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PENN Entertainment (PENN)
NASDAQ:PENN
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PENN Entertainment (PENN) AI Stock Analysis

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PENN

PENN Entertainment

(NASDAQ:PENN)

Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$18.50
▼(-8.55% Downside)
PENN's overall score reflects financial challenges with high leverage and negative cash flow, offset by positive strategic initiatives and resilience in core segments. The valuation remains a concern, but strategic priorities and growth projects provide some optimism.
Positive Factors
Partnerships
ESPN Partnership Poised to Boost PENN Engagement.
Product Quality
PENN emphasizes improved product quality and location supporting return projections with greater traffic counts at new Joliet and Aurora locations.
Revenue Performance
PENN reported solid Q2 results, with total revenue ahead of expectations while consolidated profitability was slightly below consensus.
Negative Factors
Financial Concerns
PENN's balance sheet remains a key concern in the current macro environment.
Market Saturation
The gaming market is highly saturated with hyper-competitive promotions and pricing, which could constrain potential upside.
Operational Challenges
Higher operating expenses have resulted in lower margins despite better regional revenues.

PENN Entertainment (PENN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

PENN Entertainment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPENN Entertainment, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides integrated entertainment, sports content, and casino gaming experiences in North America. The company operates through five segments: Northeast, South, West, Midwest, and Interactive. It operates 44 properties in 20 states; online sports betting in 13 jurisdictions; and iCasino in five under a portfolio of brands, including Hollywood Casino, L'Auberge, Barstool Sportsbook, and theScore Bet. The company was formerly known as Penn National Gaming, Inc. and changed its name to PENN Entertainment, Inc. in August 2022. PENN Entertainment, Inc. was founded in 1972 and is based in Wyomissing, Pennsylvania.
How the Company Makes MoneyPENN Entertainment generates revenue primarily through its gaming operations, which include both retail casinos and online gaming. The company's key revenue streams include gaming operations, which encompass earnings from slot machines, table games, sports betting, and other gaming-related activities. Additionally, PENN benefits from food and beverage sales, hotel accommodations, and entertainment events hosted at its venues. The company's partnership with Barstool Sports enhances its online sports betting and iGaming presence, contributing significantly to its revenue growth. PENN's strategic focus on expanding its digital footprint and enhancing customer loyalty programs also plays a critical role in driving profitability.

PENN Entertainment Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Adjusted EBITDAR by Geography
Adjusted EBITDAR by Geography
Chart Insights
Data provided by:Main Street Data

PENN Entertainment Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive momentum in the omni-channel and interactive segments, offset by challenges from severe weather impacts, interactive losses, and rising costs due to tariffs. The company's liquidity position and share repurchase program are strong points, but the ongoing higher expenses and market uncertainties pose challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Resilience Following Weather Challenges
Despite severe weather challenges impacting adjusted retail EBITDAR by at least $10 million, gaming volumes rebounded nicely in March and continued through April and May.
Omni-Channel Strategy Success
The omni-channel strategy showed significant success with a 21% increase in retail theoretical play and 165% increase in online theoretical play in Pennsylvania; and a 27% increase in retail theoretical play and 242% increase in online theoretical play in Michigan, year-over-year.
Record Revenue in Interactive Segment
Despite a negative $10 million EBITDA impact from customer-friendly sports betting outcomes, the Interactive segment generated record gaming revenue and significant year-over-year improvements in both adjusted revenue and adjusted EBITDA.
Strong Liquidity and Share Repurchases
PENN ended the first quarter with total liquidity of $1.5 billion and repurchased $35 million of shares at an average price of $16.83.
Stable Retail Revenue Growth
Retail business revenue grew 2% year-over-year across all properties in April, and 4% excluding those impacted by new supply.
Negative Updates
Weather Impact on EBITDAR
Severe weather impacted adjusted retail EBITDAR by at least $10 million, affecting financial performance.
Interactive Segment Losses
The Interactive segment reported a first-quarter adjusted EBITDA loss of $89 million, with customer-friendly sports betting outcomes impacting adjusted EBITDA by $10 million.
Legal and Advisory Costs
Corporate expenses were higher than expected due to legal and advisory costs of $7.7 million, with potential for additional costs in the second quarter.
Tariff Concerns
Concerns about potential cost increases due to tariffs, particularly on steel, affecting upcoming projects like the new Hollywood Casino in Council Bluffs.
Company Guidance
During PENN Entertainment's first quarter 2025 earnings call, CEO Jay Snowden highlighted several key metrics and developments. Despite severe weather challenges impacting operations, with February seeing weather-impacted days up over three times year-over-year, the company reported retail revenue of $1.4 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $457 million, maintaining a 33.1% adjusted EBITDA margin. Gaming volumes rebounded in March, continuing into April and May, with April seeing a 2% revenue growth across all properties. The company also announced plans for a new Hollywood Casino in Council Bluff, Iowa, which is expected to take 18 to 24 months to complete. Additionally, in Q1, PENN's Interactive segment experienced a $10 million negative EBITDA impact due to unfavorable sports-betting outcomes. However, record gaming revenue and a 165% increase in online theoretical play in Pennsylvania, and 242% in Michigan, demonstrated strong growth in their digital business. The company reiterated its guidance for positive interactive EBITDA by late 2025, despite a first-quarter adjusted Interactive EBITDA loss of $89 million, showing a $107 million improvement year-over-year.

PENN Entertainment Financial Statement Overview

Summary
PENN National Gaming shows revenue growth but struggles with profitability due to recurring net losses. High leverage on the balance sheet indicates financial risk, and negative free cash flow suggests cash pressures.
Income Statement
62
Positive
The income statement shows a mixed performance with a notable revenue growth from 2020 to 2025, but profitability is a concern. While gross profit margins have been relatively stable, the net profit margin is negative in the TTM period due to a net loss. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are modest, indicating operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet indicates high leverage with a significant debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting potential financial risk. While the equity ratio remains relatively stable, the return on equity is currently negative due to recent net losses. This highlights pressure on the company's financial stability.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a concerning trend of negative free cash flow in the TTM period, although operating cash flow exceeds net income, indicating positive cash generation from operations. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting cash pressures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.64B6.58B6.36B6.40B5.91B3.58B
Gross Profit2.38B2.16B1.93B2.77B2.76B1.71B
EBITDA840.50M562.80M400.20M1.63B1.45B196.90M
Net Income-85.00M-311.50M-490.00M222.10M420.80M-669.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.09B15.26B16.06B17.50B16.87B14.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments591.60M706.60M1.07B1.62B1.86B1.85B
Total Debt11.01B11.25B11.54B12.91B11.61B11.16B
Total Liabilities12.12B12.40B12.86B13.91B12.78B12.01B
Stockholders Equity2.97B2.86B3.20B3.60B4.10B2.66B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-137.30M-123.40M74.00M605.80M627.80M197.00M
Operating Cash Flow469.90M359.30M455.90M878.20M896.10M338.80M
Investing Cash Flow-629.80M-541.20M-742.60M-258.60M-1.22B-233.70M
Financing Cash Flow-151.80M-183.10M-262.60M-853.00M339.90M1.31B

PENN Entertainment Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price20.23
Price Trends
50DMA
18.31
Positive
100DMA
16.91
Positive
200DMA
18.19
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.62
Negative
RSI
66.12
Neutral
STOCH
90.88
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PENN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 20.23 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.52, above the 50-day MA of 18.31, and above the 200-day MA of 18.19, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.62 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.88 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PENN.

PENN Entertainment Risk Analysis

PENN Entertainment disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. PENN Entertainment reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

PENN Entertainment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$6.88B13.2336.36%0.82%6.40%26.09%
65
Neutral
$10.80B21.8717.34%0.89%-31.56%
62
Neutral
$7.76B23.4146.91%3.93%19.20%
61
Neutral
$17.87B13.25-4.92%3.05%1.25%-14.67%
60
Neutral
$13.18B37.39-51.73%0.79%-1.94%-53.90%
57
Neutral
$2.95B-2.50%7.34%93.83%
52
Neutral
$5.57B-4.76%-0.15%28.05%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PENN
PENN Entertainment
19.97
0.81
4.23%
BYD
Boyd Gaming
85.63
24.67
40.47%
MGM
MGM Resorts
38.91
2.30
6.28%
LNW
Light & Wonder
88.23
-19.57
-18.15%
WYNN
Wynn Resorts
125.47
49.22
64.55%
CZR
Caesars Entertainment
25.89
-11.19
-30.18%

PENN Entertainment Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
PENN National Gaming Elects New Board Directors
Neutral
Jun 23, 2025

On June 17, 2025, PENN Entertainment held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where Johnny Hartnett and Carlos Ruisanchez were elected as directors to the Board. The company also ratified the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as its independent registered public accounting firm for the 2025 fiscal year. The Board emphasized its commitment to its omni-channel strategy and long-term value creation, focusing on profitability in its Interactive segment and growth across the business. The company aims to strengthen its balance sheet, enhance liquidity, and engage with shareholders to align strategic priorities.

Private Placements and FinancingStock Buyback
PENN Entertainment to Repurchase Convertible Senior Notes
Neutral
Jun 13, 2025

On June 13, 2025, PENN Entertainment, Inc. entered into agreements to repurchase approximately $223.8 million of its 2.75% Convertible Senior Notes due 2026. The transactions, expected to close on June 20, 2025, will result in a total purchase price of approximately $230.9 million, reducing the outstanding notes to about $106.7 million. HudsonWest LLC served as the exclusive financial advisor for these transactions.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025