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Wynn Resorts (WYNN)
NASDAQ:WYNN

Wynn Resorts (WYNN) AI Stock Analysis

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WYNN

Wynn Resorts

(NASDAQ:WYNN)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$120.00
▲(1.46% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by balance-sheet risk (negative equity/high leverage) and weak technical momentum. Offsetting factors include a positive earnings-call outlook with strength in Las Vegas and Macau and longer-term growth drivers (UAE development), while valuation and dividend support are only moderate.
Positive Factors
Macau Operating Strength
Sustained strength in Macau signals structural demand recovery in a core, high-margin market. Higher mass volumes and strong EBITDAR underpin durable cash generation and market positioning, supporting long-term revenue stability even amid regional volatility.
Strong Liquidity Position
A large liquidity buffer provides multi-quarter runway to fund operations, capital projects, and refinancing needs. This reduces near-term solvency risk, enables strategic investments (e.g., Al Marjan), and cushions cyclical gaming revenues while management executes growth plans.
Orderly CFO Succession
An internally sourced CFO succession preserves regional financing expertise and continuity during major projects and international operations. This lowers execution and financing risk for ongoing developments and maintains relationships critical to capital allocation and treasury functions.
Negative Factors
Negative Equity / High Leverage
Persistently negative equity and heavy leverage constrain strategic flexibility, increase refinancing and covenant risk, and elevate the cost of capital. Over months, this can limit investment options, impede opportunistic M&A, and pressure cash available for shareholder returns.
Weak Free Cash Flow Growth
A sharp drop in free cash flow growth erodes internal funding capacity for capex, project funding, and dividends. Even with ample liquidity, sustained FCF weakness forces greater reliance on external financing, increasing interest burden and reducing resilience to industry downturns.
Planned Room-Night Loss from Remodel
A planned multi-month room closure materially reduces revenue and RevPAR in the near term and pressures operating leverage at Las Vegas properties. While it may enhance long-term product, the short-to-medium term impact reduces cash flows and complicates comparable performance.

Wynn Resorts (WYNN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Wynn Resorts Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWynn Resorts, Limited designs, develops, and operates integrated resorts. Its Wynn Palace segment operates 424,000 square feet of casino space with 323 table games, 1,035 slot machines, private gaming salons, and sky casinos; a luxury hotel tower with 1,706 guest rooms, suites, and villas, including a health club, spa, salon, and pool; 14 food and beverage outlets; 107,000 square feet of retail space; 37,000 square feet of meeting and convention space; and performance lake and floral art displays. Its Wynn Macau segment operates 252,000 square feet of casino space with 331 table games, 818 slot machines, private gaming salons, sky casinos, and a poker room; two luxury hotel towers with 1,010 guest rooms and suites that include two health clubs, two spas, a salon, and a pool; 14 food and beverage outlets; 59,000 square feet of retail space; 31,000 square feet of meeting and convention space; and Chinese zodiac-inspired ceiling attractions. Its Las Vegas Operations segment operates 194,000 square feet of casino space with 223 table games, 1,751 slot machines, private gaming salons, a sky casino, a poker room, and a race and sports book; two luxury hotel towers with 4,748 guest rooms, suites, and villas, including swimming pools, private cabanas, two full service spas and salons, and a wedding chapel; 32 food and beverage outlets; 513,000 square feet of meeting and convention space; 155,000 square feet of retail space; and two theaters, three nightclubs and a beach club. Its Encore Boston Harbor segment operates 211,000 square feet of casino space with 184 table games, 2,766 slot machines, gaming areas, and a poker room; a luxury hotel tower with 671 guest rooms and suites, including a spa and salon; 15 food and beverage outlets and a nightclub; 10,000 square feet of retail space; 71,000 square feet of meeting and convention space; and a waterfront park, floral displays, and water shuttle service. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.
How the Company Makes MoneyWynn Resorts generates revenue primarily through its gaming operations, hotel accommodations, and various entertainment and dining offerings. The company's casino segment is a significant revenue driver, where it earns money from table games and slot machines. Hotel accommodations contribute through room bookings, with luxury pricing reflecting the premium nature of its properties. Additionally, Wynn Resorts benefits from high-end restaurants, bars, and entertainment venues, which attract guests and locals alike. The company also engages in retail operations within its resorts, enhancing the overall guest experience and driving additional sales. Significant partnerships with renowned chefs and entertainment acts further amplify its offerings, while the company's strategic focus on the Asian gaming market, particularly in Macau, plays a crucial role in its revenue generation.

Wynn Resorts Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Income by Property
Operating Income by Property
Shows the income generated by each property after operating expenses, indicating the profitability and financial health of Wynn's individual locations.
Chart InsightsWynn Resorts has experienced a significant turnaround in operating income across its properties, particularly in Wynn Palace and Wynn Macau, which have shifted from losses to profitability since early 2023. The latest earnings call highlights robust growth in Las Vegas and Macau, with Macau's VIP segment showing resilience despite low holds. The strategic focus on capital projects and strong liquidity position suggests continued investment in growth, while challenges like midweek softness in Las Vegas and tariff uncertainties are being addressed. This indicates a positive outlook for sustained recovery and expansion.
Data provided by:The Fly

Wynn Resorts Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a positive overall sentiment, driven by notable gains in Las Vegas market share, strong Macau performance, and promising developments in the UAE. While there are challenges related to room loss in Las Vegas due to renovations and labor cost pressures in Boston, the company's robust liquidity and commitment to shareholder returns bolster a positive outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Las Vegas Market Share Gains
Wynn Las Vegas achieved notable gaming market share gains, resulting in a 3% EBITDA growth to $211 million. Casino revenues increased by 10%, and the property set an all-time monthly EBITDA record in August.
Strong Macau Performance
Macau operations delivered strong results with $308 million in EBITDAR, including a $23 million VIP hold benefit. Mass volumes were notably strong, up 15% year-on-year.
Positive Outlook for Wynn Al Marjan Island
The development of Wynn Al Marjan Island is progressing rapidly, with a targeted opening date planned. The project is expected to significantly contribute to future growth, with analysts predicting the market could exceed $5 billion.
Robust Liquidity Position
The company maintains a strong liquidity position with global cash and revolver availability of $4.6 billion as of September 30, 2025.
Macau Dividend Payouts
Wynn Macau paid approximately $125 million in dividends in Q3, highlighting the company's commitment to returning capital to shareholders.
Negative Updates
Las Vegas Room Loss in 2026
The upcoming Encore Tower remodel in Las Vegas is expected to result in a loss of about 80,000 room nights in 2026, presenting a slight headwind.
Typhoon-Related Costs in Macau
Macau operations incurred about $2.5 million in typhoon-related operating expenses during the quarter.
Boston Labor Cost Pressures
Despite strong slot revenue growth, labor cost pressures in Boston continue to pose challenges, with OpEx per day up 1.9% compared to the prior year.
Company Guidance
During the Wynn Resorts Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company reported several key metrics and guidance for future periods. In Las Vegas, Wynn reported an adjusted EBITDA growth of 3% to $211 million, with a 10% increase in casino revenues despite flat hotel revenue at $187 million. The company achieved an all-time monthly EBITDA record in August and noted momentum into the fourth quarter with increased drop, handle, and RevPAR. Looking ahead, Wynn anticipates strong group and convention business into 2026, although a planned remodel of the Encore Tower will result in a temporary loss of about 80,000 room nights in 2026. In Boston, the company reported $58 million in EBITDAR with a 5% year-on-year increase in slot revenues. Macau operations generated $308 million in EBITDAR, with mass volumes up 15% year-on-year, aided by higher-than-normal VIP hold. The company is optimistic about the future of Macau, with ongoing projects like the expansion of the Chairman's Club and a refresh of Wynn Tower rooms. Additionally, Wynn Al Marjan Island is progressing well, with anticipated significant contributions to future cash flow, as the company remains confident in its market leadership and long-term development opportunities in the UAE. Overall, Wynn Resorts remains focused on delivering premium experiences across its properties while navigating macroeconomic uncertainties.

Wynn Resorts Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Wynn Resorts shows mixed financial performance. Revenue growth and profitability have improved, but significant leverage and negative equity pose financial risks. Cash flow generation is moderate but declining, necessitating careful management to ensure liquidity and operational efficiency.
Income Statement
Wynn Resorts has shown a positive revenue growth trend with a 2.02% increase in TTM, indicating recovery from previous years. The gross profit margin is healthy at 31.62%, though it has decreased from the previous year. The net profit margin improved to 9.38% TTM, reflecting better profitability. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have declined, suggesting potential operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reveals significant financial leverage with a negative equity position, resulting in a high debt-to-equity ratio of -10.68 TTM. The return on equity is negative, indicating challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is also negative, highlighting financial instability.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth by 84% TTM, raising concerns about cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.71, indicating moderate cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.56, suggesting some ability to generate cash relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.11B7.13B6.53B3.76B3.76B2.10B
Gross Profit3.00B3.10B2.82B1.37B1.21B352.64M
EBITDA1.90B1.99B1.72B643.17M310.01M-480.30M
Net Income504.28M501.08M729.99M-423.86M-755.79M-2.07B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.80B12.98B14.00B13.42B12.53B13.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.96B2.43B3.72B3.65B2.52B3.48B
Total Debt12.20B12.17B13.37B13.73B12.05B13.19B
Total Liabilities13.94B13.95B15.10B15.06B13.37B14.61B
Stockholders Equity-370.04M-224.16M-251.38M-750.84M-214.42M-352.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow736.71M1.00B740.70M-423.78M-569.28M-1.36B
Operating Cash Flow1.35B1.43B1.25B-71.27M-222.59M-1.07B
Investing Cash Flow-1.41B-83.56M-1.34B1.35B-342.42M-265.76M
Financing Cash Flow-2.07B-1.79B-719.21M-23.68M-388.00M2.46B

Wynn Resorts Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price118.27
Price Trends
50DMA
123.85
Negative
100DMA
123.12
Negative
200DMA
107.79
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.70
Positive
RSI
40.23
Neutral
STOCH
18.40
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WYNN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 118.27 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 123.25, below the 50-day MA of 123.85, and above the 200-day MA of 107.79, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.70 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.40 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for WYNN.

Wynn Resorts Risk Analysis

Wynn Resorts disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Wynn Resorts reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Wynn Resorts Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$6.72B3.8687.17%0.84%5.91%336.91%
74
Outperform
$41.53B27.9362.28%1.51%8.37%10.20%
63
Neutral
$9.33B220.652.25%0.05%-94.07%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
56
Neutral
$2.73B26.1811.32%
53
Neutral
$12.10B26.080.80%-0.26%-44.45%
51
Neutral
$4.69B-21.82-6.06%0.87%31.28%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WYNN
Wynn Resorts
118.27
37.73
46.85%
BYD
Boyd Gaming
88.33
17.91
25.43%
LVS
Las Vegas Sands
61.90
15.68
33.92%
MLCO
Melco Resorts & Entertainment
6.88
1.45
26.70%
MGM
MGM Resorts
35.15
3.28
10.29%
CZR
Caesars Entertainment
25.07
-6.36
-20.24%

Wynn Resorts Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Wynn Resorts Announces Planned CFO Transition and Succession
Positive
Jan 9, 2026

On January 7, 2026, Wynn Resorts announced that Chief Financial Officer Julie Cameron‑Doe will retire from her CFO role effective March 31, 2026 and from her officer role effective June 1, 2026, after helping drive the group’s recent expansion into Europe via the Wynn Mayfair acquisition and into the Middle East through financing for the $5.1 billion Wynn Al Marjan Island project. To ensure continuity, she will remain a consultant to the company and a non‑executive director of Wynn Macau, while Craig Fullalove, currently CFO and Chief Administrative Officer of Wynn Macau, Limited, will assume the Wynn Resorts CFO post on April 1, 2026 under a three‑year employment agreement featuring an $800,000 base salary, substantial incentive and equity components, and defined severance protections, signaling a planned, internally sourced finance leadership transition that preserves strategic and regional expertise as the company continues its global growth initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (WYNN) stock is a Buy with a $155.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Wynn Resorts stock, see the WYNN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Wynn Resorts Reports Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

Wynn Resorts reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with operating revenues reaching $1.83 billion, a significant increase from the previous year. The company achieved a net income of $88.3 million, reversing a net loss from the same period in 2024, driven by impressive growth in Macau and continued success in Las Vegas. The Board of Directors declared a cash dividend of $0.25 per share, reflecting confidence in the company’s financial health. Additionally, Wynn Resorts made notable progress on its Wynn Al Marjan Island project, contributing $93.9 million to the development, which is expected to open in 2027.

The most recent analyst rating on (WYNN) stock is a Hold with a $126.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Wynn Resorts stock, see the WYNN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 10, 2026