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MTU Aero (MTUAY)
OTHER OTC:MTUAY

MTU Aero Engines (MTUAY) AI Stock Analysis

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MTUAY

MTU Aero Engines

(OTC:MTUAY)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$208.00
▲(8.24% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:03/29/26
The score is driven primarily by improving fundamentals (margin expansion and a large 2025 free-cash-flow step-up) and supportive 2026 guidance from the earnings call. These positives are tempered by weak technicals (price below major moving averages with negative MACD) and near-term execution/cash-timing risks tied to GTF-related costs and working-capital build, while valuation appears reasonable but not notably cheap and the dividend yield is modest.
Positive Factors
Order‑book visibility
A roughly EUR 29.5bn backlog covering about three years provides durable revenue visibility and production cadence. That multi‑year book supports predictable OEM and aftermarket volumes, enabling capacity planning, long‑lead procurement and phased investments tied to contracted cash flows.
Negative Factors
GTF compensation cash burden
Ongoing GTF compensation payments create a structural cash outflow that reduces free cash flow and financial flexibility while program remediation continues. Continued payments materially compress available cash for investment or debt reduction until the liability is fully settled.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Order‑book visibility
A roughly EUR 29.5bn backlog covering about three years provides durable revenue visibility and production cadence. That multi‑year book supports predictable OEM and aftermarket volumes, enabling capacity planning, long‑lead procurement and phased investments tied to contracted cash flows.
Read all positive factors

MTU Aero Engines (MTUAY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

MTU Aero Engines Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
MTU Aero Engines AG, together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, markets, and maintains commercial and military engines, and aero derivative industrial gas turbines in Germany, other European countries, North America, Asia, and interna...
How the Company Makes Money
MTU Aero Engines primarily makes money from two core areas: (1) Original equipment (OEM) activities tied to new engine programs and (2) the aftermarket (maintenance, repair, and overhaul) for engines already in service. In its OEM business, MTU ea...

MTU Aero Engines Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 24, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a strongly positive operational and financial performance for 2025—record revenue, margin expansion, all-time high free cash flow, major capacity and technology milestones, and an ambitious 2026 guidance—while acknowledging tangible near-term headwinds from the GTF fleet management cash burden, ramp-up inventory impacts (notably Fort Worth), supply-chain delays and ongoing customer/partner delivery negotiations. Overall, the company is investing for long-term profitable growth with a solid balance sheet, but some execution and cash-timing risks remain in the short term.
Positive Updates
Record Revenue
Group revenues increased 16% to EUR 8.7 billion in 2025, a new company record and in line with updated guidance.
Negative Updates
GTF Fleet Management Cash Burden
Company recorded ~USD 360 million in airline compensation payments in 2025 related to the GTF fleet management plan, with remaining payments expected into 2026 and beyond, pressuring near-term cash flow.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Record Revenue
Group revenues increased 16% to EUR 8.7 billion in 2025, a new company record and in line with updated guidance.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
MTU guided 2026 group revenues of EUR 9.2–9.7 billion (assumes USD/EUR 1.20) and adjusted EBIT of EUR 1.35–1.45 billion (consistent with its 2030 margin corridor of 14.5%–15.5%), with adjusted net income expected to grow broadly in line with EBIT; cash conversion is forecast to improve to 45%–55% (up from 39% in 2025, when free cash flow was EUR 378 million). Management expects organic U.S. dollar OE revenues to rise in the mid‑ to high‑teens, organic commercial spare‑parts growth in the low‑ to mid‑teens, MRO U.S. dollar growth in the low‑ to mid‑teens, and military revenue growth in the mid‑teens, with GTF MRO representing 40%–45% of MRO revenues. The company has hedged around 80% of its 2026 net USD exposure at an average rate of 1.13 (a EUR 0.05 USD move ≈ EUR 20 million EBIT), reports net debt of ~EUR 1.1 billion (net debt/EBITDA <1, target leverage 0.5–1.5), will propose a EUR 3.60 dividend per share (+64% y/y; 20% payout ratio toward a 40% target), and notes headwinds to 2026 free cash flow from remaining GTF compensation and a high‑double‑digit working‑capital build for the Fort Worth ramp‑up; order book stands at EUR 29.5 billion (≈3 years sold out).

MTU Aero Engines Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong post-2023 recovery with higher revenue, expanding gross and net margins, and a sharp improvement in operating and free cash flow in 2025. Offsets include historical earnings/cash-flow volatility and some missing/inconsistent 2025 ratio fields that reduce transparency, alongside higher debt versus 2023.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.42B7.41B5.36B5.33B4.19B
Gross Profit1.62B1.23B117.00M855.00M586.00M
EBITDA1.60B1.47B196.00M723.00M519.00M
Net Income987.43M633.00M-102.00M331.00M222.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.22B12.48B10.20B9.23B8.30B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.26B2.60B1.54B1.21B885.00M
Total Debt2.43B2.43B1.27B1.30B1.31B
Total Liabilities8.84B9.05B7.27B6.12B5.54B
Stockholders Equity4.31B3.36B2.86B3.03B2.68B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow484.11M74.00M365.00M326.00M200.00M
Operating Cash Flow814.53M714.00M777.00M728.00M567.00M
Investing Cash Flow-465.86M-603.00M-420.00M-400.00M-345.00M
Financing Cash Flow-804.93M736.00M-294.00M-224.00M-276.00M

MTU Aero Engines Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price192.17
Price Trends
50DMA
204.69
Negative
100DMA
208.48
Negative
200DMA
213.84
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.54
Negative
RSI
49.01
Neutral
STOCH
83.41
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MTUAY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 192.17 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 184.30, below the 50-day MA of 204.69, and below the 200-day MA of 213.84, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.54 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.41 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for MTUAY.

MTU Aero Engines Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$95.62B19.5726.50%1.55%-0.14%72.35%
75
Outperform
$66.04B47.458.28%1.61%2.83%47.00%
75
Outperform
$270.55B36.5410.62%1.44%8.79%39.63%
70
Outperform
$323.40B37.7645.88%0.48%-19.21%31.83%
66
Neutral
$20.76B19.5426.38%0.59%46.08%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
56
Neutral
$171.02B74.05-94.94%10.19%-6.03%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MTUAY
MTU Aero Engines
190.18
34.21
21.94%
BA
Boeing
222.14
62.86
39.47%
GE
GE Aerospace
311.90
126.88
68.58%
LHX
L3Harris Technologies
357.95
139.01
63.49%
NOC
Northrop Grumman
681.31
153.96
29.20%
RTX
RTX
201.41
74.41
58.60%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 29, 2026