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MGM Resorts (MGM)
NYSE:MGM
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MGM Resorts (MGM) AI Stock Analysis

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MGM

MGM Resorts

(NYSE:MGM)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$37.00
▲(4.40% Upside)
MGM Resorts' overall stock score reflects strong revenue growth and positive technical momentum, but is tempered by high valuation concerns and mixed earnings call outcomes. The company's high leverage and low profitability are significant risks that need addressing to improve its financial health.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Robust revenue growth indicates successful market expansion and strong demand across MGM's diverse service offerings, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Digital and BetMGM Performance
Strong performance in digital operations and BetMGM enhances MGM's competitive position in the growing online gaming market, contributing to future revenue streams.
Macau Market Share
Record performance and increased market share in Macau highlight MGM's resilience and strategic positioning in a key international market, boosting long-term growth prospects.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Significant leverage poses a financial risk, potentially limiting MGM's ability to invest in growth opportunities and increasing vulnerability to economic downturns.
Profitability Challenges
Low profitability margins indicate difficulty in converting revenue growth into sustainable profits, necessitating improved cost management and operational efficiency.
Las Vegas Segment Decline
Decline in Las Vegas performance due to increased expenses and disruptions may impact overall profitability, highlighting the need for strategic adjustments in core markets.

MGM Resorts (MGM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

MGM Resorts Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, owns and operates casino, hotel, and entertainment resorts in the United States and Macau. The company operates through three segments: Las Vegas Strip Resorts, Regional Operations, and MGM China. Its casino resorts offer gaming, hotel, convention, dining, entertainment, retail, and other resort amenities. The company's casino operations include slots and table games, as well as online sports betting and iGaming through BetMGM. As of February 17, 2021, its portfolio consisted of 29 hotel and destination gaming offerings. The company also owns and operates Las Vegas Strip Resorts and Fallen Oak golf course. Its customers include premium gaming customers; leisure and wholesale travel customers; business travelers; and group customers, including conventions, trade associations, and small meetings. The company was formerly known as MGM MIRAGE and changed its name to MGM Resorts International in June 2010. MGM Resorts International was incorporated in 1986 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.
How the Company Makes MoneyMGM Resorts generates revenue through multiple key streams, including gaming operations, hotel accommodations, food and beverage services, and entertainment offerings. The gaming segment is the largest contributor, where the company earns money from slot machines, table games, and sports betting. Hotel accommodations provide significant revenue through room bookings, while food and beverage sales from restaurants and bars enhance profitability. Additionally, MGM Resorts hosts a variety of entertainment events, including concerts and shows, which attract visitors and generate ticket sales. The company also benefits from loyalty programs, such as M Life Rewards, which encourage repeat business. Partnerships with various entertainment and sports organizations further enhance its offerings and attract a broader customer base, contributing to overall earnings.

MGM Resorts Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Operation
Revenue by Operation
Shows revenue generated from various operations, offering insight into the performance of different business units and their contribution to overall growth.
Chart InsightsMGM Resorts is experiencing a notable shift in revenue dynamics. While Las Vegas Strip Resorts face challenges due to room remodel disruptions and midweek weaknesses, MGM China and regional operations are thriving, with China achieving record adjusted EBITDAR and a significant market share gain. The digital segment is also improving, nearing breakeven. Despite Las Vegas setbacks, the company's diverse global portfolio and strategic initiatives, including BetMGM's strong performance, suggest optimism for future growth, particularly in international and digital operations.
Data provided by:The Fly

MGM Resorts Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture for MGM Resorts. While there were strong performances in Macau and digital operations, alongside strategic asset sales, challenges in Las Vegas and regional properties offset these gains. The withdrawal from the New York market further highlighted some strategic setbacks.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Performance in Macau
MGM China achieved record third-quarter EBITDAR despite a typhoon impact. Market share reached a record 15.5%, and October pacing shows a 16.5% market share with over $100 million in EBITDA.
Strong Digital and BetMGM Performance
BetMGM reached an all-time revenue high in 3Q, with improved profitability. It plans to start distributing cash back to MGM Resorts, expecting at least $100 million in the fourth quarter.
Strategic Sale of Northfield Park
MGM sold Northfield Park for $546 million in cash, achieving a sale multiple of 6.6x, significantly higher than MGM’s current share price valuation.
Positive Signs in Las Vegas
Despite a challenging summer, MGM sees signs of stabilization with strong group demand in November and December, driving stabilization in the business.
Negative Updates
Las Vegas Segment Decline
Las Vegas segment reported $601 million in EBITDAR, down $130 million year-over-year due to decreased business interruption proceeds, increased insurance expenses, and disruptions from room renovations.
Challenges with Regional Properties
Certain regional properties, particularly Luxor and Excalibur, faced challenges with lower occupancy and ADRs, affecting food and beverage volumes.
Withdrawal from New York Market
MGM withdrew its application for a commercial license in Yonkers, New York, due to financial viability concerns and regulatory uncertainties.
Company Guidance
During the MGM Resorts International Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided several key metrics and updates. MGM reported a sale of Northfield Park for $546 million, a significant premium over its acquisition price of $275 million, reflecting a sale multiple of 6.6x compared to MGM's current share price valuation of less than 3x. The company's Las Vegas segment faced a $130 million year-over-year EBITDAR decline, attributed to decreased business interruption proceeds, increased insurance expenses, and impacts from room renovations. Despite these challenges, MGM anticipated over 40 million visitors to Las Vegas in 2025, with a strong group demand in the fourth quarter. MGM China achieved record third quarter EBITDAR, despite a $12 million typhoon impact, and paid an $85 million dividend to MGM Resorts. The digital segment, BetMGM, reached a new all-time revenue high in Q3, with improved profitability and an expected initial cash distribution of at least $100 million in Q4. Progress in Japan continues, with a construction project underway and a USD 300 million equivalent yen-denominated credit facility secured. MGM remains focused on diversification and disciplined capital allocation, with a high return threshold for investments.

MGM Resorts Financial Statement Overview

Summary
MGM Resorts is experiencing strong revenue growth, reflecting a positive recovery trend. However, profitability margins have declined, and the company faces high leverage, which could pose financial risks. Cash flow generation is improving, but there is room for enhancing cash efficiency. Overall, while the company is on a growth trajectory, it needs to manage its leverage and improve profitability margins to ensure long-term financial stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
MGM Resorts shows a strong revenue growth trajectory with a 45.2% increase in TTM, indicating robust recovery and expansion. However, the gross profit margin has decreased from previous years, and the net profit margin remains relatively low at 3.72% in TTM. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, reflecting potential inefficiencies or increased costs.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is high at 8.67 in TTM, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. Return on equity has decreased to 21.19% in TTM, showing reduced profitability from equity. The equity ratio is low, suggesting a heavy reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
MGM Resorts has shown positive free cash flow growth of 13.75% in TTM, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, though slightly below 1, suggesting good cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is moderate, indicating room for improvement in cash efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.28B17.24B16.16B13.13B9.68B4.92B
Gross Profit7.71B7.85B7.61B6.47B4.65B1.71B
EBITDA1.76B2.39B2.40B4.98B3.41B-779.79M
Net Income69.68M746.56M1.14B1.47B1.25B-1.03B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets41.41B42.23B42.37B45.69B40.90B36.49B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.13B2.42B2.93B5.91B4.70B5.10B
Total Debt31.52B31.85B31.62B33.99B24.69B21.02B
Total Liabilities37.96B38.51B38.00B40.32B29.77B25.25B
Stockholders Equity2.68B3.02B3.81B4.83B6.07B6.50B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.37B1.21B1.77B1.00B882.73M-1.76B
Operating Cash Flow2.55B2.36B2.70B1.77B1.37B-1.49B
Investing Cash Flow-1.34B-1.28B-722.52M2.11B1.54B2.16B
Financing Cash Flow-2.02B-1.56B-5.00B-3.02B-2.81B2.10B

MGM Resorts Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price35.44
Price Trends
50DMA
32.94
Positive
100DMA
34.87
Positive
200DMA
33.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.46
Negative
RSI
66.83
Neutral
STOCH
93.94
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MGM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 35.44 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.69, above the 50-day MA of 32.94, and above the 200-day MA of 33.75, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.46 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.94 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MGM.

MGM Resorts Risk Analysis

MGM Resorts disclosed 33 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. MGM Resorts reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

MGM Resorts Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$46.98B31.3662.28%1.44%8.37%10.20%
71
Outperform
$6.51B3.6487.17%0.86%5.91%336.91%
71
Outperform
$6.22B20.8096.16%3.42%4.69%15.18%
63
Neutral
$9.65B221.532.25%0.05%-94.07%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
$13.38B28.380.75%-0.26%-44.45%
51
Neutral
$4.73B-6.06%0.87%31.28%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MGM
MGM Resorts
35.44
-2.08
-5.54%
BYD
Boyd Gaming
82.24
8.23
11.12%
LVS
Las Vegas Sands
69.49
16.04
30.01%
WYNN
Wynn Resorts
132.77
38.70
41.14%
CZR
Caesars Entertainment
23.15
-15.47
-40.06%
RRR
Red Rock Resorts
58.74
10.86
22.68%

MGM Resorts Corporate Events

MGM Resorts’ Earnings Call: Mixed Signals Amid Strategic Moves
Oct 31, 2025

MGM Resorts International’s recent earnings call painted a mixed picture of the company’s current financial landscape. While there were notable successes in Macau and digital operations, these were counterbalanced by challenges in Las Vegas and regional properties. The strategic decision to withdraw from the New York market further underscored some of the setbacks the company is facing.

MGM Resorts Reports Mixed Q3 2025 Results
Oct 30, 2025

MGM Resorts International is a global gaming and entertainment company known for its iconic hotels and casinos, offering a wide range of entertainment experiences across its international locations.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
MGM Resorts Secures JPY45.2 Billion Credit Agreement
Neutral
Oct 29, 2025

On October 23, 2025, MGM Resorts International entered into a secured credit agreement with Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corporation for a term loan facility of JPY45.2 billion, with an option to increase to JPY67.8 billion. This agreement, which matures in October 2030, includes covenants that may limit the company’s ability to incur additional debt, impacting its financial flexibility. Additionally, MGM Resorts reported a 2% increase in consolidated net revenues for the third quarter of 2025, driven by strong performance from MGM China and BetMGM North America. However, the company faced a net loss of $285 million due to a non-cash goodwill impairment charge and other write-offs related to Empire City. Despite these challenges, MGM Resorts announced a $300 million yen-denominated credit facility to support its MGM Osaka project and the sale of MGM Northfield Park operations for $546 million.

The most recent analyst rating on (MGM) stock is a Buy with a $33.07 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MGM Resorts stock, see the MGM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
MGM Resorts Announces New Executive Employment Agreements
Neutral
Sep 19, 2025

On September 16, 2025, MGM Resorts International announced new employment agreements for two key executives, Jonathan Halkyard and Gary Fritz, effective October 1, 2025. These agreements outline their compensation packages, including base salaries, bonuses, and equity grants, as well as conditions for termination and non-compete clauses. The agreements aim to secure the leadership of these executives through 2029 and 2028, respectively, potentially impacting the company’s strategic direction and stability in the gaming and digital sectors.

The most recent analyst rating on (MGM) stock is a Hold with a $38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MGM Resorts stock, see the MGM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
MGM Resorts COO Corey Sanders to Retire Soon
Neutral
Sep 5, 2025

On August 29, 2025, MGM Resorts International extended the employment agreement of Corey Sanders, its Chief Operating Officer, until December 31, 2025, after which he will transition to a Senior Advisor role through December 31, 2026. This transition follows Sanders’ announcement of retirement after over 30 years with the company, during which he played a pivotal role in major acquisitions and expansions. MGM Resorts plans to appoint a new COO later in September 2025. Sanders’ leadership has been instrumental in shaping the company’s culture and operational success, and his departure marks a significant change in the company’s executive team.

The most recent analyst rating on (MGM) stock is a Hold with a $44.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MGM Resorts stock, see the MGM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 28, 2025