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Personalis Inc (PSNL)
NASDAQ:PSNL
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Personalis (PSNL) AI Stock Analysis

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PSNL

Personalis

(NASDAQ:PSNL)

Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$5.50
▲(21.15% Upside)
Personalis faces significant challenges with profitability and negative cash flow, reflected in a low valuation score. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, further impacting the stock's attractiveness. However, strong clinical adoption, a robust cash position, and strategic partnerships provide some optimism for future growth.
Positive Factors
Clinical Testing Growth
PSNL drove strong 59% quarter-over-quarter growth of its clinical tests with its partner Tempus, highlighting robust demand in this segment.
MRD Technology Recognition
Growing optimism towards Personalis' opportunity in MRD and its solid pharma business supports a favorable outlook.
Pharma Contracts and Demand
PSNL has had recent wins with pharma companies, signing two MRD contracts with biopharma companies expected to contribute $5 million each this year.
Negative Factors
Biopharma and Enterprise Sales Decline
Revenue growth slowed to a decline as biopharma and enterprise sales more than offset growth in other areas.
Revenue Miss and Guidance Reduction
PSNL reported total revenues of $17.2M, below the consensus estimate of $20.1M, and management lowered their 2025 revenue guidance.
Translational Pharma Services Weakness
PSNL specifically called out softness in the translational side of its pharma services business, including from Moderna, leading to lower guidance.

Personalis (PSNL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Personalis Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPersonalis, Inc. (PSNL) is a leading genomics company that specializes in advanced genomic sequencing and analytics. The company operates primarily in the healthcare and biotechnology sectors, offering comprehensive solutions for genetic testing and analysis. Its core products and services include genomic testing for cancer and other genetic disorders, which are utilized by researchers, healthcare providers, and pharmaceutical companies for precision medicine and customized treatment plans.
How the Company Makes MoneyPersonalis makes money through a revenue model that primarily revolves around providing genomic sequencing services and data analytics to various clients, including healthcare institutions, pharmaceutical companies, and research organizations. The company generates revenue by charging for its sequencing services, which involve analyzing and interpreting genomic data to aid in diagnostic and therapeutic decision-making. Key revenue streams include sales of genomic tests, licensing of proprietary technology, and partnerships with pharmaceutical firms for drug development and clinical trials. Additionally, Personalis engages in collaborations and contracts with government and private entities, contributing to its earnings by leveraging its expertise in genomics to support precision medicine initiatives.

Personalis Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -19.50%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Despite strong growth in clinical adoption and partnership with Tempus, revenue and biopharma challenges, as well as a decline in gross margin, weigh on the outlook. The company's robust cash position and potential Medicare coverage provide positive future prospects.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Accelerated Clinical Adoption and Growth
The clinical adoption of NeXT Personal is accelerating dramatically with test volume growing 59% sequentially and over 575% from the previous year. The base of ordering physicians has expanded to over 600.
Partnership with Tempus Gaining Momentum
The commercial partnership with Tempus is expanding, now covering four major indications. This partnership is pivotal to the company's strategy and growth.
Path to Securing Medicare Coverage
Personalis is on track to secure Medicare coverage for two indications by the end of the year, which is expected to be a major inflection point for the company.
Strong Cash Position
The company ended the second quarter with $173.2 million in cash and short-term investments, with no significant debt.
MRD Technology Growth
The demand for MRD technology is robust, with plans to grow this segment by 300% to 400% this year.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Total company revenue for the second quarter was $17.2 million, a 24% decrease compared with $22.6 million for the same period of the prior year.
Biopharma Revenue Drop
Biopharma revenue was $11.1 million, a 16% decrease compared with $13.2 million for the same period of the prior year. Revenue from Moderna and project delays contributed to this decline.
Gross Margin Decrease
Gross margin was 27.6% in the second quarter, compared with 35.6% for the same period of the prior year. The decrease was due to lower revenue and unreimbursed clinical test costs.
Increased Net Loss
Net loss for the second quarter was $20.1 million, compared with $12.8 million for the same period of the prior year.
Revised Revenue Guidance
The full year revenue guidance was lowered to $70 million to $80 million, from $80 million to $90 million, due to variability in biopharma projects and Medicare reimbursement coverage.
Company Guidance
During the Personalis Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company reported a revenue of $17.2 million, a decrease of 24% compared to the same period last year. This decline was attributed to a volume decline of $5.6 million from Natera and $1.3 million from Moderna. The clinical adoption of NeXT Personal saw a 59% sequential growth in test volume, delivering nearly 3,500 clinical results with a physician base expanding to over 600. The company anticipates securing Medicare coverage for two indications by the end of the year, with the MRD market poised to exceed $20 billion annually. Personalis revised its full-year revenue guidance to a range of $70 million to $80 million, down from $80 million to $90 million, due to biopharma project delays. Despite this, the company expects to achieve biopharma revenue between $11 million and $13 million in the third quarter, with the fourth quarter typically being the best of the year. Personalis ended the second quarter with $173.2 million in cash and projects a cash usage of approximately $75 million for the full year.

Personalis Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Personalis displays mixed financial health with strong equity positions, yet struggles with profitability and cash flow negativity. Revenue growth provides some optimism, but operational losses and cash flow issues are concerning. The company must strategically manage costs and leverage growth opportunities to improve financial performance.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
The company shows a mixed performance on the income statement. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) Gross Profit Margin stands at 33.31%, which indicates a reasonable level of profitability, albeit with high operational costs reflected in negative EBIT and EBITDA margins. The Net Profit Margin is significantly negative at -98.10%, highlighting ongoing losses. Revenue growth is positive at 3.20% year-over-year, suggesting some potential for future revenue expansion despite current challenges.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Personalis maintains a solid balance sheet, with a Debt-to-Equity ratio of 0.21, indicating low leverage and financial stability. The Equity Ratio is strong at 75.88%, showing substantial equity funding. However, despite a positive Return on Equity of -40.54%, the company operates at a loss, impacting overall financial health.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges with negative free cash flow, though the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 0.56 suggests some alignment between cash outflows and net loss. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio at 0.51 indicates cash operations are not fully supporting net income, a risk factor for liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue63.11M84.61M73.48M65.05M85.49M78.65M
Gross Profit8.05M26.82M18.21M13.35M31.66M20.11M
EBITDA-85.13M-70.30M-96.81M-104.64M-59.01M-34.05M
Net Income-91.32M-81.28M-108.30M-113.31M-65.23M-41.28M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets258.68M270.27M225.10M292.70M396.53M244.84M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments173.23M185.01M114.18M167.66M287.06M203.29M
Total Debt33.39M44.25M48.96M48.65M52.80M10.99M
Total Liabilities67.85M67.31M95.66M74.56M86.23M49.90M
Stockholders Equity190.83M202.96M129.44M218.14M310.30M194.94M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-49.18M-46.75M-67.17M-120.13M-81.91M-45.90M
Operating Cash Flow-44.89M-45.15M-56.26M-70.23M-70.83M-42.65M
Investing Cash Flow-81.28M-35.07M13.10M52.54M-60.07M-65.14M
Financing Cash Flow131.79M114.67M11.03M1.37M169.70M121.27M

Personalis Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.54
Price Trends
50DMA
5.99
Negative
100DMA
4.96
Negative
200DMA
4.86
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.35
Positive
RSI
31.04
Neutral
STOCH
23.21
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PSNL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.54 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.96, below the 50-day MA of 5.99, and below the 200-day MA of 4.86, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.35 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.21 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PSNL.

Personalis Risk Analysis

Personalis disclosed 71 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Personalis reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Personalis Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
56
Neutral
$1.66B-17.58%22.72%62.11%
51
Neutral
$7.39B0.36-62.86%2.36%15.48%-2.68%
51
Neutral
$522.65M-70.03%3.83%-137.31%
49
Neutral
$498.15M-60.26%0.36%22.13%
49
Neutral
$5.56B-4584.47%28.74%18.25%
45
Neutral
$1.04B-41.88%-2.50%-30760.27%
44
Neutral
$1.01B-13.16%-7.31%29.84%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PSNL
Personalis
4.54
1.28
39.26%
MYGN
Myriad Genetics
6.10
-21.85
-78.18%
NEOG
Neogen
5.00
-11.80
-70.24%
OPK
Opko Health
1.23
-0.27
-18.00%
GH
Guardant Health
50.39
21.39
73.76%
TWST
Twist Bioscience
25.00
-18.97
-43.14%

Personalis Corporate Events

Product-Related AnnouncementsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Personalis Expands Agreement with Tempus AI for Cancer Test
Positive
Jul 9, 2025

On July 8, 2025, Personalis, Inc. and Tempus AI, Inc. amended their existing agreement to include colorectal cancer as a new indication for the NeXT Personal® test, alongside breast cancer, lung cancer, and immuno-oncology monitoring. The amendment extends the exclusivity period for marketing the test and modifies certain standstill restrictions, potentially strengthening Personalis’ market position in cancer diagnostics.

The most recent analyst rating on (PSNL) stock is a Buy with a $7.25 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Personalis stock, see the PSNL Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Personalis Holds Virtual Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 19, 2025

On May 16, 2025, Personalis, Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders virtually, with 87% of shares represented. During the meeting, stockholders elected two Class III directors, ratified the selection of BDO USA, P.C. as the independent auditor for 2025, and approved the executive compensation on an advisory basis.

The most recent analyst rating on (PSNL) stock is a Buy with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Personalis stock, see the PSNL Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2025