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Wynn Resorts (WYNN)
NASDAQ:WYNN
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Wynn Resorts (WYNN) AI Stock Analysis

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WYNN

Wynn Resorts

(NASDAQ:WYNN)

Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$114.00
▼(-0.27% Downside)
Wynn Resorts' overall stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and positive earnings call sentiment. However, financial performance is hindered by high leverage and negative equity, and valuation metrics suggest potential overvaluation. Recent corporate events provide some financial flexibility, but the company must address financial risks to improve its overall standing.
Positive Factors
Capital Allocation
The company bought back ~$200mn in stock during the quarter, indicating strong capital allocation.
Financial Performance
Vegas EBITDAR came in at $235m above expectations largely on better opex control and stronger table/slot revenues.
Growth Prospects
The opening of Wynn Al Marjan Island is expected to be a key catalyst for Wynn Resorts, as it will be the first major integrated casino resort in the Middle East.
Negative Factors
Earnings
WYNN reported headline 2Q results below expectations driven largely by hold headwinds in both Macau and Vegas.
Economic Risks
Key concerns for the business include recession risks in Las Vegas and macro and geopolitical risks for Macau.
Operational Challenges
Macau EBITDAR was a miss largely attributable to higher opex and some VIP luck headwinds.

Wynn Resorts (WYNN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Wynn Resorts Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWynn Resorts, Limited designs, develops, and operates integrated resorts. Its Wynn Palace segment operates 424,000 square feet of casino space with 323 table games, 1,035 slot machines, private gaming salons, and sky casinos; a luxury hotel tower with 1,706 guest rooms, suites, and villas, including a health club, spa, salon, and pool; 14 food and beverage outlets; 107,000 square feet of retail space; 37,000 square feet of meeting and convention space; and performance lake and floral art displays. Its Wynn Macau segment operates 252,000 square feet of casino space with 331 table games, 818 slot machines, private gaming salons, sky casinos, and a poker room; two luxury hotel towers with 1,010 guest rooms and suites that include two health clubs, two spas, a salon, and a pool; 14 food and beverage outlets; 59,000 square feet of retail space; 31,000 square feet of meeting and convention space; and Chinese zodiac-inspired ceiling attractions. Its Las Vegas Operations segment operates 194,000 square feet of casino space with 223 table games, 1,751 slot machines, private gaming salons, a sky casino, a poker room, and a race and sports book; two luxury hotel towers with 4,748 guest rooms, suites, and villas, including swimming pools, private cabanas, two full service spas and salons, and a wedding chapel; 32 food and beverage outlets; 513,000 square feet of meeting and convention space; 155,000 square feet of retail space; and two theaters, three nightclubs and a beach club. Its Encore Boston Harbor segment operates 211,000 square feet of casino space with 184 table games, 2,766 slot machines, gaming areas, and a poker room; a luxury hotel tower with 671 guest rooms and suites, including a spa and salon; 15 food and beverage outlets and a nightclub; 10,000 square feet of retail space; 71,000 square feet of meeting and convention space; and a waterfront park, floral displays, and water shuttle service. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.
How the Company Makes MoneyWynn Resorts generates revenue primarily through its casino operations, hotel accommodations, and various entertainment and dining offerings. The company's gaming revenue comes from slot machines, table games, and poker, which attract a high volume of both casual and high-stakes players. Additionally, Wynn generates significant revenue from its hotel segment, where room bookings, resort fees, and additional guest services contribute to earnings. The company's diverse range of restaurants and bars, along with retail shops, provide supplementary income. Wynn Resorts also benefits from partnerships with various entertainment providers, enhancing its offerings and attracting visitors. Seasonality and tourism trends can significantly impact earnings, with peak seasons corresponding to major events and holidays contributing to higher occupancy rates and gaming revenues.

Wynn Resorts Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 6.85%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a generally positive sentiment with strong performance and growth in key segments, notably Las Vegas and Macau, despite some challenges such as low VIP hold in Macau and midweek softness in Las Vegas.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record EBITDAR in Las Vegas
Wynn Las Vegas achieved a new second quarter record for EBITDAR, up 2% year-over-year to nearly $235 million, with an adjusted figure of $246 million.
Strong Casino Revenue Growth
Total casino revenues grew by 14.5% year-over-year in Las Vegas, driven by increases in both drop and handle.
Positive Outlook for 2026
The forward booking pace in Las Vegas accelerated, with group and convention business looking strong for the fourth quarter and 2026, which is expected to be a record year for group room nights and revenues.
Encouraging Macau Performance
Macau generated $266 million in VIP normalized EBITDAR, despite unfavorable VIP hold affecting EBITDAR by nearly $13 million. July showed volume acceleration despite weather disruptions.
Wynn Al Marjan Island Progress
Construction on Wynn Al Marjan Island is progressing rapidly with the 61st floor being poured and key food and beverage partnerships finalized. The project is on track for its targeted opening date.
Strong Financial Position
The company has a robust liquidity position with $3.6 billion in global cash and revolver availability, alongside a healthy consolidated net leverage ratio of just under 4.4x.
Negative Updates
Impact of Low VIP Hold in Macau
Lower-than-normal VIP hold in Macau negatively impacted EBITDAR by approximately $13 million in the quarter.
Softer Midweek Performance in Las Vegas
Las Vegas experienced softer midweek hotel performance, prompting a strategic focus on maintaining rates over occupancy.
Tariff Uncertainty Impacting Development Plans
Tariff-related macroeconomic uncertainty has introduced challenges to development plans, leading to a revision of the Encore Tower Remodel sourcing and procurement plan.
Company Guidance
During the Wynn Resorts Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, guidance was provided on several key metrics. Wynn Las Vegas reported a 2% year-over-year increase in EBITDAR, reaching nearly $235 million, which would have been $246 million with adjusted hold. Total casino revenues increased by 14.5%, while REVPAR grew by over 1%. The Macau operations generated $266 million in VIP normalized EBITDAR, despite a $13 million impact due to lower-than-normal VIP holds. The company also announced ongoing capital projects, including a $330 million Encore Tower Remodel in Las Vegas, set to begin in spring 2026. In addition, Wynn Al Marjan Island is progressing rapidly, with the tower expected to top out later this year. The company maintains a strong liquidity position with $3.6 billion in global cash and revolver availability, and continues to return capital to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, including $158 million in stock buybacks during the second quarter.

Wynn Resorts Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Wynn Resorts shows strong revenue growth and gross profit margins, but faces challenges in profitability and financial stability due to high leverage and negative equity. Cash flow generation is moderate, with some strengths in converting income to cash. Overall, the company shows potential for growth but must address financial risks and improve profitability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Wynn Resorts has shown a positive revenue growth trend with a 7% increase in TTM, following a 9.1% growth in the previous year. The gross profit margin remains strong at 42.5% TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased to 5.5% TTM from 7% in the previous year, suggesting pressure on profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also slightly declined, reflecting potential operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals significant leverage with a negative stockholders' equity, resulting in a high debt-to-equity ratio of -27.56 TTM. This indicates financial instability and potential risk. The return on equity is negative, reflecting losses and inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is also negative, highlighting a reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a decline in free cash flow growth by 1.6% TTM, indicating challenges in generating cash. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.54, suggesting some ability to convert income into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively strong at 0.80, showing decent cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.97B7.13B6.53B3.76B3.76B2.10B
Gross Profit2.96B3.10B2.82B1.25B1.21B352.64M
EBITDA1.73B1.99B1.72B643.17M310.01M-480.30M
Net Income383.88M501.08M729.99M-423.86M-755.79M-2.07B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.69B12.98B14.00B13.42B12.53B13.87B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.98B2.43B3.72B3.65B2.52B3.48B
Total Debt12.17B12.17B13.37B13.73B12.05B13.19B
Total Liabilities13.90B13.95B15.10B15.06B13.37B14.61B
Stockholders Equity-441.54M-224.16M-251.38M-750.84M-214.42M-352.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.04B1.00B740.70M-423.78M-569.28M-1.36B
Operating Cash Flow1.30B1.43B1.25B-71.27M-222.59M-1.07B
Investing Cash Flow-267.97M-83.56M-1.34B1.35B-342.42M-265.76M
Financing Cash Flow-1.41B-1.79B-719.21M-23.68M-388.00M2.46B

Wynn Resorts Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price114.31
Price Trends
50DMA
104.24
Positive
100DMA
93.81
Positive
200DMA
90.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.00
Negative
RSI
64.35
Neutral
STOCH
82.34
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WYNN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 114.31 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 109.52, above the 50-day MA of 104.24, and above the 200-day MA of 90.33, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.35 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.34 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WYNN.

Wynn Resorts Risk Analysis

Wynn Resorts disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Wynn Resorts reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Wynn Resorts Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$6.87B13.2036.36%0.82%6.40%26.09%
80
Outperform
$7.18B17.6141.20%0.39%8.20%7.02%
65
Neutral
$9.86B20.9717.34%0.89%-31.56%
61
Neutral
$17.70B12.60-5.32%3.04%1.52%-15.30%
60
Neutral
$11.53B32.71-51.73%0.87%-1.94%-53.90%
59
Neutral
$37.79B27.8049.16%1.73%1.62%-7.14%
52
Neutral
$5.56B-4.76%-0.15%28.05%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WYNN
Wynn Resorts
114.31
37.86
49.52%
BYD
Boyd Gaming
85.66
26.35
44.43%
CHDN
Churchill Downs
104.04
-32.13
-23.60%
LVS
Las Vegas Sands
55.05
15.35
38.66%
MGM
MGM Resorts
38.06
0.02
0.05%
CZR
Caesars Entertainment
26.75
-10.66
-28.50%

Wynn Resorts Corporate Events

Delistings and Listing ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Wynn Resorts Announces Redemption of Senior Notes
Neutral
Aug 22, 2025

On August 21, 2025, Wynn Macau, Limited announced its decision to redeem all outstanding $1 billion of 5.50% Senior Notes due 2026. This redemption, scheduled for September 2, 2025, will be executed at a price equal to 100% of the principal amount, using the company’s internal resources. The redemption will lead to the cancellation of the notes and their delisting from the stock exchange, reflecting a strategic financial move by the company.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Wynn Resorts’ Subsidiary Completes $1 Billion Note Offering
Neutral
Aug 19, 2025

On August 18, 2025, Wynn Macau, Limited, a subsidiary of Wynn Resorts, completed a $1 billion offering of 6.750% senior notes due 2034. The proceeds, approximately $989 million after expenses, are intended for general corporate purposes, including debt repayment. The issuance is part of WML’s strategic financial management, potentially impacting its market positioning by enhancing liquidity and flexibility. The notes are listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, with specific terms allowing for redemption under certain conditions, reflecting WML’s proactive approach to managing its financial obligations and market risks.

Private Placements and Financing
Wynn Resorts Announces $1 Billion Senior Notes Issuance
Neutral
Aug 13, 2025

On August 12, 2025, Wynn Macau, a subsidiary of Wynn Resorts, announced a purchase agreement for the issuance of $1 billion in senior notes due in 2034, with an interest rate of 6.750%. The proceeds are intended for general corporate purposes, including debt repayment. The issuance is expected to enhance the company’s financial flexibility, although it carries risks such as potential change of control provisions that could require repurchase of the notes.

Private Placements and Financing
Wynn Resorts Announces Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Aug 11, 2025

On August 11, 2025, Wynn Macau, Limited announced a proposed private offering of senior notes, subject to market conditions and investor interest. The proceeds from this offering are intended for general corporate purposes, including debt repayment, which could extend the maturity profile of the company’s indebtedness, potentially benefiting its financial stability.

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Wynn Resorts Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Aug 7, 2025

Wynn Resorts reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, showing operating revenues of $1.74 billion, a slight increase from the previous year. However, net income decreased to $66.2 million from $111.9 million in the same quarter of 2024. The company highlighted strong performance in Las Vegas, despite challenges in Macau due to lower VIP hold. Wynn Resorts is progressing with its Wynn Al Marjan Island project in the UAE and continues to return capital to shareholders through dividends and stock repurchases.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Wynn Resorts Expands Loan Facility by $1 Billion
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

On July 31, 2025, Wynn Macau, Limited announced an increase in its revolving unsecured loan facility commitments by US$1.0 billion, bringing the total to US$2.5 billion. This expansion under the Facility Agreement, involving WM Cayman Holdings Limited II and Bank of China Limited, aims to enhance the company’s financial flexibility and market positioning.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Wynn Resorts Amends Credit Agreement for Liquidity Boost
Positive
Jun 12, 2025

On June 12, 2025, Wynn Resorts announced an amendment to its credit agreement through its subsidiary Wynn Resorts Finance, LLC. This amendment extends the maturity dates of certain loans and revolving commitments to June 12, 2030, and secures an additional $500 million in extended revolving commitments. This strategic financial move aims to enhance the company’s liquidity and operational flexibility, potentially strengthening its market position and providing stability for stakeholders.

Private Placements and FinancingDividends
Wynn Resorts Adjusts Convertible Bonds Conversion Price
Neutral
Jun 3, 2025

On June 2, 2025, Wynn Macau, Limited announced an adjustment to the conversion price of its 4.50% convertible bonds due 2029, following the payment of a final dividend of HK$0.185 per share. Effective June 3, 2025, the conversion price was adjusted from HK$10.01212 to HK$9.66905, impacting the convertible bonds’ conversion into approximately 487 million shares, which represents about 9.3% of the company’s total issued share capital.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025