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Ryan Specialty Group (RYAN)
NYSE:RYAN
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Ryan Specialty Group (RYAN) AI Stock Analysis

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RYAN

Ryan Specialty Group

(NYSE:RYAN)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$62.00
â–²(3.63% Upside)
Ryan Specialty Group's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance, highlighted by revenue growth and cash flow generation, and a positive earnings call outlook with strategic growth initiatives. However, the stock is facing bearish technical indicators and appears overvalued, which tempers the overall score.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Adjusted EPS of $0.66, up 13%, beat consensus estimates by $0.01.
Market Position
Ryan's national scale and niche expertise are helping it win market share.
Negative Factors
Growth Guidance
2025 organic growth guidance was cut to 9% to 11% from the previous 11% to 13%.
Interest Rates
Management expects headwinds in 2025 resulting from lower interest rates, impacting fiduciary investment income.

Ryan Specialty Group (RYAN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Ryan Specialty Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRyan Specialty Group Holdings, Inc. operates as a service provider of specialty products and solutions for insurance brokers, agents, and carriers. It offers distribution, underwriting, product development, administration, and risk management services by acting as a wholesale broker and a managing underwriter. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
How the Company Makes MoneyRyan Specialty Group makes money through its two main business segments: wholesale brokerage and underwriting management. In the wholesale brokerage segment, the company acts as an intermediary between insurance carriers and retail brokers, earning brokerage commissions for facilitating the placement of specialty insurance coverages. The underwriting management segment involves managing general underwriter (MGU) operations, where Ryan Specialty Group designs and administers insurance programs on behalf of insurers, earning fees and commissions based on the volume and profitability of the insurance written. Key revenue streams include brokerage commissions, fees from underwriting services, and profit-sharing arrangements with insurance carriers. Strategic partnerships with a wide network of brokers and insurers, along with a strong focus on niche and underserved markets, contribute significantly to its earnings.

Ryan Specialty Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -2.01%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong revenue growth driven by M&A and strategic partnerships, with significant advancements in casualty market performance and strategic relationships. However, these positives were tempered by a significant decline in property pricing, challenges in the construction sector, and pressure on EBITDAC margins due to ongoing investments and property pricing declines.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Total revenue grew by 23% to $855 million, with organic revenue growth of 7.1% and M&A contributing 13 percentage points to the top line. Adjusted EBITDAC grew 24.5% to $308 million, and adjusted earnings per share increased by 13.8% to $0.66.
Successful M&A Activity
Closed acquisitions of USQRisk, 360° Underwriting, and JM Wilson, which contributed significantly to the top line and expanded the company's market presence and capabilities.
Expansion of Strategic Relationships
Extended strategic alliances, including the expansion with Nationwide Mutual and the addition of reinsurance renewal rights from Markel. These initiatives are expected to create new business opportunities and revenue growth starting in 2026.
Casualty Growth and High Retention
Strong performance in the casualty market with high new business and renewal retention, particularly in areas like transportation, public entities, and consumer product liability.
Negative Updates
Decline in Property Pricing
Experienced a significant decline in property pricing, particularly in June, with reductions of 20-30%. This decline is expected to continue for the rest of the year, impacting revenue and organic growth.
Challenges in Construction Sector
Continued macroeconomic uncertainty, elevated borrowing costs, and trade wars affected the construction sector, leading to prolonged binding periods and impacting revenue growth.
Adjusted EBITDAC Margin Pressure
Adjusted EBITDAC margin guidance was lowered due to property pricing headwinds and investments in new initiatives, impacting margin expansion expectations.
Company Guidance
During the Ryan Specialty Holdings second quarter 2025 earnings call, management outlined several key metrics and strategic initiatives. The company reported a 23% increase in total revenue, driven by 7.1% organic growth and an additional 13 percentage points from M&A activities. Adjusted EBITDAC rose by 24.5% to $308 million, with a margin expansion of 50 basis points to 36.1%. Adjusted earnings per share increased by 13.8% to $0.66. Despite challenges in the property market, particularly a rapid decline in property pricing, the company remains committed to delivering double-digit organic growth for the full year. The robust M&A activity, including recent acquisitions such as USQRisk and 360° Underwriting, has significantly expanded the company's market capabilities. Additionally, Ryan Specialty has strengthened its strategic alliance with Nationwide Mutual, notably through a deal involving reinsurance renewal rights from Markel. This, alongside investments in innovative solutions, positions the company for long-term growth. Management also highlighted a revised organic revenue growth guidance of 9% to 11% for the full year, reflecting ongoing market challenges.

Ryan Specialty Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Ryan Specialty Group exhibits strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, evidenced by stable EBIT and EBITDA margins. While profitability is improving, enhancing net margins and reducing leverage could fortify financial health. The company's solid cash flow generation supports ongoing operations and potential investments, though improving the equity ratio would enhance balance sheet resilience.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Ryan Specialty Group demonstrates robust revenue growth, with a notable increase from $2.52 billion in 2024 to $2.81 billion in TTM. The gross profit margin is strong at 54.2%, and the net profit margin improved to 4.6% in TTM. The EBIT margin remains stable at 15.4%, indicating consistent operational efficiency. However, while the EBITDA margin is healthy at 23.3%, there's room for improvement in net margins to enhance profitability further.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 5.99, indicating high leverage compared to equity. The return on equity has improved to 21.0% in TTM, showcasing effective utilization of equity for generating profits. However, the equity ratio remains low at 5.7%, suggesting a reliance on liabilities for asset financing. Strengthening equity could improve financial stability.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 4.45, demonstrating strong cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow increased to $510 million, indicating a healthy cash position. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is 3.97, which suggests potential to enhance cash earnings efficiency. Continued positive cash flow trends support operational flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.81B2.52B2.08B1.73B1.43B1.02B
Gross Profit2.01B924.63M756.52M596.21M441.15M360.06M
EBITDA733.18M598.63M497.60M418.32M186.62M235.58M
Net Income55.68M94.67M61.04M163.26M65.87M68.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.63B9.65B7.25B6.38B5.46B4.53B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments172.59M540.20M838.79M992.72M386.96M312.65M
Total Debt3.65B3.46B2.16B2.16B1.68B1.69B
Total Liabilities9.44B8.55B6.27B5.57B4.86B4.46B
Stockholders Equity610.09M627.66M559.75M478.40M343.77M69.79M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow510.40M467.87M447.43M320.47M263.71M122.89M
Operating Cash Flow571.34M514.87M477.20M335.51M273.49M135.39M
Investing Cash Flow-2.14B-1.76B-476.23M-22.42M-457.94M-865.42M
Financing Cash Flow1.33B1.17B-12.61M314.76M429.28M989.24M

Ryan Specialty Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price59.83
Price Trends
50DMA
63.59
Negative
100DMA
66.52
Negative
200DMA
67.32
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.27
Negative
RSI
44.53
Neutral
STOCH
55.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RYAN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 59.83 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 59.82, below the 50-day MA of 63.59, and below the 200-day MA of 67.32, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for RYAN.

Ryan Specialty Group Risk Analysis

Ryan Specialty Group disclosed 74 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ryan Specialty Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Ryan Specialty Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$6.15B9.1112.94%1.89%4.79%-0.76%
77
Outperform
$10.79B15.4713.65%1.45%6.42%-7.74%
75
Outperform
$6.33B9.0014.85%1.96%3.26%12.70%
71
Outperform
$16.16B15.0714.20%3.26%7.25%17.55%
68
Neutral
$17.56B11.6110.34%3.76%9.69%0.41%
66
Neutral
$15.61B2,573.919.44%0.79%22.21%-30.67%
65
Neutral
$6.60B35.833.80%3.34%14.28%-2.87%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RYAN
Ryan Specialty Group
59.04
-4.67
-7.33%
AIZ
Assurant
215.92
25.77
13.55%
FNF
Fidelity National Financial
60.82
4.02
7.08%
FAF
First American Financial
64.66
2.70
4.36%
MTG
MGIC Investment
28.15
3.85
15.84%
ESNT
Essent Group
62.07
0.42
0.68%

Ryan Specialty Group Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Ryan Specialty Group Reports Strong Q2 2025 Performance
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc. reported a strong financial performance for the second quarter of 2025, with total revenue increasing by 23.0% year-over-year to $855.2 million. The company achieved a net income of $124.7 million and an adjusted EBITDAC growth of 24.5%, reflecting its resilience in a challenging property rate environment. The firm also completed three acquisitions, bolstering its market position and demonstrating its commitment to long-term growth and value creation for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYAN) stock is a Hold with a $66.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryan Specialty Group stock, see the RYAN Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Ryan Specialty Group Announces Leadership Changes
Neutral
Jul 17, 2025

On July 16, 2025, Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc. announced the passing of D. Cameron Findlay, a long-serving director and Chairperson of the Compensation and Governance Committee. Mr. Findlay, who had been with the company since 2012, was remembered for his extensive experience and contributions to the firm. In response to his passing, John W. Rogers, Jr. was appointed as Lead Director and Henry S. Bienen as Chairperson of the Compensation and Governance Committee. The announcement reflects the company’s efforts to address leadership changes while honoring Mr. Findlay’s legacy.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYAN) stock is a Hold with a $63.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryan Specialty Group stock, see the RYAN Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Ryan Specialty Group Approves Key Governance Amendments
Neutral
Jun 4, 2025

On May 30, 2025, Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc. held its annual meeting where stockholders approved multiple amendments to the company’s Certificate of Incorporation and bylaws. These changes include declassifying the Board of Directors, adopting a majority voting standard for uncontested director elections, and allowing stockholders to call special meetings and take action by written consent. Additionally, the amendments set a sunset date for the voting disparity between Class A and Class B shares and provide for the exculpation of certain officers under Delaware law. These amendments aim to enhance corporate governance and align with market standards, potentially impacting the company’s operational flexibility and shareholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (RYAN) stock is a Hold with a $60.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Ryan Specialty Group stock, see the RYAN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 03, 2025