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Mohawk Industries, Inc. (MHK)
:MHK
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Mohawk (MHK) AI Stock Analysis

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MHK

Mohawk

(NYSE:MHK)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$134.00
▲(12.33% Upside)
Mohawk's overall score reflects stable financial performance and positive technical indicators, offset by challenges in revenue growth and market pressures. The share buyback program and operational improvements provide some optimism, but valuation concerns and flat sales temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Competitive Position
Mohawk could be a relative tariff winner as 85% of its products are not impacted by tariffs and it has a strong domestic manufacturing footprint.
Cost Management
Mohawk continues to improve productivity and reduce costs, expecting significant cost savings and continued productivity actions in the future.
Market Share
Mohawk is gaining share, especially in North America where volume grew in a down market led by laminate, residential carpet, and commercial carpet tile.
Negative Factors
Earnings Guidance
Mohawk's second-quarter earnings guidance is slightly below consensus, reflecting near-term price cost headwinds.
Global Demand
Flooring demand is still weak globally due to elevated rates, low existing home turnover, remodeling deferrals and weakening consumer sentiment.
Operational Challenges
Management indicated that ERP issues were related to 'order to cash' problems, which might affect operational efficiency.

Mohawk (MHK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mohawk Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMohawk Industries, Inc. (MHK) is a leading global flooring manufacturer headquartered in Calhoun, Georgia. The company operates in several sectors, including carpets, rugs, ceramic tile, laminate, wood, stone, and vinyl flooring. Mohawk serves both residential and commercial markets, providing a diverse range of products that cater to various customer preferences and needs. With a commitment to sustainability, innovation, and quality, Mohawk has established itself as a prominent player in the flooring industry.
How the Company Makes MoneyMohawk Industries generates revenue through the manufacturing and sale of flooring products across multiple categories such as carpets, rugs, ceramic tile, laminate, wood, stone, and vinyl. The company sells its products to a wide range of customers, including independent retailers, home centers, mass merchants, and commercial contractors. Key revenue streams include sales in both the residential and commercial sectors, with a significant portion of revenue derived from North American and European markets. Mohawk's earnings are bolstered by strategic acquisitions, which expand its product offerings and market reach, as well as by maintaining efficient manufacturing processes and a strong distribution network. The company's partnerships with retailers and distributors further enhance its market presence and contribute to its overall financial performance.

Mohawk Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 24, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 2.84%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a challenging market environment with flat sales and market pressures, yet operational improvements, strong free cash flow, and commercial segment outperformance provide positive indicators. The company is strategically positioning for future growth despite current headwinds.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Solid Free Cash Flow and Stock Repurchase
Generated approximately $125 million in free cash flow and repurchased about 393,000 shares of stock for approximately $42 million. A new authorization to acquire $500 million of the company's outstanding stock was approved by the Board.
Operational Improvements and Cost Containment
Achieved strong productivity gains and restructuring actions, resulting in anticipated annual cost savings of approximately $100 million in 2025.
Commercial Segment Outperformance
Commercial channels continue to outperform residential, with strong order backlogs in sectors like education and hospitality.
Restructuring Actions on Schedule
Restructuring actions are delivering expected savings by closing high-cost operations, eliminating inefficient assets, and streamlining distribution.
Positive FX Impact
Favorable foreign exchange (FX) impact of $15 million contributed positively to the financial results.
Negative Updates
Flat Net Sales
Net sales for the second quarter were $2.8 billion, essentially flat both as reported and on a constant currency basis.
Pricing Pressure and Volume Declines
Continued pricing pressure from lower market volumes and negative volume impacts in several segments.
Higher Input Costs and Plant Shutdowns
Higher input costs of $63 million, lower sales volume impact of $21 million, and increased shutdown costs of $18 million affected margins.
Residential Market Challenges
Residential sales remain challenged due to softness in remodeling and new construction, with geopolitical events, inflation, and low housing turnover contributing to market uncertainty.
European Market Weakness
Continued pricing pressure in the residential remodeling channel in Europe, with new construction not keeping up with population growth.
Company Guidance
During the Mohawk Industries Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance for the third quarter of 2025, projecting earnings per share (EPS) between $2.56 and $2.66, excluding any restructuring or one-time charges. The company reported second quarter net sales of $2.8 billion, with an adjusted EPS of $2.77. Despite challenging market conditions, Mohawk Industries highlighted the impact of operational improvements, cost containment, and new product introductions. The call detailed several financial metrics, including a gross margin of 25.5%, an operating income of 6.7% as reported, and approximately $125 million in free cash flow. The company also discussed ongoing restructuring efforts targeting $100 million in annual cost savings, alongside productivity initiatives that contributed $57 million in benefits. Mohawk Industries addressed the impact of tariffs and evolving trade policies, emphasizing their predominantly North American production base, which constitutes about 85% of U.S. operations.

Mohawk Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mohawk's financial performance is stable with moderate profitability and low leverage. The company has healthy margins and a strong equity base, though declining revenue and free cash flow growth present potential risks.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Mohawk's TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) income statement shows a moderate gross profit margin of 24.86% and a net profit margin of 4.54%, indicating a reasonable level of profitability. The EBIT margin stands at 6.41%, while the EBITDA margin is 10.95%, reflecting stable operating performance. However, the revenue has been declining, with a negative growth rate of -1.42% from the previous year, highlighting potential challenges in maintaining top-line growth.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a healthy equity position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.14, suggesting low financial leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is 6.17%, indicating a moderate level of profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio is 58.64%, emphasizing a strong equity base compared to total assets, which enhances financial stability.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a marginal free cash flow growth rate of -13.72%, reflecting a decrease in available cash after capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.97 indicates efficient cash generation relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.21, suggesting a solid cash conversion from profits, despite the decline in free cash flow.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.84B11.14B11.74B11.20B9.55B
Gross Profit2.69B2.71B2.94B3.27B2.43B
EBITDA694.70M531.94M883.69M2.00B1.43B
Net Income517.70M-439.52M25.25M1.03B515.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.78B13.56B14.12B14.22B14.33B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments666.60M642.55M667.62M591.89M1.34B
Total Debt2.63B3.15B3.22B2.73B3.07B
Total Liabilities5.22B5.93B6.10B5.80B5.79B
Stockholders Equity7.55B7.62B8.02B8.43B8.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow679.50M716.30M88.41M633.00M1.34B
Operating Cash Flow1.13B1.33B669.15M1.31B1.77B
Investing Cash Flow-454.40M-970.34M-625.34M-556.75M-954.80M
Financing Cash Flow-629.50M-210.68M194.35M-1.23B-188.19M

Mohawk Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price119.29
Price Trends
50DMA
107.62
Positive
100DMA
107.92
Positive
200DMA
118.58
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.06
Negative
RSI
60.73
Neutral
STOCH
51.15
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MHK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 119.29 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 114.31, above the 50-day MA of 107.62, and above the 200-day MA of 118.58, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.06 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.15 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MHK.

Mohawk Risk Analysis

Mohawk disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mohawk reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Mohawk Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$1.49B15.6118.63%0.16%6.26%44.74%
72
Outperform
$3.43B27.1411.25%1.52%6.09%-18.29%
71
Outperform
$7.49B16.025.95%-1.61%
61
Neutral
$16.48B10.10-9.02%3.34%1.46%-23.13%
56
Neutral
$1.34B45.68-2.77%4.12%1.14%-149.26%
51
Neutral
$1.09B7.8818.67%2.30%-6.16%
50
Neutral
$4.72B738.81-5.35%8.47%-16.05%-127.65%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MHK
Mohawk
120.53
-25.00
-17.18%
MLKN
MillerKnoll
19.57
-7.67
-28.16%
TILE
Interface
25.46
9.02
54.87%
LEG
Leggett & Platt
8.69
-3.65
-29.58%
PATK
Patrick Industries
100.35
21.99
28.06%
WHR
Whirlpool
84.53
-2.54
-2.92%

Mohawk Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Mohawk Announces $500 Million Share Buyback Program
Positive
Jul 24, 2025

On July 24, 2025, Mohawk Industries announced a new share repurchase program authorizing the repurchase of up to $500 million of its common stock, following the near completion of its 2022 program. The company reported second quarter 2025 net earnings of $147 million, with net sales remaining flat at $2.8 billion compared to the previous year. Despite challenging market conditions, Mohawk has implemented operational improvements and cost containment actions, contributing to productivity gains and restructuring benefits. The company is addressing tariff impacts through price adjustments and supply chain optimization, while continuing to focus on market development and leveraging its strong product portfolio to navigate ongoing industry pressures.

The most recent analyst rating on (MHK) stock is a Buy with a $161.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mohawk stock, see the MHK Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Mohawk Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting, Elects Directors
Neutral
May 23, 2025

On May 22, 2025, Mohawk held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, where key decisions were made regarding the company’s governance and financial oversight. The stockholders elected Joseph A. Onorato, William H. Runge III, and W. Christopher Wellborn as directors for a three-year term. Additionally, KPMG LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. A non-binding advisory vote on the compensation of the company’s Named Executive Officers was also conducted.

The most recent analyst rating on (MHK) stock is a Buy with a $161.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mohawk stock, see the MHK Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 29, 2025