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Marsh & Mclennan Companies (MMC)
NYSE:MMC

Marsh & Mclennan Companies (MMC) AI Stock Analysis

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Marsh & Mclennan Companies

(NYSE:MMC)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$252.00
▲(17.17%Upside)
Marsh & McLennan's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance, reflecting consistent revenue growth and effective cash flow management. Technical indicators are stable but cautious, while the valuation suggests the stock is priced at a premium. The mixed sentiment from the earnings call highlights strategic growth tempered by macroeconomic challenges.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow
Free cash flow margin forecast moves higher primarily on lower CapEx, with 1Q free cash flows beating estimates and working capital improving significantly.
Earnings Performance
Marsh McLennan reports 1Q25 operational earnings per share that exceeded both the analyst estimate and street consensus.
Technological Advancements
MMC could benefit from industry-wide technological changes, allowing it to perform underwriting functions at incremental cost of insurance carriers and less sophisticated peer brokers.
Negative Factors
Future Growth Concerns
The price objective reduces to $238 from a prior $264 due to multiple contraction, reflecting concerns over future growth.
Growth Outlook
There is a slowdown in organic growth from previous quarters, attributed to heightened economic uncertainty.
Margin Pressure
Headwinds from lower year-over-year fiduciary interest income in RIS are set to increase, making underlying margins more difficult to expand in a potentially weakening macro environment.

Marsh & Mclennan Companies (MMC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Marsh & Mclennan Companies Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMarsh & McLennan Companies, Inc., a professional services company, provides advice and solutions to clients in the areas of risk, strategy, and people worldwide. It operates in two segments, Risk and Insurance Services, and Consulting. The Risk and Insurance Services segment offers risk management services, such as risk advice, risk transfer, and risk control and mitigation solutions, as well as insurance and reinsurance broking, catastrophe and financial modeling, and related advisory services; and insurance program management services. This segment serves businesses, public entities, insurance companies, associations, professional services organizations, and private clients. The Consulting segment provides health, wealth, and career consulting services and products; and specialized management, as well as economic and brand consulting services. Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. was founded in 1871 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyMarsh & McLennan Companies generates revenue primarily through its subsidiaries, each of which operates in distinct but interconnected areas. Marsh earns money through insurance brokerage services, earning commissions and fees from insurers for placing and managing insurance contracts. Guy Carpenter generates revenue by providing reinsurance and capital strategy services, which involve advising insurers on risk management and capital solutions. Mercer earns its income by offering consulting services in health, wealth, and career, charging fees for its advisory and outsourced services. Oliver Wyman contributes by providing management consulting services, earning fees from clients for strategic advisory and consulting projects. MMC also benefits from cross-selling opportunities and strategic partnerships across its subsidiaries, leveraging its comprehensive expertise to offer integrated solutions to complex client needs, thereby enhancing its revenue potential.

Marsh & Mclennan Companies Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Risk and Insurance Revenue Breakdown
Risk and Insurance Revenue Breakdown
Details revenue from risk and insurance services, providing insight into the company's market position and growth in this critical area.
Chart InsightsMarsh's revenue shows a consistent upward trend, reflecting strong market positioning, while Guy Carpenter benefits from record cat bond issuance. However, fiduciary interest income faces pressure from declining interest rates, impacting overall growth. Despite these challenges, Marsh McLennan's strategic acquisitions, like McGriff, and robust performance in Latin America support revenue growth. The company remains optimistic about mid-single-digit growth, but macroeconomic uncertainties and declining global property rates could pose risks. Investors should watch for how these factors influence future performance and the company's ability to navigate market volatility.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Marsh & Mclennan Companies Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 17, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -7.02%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 17, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed sentiment with positive revenue growth and successful acquisition integration offset by challenges from declining property rates and macroeconomic uncertainties. The company's solid growth and strategic acquisitions are tempered by cautious outlooks due to economic volatility.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Solid Revenue Growth
Marsh McLennan reported a 9% increase in consolidated revenue in the first quarter to $7.1 billion, with underlying growth of 4%.
Adjusted Operating Income and EPS Growth
Adjusted operating income increased by 8% to $2.2 billion, and adjusted EPS grew by 5% to $3.06.
Successful McGriff Acquisition
The McGriff acquisition integration is on track, contributing positively to the company's performance and expected to be accretive to adjusted EPS for full year 2025.
Strong Performance in Latin America
Latin America recorded 8% growth, supported by strong new business in the region.
Record Cat Bond Issuance
Guy Carpenter achieved a record quarter for cat bond issuance, placing eight discrete bonds totaling $1.8 billion in limit.
Negative Updates
Decline in Global Property Rates
Global property rates decreased by 6% year-over-year, following a 3% decline in the previous quarter.
Impact of Lower Interest Rates
Fiduciary income decreased to $103 million, down $19 million from the first quarter of the previous year, due to lower interest rates.
Uncertainty in Global Economic Outlook
The economic outlook remains uncertain due to ongoing trade negotiations, reduced consumer and business confidence, and financial market volatility.
Seasonality Impact on McGriff
McGriff's seasonality resulted in a modest dilution to adjusted EPS in the quarter.
Company Guidance
During Marsh McLennan's first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported a 9% growth in revenue, with underlying revenue increasing by 4%, despite challenges such as lower fiduciary interest income and a tough comparison to a strong Q1 in the previous year. Adjusted operating income rose by 8%, though the adjusted operating margin declined by 20 basis points due to seasonality at McGriff. Adjusted EPS grew by 5%, reaching $3.06. The company highlighted ongoing trade negotiations and macroeconomic uncertainties impacting consumer and business confidence, with potential inflationary effects on the cost of risk in the insurance industry. Marsh McLennan expects mid-single-digit underlying revenue growth, margin expansion, and solid adjusted EPS growth for the full year, while navigating market volatility and leveraging its expertise to support clients through challenges.

Marsh & Mclennan Companies Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Marsh & McLennan Companies demonstrates strong financial health with consistent revenue growth, robust profitability margins, and effective cash flow management. Despite a higher debt-to-equity ratio typical for the industry, the company effectively utilizes equity to generate returns. The overall financial performance is commendable, with potential leverage risks being a key area to monitor.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
The company has shown a consistent revenue growth trajectory with a TTM revenue increase of 2.41% compared to the previous year. The gross profit margin stands strong at 58.0% for TTM, reflecting efficient cost management. Net profit margin is also healthy at 16.1%, indicating solid profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins of 24.1% and 28.3% respectively demonstrate robust operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high at 1.59, which could imply potential leverage risks, though common in the industry. However, the company maintains a decent return on equity of 28.7%, signifying effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio of 24.7% indicates a moderate level of equity financing.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
There is a notable free cash flow growth of 4.79% in the TTM, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.10, suggesting efficient cash flow management relative to net income. Furthermore, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.03 is satisfactory, highlighting sound cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue25.05B24.46B22.74B20.72B19.82B17.22B
Gross Profit10.67B10.46B9.64B8.65B8.39B7.09B
EBITDA7.08B6.87B6.32B5.69B5.50B4.06B
Net Income4.04B4.06B3.76B3.05B3.14B2.02B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets57.02B56.48B48.03B33.45B34.39B33.03B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.60B2.40B3.36B1.44B1.75B2.09B
Total Debt22.42B21.86B15.44B13.47B13.16B13.58B
Total Liabilities42.75B42.95B35.66B22.70B23.17B23.77B
Stockholders Equity14.06B13.34B12.19B10.75B11.22B9.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.18B3.99B3.84B3.00B3.11B3.03B
Operating Cash Flow4.46B4.30B4.26B3.46B3.52B3.38B
Investing Cash Flow-8.43B-8.82B-1.42B-850.00M-1.16B-814.00M
Financing Cash Flow4.18B4.46B-1.12B-1.05B-1.30B-925.00M

Marsh & Mclennan Companies Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price215.08
Price Trends
50DMA
223.92
Negative
100DMA
228.13
Negative
200DMA
223.76
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.93
Positive
RSI
35.12
Neutral
STOCH
52.84
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MMC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 215.08 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 219.32, below the 50-day MA of 223.92, and below the 200-day MA of 223.76, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.93 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.84 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MMC.

Marsh & Mclennan Companies Risk Analysis

Marsh & Mclennan Companies disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Marsh & Mclennan Companies reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Marsh & Mclennan Companies Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$155.48B13.309.18%1.95%5.39%20.82%
MCMCO
75
Outperform
$89.43B42.9557.90%0.76%15.95%26.38%
AOAON
71
Outperform
$75.91B29.9674.17%0.85%19.57%-8.09%
AJAJG
71
Outperform
$80.86B48.579.27%0.82%14.07%31.44%
MMMMC
70
Outperform
$104.81B26.0930.51%1.53%7.56%3.39%
67
Neutral
$17.01B11.909.70%3.76%11.63%-9.47%
WTWTW
65
Neutral
$30.19B-0.60%1.21%2.42%-103.64%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MMC
Marsh & Mclennan Companies
215.08
4.24
2.01%
AON
Aon
354.76
60.59
20.60%
AJG
Arthur J Gallagher & Co
318.10
55.52
21.14%
MUFG
Mitsubishi UFJ
13.96
3.00
27.37%
MCO
Moody's
505.06
75.99
17.71%
WTW
Willis Towers Watson
306.64
48.04
18.58%

Marsh & Mclennan Companies Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Marsh & McLennan’s Annual Meeting Decisions Announced
Neutral
May 19, 2025

On May 15, 2025, Marsh & McLennan Companies held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where key decisions were made. The stockholders elected eleven directors for a one-year term, approved executive compensation, ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent auditor, and approved amendments to the 2020 Incentive and Stock Award Plan. These decisions reflect the company’s ongoing governance practices and commitment to aligning executive incentives with shareholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (MMC) stock is a Hold with a $220.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Marsh & Mclennan Companies stock, see the MMC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 06, 2025