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MasterBrand Inc (MBC)
NYSE:MBC
US Market

MasterBrand Inc (MBC) AI Stock Analysis

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MBC

MasterBrand Inc

(NYSE:MBC)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$12.00
▲(7.72% Upside)
MasterBrand Inc's overall stock score reflects significant challenges in financial performance and technical analysis, with declining revenue and bearish momentum. The valuation is moderate, and while the merger with American Woodmark presents potential long-term benefits, current market conditions and legal challenges pose risks. The company's ability to navigate these challenges and leverage strategic initiatives will be crucial for future performance.
Positive Factors
Merger with American Woodmark
The merger with American Woodmark is expected to enhance the product portfolio and achieve significant cost synergies, strengthening market position.
Supply Chain Coordination
Strong supply chain coordination and service execution have allowed MasterBrand to outperform in new construction sales, indicating operational resilience.
Mid-Tier Product Performance
The strong performance of mid-tier products suggests adaptability to consumer trends, supporting revenue stability amidst market shifts.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Significant revenue decline indicates challenges in maintaining market share and demand, impacting long-term growth prospects.
Free Cash Flow Decrease
Decreasing free cash flow limits the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage financial obligations effectively.
Impact of Section 232 Tariffs
Tariffs introduce additional costs, reducing profitability and potentially affecting competitive pricing strategies in the long term.

MasterBrand Inc (MBC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

MasterBrand Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMasterBrand Inc. (MBC) is a leading manufacturer and distributor of high-quality cabinetry and related products, serving the residential and commercial markets. With a diverse portfolio that includes kitchen cabinets, bathroom vanities, and storage solutions, MBC operates in the home improvement and construction sectors. The company is committed to innovation and sustainability, offering a wide range of customizable products designed to meet the needs and preferences of consumers and professionals alike.
How the Company Makes MoneyMasterBrand Inc. generates revenue primarily through the sale of cabinetry and related products to various distribution channels, including home improvement retailers, kitchen and bath showrooms, and directly to builders and contractors. The company operates on a wholesale business model, supplying products to retailers who then sell them to end consumers. Key revenue streams include the sale of standard and custom cabinetry, accessories, and installation services. Additionally, MBC benefits from strategic partnerships with home improvement chains and builders, which enhance market reach and visibility. The growing trend of home renovations and new construction projects further supports the company's earnings potential.

MasterBrand Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted MasterBrand's operational strengths, such as successful Supreme integration and consistent service execution, but also revealed challenges with declining sales, the impact of tariffs, and a difficult demand environment, particularly in the repair and remodel market.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Consistent Service Execution and Supply Chain Coordination
MasterBrand's new construction sales outperformed the broader market despite mid- to high single-digit declines in single-family housing starts, emphasizing strength in service execution and supply chain coordination.
Successful Supreme Integration
The integration of Supreme is progressing as expected, delivering cost efficiencies and supporting overall performance, with revenue synergies anticipated as the market returns.
Pending Merger with American Woodmark
The merger is progressing well, with expected $90 million in run rate cost synergies by the end of year 3 post close, enhancing the cabinetry portfolio.
Strength in Mid-Tier Semi-Custom Products
Mid-tier semi-custom products showed strong performance as consumers traded down from premium offerings, benefiting from the multi-tier product portfolio.
Negative Updates
Net Sales and Adjusted EBITDA Decline
Net sales decreased by 2.7% and adjusted EBITDA fell by 13.3%, indicating challenges in the demand environment and market-related volume declines.
Impact of Section 232 Tariffs
The new tariffs have introduced incremental costs, impacting gross profit margin by 100 basis points with estimated net unmitigated exposure of $20 million to $25 million for the fourth quarter.
Challenges in Repair and Remodel Market
The repair and remodel business was down mid- to high single digits year-over-year, with elevated project costs and low consumer sentiment affecting large discretionary projects.
Free Cash Flow Decrease
Free cash flow was $65 million for the 39 weeks ended September 28, 2025, compared to $142.3 million in the comparable period last year, due to lower net income and higher capital expenditures.
Company Guidance
During MasterBrand's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance indicating a challenging demand environment with net sales of $699 million, a 3% decrease from the previous year, consistent with expectations. Adjusted EBITDA was $91 million, down from $105 million the previous year, reflecting a 160 basis point decline in margin to 13%. The company expects full-year free cash flow to exceed net income, despite third-quarter free cash flow dropping to $40 million from $65 million last year. The outlook for new construction market demand remains down mid-single digits, while repair and remodel markets are expected to decline mid- to high single digits for the full year. Facing new Section 232 tariffs on lumber, the company anticipates a net unmitigated exposure of $20 million to $25 million in Q4 2025. Despite these challenges, MasterBrand remains focused on executing mitigation strategies, including pricing adjustments and operational efficiencies, to manage through the tariffs and market uncertainties. The company maintains confidence in its long-term strategy and the potential benefits of its pending merger with American Woodmark.

MasterBrand Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
MasterBrand Inc faces challenges with declining revenue and profitability, as reflected in the income statement. The balance sheet shows improved leverage but reduced return on equity. Cash flow metrics indicate declining free cash flow, which could impact future investments. The company needs to address revenue growth and profitability to improve its financial health.
Income Statement
MasterBrand Inc's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is healthy at 31.31%, but the net profit margin has decreased to 3.00%, indicating pressure on profitability. Revenue has declined significantly by 69.1% in the TTM period, which is concerning. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also decreased, reflecting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet indicates a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.78 in the TTM period, showing better leverage management. However, return on equity has decreased to 6.19%, suggesting reduced efficiency in generating profits from equity. The equity ratio remains stable, indicating a balanced capital structure.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis reveals some challenges. The free cash flow growth rate is negative at -15.74% in the TTM period, indicating a decline in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.61, showing moderate cash flow coverage. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.60, suggesting limited cash flow relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.76B2.70B2.73B3.28B2.86B2.47B
Gross Profit840.40M859.70M875.90M918.80M763.20M687.50M
EBITDA279.80M319.60M368.20M277.90M300.50M262.00M
Net Income82.70M125.90M182.00M155.40M182.60M145.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.00B2.93B2.38B2.53B3.00B2.71B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments114.80M120.60M148.70M101.10M141.40M154.30M
Total Debt1.08B1.08B770.20M1.03B63.20M40.60M
Total Liabilities1.62B1.64B1.19B1.52B551.10M498.20M
Stockholders Equity1.38B1.29B1.19B1.01B2.45B2.21B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow133.80M211.10M348.30M179.70M96.60M177.30M
Operating Cash Flow223.90M292.00M405.60M235.60M148.20M204.60M
Investing Cash Flow-79.00M-580.80M-56.90M-55.90M-51.50M-26.70M
Financing Cash Flow-141.50M269.60M-299.90M-215.30M-109.70M-179.20M

MasterBrand Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.14
Price Trends
50DMA
11.19
Positive
100DMA
12.11
Negative
200DMA
11.75
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
58.45
Neutral
STOCH
67.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MBC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.14 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.38, below the 50-day MA of 11.19, and below the 200-day MA of 11.75, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MBC.

MasterBrand Inc Risk Analysis

MasterBrand Inc disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. MasterBrand Inc reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

MasterBrand Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$1.55B18.008.82%2.39%1.78%-25.36%
72
Outperform
$1.68B15.4120.20%0.21%5.11%34.02%
67
Neutral
$803.64M13.456.82%-10.71%-37.03%
63
Neutral
$1.43B18.276.19%1.77%-44.11%
63
Neutral
$1.59B7.5126.20%1.84%-6.03%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
57
Neutral
$1.27B-50.10-1.95%4.16%4.34%-141.36%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MBC
MasterBrand Inc
11.64
-3.46
-22.91%
AMWD
American Woodmark
56.86
-17.40
-23.43%
MLKN
MillerKnoll
19.28
-1.29
-6.27%
TILE
Interface
29.55
6.81
29.92%
LZB
La-Z-Boy Incorporated
39.02
-3.44
-8.10%
LEG
Leggett & Platt
12.06
2.57
27.08%

MasterBrand Inc Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
FTC Extends Waiting Period for MasterBrand Merger
Neutral
Nov 7, 2025

On August 5, 2025, MasterBrand, Inc. entered into a Merger Agreement with American Woodmark Corporation and its subsidiary, Maple Merger Sub, Inc. The U.S. Federal Trade Commission issued a Second Request for additional information on November 7, 2025, extending the waiting period for the merger under the Hart-Scott-Rodino Antitrust Improvements Act. MasterBrand and American Woodmark are working with the FTC to obtain regulatory clearance, expecting the merger to close in early 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (MBC) stock is a Hold with a $11.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MasterBrand Inc stock, see the MBC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
MasterBrand Inc Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Negative
Nov 4, 2025

On November 4, 2025, MasterBrand announced its third quarter 2025 financial results, reporting a 2.7% decrease in net sales to $698.9 million compared to the previous year. The company faced a decline in net income margin and adjusted EBITDA margin due to lower volume and tariffs, but remained focused on strategic initiatives and the upcoming merger with American Woodmark to drive long-term growth and value for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (MBC) stock is a Buy with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MasterBrand Inc stock, see the MBC Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
MasterBrand Inc and American Woodmark Merger Approved
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, MasterBrand, Inc. and American Woodmark Corporation announced that their shareholders approved the merger of the two companies during special meetings held on the same day. This approval marks a significant milestone in the merger process, which aims to combine the complementary strengths and customer-centric cultures of both companies. The merger is still subject to regulatory clearance and other customary closing conditions. The merger is expected to enhance the companies’ ability to serve customers and build on their commitment to quality, innovation, and operational excellence.

The most recent analyst rating on (MBC) stock is a Buy with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MasterBrand Inc stock, see the MBC Stock Forecast page.

Legal ProceedingsM&A Transactions
MasterBrand Inc Faces Legal Challenges Post-Merger
Negative
Oct 20, 2025

On August 5, 2025, MasterBrand, Inc. entered into a merger agreement with American Woodmark Corporation, aiming to merge American Woodmark as a wholly owned subsidiary. This merger has led to several legal challenges, with stockholders alleging that the joint proxy statement/prospectus omitted material information. Despite denying these allegations, MasterBrand and American Woodmark have chosen to supplement the disclosures to avoid potential legal and business disruptions.

The most recent analyst rating on (MBC) stock is a Buy with a $14.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MasterBrand Inc stock, see the MBC Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
MasterBrand Inc Gains Mexican Approval for Merger
Neutral
Oct 6, 2025

On October 3, 2025, MasterBrand, Inc. received approval from the Federal Competition Commission of Mexico for its merger with American Woodmark Corporation, a necessary regulatory step for the merger’s completion. Subsequently, MasterBrand voluntarily withdrew its pre-merger notification to the FTC to allow more time for antitrust review, with plans to resubmit by October 8, 2025, starting a new 30-day waiting period. The merger is expected to be finalized in early 2026, pending further approvals and conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (MBC) stock is a Buy with a $15.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MasterBrand Inc stock, see the MBC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025