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MGM Resorts (MGM)
NYSE:MGM
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MGM Resorts (MGM) AI Stock Analysis

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MGM

MGM Resorts

(NYSE:MGM)

Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$37.00
▲(6.60% Upside)
MGM Resorts' overall stock score is driven by strong revenue growth and positive earnings call highlights, particularly in digital and international segments. However, the stock faces challenges from high leverage, declining profitability margins, and bearish technical indicators. The extension of CEO Hornbuckle's contract provides strategic stability, but the lack of a dividend yield and challenges in the Las Vegas market weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Digital and repurchase activity
Solid performance in other segments, including Macau and Digital, coupled with the repurchase activity should further support upside in the shares.
Investment plans
An agreement to build a new location in Japan bodes well for MGM's future prospects.
Regional performance
Better performance in Macau and regional markets is boosting estimates for MGM.
Negative Factors
Capital expenditure
Future investments and new projects are expected to pressure free cash flow and capital returns.
Las Vegas performance
Vegas trends have been weaker than expected, affecting casino and room revenue.
US gaming slowdown
Concerns around the US gaming slowdown remain headwinds, particularly in Las Vegas.

MGM Resorts (MGM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

MGM Resorts Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, owns and operates casino, hotel, and entertainment resorts in the United States and Macau. The company operates through three segments: Las Vegas Strip Resorts, Regional Operations, and MGM China. Its casino resorts offer gaming, hotel, convention, dining, entertainment, retail, and other resort amenities. The company's casino operations include slots and table games, as well as online sports betting and iGaming through BetMGM. As of February 17, 2021, its portfolio consisted of 29 hotel and destination gaming offerings. The company also owns and operates Las Vegas Strip Resorts and Fallen Oak golf course. Its customers include premium gaming customers; leisure and wholesale travel customers; business travelers; and group customers, including conventions, trade associations, and small meetings. The company was formerly known as MGM MIRAGE and changed its name to MGM Resorts International in June 2010. MGM Resorts International was incorporated in 1986 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.
How the Company Makes MoneyMGM Resorts generates revenue primarily through its casino operations, which include gaming tables, slot machines, and sports betting. Additionally, the company earns substantial income from its hotel accommodations, which offer luxury stays and unique experiences. Food and beverage sales from its numerous restaurants and bars across its properties also contribute significantly to its revenue. Furthermore, MGM Resorts makes money through entertainment offerings, including concerts, shows, and events hosted in its venues. Another key revenue stream is its convention and meeting facilities, which attract business travelers and large conferences. The company also benefits from partnerships and joint ventures, such as its stake in BetMGM, a leading sports betting and online gaming platform. These diversified revenue streams enable MGM Resorts to capitalize on various aspects of the hospitality and entertainment industry.

MGM Resorts Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -8.37%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
MGM Resorts' earnings call highlighted record revenue achievements and strong performances in various segments, including BetMGM, MGM China, and regional properties. However, challenges in the Las Vegas market, particularly due to disruptions at MGM Grand and weakness in the FIT segment, were noted, impacting the overall sentiment.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Highest Ever Consolidated Net Revenue
MGM Resorts achieved record highest ever consolidated net revenue in Q2 2025, driven by digital growth, record-setting results in China, and strong performance in regional properties.
BetMGM North America EBITDA Turnaround
BetMGM North America venture raised full year 2025 guidance, implying an EBITDA turnaround of nearly $400 million compared to last year, with a target to generate $500 million of annual reported EBITDA in the coming years.
Strong Las Vegas Table and Slot Volumes
Las Vegas resorts reported record 2Q table games volume and slot volumes at ultra-luxury properties, despite challenges at specific properties.
MGM China Record Performance
MGM China reported record adjusted EBITDAR and a market share of 16.6% in Q2 2025, with continuous monthly share increases.
Marriott Strategic Partnership Success
MGM's partnership with Marriott saw a 31% increase in room nights booked in Q2 2025 versus last year, with Marriott customers spending about $150 more per room night than others.
Successful Regional Operations
Regional properties achieved best second quarter results in both net revenue and slot win, with three properties reporting record high net revenues.
Negative Updates
Las Vegas Adjusted EBITDAR Decline
Las Vegas experienced an adjusted EBITDAR decline of $72 million year-over-year, primarily due to disruptions at MGM Grand and midweek performance at Luxor and Excalibur.
Continued Challenges in Vegas FIT Segment
Las Vegas FIT (Free Independent Traveler) segment showed weakness, especially in value-oriented properties, impacting midweek performance.
Impact of MGM Grand Room Remodel
The room remodel at MGM Grand impacted results, accounting for over 80% of the adjusted EBITDAR decline in Las Vegas.
Third Quarter Challenges Anticipated
MGM anticipates similar challenges in the third quarter as seen in June, with midweek impacts in value-oriented properties and ongoing MGM Grand room remodeling disruptions.
Company Guidance
During the MGM Resorts International Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided a comprehensive update on its performance metrics and future guidance. MGM reported a record high in consolidated net revenue for the quarter, attributed to the diversification of its portfolio and accelerated digital growth. The company's BetMGM North America venture raised its full-year 2025 EBITDA guidance for the second time, indicating an expected turnaround of nearly $400 million compared to the previous year. Notably, MGM's Las Vegas resorts experienced a decline in adjusted EBITDAR, primarily due to disruptions at MGM Grand, yet maintained strong fundamentals with record table games and slot volumes. The company also highlighted significant growth in iGaming, an increase in average monthly actives, and a jump in incremental revenue flow-through to 66% year-to-date. Internationally, MGM China achieved record adjusted EBITDAR and market share gains, with plans for further expansion in Macau. The call emphasized MGM's strategic focus on leveraging its global presence, strong digital offerings, and significant development projects to drive future growth.

MGM Resorts Financial Statement Overview

Summary
MGM Resorts demonstrates strong operational efficiency with solid profit margins and cash flow generation. However, stagnant revenue growth and high leverage indicate potential risks and the need for balance sheet strengthening.
Income Statement
70
Positive
MGM Resorts shows solid performance with a positive gross profit margin of 57.8% for TTM, indicating efficient revenue generation. Net profit margin improved to 4.9%, reflecting better cost control. However, revenue growth is slightly negative at -0.6% compared to the previous year, indicating a need for top-line expansion. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain stable at 8.6% and 13.0%, respectively, showcasing operational efficiency with a need for increased revenue growth.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet shows high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 9.07, pointing to significant reliance on debt. Return on equity stands at a modest 29.3%, indicating decent profitability relative to equity. The equity ratio is a low 6.95%, highlighting potential risk due to high liabilities. Strengthening equity and reducing debt could improve financial stability.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
MGM's cash flow is robust with a healthy operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.81, indicating strong cash generation relative to earnings. Free cash flow to net income ratio is solid at 1.36, ensuring sufficient cash to cover investments. However, free cash flow growth is negative at -6.05%, suggesting a drop in cash available for expansion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.21B17.24B16.16B13.13B9.68B5.16B
Gross Profit7.74B7.85B7.61B6.47B4.65B1.71B
EBITDA2.26B2.39B2.75B1.77B1.71B558.86M
Net Income539.51M746.56M1.14B206.73M1.25B-1.32B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets41.70B42.23B42.37B45.69B40.90B36.49B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.96B2.42B2.93B5.91B4.70B5.10B
Total Debt31.59B31.61B31.62B33.99B24.69B21.02B
Total Liabilities37.96B38.51B38.00B40.32B29.77B25.25B
Stockholders Equity2.97B3.02B3.81B4.83B6.07B6.50B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.30B1.21B1.76B991.39M882.73M-1.76B
Operating Cash Flow2.53B2.36B2.69B1.76B1.37B-1.49B
Investing Cash Flow-1.50B-1.28B-714.17M2.12B1.54B2.16B
Financing Cash Flow-1.53B-1.56B-5.00B-3.02B-2.81B2.10B

MGM Resorts Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price34.71
Price Trends
50DMA
35.23
Negative
100DMA
33.20
Positive
200DMA
34.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.14
Positive
RSI
39.38
Neutral
STOCH
13.36
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MGM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 34.71 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.08, below the 50-day MA of 35.23, and above the 200-day MA of 34.44, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.36 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MGM.

MGM Resorts Risk Analysis

MGM Resorts disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. MGM Resorts reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

MGM Resorts Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$6.68B12.8336.36%0.85%6.40%26.09%
74
Outperform
$35.83B26.3649.16%1.79%1.62%-7.14%
72
Outperform
$6.20B22.2381.59%3.53%7.47%2.58%
68
Neutral
$11.21B29.26-51.73%0.93%-0.08%-48.66%
61
Neutral
$16.55B10.17-9.03%3.32%1.46%-22.90%
60
Neutral
$9.55B19.1317.34%0.89%-31.56%
58
Neutral
$5.17B-4.76%-0.15%28.05%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MGM
MGM Resorts
34.71
-2.42
-6.52%
BYD
Boyd Gaming
82.13
26.77
48.36%
LVS
Las Vegas Sands
53.01
15.24
40.35%
WYNN
Wynn Resorts
107.23
33.44
45.32%
CZR
Caesars Entertainment
24.14
-11.37
-32.02%
RRR
Red Rock Resorts
56.59
3.92
7.44%

MGM Resorts Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
MGM Resorts Confirms Board and Auditor at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 9, 2025

On May 7, 2025, MGM Resorts International held its annual meeting of stockholders where key proposals were voted on. The election of the Board of Directors was confirmed with all nominees receiving a majority of votes. Additionally, Deloitte & Touche LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025, and the compensation of the company’s named executive officers was approved.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
MGM Resorts Extends CEO Hornbuckle’s Contract to 2028
Positive
May 8, 2025

On May 8, 2025, MGM Resorts International extended its employment agreement with CEO William Hornbuckle until December 31, 2028, ensuring his leadership for the long term. The agreement includes a base salary of $2 million per year, annual bonuses, equity grants, and a special signing bonus, reflecting the company’s commitment to stability and strategic leadership. This move is expected to strengthen MGM’s industry positioning and provide continuity in its operations, particularly with the upcoming Japan Integrated Resort project.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2025