.13
-78.21%
NEOG
Neogen
4.79
-10.84
-69.35%
OPK
Opko Health
1.32
0.07
5.60%
GH
Guardant Health
50.03
21.15
73.23%
TWST
Twist Bioscience
36.94
-12.34
-25.04%

Personalis Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Personalis Holds Virtual Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 19, 2025

On May 16, 2025, Personalis, Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders virtually, with 87% of shares represented. During the meeting, stockholders elected two Class III directors, ratified the selection of BDO USA, P.C. as the independent auditor for 2025, and approved the executive compensation on an advisory basis.

The most recent analyst rating on (PSNL) stock is a Buy with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Personalis stock, see the PSNL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 17, 2025