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Wynn Resorts (WYNN)
NASDAQ:WYNN

Wynn Resorts (WYNN) AI Stock Analysis

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WY

Wynn Resorts

(NASDAQ:WYNN)

Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$93.00
▲(6.81%Upside)
Wynn Resorts' score is primarily driven by its financial resilience and strategic growth in key markets, despite significant balance sheet challenges. The company's moderate valuation and enhanced liquidity position contribute positively, while technical indicators and competitive pressures present some uncertainties.
Positive Factors
Consumer Market
Wynn's exposure to the VIP and premium mass consumer drove significant year-over-year EBITDAR growth, with stability expected in the future.
Financial Performance
Wynn's recent pullback and strong free cash flow yield are seen as factors that increasingly de-risk China/Macau exposure.
New Development
The opening of Wynn Al Marjan Island in early 2027 is expected to be a key catalyst for Wynn Resorts, as it will be the first major integrated casino resort in the Middle East.
Share Buybacks
The company bought back ~$200mn in stock during the quarter, indicating strong capital allocation.
Negative Factors
Earnings Report
WYNN reported headline 1Q results below expectations driven largely by lower VIP hold in Macau.
Geopolitical Risks
Key concerns for the business include recession risks in Las Vegas and macro and geopolitical risks for Macau.

Wynn Resorts (WYNN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Wynn Resorts Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN) is a leading developer and operator of high-end hotels and casinos. The company operates luxury resorts in several international locations, including Las Vegas, Macau, and Boston Harbor, offering a range of upscale amenities such as gaming, dining, entertainment, and retail experiences. Wynn Resorts is known for its opulent properties and commitment to providing exceptional customer service in the hospitality and gaming sectors.
How the Company Makes MoneyWynn Resorts generates revenue primarily through its casino operations, which include gaming tables and slot machines. In addition to gaming revenue, the company earns substantial income from its hotel accommodations, food and beverage services, and entertainment offerings. Wynn's resorts feature a variety of luxury amenities that appeal to high-end clientele, thereby enabling the company to charge premium prices. The company also benefits from retail leasing and other non-gaming income streams at its resort properties. Significant partnerships and its strategic locations in major tourism destinations contribute to its financial performance by attracting both leisure and business travelers.

Wynn Resorts Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.51%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a balanced view, with positive financial performance and strategic advancements in various markets, particularly Las Vegas and Macau. However, challenges such as CapEx delays due to tariffs and competitive pressures in Macau were notable concerns.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Las Vegas Performance
Wynn Las Vegas generated $223.4 million in adjusted property EBITDA on $625.3 million of operating revenue during the quarter, delivering an EBITDA margin of 35.7%. Revenue and EBITDA were up 5.4% and 2.7%, respectively, when removing the Super Bowl weekend from each quarter.
Boston Harbor Stability
Encore Boston Harbor generated $57 million of EBITDAR with slot volumes up about 3%. Demand in Boston has remained healthy with drop and handle flat to last year.
Macau Resilience
Macau operations delivered adjusted property EBITDA of $252.1 million with operating revenue of $865.9 million. OpEx excluding gaming tax was flat year-on-year. The Gourmet Pavilion at Wynn Palace is already driving increased visitation.
Strong Liquidity Position
Global cash and revolver availability of $3.2 billion as of March 31, comprising $1.8 billion of total cash and available liquidity in Macau and $1.3 billion in the US.
Shareholder Returns
Wynn Resorts repurchased 2.36 million shares for approximately $200 million in Q1 and an additional $100 million in Q2. The Wynn Macau Board recommended increasing the final dividend for 2024 to $125 million.
Negative Updates
CapEx Delays
Tariff rates have led to a delay of about $375 million in CapEx projects, including the Encore Tower remodel.
Competitive Market in Macau
The Macau market remains highly competitive, with a focus on maximizing EBITDA and generating a healthy margin profile amidst fierce competition for the premium mass market.
Potential Impact of Tariffs
Uncertainty regarding tariffs, especially on growth, could impact future demand despite current business holding up well.
Company Guidance
During the Wynn Resorts First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, executives provided several key metrics and insights into their performance and guidance. The company reported that Wynn Las Vegas generated $223.4 million in adjusted property EBITDA on $625.3 million of operating revenue, achieving an EBITDA margin of 35.7%. In Boston, Encore Boston Harbor produced $57.5 million of adjusted property EBITDA on $209.2 million in revenue, with an EBITDA margin of 27.5%. Meanwhile, Macau operations delivered $252.1 million in adjusted property EBITDA on $865.9 million of operating revenue, resulting in an EBITDA margin of 29.1%. The company also discussed capital expenditures, noting that $375 million of projects, including the Encore Tower remodel, have been delayed due to current tariff rates. Additionally, Wynn Resorts completed $200 million in stock repurchases during the first quarter and another $100 million in the second quarter thus far, underscoring their commitment to returning capital to shareholders.

Wynn Resorts Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Wynn Resorts has shown revenue growth and strong cash flow generation post-pandemic. However, challenges include high leverage and negative equity on the balance sheet.
Income Statement
67
Positive
Wynn Resorts has shown substantial revenue growth from 2020 to 2024, with a notable recovery from pandemic lows. The gross profit margin improved significantly over the years, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin remains volatile, reflecting ongoing challenges in achieving consistent profitability. The TTM data shows a slight decline in revenue, but margins are generally stable, suggesting steady operations.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio due to negative equity, which poses financial risk. Return on equity is not meaningful due to negative equity, but the company has managed to maintain substantial assets. Despite high leverage, Wynn has managed to stabilize its asset base, although overall financial health remains a concern due to negative equity positions.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Wynn Resorts demonstrates strong free cash flow generation, with significant improvement after the pandemic. The operating cash flow consistently covers net income, suggesting effective cash management. The free cash flow growth rate is positive, indicating strong operational cash generation, which is crucial for servicing debt and funding capital expenditures.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
6.97B7.13B6.53B3.76B3.76B2.10B
Gross Profit
2.82B3.10B2.82B1.25B1.21B352.64M
EBIT
1.04B1.13B840.17M-247.10M-415.25M-1.16B
EBITDA
1.47B1.99B1.72B643.17M310.01M-480.30M
Net Income Common Stockholders
429.61M501.08M729.99M-709.37M-1.01B-2.33B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.07B2.43B3.72B3.65B2.52B3.48B
Total Assets
12.72B12.98B14.00B13.42B12.53B13.87B
Total Debt
12.18B12.17B13.42B13.73B12.05B13.19B
Net Debt
10.11B9.74B10.54B10.08B9.53B9.71B
Total Liabilities
13.83B13.95B15.10B15.06B13.37B14.61B
Stockholders Equity
-360.68M-224.16M-251.38M-750.84M-214.42M-352.00M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
1.06B1.00B740.70M-423.78M-569.28M-1.36B
Operating Cash Flow
1.24B1.43B1.25B-71.27M-222.59M-1.07B
Investing Cash Flow
-137.65M-83.56M-1.34B1.35B-342.42M-265.76M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.46B-1.79B-719.21M-719.21M-388.00M2.46B

Wynn Resorts Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price87.07
Price Trends
50DMA
83.66
Positive
100DMA
84.57
Positive
200DMA
86.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.19
Positive
RSI
49.01
Neutral
STOCH
47.71
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WYNN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 87.07 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 89.82, above the 50-day MA of 83.66, and above the 200-day MA of 86.75, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.19 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WYNN.

Wynn Resorts Risk Analysis

Wynn Resorts disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Wynn Resorts reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Wynn Resorts Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$7.36B18.1344.13%0.41%11.75%24.31%
BYBYD
78
Outperform
$6.12B12.2935.62%0.96%6.06%10.05%
MGMGM
73
Outperform
$9.04B14.8421.38%2.76%-14.31%
LVLVS
69
Neutral
$30.02B23.6839.21%2.39%-0.09%-13.07%
63
Neutral
$9.06B23.66-51.73%1.14%-0.08%-48.66%
63
Neutral
$6.94B11.342.80%4.26%2.68%-24.70%
CZCZR
59
Neutral
$5.80B-5.56%-1.25%-130.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WYNN
Wynn Resorts
87.07
-0.73
-0.83%
BYD
Boyd Gaming
75.30
22.04
41.38%
CHDN
Churchill Downs
99.35
-36.79
-27.02%
LVS
Las Vegas Sands
41.91
-0.42
-0.99%
MGM
MGM Resorts
33.14
-6.71
-16.84%
CZR
Caesars Entertainment
27.31
-8.72
-24.20%

Wynn Resorts Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Wynn Resorts Amends Credit Agreement for Liquidity Boost
Positive
Jun 12, 2025

On June 12, 2025, Wynn Resorts announced an amendment to its credit agreement through its subsidiary Wynn Resorts Finance, LLC. This amendment extends the maturity dates of certain loans and revolving commitments to June 12, 2030, and secures an additional $500 million in extended revolving commitments. This strategic financial move aims to enhance the company’s liquidity and operational flexibility, potentially strengthening its market position and providing stability for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (WYNN) stock is a Buy with a $138.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Wynn Resorts stock, see the WYNN Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingDividends
Wynn Resorts Adjusts Convertible Bonds Conversion Price
Neutral
Jun 3, 2025

On June 2, 2025, Wynn Macau, Limited announced an adjustment to the conversion price of its 4.50% convertible bonds due 2029, following the payment of a final dividend of HK$0.185 per share. Effective June 3, 2025, the conversion price was adjusted from HK$10.01212 to HK$9.66905, impacting the convertible bonds’ conversion into approximately 487 million shares, which represents about 9.3% of the company’s total issued share capital.

The most recent analyst rating on (WYNN) stock is a Buy with a $138.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Wynn Resorts stock, see the WYNN Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Wynn Resorts Announces Dividend Amid Revenue Decline
Neutral
May 6, 2025

On May 6, 2025, Wynn Resorts announced a cash dividend of $0.25 per share, payable on May 30, 2025. The company’s first-quarter results for 2025 showed a decrease in operating revenues to $1.70 billion, down from $1.86 billion in the same period of 2024. Net income also fell to $72.7 million from $144.2 million in the previous year. Despite these declines, the company maintained market share in Macau and continued its growth project in the UAE. Additionally, Wynn Resorts repurchased $200 million worth of its stock during the quarter.

Financial Disclosures
Wynn Resorts’ Wynn Macau Reports Strong Financial Growth
Positive
Apr 29, 2025

On April 28, 2025, Wynn Macau, Limited, an indirect subsidiary of Wynn Resorts, filed its annual report for the year ended December 31, 2024, with the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. The report highlights significant financial growth, with casino revenues increasing to HK$23.6 billion and profits attributable to owners rising to HK$3.2 billion. This financial performance underscores Wynn Macau’s strong market positioning and operational success in the competitive Macau gaming industry.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.