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Aon Plc (AON)
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Aon (AON) AI Stock Analysis

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AON

Aon

(NYSE:AON)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$368.00
▲(7.70% Upside)
Aon's overall stock score reflects strong earnings performance and strategic growth initiatives, which are offset by high leverage and bearish technical indicators. The company's valuation suggests potential overvaluation, but its strategic focus and robust revenue growth provide a positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent organic revenue growth indicates strong demand for Aon's services, enhancing its market position and long-term financial stability.
Strategic Initiatives
Focus on data center insurance aligns with industry trends, positioning Aon for substantial growth and competitive advantage in a burgeoning market.
Capital Flexibility
Increased capital flexibility allows Aon to invest in growth opportunities, ensuring long-term sustainability and competitive positioning.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting Aon's ability to invest in growth or weather economic downturns.
Margin Pressure
Margin compression may affect profitability if cost pressures persist, challenging Aon's ability to maintain its current financial performance.
Interest Rate Impact
Decreased investment income due to interest rate changes can reduce profitability, affecting Aon's financial results and strategic flexibility.

Aon (AON) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Aon Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAon plc, a professional services firm, provides advice and solutions to clients focused on risk, retirement, and health worldwide. It offers commercial risk solutions, including retail brokerage, cyber, and global risk consulting solutions, as well as acts as a captives management; and health solutions, such as health and benefits brokerages, and health care exchanges. The company also provides treaty and facultative reinsurance, as well as insurance-linked securities, capital raising, strategic advice, restructuring, and mergers and acquisitions services; and corporate finance advisory services and capital markets solutions products. In addition, it offers strategic design consulting services on their retirement programs, actuarial services, and risk management services; advice services on developing and maintaining investment programs across a range of plan types, including defined benefit plans, defined contribution plans, endowments, and foundations for public and private companies, and other institutions; and advice and solutions that help clients in risk, health, and wealth through commercial risk, reinsurance, health, and wealth solutions. Further, the company offers CoverWallet; Affinity; Aon Inpoint; CoverWallet; and ReView services. Aon plc was founded in 1919 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.
How the Company Makes MoneyAon generates revenue primarily through fees and commissions for its consulting and brokerage services. In its Aon Risk Solutions segment, the company earns commissions from insurance carriers for placing coverage on behalf of clients, along with consulting fees for risk management services. The Aon Solutions segment contributes revenue through advisory fees for consulting services related to employee benefits, retirement planning, and health management. Additionally, Aon utilizes technology-driven platforms and analytics to enhance service delivery and create value for clients, which helps in retaining existing clients and attracting new ones. Significant partnerships with leading insurance companies and technology firms also bolster Aon's ability to provide comprehensive solutions and expand its market reach, contributing to its overall earnings.

Aon Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue across different business units, highlighting which segments are driving growth and profitability, and where the company might be facing challenges.
Chart InsightsAon's Commercial Risk Solutions and Health Solutions segments are showing strong growth, with recent quarters reaching new highs, indicating robust demand in these areas. Reinsurance Solutions also exhibits a positive trend, particularly in the first quarter of each year, suggesting a seasonal boost. Meanwhile, Wealth and Retirement Solutions are recovering steadily after a period of stagnation. The absence of revenue from Data and Analytic Services since late 2021 could signal a strategic shift or divestment. Overall, Aon appears to be capitalizing on core strengths while potentially reallocating resources.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Aon Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 31, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Aon's earnings call reflected strong financial performance with significant growth in key segments such as data center insurance and middle market expansion. Despite some challenges in fiduciary investment income and reinsurance pricing, the company's strategic initiatives and capital flexibility position it well for continued success.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Aon delivered 7% organic revenue growth, a 26.3% adjusted operating margin, and 12% adjusted EPS growth in Q3 2025.
Growth in Data Center Insurance
Aon capitalized on the surge in demand for data center construction, with expectations for over $10 billion in new premium volume in 2026.
Robust Organic Revenue Growth
Achieved 7% organic revenue growth, with significant contributions from Commercial Risk and Reinsurance segments.
Increased Capital Flexibility
Divestiture of NFP Wealth business provided over $2 billion, enhancing capital strength and flexibility for strategic investments.
Expansion in Middle Market
NFP middle market acquisitions closed $32 million in EBITDA, with a strong pipeline for future growth.
Positive Client Relationships and Retention
Strong new business generation and high client retention contributed significantly to growth.
Negative Updates
Interest Rate Impact
Fiduciary investment income decreased due to lower interest rates, impacting the margin by 20 basis points.
Pricing Pressure in Reinsurance
Reinsurance faced pressure due to rate declines and higher retentions, balanced by increased limits and facultative growth.
Health Solutions Advisory Weakness
Delays in U.S. advisory work and the sale of NFP Wealth are expected to reduce Wealth growth to 1-2% in Q4.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Aon plc reported strong financial performance with a 7% organic revenue growth and a 26.3% adjusted operating margin. The company's adjusted earnings per share (EPS) grew by 12%, and free cash flow increased by 13%. Aon reaffirmed its full-year guidance, expecting mid-single-digit or greater organic revenue growth and an 80 to 90 basis point margin expansion, supported by its Aon United strategy and 3x3 Plan. The company also highlighted its strategic focus on data center insurance, estimating over $10 billion in new premium volume by 2026. Talent acquisition contributed positively, with revenue-generating hires up 6%, and Aon maintained its capital allocation strategy, reducing leverage and returning $1.2 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.

Aon Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Aon's financial performance is solid with consistent revenue growth and strong profitability. However, the balance sheet shows high leverage, and there is room for improvement in operating cash flow. The company is managing its debt levels and maintaining robust cash generation.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Aon's income statement shows a consistent revenue growth trend, with a TTM revenue growth rate of 1.65%. The gross profit margin has slightly decreased to 43.67% in the TTM, indicating some pressure on cost management. The net profit margin is healthy at 16.03%, although it has decreased from previous years. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain strong, reflecting efficient operations. Overall, the income statement reflects solid growth and profitability, albeit with some margin compression.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.22 in the TTM, indicating significant leverage. However, this is an improvement from previous years, showing efforts to manage debt levels. The return on equity is robust at 37.61%, suggesting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is not directly provided, but the high leverage poses a risk if not managed carefully. Overall, the balance sheet shows improvement but remains leveraged.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Aon's cash flow statement indicates a positive trend in free cash flow growth, with a TTM growth rate of 4.40%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is relatively low at 0.13, suggesting potential constraints in cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.93, indicating efficient cash conversion. Overall, the cash flow statement shows healthy cash generation with some areas for improvement in operating cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.03B15.70B13.38B12.48B12.19B11.07B
Gross Profit7.44B7.42B6.47B6.00B5.46B5.16B
EBITDA5.20B4.94B3.91B3.83B2.58B3.21B
Net Income2.73B2.65B2.56B2.59B1.25B1.97B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets51.64B48.97B33.96B32.70B31.93B32.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.30B11.62B1.15B1.14B836.00M1.19B
Total Debt17.63B17.89B12.03B11.68B10.42B8.93B
Total Liabilities43.54B42.53B34.70B33.13B30.77B28.52B
Stockholders Equity7.94B6.12B-826.00M-529.00M1.06B3.50B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.04B2.82B3.18B3.02B2.04B2.64B
Operating Cash Flow3.28B3.04B3.44B3.22B2.18B2.78B
Investing Cash Flow-939.00M-2.83B-188.00M-449.00M49.00M-679.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.91B796.00M-2.87B-1.79B-1.92B-1.77B

Aon Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price341.70
Price Trends
50DMA
354.40
Negative
100DMA
356.57
Negative
200DMA
365.35
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-5.09
Negative
RSI
46.29
Neutral
STOCH
72.49
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AON, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 341.7 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 343.22, below the 50-day MA of 354.40, and below the 200-day MA of 365.35, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -5.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.49 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AON.

Aon Risk Analysis

Aon disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Aon reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Aon Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$26.97B23.7110.47%0.78%17.87%-9.35%
71
Outperform
$88.43B21.6528.62%1.92%10.57%2.57%
69
Neutral
$64.54B40.099.05%0.97%17.17%19.12%
69
Neutral
$30.91B15.4127.79%1.13%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$73.98B27.5738.33%0.85%14.06%5.52%
64
Neutral
$14.52B431.9511.16%0.93%22.77%-34.97%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AON
Aon
341.70
-35.06
-9.31%
AJG
Arthur J Gallagher & Co
248.05
-40.18
-13.94%
BRO
Brown & Brown
77.84
-31.80
-29.00%
MMC
Marsh & Mclennan Companies
178.40
-41.27
-18.79%
WTW
Willis Towers Watson
323.06
10.70
3.43%
RYAN
Ryan Specialty Group
55.42
-15.22
-21.55%

Aon Corporate Events

Aon Plc’s Q3 2025 Stock Buyback Surge: Balancing Shareholder Value and Financial Flexibility
Nov 2, 2025

Aon Plc’s aggressive repurchase of equity securities during the third quarter of 2025, totaling 690,593 shares at an average price of $362.00, highlights a significant allocation of resources towards stock buybacks. This strategy, while potentially boosting shareholder value, poses a risk of depleting cash reserves that could otherwise be used for strategic investments or to buffer against economic downturns. The continuation of this repurchase program, which has expanded significantly since its inception in 2012, may also signal a lack of lucrative investment opportunities, potentially impacting Aon’s long-term growth prospects. Stakeholders should closely monitor the implications of these buybacks on the company’s financial flexibility and overall market position.

Aon Plc’s Aggressive Stock Buyback Strategy in Q3 2025: Potential Risks and Implications
Nov 2, 2025

Aon Plc’s ongoing repurchase of equity securities during the third quarter of 2025 presents a potential financial risk, as the company invested significantly in buybacks with a total of 690,593 shares purchased at an average price of $362.00 per share. This aggressive repurchase strategy, part of a long-standing program with $27.5 billion in authorized repurchases, could strain Aon’s financial resources and impact its liquidity, especially if market conditions fluctuate unfavorably. While buybacks can enhance shareholder value by reducing the number of shares outstanding, they also limit the company’s ability to allocate capital towards other strategic investments or to cushion against economic downturns. Therefore, stakeholders should closely monitor Aon’s financial health and market conditions to assess the sustainability of its repurchase program.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Aon Completes Sale of Wealth Businesses
Neutral
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, Aon plc completed the sale of a significant majority of its wealth businesses, including Wealthspire Advisors, Fiducient Advisors, and Newport Private Wealth, to Madison Dearborn Partners. This transaction marks a strategic shift in Aon’s operations, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder relationships by narrowing its focus on core service areas.

The most recent analyst rating on (AON) stock is a Sell with a $412.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aon stock, see the AON Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Aon Sells Wealth Businesses to Madison Dearborn Partners
Positive
Sep 3, 2025

On September 3, 2025, Aon plc announced a definitive agreement to sell a significant majority of its wealth businesses, including Wealthspire Advisors and Fiducient Advisors, to Madison Dearborn Partners for approximately $2.7 billion. This transaction, expected to close in late Q4 2025, aligns with Aon’s strategy to focus on core risk capital and human capital capabilities, enhancing its capital position and flexibility for growth investments, while MDP aims to support the acquired businesses’ growth and client service.

The most recent analyst rating on (AON) stock is a Hold with a $402.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aon stock, see the AON Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Aon Expands Board with New Director Appointment
Positive
Aug 4, 2025

On August 1, 2025, Aon plc expanded its Board of Directors to thirteen members, appointing Jo Ann Jenkins as a director effective August 15, 2025. Jenkins, who previously served as CEO of AARP, will join the Audit Committee and is considered independent by NYSE standards. Her appointment is expected to strengthen Aon’s governance and oversight capabilities, potentially impacting its strategic direction and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (AON) stock is a Buy with a $425.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Aon stock, see the AON Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 03, 2025