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Marsh & McLennan Companies (MRSH)
NYSE:MRSH
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Marsh & McLennan Companies (MRSH) AI Stock Analysis

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MRSH

Marsh & McLennan Companies

(NYSE:MRSH)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$195.00
▲(10.92% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/16/26
MRSH scores well on financial performance, supported by strong margins and high-quality free cash flow, though leverage and slight TTM softening temper the outlook. Earnings-call guidance is encouraging on margins, EPS growth, and capital deployment, but litigation charges and pricing/fiduciary income headwinds remain notable risks. Technicals are mixed with a weaker longer-term trend, and valuation is moderate with a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
High and Sustainable Profitability
Marsh & McLennan’s consistently high margins reflect durable pricing power, scale in brokerage and consulting, and a service mix with recurring fee elements. These structural margins support reinvestment, capital returns and resilience through industry cycles, sustaining long-term earnings.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
Material leverage limits financial flexibility if revenue or margins weaken and raises sensitivity to interest cost or funding shocks. Even with improved ratios vs. 2024, higher debt restricts rapid deleveraging and constrains optionality for large M&A or aggressive buybacks during downturns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High and Sustainable Profitability
Marsh & McLennan’s consistently high margins reflect durable pricing power, scale in brokerage and consulting, and a service mix with recurring fee elements. These structural margins support reinvestment, capital returns and resilience through industry cycles, sustaining long-term earnings.
Read all positive factors

Marsh & McLennan Companies (MRSH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Marsh & McLennan Companies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Marsh & McLennan Cos., Inc. is a professional services firm, which offers clients advice and solutions in risk, strategy and people. The company is headquartered in New York, New York and currently employs 65,000 full-time employees. The firm is t...
How the Company Makes Money
Marsh & McLennan makes money mainly by delivering brokerage, advisory, and consulting services across its operating segments: 1) Insurance brokerage and risk advisory (Marsh) - Primary revenue stream: brokerage and advisory fees earned for placin...

Marsh & McLennan Companies Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down total revenue by business unit, showing which areas contribute most to the top line and potential growth drivers.
Chart InsightsMarsh & McLennan's Consulting and Risk and Insurance Services segments are showing robust growth, with the latter experiencing a significant uptick, aligning with the company's reported 11% revenue increase. The earnings call highlights strategic investments in AI and a rebranding initiative, which are expected to drive future growth despite challenges like declining property casualty rates. The Thrive program aims to generate substantial savings, indicating a focus on efficiency and innovation. These strategic moves suggest a proactive approach to navigating economic uncertainties and enhancing competitive positioning.
Data provided by:The Fly

Marsh & McLennan Companies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 16, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 16, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a generally positive operational and strategic outlook: solid top-line growth (8% consolidated, 4% underlying), healthy adjusted earnings and margins, strong consulting and AUM growth, an ambitious and early-productive AI program, and active capital deployment including $750 million of share repurchases. Key near-term challenges include significant litigation-related charges ($425M), continued insurance and reinsurance pricing pressure (primary rates down 5%, property down 9% YoY, reinsurance rate declines of ~15%–20% on some renewals), and reduced fiduciary interest income. Management emphasized margin expansion guidance for 2026, Thrive cost savings, and confidence in AI-driven productivity and growth. Overall, positive operational momentum and strategic initiatives outweigh the notable one-time and market headwinds discussed.
Positive Updates
Consolidated Revenue and Underlying Growth
Total consolidated revenue rose 8% year-over-year to $7.6 billion, with underlying revenue up 4% despite headwinds from lower fiduciary interest income and P&C pricing pressure.
Negative Updates
Significant Litigation Charge
A $425 million charge was recorded in Q1 related to litigation stemming from the 2021 collapse of Greenfield Capital; the charge is the company's best estimate of liability and the litigation is ongoing.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Consolidated Revenue and Underlying Growth
Total consolidated revenue rose 8% year-over-year to $7.6 billion, with underlying revenue up 4% despite headwinds from lower fiduciary interest income and P&C pricing pressure.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Marsh guided that 2026 underlying revenue growth should be similar to 2025, with continued margin expansion (more expansion expected in H2 than H1) and “solid” adjusted EPS growth; it forecast an adjusted effective tax rate of 24.5–25.5% for 2026, Q2 fiduciary interest income of ~ $80M, Q2 corporate expense of ~ $90M and Q2 interest expense of ~ $245M, and said FX should be immaterial for the rest of the year; management plans to deploy roughly $5B of capital in 2026 across dividends, acquisitions and buybacks (it repurchased $750M in Q1 and used $1.3B of cash in Q1 including $440M dividends and $89M for acquisitions), expects to generate $400M of Thrive savings while incurring about $500M of related charges, and noted balance‑sheet items of $20.6B total debt, $1.6B cash and a next debt maturity of €550M in Q3.

Marsh & McLennan Companies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong, resilient profitability (TTM gross margin ~42%, EBIT ~24%, net ~15%) and high-quality cash generation (TTM FCF ~$4.93B, ~95% of net income) support a solid score. Offsets include meaningful leverage (TTM debt-to-equity ~1.42) and slight TTM softening in net income and free cash flow versus 2025.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
79
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue27.52B26.98B24.46B22.74B20.72B19.82B
Gross Profit11.66B11.40B10.46B9.64B8.65B8.39B
EBITDA6.68B7.39B6.93B6.32B5.27B5.40B
Net Income3.92B4.16B4.06B3.76B3.05B3.14B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets58.55B58.71B56.48B48.03B44.11B34.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.61B2.69B2.40B3.36B1.44B1.75B
Total Debt22.45B21.45B21.86B15.44B13.47B13.16B
Total Liabilities43.75B43.40B42.95B35.66B33.37B23.17B
Stockholders Equity14.57B15.10B13.34B12.19B10.52B11.01B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.93B5.00B3.99B3.84B3.00B3.11B
Operating Cash Flow5.23B5.29B4.30B4.26B3.46B3.52B
Investing Cash Flow-975.00M-845.00M-8.82B-1.42B-850.00M-1.16B
Financing Cash Flow-4.38B-4.63B4.46B-1.12B-1.05B-1.30B

Marsh & McLennan Companies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price175.80
Price Trends
50DMA
175.66
Positive
100DMA
179.06
Negative
200DMA
187.82
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.15
Negative
RSI
51.61
Neutral
STOCH
80.34
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MRSH, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 175.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 173.41, above the 50-day MA of 175.66, and below the 200-day MA of 187.82, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.34 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for MRSH.

Marsh & McLennan Companies Risk Analysis

Marsh & McLennan Companies disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Marsh & McLennan Companies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Marsh & McLennan Companies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$11.82B23.8725.30%1.90%9.64%15.87%
73
Outperform
$86.24B18.3125.91%1.85%10.57%2.57%
70
Outperform
$23.41B23.449.72%0.77%17.87%-9.35%
69
Neutral
$71.84B20.5445.99%0.82%14.06%5.52%
69
Neutral
$57.71B45.106.50%1.01%17.17%19.12%
68
Neutral
$28.16B20.0620.10%1.14%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MRSH
Marsh & McLennan Companies
175.50
-39.42
-18.34%
AON
Aon
326.86
-38.84
-10.62%
AJG
Arthur J Gallagher & Co
221.11
-107.43
-32.70%
BRO
Brown & Brown
67.88
-49.46
-42.15%
ERIE
Erie Indemnity Company
250.00
-153.81
-38.09%
WTW
Willis Towers Watson
291.40
-30.46
-9.46%

Marsh & McLennan Companies Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Marsh & McLennan Elevates CFO to COO Role
Positive
Apr 14, 2026
On April 14, 2026, Marsh announced that long-serving Chief Financial Officer Mark McGivney will take on additional responsibilities as Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, effective April 15. The move consolidates financial and op...
Private Placements and Financing
Marsh & McLennan Issues $600 Million Senior Notes
Positive
Feb 19, 2026
On February 11, 2026, Marsh McLennan Companies, Inc. entered into an underwriting agreement with a syndicate led by Citigroup Global Markets, J.P. Morgan Securities and Wells Fargo Securities for a $600 million issuance of 4.950% senior notes due...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 16, 2026