tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Light & Wonder (LNW)
NASDAQ:LNW
Advertisement

Light & Wonder (LNW) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
615 Followers

Top Page

LNW

Light & Wonder

(NASDAQ:LNW)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$95.00
▲(6.63% Upside)
Light & Wonder's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings performance and strategic growth initiatives, as highlighted in the earnings call. However, financial performance is impacted by high leverage and declining revenue growth. Technical indicators suggest potential bearish momentum, and valuation metrics indicate moderate attractiveness. The absence of a dividend yield is a minor drawback.
Positive Factors
Recurring Revenue Growth
A strong increase in recurring revenue indicates a stable and predictable income stream, enhancing long-term financial stability and supporting strategic growth initiatives.
iGaming Performance
The growth in iGaming revenue highlights the company's successful adaptation to digital trends, positioning it well in the expanding online gaming market.
Capital Allocation Strategy
Effective capital allocation through share repurchases demonstrates management's commitment to enhancing shareholder value and confidence in future growth prospects.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
The high leverage poses a risk to financial stability, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage economic downturns.
Declining Revenue Growth
A decline in revenue growth indicates potential challenges in maintaining market share and competitiveness, which could impact long-term profitability.
International Market Challenges
Challenges in international markets may hinder global expansion efforts and revenue diversification, affecting the company's growth trajectory.

Light & Wonder (LNW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Light & Wonder Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLight & Wonder (LNW) is a global leader in the gaming and entertainment industry, specializing in digital gaming solutions and casino management systems. The company operates across various sectors, including gaming machines, table games, and digital gaming, offering innovative products and services that enhance player experiences and optimize casino operations. LNW focuses on delivering cutting-edge technology and engaging content to both land-based and online gaming markets, positioning itself as a key player in the evolving landscape of the gaming industry.
How the Company Makes MoneyLight & Wonder generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily by selling gaming machines and systems to casinos and gaming operators. The company offers a range of products including slot machines, table games, and interactive gaming solutions, which are sold or leased to clients. Additionally, LNW provides casino management systems that help operators manage gaming operations more efficiently, contributing to recurring revenue through service agreements and software licensing. The company also earns revenue from its digital gaming segment, which includes online gaming platforms and mobile applications. Strategic partnerships with various online gaming operators and platforms further enhance LNW's earnings potential, as they expand the distribution of its digital content. Furthermore, LNW benefits from the growing trend of online and mobile gaming, which has been accelerated by technological advancements and changing consumer preferences.

Light & Wonder Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call showcased strong revenue and EBITDA growth, successful gaming operations, and impressive iGaming performance. However, challenges in international markets, tariff impacts, and issues with specific SciPlay games were noted. The highlights outweigh the lowlights, showcasing a strong overall performance.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and EBITDA Growth
Consolidated revenue for the quarter increased 3% year-over-year to $841 million. AEBITDA grew 18% year-over-year to $375 million, supported by margin expansion across all sectors.
Gaming Operations Success
Gaming operations increased 38% year-over-year with strong game performance. North American premium units have grown for 21 consecutive quarters.
iGaming Record Revenue
iGaming delivered record revenue of $86 million in the quarter, up 16% year-over-year, with AEBITDA margins increasing by 800 basis points.
Capital Returns and Share Repurchase
The company returned $111 million to shareholders through share repurchases and completed $765 million of its total authorized $1.5 billion share repurchase program.
SciPlay's Direct-to-Consumer Growth
SciPlay's DTC platform grew to 20% of revenue, up from 12% a year ago, showing significant progress in profitability.
Negative Updates
International Market Challenges
Decline in gaming machine sales was largely in international markets. Timing of certain sales in Asia shifted into 2026.
Impact of Tariffs
Tariffs expected to have a mid- to high single-digit million dollar impact on AEBITDA starting in Q4 and into 2026.
Challenges with Jackpot Party
SciPlay's Jackpot Party experienced decreased revenue due to a decline in average monthly payers, impacting overall portfolio performance.
Company Guidance
During the Light & Wonder 2025 Third Quarter Earnings Conference Call, the company provided impressive metrics showcasing their growth and strategic initiatives. Consolidated revenue for the quarter rose by 3% year-over-year to $841 million, while consolidated AEBITDA increased by 18% to $375 million, driven by a record margin expansion across all three business segments. Adjusted NPATA grew by 25% year-over-year, with adjusted NPATA per share increasing by 35% to $1.81. Gaming operations were a notable area of strength, with recurring revenue accounting for approximately 69% of the consolidated revenue, reflecting a 14% year-over-year growth. The Grover acquisition contributed over $40 million in revenue, with over 229 incremental units added. Furthermore, the company returned $111 million of capital to shareholders through share repurchases, reflecting a commitment to capital allocation strategies. As they transition to a sole standard listing on the ASX, Light & Wonder anticipates further shareholder value enhancement.

Light & Wonder Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Light & Wonder demonstrates strong profitability and operational efficiency, with solid EBIT and EBITDA margins. However, challenges include declining revenue growth and high leverage, which could impact financial stability. Cash flow management is stable but shows room for improvement.
Income Statement
70
Positive
Light & Wonder shows strong profitability with a healthy gross profit margin of 71.63% and a net profit margin of 10.92% for the TTM. However, the revenue growth rate has declined by 28.1% in the TTM, indicating potential challenges in maintaining revenue levels. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid at 22.93% and 34.81%, respectively, reflecting efficient operational management.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 6.96, suggesting significant leverage and potential financial risk. However, the return on equity is strong at 49.57%, indicating effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is relatively low, which could be a concern for financial stability.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow is robust with a coverage ratio of 0.87, but free cash flow has decreased by 8.9% in the TTM. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.44, suggesting moderate efficiency in converting net income into free cash flow. Overall, cash flow management appears stable but shows room for improvement.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.22B3.19B2.90B2.51B2.15B1.70B
Gross Profit1.72B2.26B2.03B1.77B1.54B1.09B
EBITDA976.00M1.07B898.00M584.00M582.00M148.00M
Net Income399.00M336.00M163.00M3.67B371.00M-569.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.51B5.42B5.55B6.01B7.88B7.98B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments324.00M196.00M425.00M914.00M585.00M928.00M
Total Debt4.99B3.92B3.93B3.95B8.75B9.36B
Total Liabilities5.79B4.79B4.79B4.85B9.99B10.51B
Stockholders Equity723.00M636.00M765.00M990.00M-2.26B-2.65B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow389.00M338.00M348.00M-597.00M514.00M281.00M
Operating Cash Flow677.00M632.00M590.00M-381.00M685.00M471.00M
Investing Cash Flow-1.11B-258.00M-251.00M6.12B-442.00M-173.00M
Financing Cash Flow350.00M-577.00M-292.00M-5.46B-679.00M463.00M

Light & Wonder Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price89.09
Price Trends
50DMA
81.98
Positive
100DMA
87.75
Positive
200DMA
89.57
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.42
Negative
RSI
72.00
Negative
STOCH
69.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LNW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 89.09 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 76.27, above the 50-day MA of 81.98, and below the 200-day MA of 89.57, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.00 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LNW.

Light & Wonder Risk Analysis

Light & Wonder disclosed 53 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Light & Wonder reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Light & Wonder Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$6.35B3.5587.17%0.86%5.91%336.91%
64
Neutral
$6.57B17.5650.47%1.87%42.43%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
$13.12B27.820.82%-0.26%-44.45%
59
Neutral
$8.93B205.022.25%0.05%-94.07%
47
Neutral
$3.32B32.3411.32%
44
Neutral
$4.05B-6.06%0.87%31.28%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LNW
Light & Wonder
89.09
-13.41
-13.08%
BYD
Boyd Gaming
82.59
9.42
12.87%
MLCO
Melco Resorts & Entertainment
8.86
2.57
40.86%
MGM
MGM Resorts
32.85
-3.90
-10.61%
WYNN
Wynn Resorts
128.88
44.26
52.30%
CZR
Caesars Entertainment
20.03
-19.40
-49.20%

Light & Wonder Corporate Events

Light & Wonder Inc. Reports Strong Growth Amid Challenges
Nov 11, 2025

The recent earnings call for Light & Wonder Inc. painted a picture of robust growth and operational success, despite facing some challenges. The company reported strong revenue and EBITDA growth, driven by impressive performances in gaming and iGaming sectors. While there were some concerns regarding international market challenges and tariff impacts, the overall sentiment was positive, highlighting a strong performance for the quarter.

Light & Wonder Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings
Nov 6, 2025

Light & Wonder, Inc. is a leading global games company specializing in cross-platform gaming solutions, operating in the gaming and digital entertainment industry. The company is known for its innovative game content and strong market presence.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes
Light & Wonder Plans Nasdaq Delisting for ASX Listing
Neutral
Oct 14, 2025

On October 13, 2025, Light & Wonder, Inc. announced its plan to delist from the Nasdaq Stock Market and transition to a sole primary listing on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX), effective November 13, 2025. This strategic move aims to align the company’s capital markets presence with its long-term growth plans and consolidate trading liquidity on the ASX, which has a strong understanding of the gaming sector. The transition will impact existing Nasdaq shareholders, who will need to convert their shares into CHESS Depositary Interests (CDIs) to trade on the ASX or opt for alternative trading options.

The most recent analyst rating on (LNW) stock is a Buy with a $130.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Light & Wonder stock, see the LNW Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Light & Wonder Issues CHESS Depositary Statement
Neutral
Oct 10, 2025

On October 7, 2025, Light & Wonder, Inc. provided the Australian Securities Exchange with a Statement of CHESS Depositary Interests on Issue. This announcement, detailed in their Current Report on Form 8-K, is informational and not subject to liabilities under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

The most recent analyst rating on (LNW) stock is a Buy with a $130.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Light & Wonder stock, see the LNW Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Light & Wonder Issues CHESS Depositary Interests Statement
Neutral
Sep 12, 2025

On September 5, 2025, Light & Wonder, Inc. provided the Australian Securities Exchange with a Statement of CHESS Depositary Interests on Issue. This announcement is part of the company’s regulatory compliance and does not impact its filings under the Securities Act of 1933 or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

The most recent analyst rating on (LNW) stock is a Hold with a $93.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Light & Wonder stock, see the LNW Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Light & Wonder Announces $1 Billion Notes Pricing
Positive
Sep 10, 2025

On September 10, 2025, Light & Wonder, Inc. announced the pricing of $1 billion in senior unsecured notes due 2033 by its subsidiary, Light and Wonder International, Inc. The proceeds from this offering will be used to repay existing borrowings, redeem outstanding notes due 2028, and for general corporate purposes. This strategic financial move is expected to enhance the company’s financial flexibility and strengthen its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (LNW) stock is a Hold with a $93.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Light & Wonder stock, see the LNW Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Light & Wonder Announces $1 Billion Notes Offering
Neutral
Sep 10, 2025

On September 10, 2025, Light & Wonder, Inc. announced a proposed private offering of $1 billion in senior unsecured notes due 2033 through its subsidiary, Light and Wonder International, Inc. The proceeds are intended to repay existing borrowings, redeem $700 million of outstanding notes due 2028, and for general corporate purposes. This move is expected to impact the company’s financial structure by refinancing debt and potentially enhancing its market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (LNW) stock is a Hold with a $93.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Light & Wonder stock, see the LNW Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Light & Wonder Issues Statement of CHESS Depositary Interests
Neutral
Aug 12, 2025

On August 7, 2025, Light & Wonder, Inc. provided the Australian Securities Exchange with a Statement of CHESS Depositary Interests on Issue. This announcement is part of their regulatory compliance and does not impact the company’s filings under the Securities Act of 1933 or the Exchange Act.

The most recent analyst rating on (LNW) stock is a Buy with a $120.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Light & Wonder stock, see the LNW Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2025