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Red Rock Resorts (RRR)
NASDAQ:RRR
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Red Rock Resorts (RRR) AI Stock Analysis

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RRR

Red Rock Resorts

(NASDAQ:RRR)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$61.00
▲(5.48% Upside)
Red Rock Resorts' strong financial performance and positive earnings call are significant strengths, driving the overall score. The company's robust cash flow and strategic expansions support its growth prospects. However, technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, and high debt levels remain a concern.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant revenue growth indicates robust business expansion, enhancing market position and supporting long-term financial health.
Cash Flow Management
Strong cash generation capabilities ensure financial flexibility and support strategic investments and shareholder returns.
Strategic Expansions
Strategic expansions in key properties enhance competitive positioning and drive long-term growth in the Las Vegas market.
Negative Factors
Debt Levels
High debt levels can strain financial resources and limit flexibility, posing risks to long-term stability and growth potential.
Construction Disruptions
Construction disruptions could impact operational efficiency and financial performance in the short to medium term, affecting customer experience.
Equity Ratio Concerns
A low equity ratio indicates potential financial instability, which could affect the company's ability to withstand economic downturns.

Red Rock Resorts (RRR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Red Rock Resorts Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionRed Rock Resorts, Inc. is a leading gaming and hospitality company based in Las Vegas, Nevada. It operates a portfolio of resorts and casinos, primarily focusing on the local and regional markets. The company manages several properties, including the Red Rock Casino Resort & Spa, Green Valley Ranch Resort, and several others under the Station Casinos brand. Red Rock Resorts offers a range of services including gaming, hotel accommodations, dining, and entertainment, catering to both tourists and local residents.
How the Company Makes MoneyRed Rock Resorts generates revenue primarily through its operations in the gaming and hospitality sectors. The main revenue streams include gaming revenues from slot machines and table games, hotel room bookings, dining services, and entertainment events. The company also benefits from loyalty programs and partnerships with other businesses that drive customer traffic to its properties. Significant local market presence ensures a steady stream of revenue, particularly from the residents of the Las Vegas area. Additionally, Red Rock Resorts engages in strategic partnerships and marketing initiatives that enhance its brand visibility and customer reach.

Red Rock Resorts Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted a record-breaking financial quarter with significant growth in Las Vegas operations, successful customer acquisition at Durango, and strong free cash flow generation. However, ongoing renovation disruptions and high debt levels were noted as challenges. Overall, the positive aspects of financial performance and growth initiatives significantly outweigh the lowlights.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Financial Performance
Las Vegas operations delivered its highest quarterly net revenue and adjusted EBITDA in the company's 49-year history. Net revenue was $513.3 million, up 6.2% from the prior year, and adjusted EBITDA was $239.4 million, up 7.3%. Adjusted EBITDA margin was 46.7%, an increase of 47 basis points.
Durango Casino Resort Success
Since opening in December 2023, Durango has added over 108,000 new customers to the database and is on pace to become one of the highest margin properties, with a return net of cannibalization of over 15% through Q2 2025.
Strong Free Cash Flow Generation
Converted 54% of adjusted EBITDA into operating free cash flow, generating $124.3 million or $1.18 per share. Year-to-date cumulative free cash flow is $217.3 million or $2.06 per share.
Positive Customer and Database Growth
Strong growth in VIP, core customer, regional, and national segments. Significant improvement in retail customer numbers and a 15% increase in the under-35 demographic.
Successful Capital Return to Shareholders
Returned approximately $189 million to shareholders year-to-date through dividends and share repurchases.
Negative Updates
Renovation Disruption
Ongoing renovations at Durango, Sunset Station, and Green Valley Ranch expected to cause temporary disruptions, projected to impact EBITDA by almost $15 million at Green Valley Ranch alone.
High Debt Levels
Total principal amount of debt outstanding was $3.4 billion, resulting in a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 3.96x.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, Red Rock Resorts reported record-breaking financial performance, with Las Vegas operations achieving the highest quarterly net revenue and adjusted EBITDA in the company's 49-year history. The Las Vegas operations generated net revenue of $513.3 million, a 6.2% increase from the previous year, and adjusted EBITDA of $239.4 million, up 7.3% from the prior year. The consolidated net revenue, including $10 million from the North Fork project, rose by 8.2% to $526.3 million, with an adjusted EBITDA of $229.4 million, reflecting a 13.7% increase. The adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 43.6%, a rise of 212 basis points year-over-year. Red Rock Resorts converted 54% of its adjusted EBITDA into operating free cash flow, generating $124.3 million, or $1.18 per share. The company strategically deployed its free cash flow of $217.3 million year-to-date for growth initiatives, debt reduction, dividends, and share repurchases. The call highlighted the successful performance of the Durango Casino Resort, which has added over 108,000 new customers to their database since its opening in December 2023, and the effective management of costs across their portfolio.

Red Rock Resorts Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Red Rock Resorts demonstrates strong financial performance with significant revenue growth and improved profitability. The reduction in leverage enhances financial stability, and cash flow metrics are robust, indicating effective cash management. However, the company should monitor its equity ratio and gross profit margin to ensure continued financial health.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Red Rock Resorts shows strong revenue growth with a 38% increase in TTM, indicating robust business expansion. The gross profit margin remains healthy at 59.78%, although slightly lower than previous years. Net profit margin improved to 11.92% in TTM, reflecting enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid, suggesting efficient operations. However, the slight decline in gross profit margin could be a point of concern if it continues.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has significantly improved to 0.43 in TTM, reflecting a substantial reduction in leverage, which is a positive sign. Return on equity is exceptionally high at 107.49%, indicating strong profitability relative to shareholder equity. However, the equity ratio remains low, suggesting potential vulnerability to financial instability if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Free cash flow growth is impressive at 94.26% in TTM, showcasing strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 1.68, indicating efficient cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also strong at 0.96, suggesting good cash flow relative to earnings. Overall, cash flow management appears robust, supporting the company's financial health.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.00B1.94B1.72B1.66B1.62B1.18B
Gross Profit1.19B1.19B1.10B1.08B1.07B681.15M
EBITDA806.81M744.12M694.32M693.14M546.54M300.79M
Net Income237.86M154.05M176.00M205.46M241.85M-150.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.10B4.05B3.95B3.35B3.14B3.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments129.76M164.38M137.59M117.29M275.28M121.18M
Total Debt94.22M3.44B3.36B2.99B2.86B2.90B
Total Liabilities3.77B3.74B3.71B3.31B3.09B3.14B
Stockholders Equity219.61M215.07M168.84M43.78M59.49M352.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow574.32M249.42M-207.29M-19.12M544.02M154.29M
Operating Cash Flow601.18M548.26M494.34M542.22M609.96M212.79M
Investing Cash Flow-202.10M-321.79M-653.85M-442.14M586.26M-69.56M
Financing Cash Flow-65.55M-199.67M179.81M-290.05M-1.01B-150.44M

Red Rock Resorts Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price57.83
Price Trends
50DMA
59.19
Negative
100DMA
57.75
Positive
200DMA
51.37
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.14
Positive
RSI
51.94
Neutral
STOCH
50.26
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For RRR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 57.83 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 57.12, below the 50-day MA of 59.19, and above the 200-day MA of 51.37, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.14 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for RRR.

Red Rock Resorts Risk Analysis

Red Rock Resorts disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Red Rock Resorts reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Red Rock Resorts Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$6.73B17.6037.56%0.39%7.97%-0.14%
71
Outperform
$5.82B19.5696.16%3.42%4.69%15.18%
71
Outperform
$6.27B3.5187.17%0.87%5.91%336.91%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
59
Neutral
$2.33B15.037.08%6.70%4.18%-13.89%
59
Neutral
$8.75B199.122.25%0.05%-94.07%
45
Neutral
$2.14B8.24%-77.54%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
RRR
Red Rock Resorts
57.83
6.70
13.10%
BYD
Boyd Gaming
81.27
8.30
11.37%
CHDN
Churchill Downs
97.43
-47.47
-32.76%
VAC
Marriott Vacations Worldwide Corporation
47.15
-44.51
-48.56%
MGM
MGM Resorts
32.66
-4.03
-10.98%
PENN
PENN Entertainment
14.54
-5.95
-29.04%

Red Rock Resorts Corporate Events

Red Rock Resorts Reports Record Earnings and Expansion
Oct 30, 2025

Red Rock Resorts Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a strong financial performance characterized by record-setting revenue and EBITDA. The company’s strategic expansions and shareholder returns were highlighted as key drivers of success, despite challenges such as ongoing construction disruptions and high debt levels. The overall sentiment was positive, with achievements in revenue growth and expansion outweighing the concerns.

Red Rock Resorts Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings
Oct 29, 2025

Red Rock Resorts, Inc. is a prominent player in the gaming and hospitality industry, primarily operating through its subsidiary, Station Casinos, which serves as a leading provider of entertainment and gaming services in Las Vegas, Nevada. The company is known for its regional entertainment destinations that offer a variety of amenities including hotels, restaurants, and traditional casino gaming options.

Stock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Red Rock Resorts Q3 2025 Financial Results Highlight
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

Red Rock Resorts reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, showing a net revenue increase of 1.6% to $475.6 million and a significant net income rise of 38.8% to $76.9 million compared to the same period in 2024. The company also announced an extension and additional authorization for its share repurchase program, increasing the total repurchase authority to approximately $573 million, and declared a cash dividend of $0.26 per Class A common share, highlighting its robust financial position and commitment to returning value to shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (RRR) stock is a Hold with a $63.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Red Rock Resorts stock, see the RRR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025