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Melco Resorts & Entertainment (MLCO)
NASDAQ:MLCO
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Melco Resorts & Entertainment (MLCO) AI Stock Analysis

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MLCO

Melco Resorts & Entertainment

(NASDAQ:MLCO)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$8.00
▼(-10.71% Downside)
The overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, including high leverage and liquidity issues, despite operational improvements. The earnings call provided a positive outlook with strong growth in key regions and effective cash management, but technical indicators and valuation suggest caution. The stock's high P/E ratio and lack of dividend yield further impact its attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The increase in revenue indicates strong demand and effective business strategies, suggesting potential for sustained growth in key markets.
Strong Liquidity Position
A robust liquidity position enhances financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and cushioning against economic uncertainties.
Operational Improvements
Improved operational efficiency in Macau reflects effective management and strategic focus, likely boosting long-term profitability.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can strain financial resources, limiting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and increasing financial risk.
Negative Equity
Negative equity indicates insolvency risk, potentially undermining investor confidence and limiting access to capital markets.
Cash Flow Challenges
Lack of positive cash flow highlights liquidity constraints, impacting the company's ability to fund operations and invest in growth.

Melco Resorts & Entertainment (MLCO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMelco Resorts & Entertainment Limited is a leading developer and operator of integrated resorts in Asia, primarily focused on the gaming and hospitality sectors. The company operates several premium properties, including City of Dreams and Studio City in Macau, as well as City of Dreams Manila in the Philippines. Melco is dedicated to providing high-quality entertainment, gaming, and hospitality experiences, with a portfolio that includes hotels, casinos, restaurants, and retail outlets.
How the Company Makes MoneyMelco Resorts & Entertainment generates revenue primarily through its casino operations, which include gaming tables, slot machines, and VIP gaming services. The company has a significant presence in the mass gaming segment, catering to both local and international tourists. Additionally, Melco earns revenue from its non-gaming segments, which encompass hotel accommodations, food and beverage services, retail sales, and entertainment offerings. The company's luxury resorts attract high-spending customers, and its focus on premium experiences enhances its profitability. Strategic partnerships with international brands and a commitment to quality service further bolster its revenue streams.

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in Macau, the Philippines, and Cyprus, along with effective cash flow management and debt reduction. However, challenges such as the impact of a typhoon, a competitive environment in Macau, and early-stage issues in Sri Lanka were noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Solid Growth in Macau
Macau properties delivered property EBITDA growth of 21% year-over-year despite a $12 million negative impact from a typhoon. Macau GGR grew over 30% year-over-year post Golden Week, and COD recorded its highest monthly mass tables GGR ever in October.
Impressive Growth in Philippines and Cyprus
Property EBITDA in the Philippines grew 45% quarter-over-quarter. City of Dreams Mediterranean and the satellite casinos in Cyprus had their best quarter yet, with property EBITDA growing 53% year-over-year to $23 million.
Group-wide EBITDA Growth
Group-wide adjusted property EBITDA for the third quarter of 2025 grew 18% year-over-year to approximately $380 million.
Strong Liquidity Position
Available liquidity of $2.6 billion with consolidated cash on hand of approximately $1.6 billion as of the end of the third quarter of 2025.
Debt Reduction and Cash Flow Management
Reduced debt by $180 million in the third quarter, with an additional $180 million repaid in October and November.
Negative Updates
Impact of Typhoon on Macau Operations
The negative impact of approximately $12 million due to the typhoon in September affected Macau operations.
Challenges in Sri Lanka
Early days in Sri Lanka with ongoing efforts to solidify footing and ramp up operations, targeting the Indian market.
Competitive Environment in Macau
Intense competitive dynamics impacting margins, with a stable but competitive promotional environment.
Operational Expenses Increase
Expected uptick in operational expenses due to China National Games support and Studio City 10th anniversary promotions.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited reported a robust financial performance, with group-wide adjusted property EBITDA increasing by 18% year-over-year to approximately $380 million. Macau operations showed strong momentum, with property EBITDA in Macau growing by 21% year-over-year despite a $12 million negative impact from a typhoon. The Macau GGR post-Golden Week grew over 30% year-over-year, and the City of Dreams (COD) recorded its highest-ever monthly mass tables GGR in October. The company also highlighted a 45% quarter-over-quarter growth in property EBITDA in the Philippines and a 53% year-over-year increase to $23 million in Cyprus. In addition, Melco's liquidity remains solid with $2.6 billion available, including a cash balance of approximately $1.6 billion as of the end of the third quarter. The company continues to focus on operational discipline, maintaining stable OpEx in Macau at approximately $3 million per day, excluding specific entertainment and concert expenses. Looking forward, Melco is considering a balanced approach to cash allocation, including potential dividends by the end of next year, while continuing its debt reduction strategy.

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Melco Resorts & Entertainment shows marginal improvement in revenue and operational profitability. However, the balance sheet and cash flow statements reflect substantial financial challenges, including high leverage, negative equity, and liquidity issues. While there are signs of operational improvement, significant risks related to financial stability and cash flow management need to be addressed to ensure long-term viability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Melco Resorts & Entertainment shows marginal improvement in its financial performance with a significant increase in total revenue from the previous year. The gross profit margin improved to 35.85% in 2024 from 31.36% in 2023. However, the net profit margin remains low at 0.94% in 2024, despite recovering from negative figures in previous years. The EBIT and EBITDA margins show positive trends, reaching 10.45% and 22.16% respectively in 2024, highlighting operational improvements. Overall, the company is on a path to recovery but still faces challenges in achieving sustainable profitability.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reveals a concerning scenario with a negative stockholders' equity of -$1.33 billion in 2024, indicating insolvency. This results in a negative equity ratio, which is a critical red flag. Moreover, the debt-to-equity ratio cannot be calculated due to negative equity, but the high total debt of $7.46 billion suggests potential leverage risks. Return on equity cannot be assessed due to negative equity. The company's financial stability is a major concern, overshadowing the improvements in operational metrics.
Cash Flow
20
Very Negative
Cash flow analysis indicates significant issues with operational sustainability. In 2024, operating cash flow, capital expenditure, and free cash flow are reported as zero, making it challenging to assess cash flow efficiency. The absence of positive free cash flow and operating cash flow growth in recent years suggests liquidity constraints and inadequate cash generation to cover operational and capital expenses. This highlights the need for better cash flow management to support ongoing business operations.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.06B4.64B3.78B1.35B2.01B1.73B
Gross Profit1.84B1.66B1.18B286.52M490.01M189.52M
EBITDA1.09B1.02B815.96M-217.57M-23.19M-300.03M
Net Income104.14M43.54M-326.92M-930.53M-811.75M-1.26B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.10B7.99B8.34B9.30B8.88B9.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.48B1.15B1.31B1.81B1.65B1.76B
Total Debt7.63B7.46B7.77B8.71B7.04B6.10B
Total Liabilities9.06B8.93B9.18B9.62B8.06B7.18B
Stockholders Equity-1.31B-1.33B-1.29B-850.33M244.75M1.10B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00325.48M358.80M-1.24B-948.17M-1.32B
Operating Cash Flow0.00626.66M622.69M-619.43M-268.77M-860.96M
Investing Cash Flow0.00-300.81M-48.51M-806.11M-674.55M-53.31M
Financing Cash Flow0.00-478.35M-1.13B1.78B821.75M1.26B

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price8.96
Price Trends
50DMA
8.84
Positive
100DMA
8.76
Positive
200DMA
7.22
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
61.24
Neutral
STOCH
77.23
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MLCO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 8.96 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.27, above the 50-day MA of 8.84, and above the 200-day MA of 7.22, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.23 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MLCO.

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Risk Analysis

Melco Resorts & Entertainment disclosed 91 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Melco Resorts & Entertainment reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$44.09B29.4362.28%1.51%8.37%10.20%
71
Outperform
$6.09B20.4896.16%3.42%4.69%15.18%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
$13.40B28.420.82%-0.26%-44.45%
59
Neutral
$8.98B206.342.25%0.05%-94.07%
47
Neutral
$3.32B33.7111.32%
44
Neutral
$4.05B-6.06%0.87%31.28%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MLCO
Melco Resorts & Entertainment
8.96
2.67
42.45%
LVS
Las Vegas Sands
66.99
18.77
38.93%
MGM
MGM Resorts
32.87
-3.88
-10.56%
WYNN
Wynn Resorts
126.07
41.44
48.98%
CZR
Caesars Entertainment
19.69
-19.74
-50.06%
RRR
Red Rock Resorts
58.72
8.42
16.73%

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Corporate Events

Melco Resorts Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Growth
Nov 7, 2025

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited reported its unaudited financial results for the third quarter of 2025, showing a significant increase in total operating revenues to US$1.31 billion, up 11% from the same period in 2024. This growth was driven by improved performance in both gaming and non-gaming operations. The company’s operating income rose to US$184.5 million, and net income attributable to Melco was US$74.7 million. Notably, properties in Macau and Cyprus showed strong growth, with Macau’s Property EBITDA improving by 21% year-over-year and Cyprus achieving its best quarter since opening. Strategic repositioning efforts, such as reallocating resources and closing certain operations, were also highlighted as part of Melco’s development strategy.

Melco Resorts to Announce Q3 2025 Financial Results on November 6
Oct 30, 2025

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited announced that it will release its unaudited financial results for the third quarter of 2025 on November 6, 2025. The announcement includes a conference call scheduled for the same day, providing stakeholders with insights into the company’s financial performance. This release is significant as it provides an opportunity for investors and analysts to assess the company’s current financial health and strategic positioning within the competitive integrated resorts industry.

Melco Resorts Finance Completes Major Note Redemption
Oct 27, 2025

On October 25, 2025, Melco Resorts Finance Limited, a subsidiary of Melco Resorts & Entertainment, redeemed US$357,940,000 of its 5.250% senior notes due 2026, which represented approximately 71.6% of the total principal amount initially listed. This strategic financial move resulted in the cancellation of all redeemed notes, leaving no outstanding notes, thereby potentially strengthening the company’s financial position and reducing its debt obligations.

Melco Resorts Finance Completes Tender Offer for Senior Notes
Sep 25, 2025

On September 25, 2025, Melco Resorts Finance Limited announced the satisfaction of the financing condition for its conditional tender offer for its 5.250% senior notes due 2026. The tender offer, which expired on September 19, 2025, resulted in $142,060,000 of the notes being validly tendered, representing 28.41% of the total outstanding amount. The settlement for these notes occurred on September 24, 2025, with Melco Resorts Finance planning to cancel the purchased notes and potentially redeem the remaining outstanding notes that were not tendered.

Melco Resorts Finance Concludes Tender Offer for 2026 Notes
Sep 22, 2025

On September 22, 2025, Melco Resorts Finance Limited announced the results of its conditional cash tender offer for its outstanding 5.250% senior notes due 2026. The offer, which expired on September 19, 2025, saw US$142,060,000 worth of notes tendered. The company plans to purchase these notes at a consideration of US$1,000 per US$1,000 principal amount, with settlement expected on September 24, 2025. This financial maneuver is likely aimed at optimizing the company’s debt structure, potentially impacting its financial stability and market positioning.

Melco Resorts Finance Prices $500 Million Senior Notes Offering
Sep 16, 2025

On September 16, 2025, Melco Resorts Finance Limited, a subsidiary of Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited, announced the pricing of a $500 million senior notes offering at 6.500% due in 2033. The proceeds from this offering will be used to fund a conditional cash tender offer for its outstanding 5.250% senior notes due 2026, cover related fees, and potentially redeem any remaining notes. This strategic financial move is intended to optimize the company’s debt structure and support its corporate objectives, reflecting its ongoing efforts to strengthen its financial positioning in the competitive gaming and entertainment sector.

Melco Resorts Finance Announces Senior Notes Offering and Tender Offer
Sep 15, 2025

On September 15, 2025, Melco Resorts Finance Limited, a subsidiary of Melco Resorts & Entertainment, announced a proposed international offering of senior notes and a conditional cash tender offer for its outstanding 5.250% senior notes due 2026. The new notes will rank equally with existing senior indebtedness, and the offering’s completion depends on market conditions and investor interest. The proceeds are intended to fund the tender offer and potentially redeem remaining outstanding notes. The tender offer is conditional on the successful completion of the new notes offering, with settlement expected by September 24, 2025.

Melco Resorts Finance Releases Q2 2025 Financial Report
Aug 29, 2025

Melco Resorts Finance Limited has released its unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements for the second quarter of 2025, covering the three and six months ending June 30, 2025. The report includes details on the company’s financial condition and operations, highlighting significant credit facilities and senior notes issued over recent years. This financial disclosure provides stakeholders with insights into the company’s fiscal health and strategic financial maneuvers, such as the amendment and restatement of credit facilities to extend maturities and adjust interest rates.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025