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Aon Plc (AON)
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Aon (AON) AI Stock Analysis

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AON

Aon

(NYSE:AON)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$424.00
▲(13.52% Upside)
Aon's overall stock score of 78 reflects strong financial performance and strategic initiatives that support long-term growth. The company's robust earnings call and positive corporate events further bolster confidence. However, high leverage and premium valuation present potential risks. Investors should monitor these factors while considering Aon's growth potential and strategic execution.
Positive Factors
Earnings
AON's better-than-expected results led to an increase in target price, reflecting more consistent net-new business growth and increased organic growth estimates.
Financial Performance
Strong organic revenue growth for the quarter indicates considerable progress of the Aon United Strategy.
Market Position
AON is expected to be the largest beneficiary from a rebound in M&A/IPO activity due to its leading market share in lines that would benefit from increased activity.
Negative Factors
Macroeconomic Risks
Management acknowledges macroeconomic uncertainties, which could affect future performance.
Valuation Concerns
There is concern that the current valuation may overly reflect the earnings per share growth outlook, suggesting potential risk of stock underperformance.

Aon (AON) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Aon Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAon plc is a leading global professional services firm that provides a broad range of risk, retirement, and health solutions. Operating in over 120 countries, Aon serves clients through its two main segments: Aon Risk Solutions, which focuses on risk management and insurance brokerage services, and Aon Solutions, which provides consulting services in areas such as human capital, retirement, and health benefits. The firm leverages data analytics and technology to deliver innovative solutions tailored to the needs of its diverse client base, including corporations, public sector entities, and non-profit organizations.
How the Company Makes MoneyAon generates revenue primarily through fees and commissions for its consulting and brokerage services. In its Aon Risk Solutions segment, the company earns commissions from insurance carriers for placing coverage on behalf of clients, along with consulting fees for risk management services. The Aon Solutions segment contributes revenue through advisory fees for consulting services related to employee benefits, retirement planning, and health management. Additionally, Aon utilizes technology-driven platforms and analytics to enhance service delivery and create value for clients, which helps in retaining existing clients and attracting new ones. Significant partnerships with leading insurance companies and technology firms also bolster Aon's ability to provide comprehensive solutions and expand its market reach, contributing to its overall earnings.

Aon Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Analyzes revenue across different business units, highlighting which segments are driving growth and profitability, and where the company might be facing challenges.
Chart InsightsAon's Commercial Risk Solutions and Health Solutions segments are showing strong growth, with recent quarters reaching new highs, indicating robust demand in these areas. Reinsurance Solutions also exhibits a positive trend, particularly in the first quarter of each year, suggesting a seasonal boost. Meanwhile, Wealth and Retirement Solutions are recovering steadily after a period of stagnation. The absence of revenue from Data and Analytic Services since late 2021 could signal a strategic shift or divestment. Overall, Aon appears to be capitalizing on core strengths while potentially reallocating resources.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Aon Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 25, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong financial performance with significant growth in revenue, EPS, and free cash flow. The Aon United strategy continues to drive innovation and client engagement, leading to market share gains. Despite some economic uncertainties and challenges in the reinsurance segment, Aon's strategic investments and expansion in high-growth areas demonstrate resilience and confidence in achieving long-term objectives.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance in Q2 2025
Aon reported 6% organic revenue growth, 19% adjusted EPS growth, and 59% free cash flow growth, demonstrating the strength and momentum of its 3x3 Plan.
Successful Implementation of Aon United Strategy
The Aon United strategy, operationalized through Aon Business Services (ABS), continues to drive innovation and client engagement, resulting in significant market share gains and new demand creation.
Expansion in High-Growth Areas
Aon saw double-digit growth in construction and insurance-linked securities (ILS), with the latter reaching $50 billion in outstanding cat bond placements.
Increase in Revenue-Generating Talent
Revenue-generating hires increased by 6% through June 30, indicating a strategic investment in talent to drive long-term growth.
Negative Updates
Impact of Economic Uncertainty and Market Challenges
The company faces challenges from global megatrends such as trade, technology, weather, and workforce changes, which are creating a complex operating environment for clients.
Pressure on Reinsurance Rates
Reinsurance experienced rate declines of 5% to 20% during April 1 property renewals, affecting the segment's performance.
Company Guidance
In the second quarter of 2025, Aon plc delivered strong financial performance with significant growth metrics, reinforcing the effectiveness of their Aon United strategy. The company reported a 6% organic revenue growth, 19% adjusted EPS growth, and a remarkable 59% increase in free cash flow. Operating margin expanded by 80 basis points to 28.2%, supported by their Aon Business Services and restructuring program savings. Aon's investment in revenue-generating hires saw a 6% increase, contributing to the company's sustainable growth. The firm maintained its guidance for 2025, projecting mid-single-digit or greater organic revenue growth, 80 to 90 basis points of margin expansion, and double-digit free cash flow growth for the full year. These results underscore Aon's commitment to delivering long-term shareholder value and adapting to the complexities of the current operating environment.

Aon Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Aon exhibits strong financial health with impressive profitability and growth metrics. The income statement highlights robust growth and efficiency, though the balance sheet reveals high leverage, posing some risk. Cash flow generation remains strong, supporting the company's financial stability. Overall, Aon is in a solid financial position, but attention to leverage is advised.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Aon has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a TTM revenue increase of 6.7% from the previous year. The gross profit margin stands at a robust 47.0%, and the net profit margin is 15.5%, indicating solid profitability. EBIT margin of 24.1% and EBITDA margin of 28.5% reflect efficient operations. The overall growth and profitability metrics are impressive, indicating a well-managed income statement.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Aon's balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.29, indicating significant leverage. However, the company has improved its equity position with a positive stockholders' equity of $7.84 billion in the latest TTM data. The equity ratio is relatively low at 14.5%, suggesting potential risks associated with high leverage. Despite this, the return on equity is strong at 33.2%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Aon's cash flow is solid, with a free cash flow growth rate of 3.4% in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.21, indicating strong cash generation relative to reported profits. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.12 further underscores the company's capacity to generate cash. Overall, cash flow performance is strong, though slightly affected by substantial financing outflows.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.75B15.70B13.38B12.48B12.19B11.07B
Gross Profit7.87B7.42B6.47B6.00B5.46B5.16B
EBITDA5.08B4.94B3.91B3.83B2.58B3.21B
Net Income2.60B2.65B2.56B2.59B1.25B1.97B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets54.01B48.97B33.96B32.70B31.93B32.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.70B11.62B1.15B1.14B836.00M1.19B
Total Debt18.18B17.89B12.03B11.68B10.42B8.93B
Total Liabilities45.92B42.53B34.70B33.13B30.77B28.52B
Stockholders Equity7.84B6.12B-826.00M-529.00M1.06B3.50B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.91B2.82B3.18B3.02B2.04B2.64B
Operating Cash Flow3.15B3.04B3.44B3.22B2.18B2.78B
Investing Cash Flow-816.00M-2.83B-188.00M-449.00M49.00M-679.00M
Financing Cash Flow-1.84B796.00M-2.87B-1.79B-1.92B-1.77B

Aon Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price373.49
Price Trends
50DMA
361.50
Positive
100DMA
360.42
Positive
200DMA
368.94
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.88
Positive
RSI
58.96
Neutral
STOCH
62.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AON, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 373.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 369.58, above the 50-day MA of 361.50, and above the 200-day MA of 368.94, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.88 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AON.

Aon Risk Analysis

Aon disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Aon reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Aon Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$80.20B31.1437.99%0.76%18.42%-4.44%
76
Outperform
$31.48B27.5211.27%0.63%11.68%-0.17%
75
Outperform
$77.58B45.619.49%0.85%15.03%28.86%
68
Neutral
$18.05B11.7310.24%3.73%9.66%1.70%
67
Neutral
$101.00B24.6628.33%1.63%9.22%3.05%
66
Neutral
$14.62B2,410.009.44%0.86%22.21%-30.67%
65
Neutral
$31.75B227.451.57%1.09%1.27%-84.75%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AON
Aon
373.49
28.19
8.16%
AJG
Arthur J Gallagher & Co
300.22
7.75
2.65%
BRO
Brown & Brown
95.49
-7.85
-7.60%
MMC
Marsh & Mclennan Companies
206.11
-18.33
-8.17%
WTW
Willis Towers Watson
329.84
42.10
14.63%
RYAN
Ryan Specialty Group
54.97
-8.21
-12.99%

Aon Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Aon Sells Wealth Businesses to Madison Dearborn Partners
Positive
Sep 3, 2025

On September 3, 2025, Aon plc announced a definitive agreement to sell a significant majority of its wealth businesses, including Wealthspire Advisors and Fiducient Advisors, to Madison Dearborn Partners for approximately $2.7 billion. This transaction, expected to close in late Q4 2025, aligns with Aon’s strategy to focus on core risk capital and human capital capabilities, enhancing its capital position and flexibility for growth investments, while MDP aims to support the acquired businesses’ growth and client service.

Executive/Board Changes
Aon Expands Board with New Director Appointment
Positive
Aug 4, 2025

On August 1, 2025, Aon plc expanded its Board of Directors to thirteen members, appointing Jo Ann Jenkins as a director effective August 15, 2025. Jenkins, who previously served as CEO of AARP, will join the Audit Committee and is considered independent by NYSE standards. Her appointment is expected to strengthen Aon’s governance and oversight capabilities, potentially impacting its strategic direction and stakeholder confidence.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Aon Appoints David DeBrunner as New Global Controller
Positive
Jul 29, 2025

On July 29, 2025, Aon plc announced the appointment of David DeBrunner as Senior Vice President, Global Controller, and Chief Accounting Officer, effective September 15, 2025. This strategic move follows DeBrunner’s extensive experience at Ally Financial Inc. and Fifth Third Bancorp. His compensation package includes a base salary of $500,000, a target annual incentive award, and a sign-on bonus of up to $2.1 million. DeBrunner will replace Michael Neller, who will transition to a new role within the company. This leadership change is expected to strengthen Aon’s financial management and align with its strategic goals.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Aon Extends CEO’s International Assignment by One Year
Neutral
Jul 3, 2025

On June 27, 2025, Aon Corporation extended the international assignment of Gregory C. Case by one year, now set to expire on June 30, 2026. Additionally, during its 2025 Annual General Meeting, Aon shareholders approved an amendment to the Aon plc 2011 Incentive Plan, increasing the shares available for issuance and setting a minimum vesting period for equity awards. The meeting also saw the election of 12 directors and approval of various resolutions, including executive compensation and the re-appointment of Ernst & Young as auditors.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 03, 2025