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Patrick Industries (PATK)
NASDAQ:PATK

Patrick Industries (PATK) AI Stock Analysis

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Patrick Industries

(NASDAQ:PATK)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$95.00
▲(5.65%Upside)
Patrick Industries' overall score of 71 reflects strong financial health and strategic initiatives, tempered by macroeconomic challenges and valuation concerns. The company's effective management and operational strategies provide a solid foundation, while technical indicators and corporate events further support a positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Diversification
PATK demonstrated a diversified model with growth in RV and MH sales, showcasing its ability to perform well in different segments.
Earnings
PATK posted results that beat consensus, showing strong sales growth and better-than-expected earnings.
Strategic Acquisitions
The balance sheet remains healthy with significant liquidity, supporting ongoing reinvestment and strategic acquisitions like Elkhart Composites and Medallion Instrumentation Systems.
Negative Factors
Cost Challenges
Despite cost pressures from tariffs, the company is well-positioned, using supply chain optimization and cost controls to offset these challenges.
Operating Margin
Operating margin came in a little lighter than anticipated, with a slightly lower margin base flowing through to 2025 estimates.
Outlook
The company has taken a more cautious tone for the second half of the year, adjusting down its end-market outlooks due to trends lagging expectations.

Patrick Industries (PATK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Patrick Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPatrick Industries, Inc. manufactures and distributes components, building products, and materials for the recreational vehicle, marine, manufactured housing, and industrial markets in the United States, China, and Canada. Its Manufacturing segment manufactures and sells furniture, shelving, wall, countertop, and cabinet product; cabinet door, fiberglass bath fixture, and tile system; hardwood furniture, vinyl printing, amplifiers, tower speakers, soundbars, and subwoofers; solid surface, granite, and quartz countertop fabrication; aluminum product; fiberglass and plastic components; RV painting; decorative vinyl and paper laminated panels; softwoods lumber; custom cabinet; polymer-based flooring product; dash panels; and other products. This segment also provides wrapped vinyl, paper, and hardwood profile moulding; interior passage doors; air handling products; slide-out trim and fascia; treated, untreated, and laminated plywood; fiberglass and plastic helm systems and components; boat covers, tower, top, and frame; adhesives and sealants; thermoformed shower surrounds; specialty bath, and closet building products; wiring and wire harnesses; aluminum and plastic fuel tanks; CNC molds, composite part, marine hardware; slotwall panels, components; and other products. The company's Distribution segment distributes pre-finished wall and ceiling panel, drywall and finishing product, electronic, audio system component, appliance, marine accessories, wiring product, electrical and plumbing product, fiber reinforced polyester product; cement siding product, raw and processed lumber, interior passage, roofing, laminate, and ceramic flooring product, shower door, furniture, fireplace and surround, interior and exterior lighting product, and other products. This segment also offers transportation and logistics service. The company was founded in 1959 and is headquartered in Elkhart, Indiana.
How the Company Makes MoneyPatrick Industries generates revenue through the design, manufacturing, and distribution of a diverse range of building products and materials that cater to its core markets: recreational vehicles, marine, manufactured housing, and industrial sectors. The company operates through a network of manufacturing and distribution facilities, allowing it to efficiently serve its customers across North America. Key revenue streams include the sale of manufactured products such as decorative vinyl, countertops, and cabinet doors, as well as the distribution of building materials. Strategic acquisitions enhance its product offerings and market reach, while strong relationships with OEMs (Original Equipment Manufacturers) and aftermarket customers help maintain a steady demand for its products. Additionally, Patrick Industries benefits from trends in consumer preferences for RV and marine lifestyles, as well as the ongoing demand for manufactured housing and remodeling activities.

Patrick Industries Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 17.36%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed outlook, with strong performance in the RV and Marine markets and successful acquisitions contrasting with challenges from tariffs, macroeconomic uncertainty, and reduced shipment outlooks in several segments.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong First Quarter Performance
Patrick Industries achieved a 7% increase in top-line growth for Q1 2025, generating approximately $1.0 billion in revenue, with earnings per diluted share of $1.11.
RV Market Share Gains
RV revenues grew by 14% to $479 million, with content per unit on a quarterly basis up 6% sequentially compared to Q4 2024.
Marine Market Resilience
Marine revenues increased by 4% to $149 million, despite a 10% estimated decrease in wholesale powerboat unit shipments.
Successful Acquisitions and Stock Repurchases
Completed two acquisitions in the quarter and repurchased approximately $8.5 million of stock.
Strong Balance Sheet and Cash Flow
Reported $745 million in total net liquidity at the end of Q1 2025, with no major debt maturities until 2028.
Negative Updates
Impact of Tariffs and Macroeconomic Uncertainty
Global tariff headlines and economic uncertainty have caused caution in market outlook, impacting consumer confidence and spending.
Decline in Powersports and Marine Market
Powersports revenues were down 2%, and Marine revenues were impacted by a 10% decrease in wholesale powerboat unit shipments.
Reduced RV Shipment Outlook
Revised full-year RV wholesale unit shipment guidance to approximately 310,000 to 330,000, down from previous estimates.
Challenges in Housing Market
Revised outlook for MH wholesale unit shipments to mid-single digits, down from a previous estimate of 10% to 15% growth.
Company Guidance
During the call, Patrick Industries provided guidance that included several key metrics for the first quarter of fiscal year 2025. The company reported a 7% increase in revenue, reaching approximately $1.0 billion, with trailing 12-month revenue at about $3.8 billion. Earnings per diluted share were $1.11, and organic growth was 2% net of pricing. The RV segment saw a revenue rise of 14% to $479 million, representing 48% of consolidated revenue, while the Marine segment reported a 4% increase to $149 million. Powersports revenues grew by 2% to $81 million, and housing revenues were up 7% to $295 million. The company's gross margin improved to 22.8%, and net income increased by 9% to $38 million. Patrick Industries maintained a solid balance sheet with net leverage at 2.7x and total net liquidity of $745 million. For 2025, the company revised its outlook, estimating RV retail unit shipments to be down mid-to-high single digits, Marine retail down high-single to low double digits, and MH wholesale unit shipments up mid-single digits. Operating cash flow is projected between $350 million to $370 million, with capital expenditures estimated at $70 million to $80 million.

Patrick Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Patrick Industries demonstrates solid financial health with efficient operations and stable profitability. Improvements in debt levels and strong cash flow generation are slightly offset by slowing revenue growth and reduced free cash flow due to increased capital expenditures.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Patrick Industries shows strong gross and EBIT margins, indicating efficient cost management and operational effectiveness. However, revenue growth has slowed significantly since 2022, which may indicate market saturation or increased competition. Despite this, net profit margins remain stable, reflecting consistent profitability.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved over the trailing twelve months, suggesting a more balanced financial structure. However, the equity ratio is relatively moderate, indicating that liabilities form a significant portion of total assets. Return on equity remains healthy, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow remains strong, consistently covering net income, which reflects robust cash-generating capabilities. However, free cash flow has declined over the past year, mainly due to increased capital expenditures. The free cash flow to net income ratio indicates a stable cash position despite these investments.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
3.79B3.72B3.47B4.88B4.08B2.49B
Gross Profit
859.63M835.89M782.23M1.06B801.19M459.02M
EBIT
264.27M258.04M260.20M496.17M351.71M173.37M
EBITDA
433.12M424.58M404.74M626.93M456.52M246.64M
Net Income Common Stockholders
141.55M138.40M142.90M328.20M224.91M97.06M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
86.56M33.56M11.41M22.85M122.85M44.77M
Total Assets
3.19B3.02B2.56B2.78B2.65B1.75B
Total Debt
1.63B1.52B1.21B1.45B1.45B937.48M
Net Debt
1.55B1.49B1.20B1.43B1.32B892.72M
Total Liabilities
2.05B1.89B1.52B1.83B1.88B1.19B
Stockholders Equity
1.14B1.13B1.05B955.17M767.56M559.44M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
223.55M251.16M349.69M331.86M187.33M128.05M
Operating Cash Flow
331.74M326.84M408.67M411.74M252.13M160.15M
Investing Cash Flow
-208.21M-512.85M-86.55M-321.47M-574.73M-337.88M
Financing Cash Flow
-54.58M208.16M-333.56M-190.27M400.69M83.11M

Patrick Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price89.92
Price Trends
50DMA
83.58
Positive
100DMA
86.78
Positive
200DMA
87.39
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.92
Negative
RSI
56.18
Neutral
STOCH
83.67
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PATK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 89.92 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 88.09, above the 50-day MA of 83.58, and above the 200-day MA of 87.39, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.92 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.18 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.67 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PATK.

Patrick Industries Risk Analysis

Patrick Industries disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Patrick Industries reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Patrick Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
LZLZB
72
Outperform
$1.66B13.8012.40%2.27%1.81%8.09%
71
Outperform
$3.03B21.7012.87%1.72%8.12%-5.17%
70
Outperform
$1.24B14.6018.15%0.19%5.41%44.50%
68
Neutral
$819.17M8.5110.89%-7.47%
62
Neutral
$6.90B11.052.80%4.27%2.67%-24.92%
58
Neutral
$1.19B41.492.28%4.26%-2.68%-56.16%
MBMBC
58
Neutral
$1.33B13.538.02%1.30%-44.70%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PATK
Patrick Industries
89.92
20.43
29.40%
AMWD
American Woodmark
52.91
-28.20
-34.77%
MLKN
MillerKnoll
16.91
-7.35
-30.30%
TILE
Interface
20.06
5.21
35.08%
LZB
La-Z-Boy Incorporated
38.28
4.87
14.58%
MBC
MasterBrand Inc
10.07
-5.36
-34.74%

Patrick Industries Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Patrick Industries Appoints New Marine Division President
Positive
May 23, 2025

On May 19, 2025, Patrick Industries announced that Jake Petkovich will rejoin the company as President of the Marine division, succeeding Rick Reyenger, who will transition to a strategic advisory role. Petkovich’s return is expected to drive growth and innovation in Patrick’s Marine businesses, leveraging his previous experience as CFO and his strategic and operational expertise. The appointment is part of Patrick’s ongoing efforts to enhance operational efficiency and deliver value to shareholders through strategic diversification.

The most recent analyst rating on (PATK) stock is a Buy with a $99.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Patrick Industries stock, see the PATK Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsDividends
Patrick Industries Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
May 21, 2025

On May 15, 2025, Patrick Industries held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where all director nominees were elected and various proposals, including an increase in authorized shares, were approved. The Board also declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.40 per share, payable on June 9, 2025, reflecting the company’s strong financial position and commitment to returning value to shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (PATK) stock is a Buy with a $106.66 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Patrick Industries stock, see the PATK Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Patrick Industries Reports Q1 2025 Sales Growth
Positive
May 1, 2025

In the first quarter of 2025, Patrick Industries reported a 7% increase in net sales to $1.0 billion, driven by strong demand in the RV and Housing markets, despite declines in Marine and Powersports revenues. The company completed acquisitions of Elkhart Composites and Medallion Instrumentation Systems, enhancing its product offerings and market position. The company’s strategic initiatives and capital allocation strategies have positioned it to navigate macroeconomic uncertainties while maintaining financial strength and flexibility.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.