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Patrick Industries (PATK)
NASDAQ:PATK
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Patrick Industries (PATK) AI Stock Analysis

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PATK

Patrick Industries

(NASDAQ:PATK)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$94.00
▼(-12.09% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/19/26
The score is driven primarily by solid but pressured financial performance (profitability and positive free cash flow, but declining revenue and elevated leverage). Earnings-call guidance for modest margin expansion and strong 2026 free-cash-flow supports the outlook, but weak technicals and only average valuation keep the overall score in the high-50s.
Positive Factors
Diversified end-market strength & content gains
Growth in marine and powersports alongside rising content-per-unit in both segments shows durable revenue diversification and stronger OEM integration. Higher CPU reflects deeper product attachment and pricing power, reducing reliance on cyclical RV volumes and supporting steadier revenue and margin resilience over multiple quarters.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Above-average leverage constrains financial flexibility if end-market demand softens. Elevated debt amplifies refinancing and interest-rate risk, limits bolt-on M&A capacity without issuing equity, and increases sensitivity to inventory or revenue shocks, making capital allocation choices more constrained over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified end-market strength & content gains
Growth in marine and powersports alongside rising content-per-unit in both segments shows durable revenue diversification and stronger OEM integration. Higher CPU reflects deeper product attachment and pricing power, reducing reliance on cyclical RV volumes and supporting steadier revenue and margin resilience over multiple quarters.
Read all positive factors

Patrick Industries Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Income by Segment
Operating Income by Segment
Highlights each segment’s profit after operating costs, showing which units are truly contributing to the company’s bottom line and where cost structure or scale advantages are improving or dragging performance.
Chart InsightsManufacturing is the clear earnings engine — its operating income has recovered to stronger, seasonally peaking levels and drives most profitability, consistent with management’s content-per-unit gains and recent marine/aftermarket acquisitions. Distribution is smaller but shows modest, steady uplift. That mix underpins the 2026 margin-expansion thesis, yet the recovery is cyclical and dependent on OEM/dealer shipments; inventory builds, commodity/tariff headwinds and potential convertible-note dilution could blunt full-year flow-through if demand softens.
Data provided by:The Fly

Patrick Industries (PATK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Patrick Industries Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Patrick Industries, Inc. manufactures and distributes components, building products, and materials for the recreational vehicle, marine, manufactured housing, and industrial markets in the United States, China, and Canada. Its Manufacturing segmen...
How the Company Makes Money
Patrick Industries primarily makes money by selling manufactured and distributed components and building products to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and other customers in its end markets, with revenue recognized largely from product sales...

Patrick Industries Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a generally positive tone driven by diversified end-market performance (notably strong marine and powersports growth), content-per-unit gains, stable margins, solid liquidity and constructive 2026 guidance for margin expansion and free cash flow. These positives offset notable headwinds including double-digit RV and manufactured housing shipment declines, a near-term cash outflow for strategic inventory build, modest adjusted EBITDA contraction, and commodity/tariff/ASP uncertainties. Management emphasized operational agility, innovation, aftermarket expansion and active M&A execution (including discussions with LCI) as durable offsets to cyclical demand weakness.
Positive Updates
Consolidated Revenue and Organic Growth
Net sales of $997 million in Q1 2026, up 1% year-over-year; comprised of 8% organic growth, 2% acquisition growth and a negative 10% industry mix effect. Trailing 12-month net sales ~ $3.9 billion.
Negative Updates
RV and Manufactured Housing Shipment Weakness
RV wholesale unit shipments down ~12% in Q1 (nearly 12,000 fewer units) and manufactured housing wholesale unit shipments estimated down ~11% in Q1; company now expects RV retail down low- to mid-single digits and MH wholesale/starts down low- to mid-single digits for 2026.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Consolidated Revenue and Organic Growth
Net sales of $997 million in Q1 2026, up 1% year-over-year; comprised of 8% organic growth, 2% acquisition growth and a negative 10% industry mix effect. Trailing 12-month net sales ~ $3.9 billion.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Patrick's 2026 guidance calls for RV retail to be down low‑ to mid‑single digits with RV wholesale of 315,000–330,000 units; marine retail flat to down slightly with marine wholesale up low‑single digits; powersports unit shipments and organic content up low‑single digits (implying a mid‑ to high‑single‑digit revenue increase for that segment); and manufactured housing (MH) wholesale shipments and total housing starts down low‑ to mid‑single digits. On the financial side, management expects adjusted operating margin to improve about 30–50 basis points versus 2025, operating cash flow of $370–$390 million, capital expenditures of $70–$80 million (implying roughly $300 million of free cash flow), and an effective tax rate of 24–25%.

Patrick Industries Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Down-cycle financials: TTM revenue is down ~15.8% and margins are meaningfully below 2021–2022 levels, but profitability remains positive. Cash flow is still constructive (positive OCF/FCF), though momentum has cooled. Balance sheet is serviceable but leverage is elevated (debt-to-equity ~1.35–1.39), increasing sensitivity if demand stays weak.
Income Statement
52
Neutral
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
Cash Flow
63
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.94B3.95B3.72B3.47B4.88B4.08B
Gross Profit887.12M912.86M835.89M782.23M1.06B801.19M
EBITDA421.06M421.78M424.58M404.74M626.93M456.52M
Net Income136.30M135.06M138.40M142.90M328.20M224.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.22B3.08B3.02B2.67B2.78B2.65B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments37.47M26.43M33.56M11.41M22.85M122.85M
Total Debt227.24M1.64B1.52B1.21B1.45B1.45B
Total Liabilities2.03B1.89B1.89B1.63B1.83B1.88B
Stockholders Equity1.19B1.18B1.13B1.05B955.17M767.56M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow193.65M246.49M251.16M349.69M331.55M187.33M
Operating Cash Flow275.33M329.41M326.84M408.67M411.74M252.13M
Investing Cash Flow-166.34M-206.49M-512.85M-86.55M-321.47M-574.73M
Financing Cash Flow-158.08M-130.06M208.16M-333.56M-190.27M400.69M

Patrick Industries Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price106.93
Price Trends
50DMA
101.08
Negative
100DMA
113.70
Negative
200DMA
109.88
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.63
Negative
RSI
40.22
Neutral
STOCH
53.08
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PATK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 106.93 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 92.07, above the 50-day MA of 101.08, and below the 200-day MA of 109.88, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.63 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.08 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PATK.

Patrick Industries Risk Analysis

Patrick Industries disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Patrick Industries reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Patrick Industries Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$6.55B15.924.96%2.85%-12.89%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
57
Neutral
$2.98B21.5811.64%1.49%4.20%-3.21%
54
Neutral
$1.40B6.3623.12%1.84%-8.33%
50
Neutral
$1.11B102.790.83%4.16%5.62%-65.76%
47
Neutral
$1.78B-552.71-0.15%-1.11%-101.88%
41
Neutral
$2.81B15.775.85%7.40%-3.60%1945.71%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PATK
Patrick Industries
90.52
8.83
10.81%
MLKN
MillerKnoll
16.18
0.40
2.56%
LEG
Leggett & Platt
10.27
1.71
19.98%
MHK
Mohawk
107.42
8.94
9.08%
WHR
Whirlpool
43.42
-32.38
-42.72%
MBC
MasterBrand Inc
8.68
-1.14
-11.61%

Patrick Industries Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesDividendsShareholder Meetings
Patrick Industries Shareholders Reaffirm Leadership and Dividend Program
Positive
May 18, 2026
Patrick Industries, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders on May 14, 2026, with 95.06% of eligible shares represented, and shareholders elected nine directors to serve until the 2027 meeting. Investors also ratified the appointment of Deloi...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Patrick Industries Ends Merger Talks, Reaffirms Independent Growth Strategy
Neutral
May 7, 2026
On May 4, 2026, Patrick Industries announced that it and LCI Industries had ended talks over a potential merger of equals, after failing to agree on certain key terms despite consensus on leadership and strategic direction for a combined entity. T...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Patrick Industries Reports Flat Q1 Results Amid Merger Talks
Neutral
Apr 30, 2026
Patrick Industries reported first-quarter 2026 results on April 30, 2026, with net sales essentially flat at $997 million versus a year earlier, as 14% marine and 28% powersports growth offset softer RV and housing demand. Operating income held at...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Patrick Industries Confirms Merger Talks With LCI Industries
Neutral
Apr 22, 2026
On April 17, 2026, Patrick Industries confirmed that it is in discussions with LCI Industries regarding a potential merger of equals, signaling a possible major consolidation in the RV and outdoor recreation supply chain. The companies cautioned t...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 19, 2026