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Mohawk (MHK)
NYSE:MHK
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Mohawk (MHK) AI Stock Analysis

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MHK

Mohawk

(NYSE:MHK)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$115.00
▲(5.67% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:05/01/26
The score is driven primarily by improving financial performance and a notably strong, de-risked balance sheet, reinforced by earnings-call evidence of margin and EPS improvement plus buybacks. These positives are tempered by modest/volatile margins and mixed demand signals, while the technical setup remains neutral-to-soft (below key longer-term moving averages) and valuation support is only moderate given a mid-range P/E and no dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong balance sheet / low leverage
Exceptionally low leverage and sizeable liquidity provide durable financial flexibility. With net debt/EBITDA near 0.9x and large cash balances, the company can fund capex, restructuring, buybacks and weather cyclical downturns without forcing distress-driven asset sales or dilutive financing.
Negative Factors
Modest and volatile margins
Persistently low single-digit margins limit free cash flow upside and make profits sensitive to raw-material and energy swings. Historical margin volatility implies earnings are cyclically exposed, reducing predictability and requiring sustained productivity or pricing to lift structural profitability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong balance sheet / low leverage
Exceptionally low leverage and sizeable liquidity provide durable financial flexibility. With net debt/EBITDA near 0.9x and large cash balances, the company can fund capex, restructuring, buybacks and weather cyclical downturns without forcing distress-driven asset sales or dilutive financing.
Read all positive factors

Mohawk (MHK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mohawk Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Mohawk Industries, Inc. designs, manufactures, sources, distributes, and markets flooring products for remodeling and new constructions of residential and commercial spaces in the United States, Europe, Russia, and internationally. It operates thr...
How the Company Makes Money
Mohawk makes money primarily by manufacturing and selling flooring products through multiple routes to market. Its core revenue stream is product sales across its major categories (soft surface such as carpet and rugs; and hard surface such as til...

Mohawk Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where the company is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsMohawk's revenue in the United States shows a fluctuating trend, reflecting challenges in the residential remodeling market and pricing pressures. Europe and LATAM are showing signs of recovery, with steady growth in recent quarters. The earnings call highlights operational improvements and cost containment strategies, which are crucial as the company navigates higher input costs and geopolitical uncertainties. The strategic focus on premium products and restructuring efforts are expected to bolster long-term growth, despite current market constraints.
Data provided by:The Fly

Mohawk Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Mixed/neutral: the company delivered solid operating improvements in Q1 — notably adjusted EPS up ~25%, margin expansion, segment profit improvement, a share buyback and a strong balance sheet — but material headwinds remain. Input-cost inflation tied to energy and transportation, uncertainty from the Middle East conflict, continued residential volume weakness (constant-currency sales decline), modest free cash flow, and potential for additional pricing or margin pressure balance the positives. Management is pursuing productivity, price increases and disciplined capital allocation, but outcomes hinge on the evolution of inflation and consumer confidence.
Positive Updates
Adjusted EPS Growth
Adjusted EPS of $1.90 in Q1 2026, up approximately 25% versus the prior year.
Negative Updates
Input Cost Inflation
Rising input costs tied to materials, energy and transportation cited as a headwind (quarter-level increased input costs disclosed in the range of ~$28M–$38M) with expectation that inflation will ramp in Q2 and peak into Q3.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Adjusted EPS Growth
Adjusted EPS of $1.90 in Q1 2026, up approximately 25% versus the prior year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
One-month into Q2 management is guiding adjusted EPS of $2.50–$2.60 (ex‑restructuring/one‑time items), a full‑year 2026 tax rate of 19–20%, and corporate expenses of $52–$55M, while planning ~ $480M of 2026 CapEx (Q1 CapEx $102M) and expecting $50–$60M of restructuring savings this year; they used Q1 as a baseline (Q1 adjusted EPS $1.90, net sales ≈ $2.7B, +8% reported / -2.6% constant, gross margin 23.5% reported / 24.8% adjusted, adjusted operating income $149M or 5.5% of sales vs. reported operating income $112M or 4.1%, $38M nonrecurring charges), and highlighted balance sheet and cash metrics (cash $872M, free cash flow $8M, inventories ≈ $2.7B, PP&E ≈ $4.7B, net debt $1.2B, net debt/EBITDA 0.9) plus actions taken (607k shares repurchased for $64M in Q1, announced mid‑to‑high single‑digit price increases) while cautioning that input cost inflation will ramp in H2 and could require further pricing.

Mohawk Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall financials reflect a recovery: revenue is up strongly versus the prior year and profitability has improved from the 2023 loss, supported by strong TTM operating cash flow and sharply higher free cash flow. The balance sheet is a standout with very low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.09). Key constraints are modest low-single-digit margins, mid-single-digit ROE, and notable earnings/margin volatility across the cycle.
Income Statement
64
Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.99B10.79B10.84B11.14B11.74B11.20B
Gross Profit2.67B2.57B2.69B2.71B2.94B3.27B
EBITDA1.19B1.14B1.33B353.30M831.30M1.94B
Net Income414.40M369.90M517.70M-439.52M25.25M1.03B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.79B13.69B12.78B13.56B14.12B14.22B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments872.30M856.10M666.60M642.60M667.62M591.89M
Total Debt793.30M2.76B2.63B3.15B3.22B2.73B
Total Liabilities5.41B5.31B5.22B5.93B6.10B5.80B
Stockholders Equity8.38B8.38B7.55B7.62B8.01B8.42B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow709.40M616.20M679.50M710.71M88.41M633.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.16B1.06B1.13B1.32B669.15M1.31B
Investing Cash Flow-455.10M-441.90M-454.40M-970.34M-625.34M-556.75M
Financing Cash Flow-549.00M-470.00M-629.50M-205.09M194.35M-1.23B

Mohawk Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price108.83
Price Trends
50DMA
111.78
Negative
100DMA
113.31
Negative
200DMA
117.49
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.91
Negative
RSI
58.37
Neutral
STOCH
70.07
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MHK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 108.83 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 100.72, below the 50-day MA of 111.78, and below the 200-day MA of 117.49, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.91 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.07 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MHK.

Mohawk Risk Analysis

Mohawk disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mohawk reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Mohawk Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$1.61B17.1515.93%0.21%5.41%34.01%
68
Neutral
$6.26B12.694.96%2.85%-12.89%
65
Neutral
$1.46B18.088.12%2.39%1.69%-31.16%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
55
Neutral
$3.16B21.7511.64%1.49%4.20%-3.21%
48
Neutral
$1.00B-16.991.98%-1.11%-101.88%
42
Neutral
$3.13B8.78%7.40%-3.58%1911.44%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MHK
Mohawk
103.83
-2.48
-2.33%
TILE
Interface
29.66
9.07
44.02%
LZB
La-Z-Boy Incorporated
35.73
-5.25
-12.80%
PATK
Patrick Industries
95.17
13.70
16.81%
WHR
Whirlpool
44.96
-30.66
-40.54%
MBC
MasterBrand Inc
7.61
-2.26
-22.90%

Mohawk Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Mohawk Names Paul De Cock Interim Global Flooring President
Neutral
Feb 6, 2026
On February 5, 2026, Mohawk Industries appointed Chief Operating Officer Paul De Cock as interim President of its Flooring Rest of World segment, following the resignation of Wim Messiaen from that role on the same date to pursue other interests. ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 01, 2026