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PENN Entertainment (PENN)
NASDAQ:PENN

PENN Entertainment (PENN) AI Stock Analysis

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PENN

PENN Entertainment

(NASDAQ:PENN)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$14.00
▼(-2.57% Downside)
PENN Entertainment's overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges and valuation concerns, which are the most impactful factors. While there are promising signs in digital growth and strategic realignment, the company's high leverage and ongoing losses weigh heavily on its prospects. Technical indicators suggest weak momentum, and the lack of a dividend yield further detracts from its appeal.
Positive Factors
Digital Growth
Digital channels driving customer growth indicate a successful strategy in attracting a younger demographic, enhancing long-term revenue potential.
iCasino Revenue Increase
Strong iCasino revenue growth suggests robust demand and effective cross-selling, supporting sustained profitability in the digital segment.
Rebranding Strategy
Rebranding to theScore Bet reflects strategic focus on proprietary platforms, potentially improving brand identity and market positioning.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can strain financial flexibility, increasing vulnerability to economic downturns and limiting growth opportunities.
Interactive Segment Losses
Losses in the interactive segment highlight operational challenges and competitive pressures, impacting overall profitability.
Operational Inefficiencies
Operational inefficiencies leading to negative margins suggest the need for improved cost management to achieve financial stability.

PENN Entertainment (PENN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

PENN Entertainment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPENN Entertainment, Inc. is a leading provider of integrated entertainment and gaming experiences across the United States. The company operates a diverse portfolio of casinos and racetracks, along with online gaming and sports betting platforms. PENN focuses on delivering high-quality experiences through its properties, which include hotels, gaming facilities, and entertainment venues, while leveraging digital technologies to enhance customer engagement and expand its reach in the rapidly evolving gaming landscape.
How the Company Makes MoneyPENN Entertainment generates revenue primarily through its gaming operations, which include traditional casino gaming, online gaming, and sports betting. The company earns money from slot machines, table games, and sports wagering, where it takes a percentage of bets placed. In addition to gaming revenue, PENN also profits from ancillary services such as hotel accommodations, food and beverage sales, and entertainment events hosted at its venues. A significant revenue stream comes from its digital segment, particularly following partnerships with online gaming platforms and its acquisition of Barstool Sports, which enhances its brand presence and audience reach in the sports betting market. PENN's strategic focus on expanding its online and mobile gaming offerings, alongside its physical properties, positions it for sustained growth in the competitive gaming industry.

PENN Entertainment Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Adjusted EBITDAR by Geography
Adjusted EBITDAR by Geography
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

PENN Entertainment Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented both positive and negative aspects. The company highlighted significant growth in its iCasino business and customer database through digital channels, as well as a successful casino launch in Joliet. However, challenges were noted with the early termination of the ESPN partnership and losses in the interactive segment, compounded by increased competition in certain markets.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
North America iCasino Business Growth
Achieved highest quarterly gaming revenue to date, an improvement of nearly 40% year over year, driven by record cross-sell from OSB of 62% and strong growth from standalone Hollywood and the Score Bet iCasino apps.
Digital Channels Driving Customer Growth
64% of the total company player database growth since 2019 has come from digital channels, attracting a younger demographic and creating significant cross-sell opportunities.
Successful Joliet Casino Launch
Hollywood Casino in Joliet showing impressive volumes and database growth with a 42% increase, driven by improved offerings and reactivation of inactive customers.
Share Repurchase Program
Repurchased $354 million of shares in 2025, with a new three-year $750 million share repurchase authorization commencing January 1, 2026.
Negative Updates
Early Termination of ESPN Partnership
Mutual decision to terminate ESPN marketing agreement early due to failure to establish ESPN Bet as a scale player, leading to strategic realignment and a rebranding effort.
Interactive Segment Losses
Interactive segment generated an adjusted EBITDA loss of $76.6 million, with gaming revenues and adjusted EBITDA coming in below expectations due to customer-friendly hold and lower OSB volumes.
Increased Competition and Promotional Activity
Cited increased competition and promotional activity impacting operations, particularly in markets with new supply, leading to increased marketing and labor costs.
Company Guidance
During the Penn Entertainment third quarter 2025 earnings call, CEO Jay Snowden detailed several strategic changes and performance metrics. Notably, Penn announced an early termination of its marketing agreement with ESPN, effective December 1, with a $38.1 million payment for 2025 marketing services. The company plans to rebrand its U.S. and Canadian OSB brands to the Score Bet, a move expected to enhance unit economics and profitability. Penn's digital realignment aims to capitalize on its 33 million-plus customer database, emphasizing cross-sell opportunities. Additionally, 64% of the database growth since 2019 has come from digital channels. The North America iCasino business reported a nearly 40% year-over-year revenue increase, with record cross-sell from OSB at 62%. The company achieved a 79% rise in iCasino MAUs in Q3 and set new records for MAUs, GGR, and NGR in October. Despite a Q3 adjusted EBITDA loss of $76.6 million in the interactive segment, Penn aims for digital breakeven or better by 2026. The retail segment showed stability, generating $1.4 billion in revenue with a 32.8% EBITDA margin. Fourth-quarter retail revenue is expected to range from $1.41 billion to $1.43 billion, with adjusted EBITDAR projected between $455 million and $475 million.

PENN Entertainment Financial Statement Overview

Summary
PENN Entertainment shows moderate revenue growth but faces significant profitability and leverage challenges. High debt levels and negative profitability metrics suggest financial instability, while cash flow management remains a concern. The company needs to focus on improving profitability and reducing leverage to enhance financial health.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
PENN Entertainment shows moderate revenue growth with a TTM increase of 1.54%. However, the company struggles with profitability, as indicated by a negative net profit margin of -1.12% and a declining gross profit margin. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved slightly in the TTM, but overall profitability remains a concern.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.71, indicating significant reliance on debt financing. Return on equity is negative, reflecting challenges in generating profits from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting potential financial instability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis shows improvement in operating cash flow, but free cash flow remains negative, indicating potential liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, but the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash flow management challenges.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.82B6.58B6.36B6.40B5.91B3.58B
Gross Profit2.18B2.16B2.36B2.77B2.76B1.71B
EBITDA-4.00M562.80M400.20M1.50B1.45B76.60M
Net Income-903.50M-311.50M-490.00M222.10M420.80M-669.50M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets14.31B15.26B16.06B17.50B16.87B14.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments690.90M706.60M1.07B1.62B1.86B1.85B
Total Debt11.17B11.25B11.54B12.91B11.61B11.16B
Total Liabilities12.36B12.40B12.86B13.91B12.78B12.01B
Stockholders Equity1.96B2.86B3.20B3.60B4.10B2.66B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-204.50M-123.40M74.00M605.80M627.80M197.00M
Operating Cash Flow503.10M359.30M455.90M878.20M896.10M338.80M
Investing Cash Flow-531.80M-541.20M-742.60M-258.60M-1.22B-233.70M
Financing Cash Flow-139.70M-186.50M-262.60M-853.00M339.90M1.31B

PENN Entertainment Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price14.37
Price Trends
50DMA
15.44
Negative
100DMA
17.18
Negative
200DMA
16.84
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.39
Negative
RSI
47.13
Neutral
STOCH
59.89
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PENN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 14.37 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.17, below the 50-day MA of 15.44, and below the 200-day MA of 16.84, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.39 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.13 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PENN.

PENN Entertainment Risk Analysis

PENN Entertainment disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. PENN Entertainment reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

PENN Entertainment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$8.15B21.3037.56%0.37%7.97%-0.14%
71
Outperform
$6.64B3.7287.17%0.84%5.91%336.91%
71
Outperform
$6.63B22.2096.16%3.27%4.69%15.18%
63
Neutral
$10.08B227.242.25%0.05%-94.07%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
51
Neutral
$4.88B-20.67-6.06%0.87%31.28%
47
Neutral
$1.88B-2.26-35.97%8.24%-77.54%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PENN
PENN Entertainment
14.37
-3.80
-20.91%
BYD
Boyd Gaming
85.24
14.74
20.91%
CHDN
Churchill Downs
117.37
-14.87
-11.24%
MGM
MGM Resorts
36.20
2.76
8.25%
CZR
Caesars Entertainment
23.75
-9.32
-28.18%
RRR
Red Rock Resorts
63.08
19.47
44.65%

PENN Entertainment Corporate Events

Legal Proceedings
PENN Entertainment Litigation Committee Report Filed
Neutral
Nov 26, 2025

On November 26, 2025, PENN Entertainment, Inc. filed a report with the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Pennsylvania regarding a special litigation committee’s investigation into claims by HG Vora Capital Management. The committee, composed of independent individuals, determined that PENN’s Board acted in good faith and in the company’s best interests when it reduced the number of directors. The committee concluded that pursuing the derivative claims would not benefit PENN.

Product-Related AnnouncementsStock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
PENN Entertainment Ends ESPN Sportsbook Agreement
Neutral
Nov 6, 2025

On November 6, 2025, PENN Entertainment and ESPN announced the early termination of their sportsbook agreement, effective December 1, 2025. This decision marks a strategic shift for PENN, which will rebrand its sportsbook to ‘theScore Bet’ and focus on leveraging its U.S. iCasino and Canadian operations. The termination involves a $38.1 million payment to ESPN and a $5 million post-termination media support payment. ESPN agreed not to license or operate the ‘ESPN BET’ brand in the U.S. for 15 months post-termination. Additionally, PENN announced a new $750 million share repurchase program starting January 1, 2026, reflecting its commitment to enhancing shareholder value.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 17, 2025