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PENN Entertainment (PENN)
NASDAQ:PENN
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PENN Entertainment (PENN) AI Stock Analysis

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PENN

PENN Entertainment

(NASDAQ:PENN)

Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$18.50
▲(3.93% Upside)
PENN's overall score reflects financial challenges with high leverage and negative cash flow, offset by positive strategic initiatives and resilience in core segments. The valuation remains a concern, but strategic priorities and growth projects provide some optimism.
Positive Factors
ESPN Partnership
ESPN Partnership Poised to Boost PENN Engagement.
Interactive Segment
The Interactive segment is quickly approaching breakeven, which should drive free cash flow inflection, enabling balanced capital allocation.
Product Quality and Traffic
PENN emphasizes improved product quality and location supporting return projections with greater traffic counts at new Joliet and Aurora locations.
Negative Factors
Balance Sheet Concerns
PENN's balance sheet remains a key concern in the current macro environment.
Competitive Market
The gaming market is highly saturated with hyper-competitive promotions and pricing, which could constrain potential upside.
Interactive EBITDA Loss
Launch costs and new taxes pressure Interactive EBITDA guidance, with an expected Interactive EBITDA loss of $190-210M.

PENN Entertainment (PENN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

PENN Entertainment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPENN Entertainment, Inc. is a leading provider of integrated entertainment and gaming experiences in the United States. The company operates a diverse portfolio of casinos, racetracks, and online gaming platforms, catering to a wide range of customers. PENN's core offerings include traditional gaming options such as slot machines and table games, as well as sports betting and online gaming through its digital platforms. The company is known for its commitment to providing high-quality entertainment and customer service across its various properties.
How the Company Makes MoneyPENN Entertainment generates revenue primarily through its gaming operations, which include both retail casinos and online gaming. The company's key revenue streams include gaming operations, which encompass earnings from slot machines, table games, sports betting, and other gaming-related activities. Additionally, PENN benefits from food and beverage sales, hotel accommodations, and entertainment events hosted at its venues. The company's partnership with Barstool Sports enhances its online sports betting and iGaming presence, contributing significantly to its revenue growth. PENN's strategic focus on expanding its digital footprint and enhancing customer loyalty programs also plays a critical role in driving profitability.

PENN Entertainment Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 4.58%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
PENN Entertainment's earnings call highlighted resilience and growth in both retail and interactive segments despite challenges. Weather and one-time accounting benefits impacted results, but the company showed strong cash flow management, strategic investments, and promising trends in their core and interactive segments.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Resilience in Retail Gaming
Despite severe weather challenges, gaming volumes rebounded nicely in March, continuing through April and into May, with a notable weekend performance being the second-best of the year.
Success in Interactive Segment
The Interactive segment saw record gaming revenue and year-over-year improvements in adjusted revenue and EBITDA, despite a $10 million EBITDA impact from customer-friendly sports-betting outcomes.
Positive Trends in Core Segments
Rated play increased in Q1 and continued into April and May, with increased spend per visit. The VIP segments saw increased visitation and spend per visit.
Strong Cash Position and Deleveraging
The company ended Q1 with $1.5 billion in liquidity, de-levered in the quarter, and expects to continue deleveraging throughout 2025.
Strategic Investments and Growth Projects
Four growth projects remain on-budget and on-schedule, with a strategic new land-based Hollywood casino planned in Council Bluffs, Iowa.
Stand-Alone iCasino App Success
The stand-alone Hollywood iCasino app showed strong results, with 70% of theoretical revenue coming from incremental sources.
Negative Updates
Weather Impact on Retail EBITDAR
Severe weather in January and February impacted adjusted retail EBITDAR by at least $10 million in the quarter.
Accounting Benefit Affecting Year-Over-Year Comparison
A one-time $5 million accounting benefit in Q1 of the previous year impacted year-over-year results.
Interactive Segment Loss
The Interactive segment reported a loss of $89 million in adjusted EBITDA despite improvements.
Higher Corporate Expenses
Corporate expenses were higher than expected due to legal and advisory-related costs of $7.7 million.
Uncertain Economic Environment
Unrated play decreased slightly in Q1 compared to the prior year, reflecting an uncertain economic environment.
Company Guidance
During the PENN Entertainment First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, several metrics and financial highlights were shared. The company reported retail revenue of $1.4 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $457 million, and adjusted EBITDA margins of 33.1%. Severe weather challenges impacted the quarter, reducing adjusted retail EBITDAR by at least $10 million. Despite this, gaming revenue rebounded, with March and April showing promising trends. The CEO, Jay Snowden, highlighted the opening of a new Hollywood casino in Council Bluffs, Iowa, with construction expected to take 18 to 24 months. The company also noted strong engagement from its VIP and mid-worth customer segments and a growing database of over 32 million members. Interactive segment performance was affected by sports-betting outcomes, leading to a $10 million EBITDA impact. However, significant improvements were seen with year-over-year increases of 21% in retail and 165% in online theoretical play in Pennsylvania. The company remains on-track with its four growth projects, maintaining guidance for 2025 with expectations of positive interactive EBITDA in 2026.

PENN Entertainment Financial Statement Overview

Summary
PENN National Gaming shows revenue growth but struggles with profitability due to recurring net losses. High leverage on the balance sheet indicates financial risk, and negative free cash flow suggests cash pressures.
Income Statement
62
Positive
The income statement shows a mixed performance with a notable revenue growth from 2020 to 2025, but profitability is a concern. While gross profit margins have been relatively stable, the net profit margin is negative in the TTM period due to a net loss. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are modest, indicating operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet indicates high leverage with a significant debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting potential financial risk. While the equity ratio remains relatively stable, the return on equity is currently negative due to recent net losses. This highlights pressure on the company's financial stability.
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a concerning trend of negative free cash flow in the TTM period, although operating cash flow exceeds net income, indicating positive cash generation from operations. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, suggesting cash pressures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.64B6.58B6.36B6.40B5.91B3.58B
Gross Profit2.38B2.16B1.93B2.77B2.76B1.71B
EBITDA840.50M562.80M400.20M1.63B1.45B196.90M
Net Income-85.00M-311.50M-490.00M222.10M420.80M-669.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.09B15.26B16.06B17.50B16.87B14.67B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments591.60M706.60M1.07B1.62B1.86B1.85B
Total Debt11.01B11.25B11.54B12.91B11.61B11.16B
Total Liabilities12.12B12.40B12.86B13.91B12.78B12.01B
Stockholders Equity2.97B2.86B3.20B3.60B4.10B2.66B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-137.30M-123.40M74.00M605.80M627.80M197.00M
Operating Cash Flow469.90M359.30M455.90M878.20M896.10M338.80M
Investing Cash Flow-629.80M-541.20M-742.60M-258.60M-1.22B-233.70M
Financing Cash Flow-151.80M-183.10M-262.60M-853.00M339.90M1.31B

PENN Entertainment Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price17.80
Price Trends
50DMA
17.53
Positive
100DMA
16.51
Positive
200DMA
18.23
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.15
Positive
RSI
51.78
Neutral
STOCH
45.01
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PENN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.8 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.91, above the 50-day MA of 17.53, and below the 200-day MA of 18.23, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.01 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PENN.

PENN Entertainment Risk Analysis

PENN Entertainment disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. PENN Entertainment reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

PENN Entertainment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$6.69B12.8536.36%0.83%6.40%26.09%
66
Neutral
$11.70B33.18-51.73%0.89%-1.94%-53.90%
63
Neutral
$9.64B20.0817.34%0.89%-31.56%
63
Neutral
$7.29B22.4146.91%3.93%19.20%
61
Neutral
$17.22B11.53-5.99%3.08%1.40%-15.51%
57
Neutral
$2.50B-2.50%7.34%93.83%
50
Neutral
$5.12B-4.76%-0.15%28.05%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PENN
PENN Entertainment
17.80
-1.46
-7.58%
BYD
Boyd Gaming
84.33
27.33
47.95%
MGM
MGM Resorts
36.45
-2.75
-7.02%
LNW
Light & Wonder
88.52
-13.12
-12.91%
WYNN
Wynn Resorts
111.82
36.54
48.54%
CZR
Caesars Entertainment
25.74
-11.50
-30.88%

PENN Entertainment Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
PENN National Gaming Elects New Board Directors
Neutral
Jun 23, 2025

On June 17, 2025, PENN Entertainment held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where Johnny Hartnett and Carlos Ruisanchez were elected as directors to the Board. The company also ratified the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as its independent registered public accounting firm for the 2025 fiscal year. The Board emphasized its commitment to its omni-channel strategy and long-term value creation, focusing on profitability in its Interactive segment and growth across the business. The company aims to strengthen its balance sheet, enhance liquidity, and engage with shareholders to align strategic priorities.

The most recent analyst rating on (PENN) stock is a Hold with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Penn National Gaming stock, see the PENN Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingStock Buyback
PENN Entertainment to Repurchase Convertible Senior Notes
Neutral
Jun 13, 2025

On June 13, 2025, PENN Entertainment, Inc. entered into agreements to repurchase approximately $223.8 million of its 2.75% Convertible Senior Notes due 2026. The transactions, expected to close on June 20, 2025, will result in a total purchase price of approximately $230.9 million, reducing the outstanding notes to about $106.7 million. HudsonWest LLC served as the exclusive financial advisor for these transactions.

The most recent analyst rating on (PENN) stock is a Hold with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Penn National Gaming stock, see the PENN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
PENN Entertainment Highlights Strategic Priorities in Shareholder Letter
Positive
May 15, 2025

On May 15, 2025, PENN Entertainment issued a letter to shareholders highlighting its strategic priorities and recent performance. The company is focused on enhancing shareholder value through its omni-channel strategy, which integrates digital and retail operations to capture market growth. PENN’s efforts include engaging with HG Vora Capital Management to resolve differences, expanding its customer base, and improving profitability in its Interactive segment. The company reported significant growth in its digital customer base and revenue, with expectations of profitability in the Interactive segment by the end of 2025. PENN also plans to reduce leverage and return capital to shareholders, demonstrating a commitment to financial stability and shareholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (PENN) stock is a Hold with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Penn National Gaming stock, see the PENN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025