tiprankstipranks
Meritage Hospitality Group (MHGU)
OTHER OTC:MHGU
US Market

Meritage Hospitality Group (MHGU) AI Stock Analysis

12 Followers

Top Page

MHGU

Meritage Hospitality Group

(OTC:MHGU)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 41 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▼(-51.46% Downside)
Action:UpgradedDate:04/02/26
The score is driven primarily by deteriorating financial performance (losses, very high leverage, and negative free cash flow). Technicals add pressure as the stock trades below key moving averages with negative MACD, while valuation offers limited support due to negative earnings and no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Franchisee QSR Business Model
Operating as a franchised QSR operator gives MHGU a durable, asset-backed operating model tied to steady restaurant-level sales. The structure aligns incentives with franchisors, provides brand recognition and repeat customer demand, and creates a predictable revenue stream from on-site and drive-thru operations.
Negative Factors
Very High Leverage
Extremely high leverage materially increases financial risk and interest obligations, reducing flexibility to absorb shocks or invest in growth. With a thin equity cushion, continued operating volatility or margin pressure could trigger covenant strain, refinancing risk, or constrain strategic options over coming quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Franchisee QSR Business Model
Operating as a franchised QSR operator gives MHGU a durable, asset-backed operating model tied to steady restaurant-level sales. The structure aligns incentives with franchisors, provides brand recognition and repeat customer demand, and creates a predictable revenue stream from on-site and drive-thru operations.
Read all positive factors

Meritage Hospitality Group (MHGU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Meritage Hospitality Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Meritage Hospitality Group Inc. operates quick-service and casual dining restaurants. The company operates restaurants under the Wendy's, Morning Belle, Stan's Tacos, Freighters Eatery & Taproom, and Twisted Roosters brand names. As of January 2, ...
How the Company Makes Money
MHGU makes money mainly by operating franchised QSR restaurants and retaining the restaurant-level sales generated from those locations. Its core revenue stream is food and beverage sales to customers (including dine-in, drive-thru, and takeout, a...

Meritage Hospitality Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials weakened materially: revenue declined (~-3.7% YoY) and results swung to a net loss (-$26.3M) with negative operating profit. Leverage is very high (debt ~$572.2M vs equity ~$97.2M; ~5.9x debt-to-equity), and cash generation deteriorated with low operating cash flow (~$4.9M) and deeply negative free cash flow (~-$20.0M).
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
26
Negative
Cash Flow
22
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue617.70M668.80M672.49M626.04M577.13M
Gross Profit241.10M277.53M80.89M252.19M242.96M
EBITDA10.09M37.55M41.16M39.04M47.35M
Net Income-31.75M7.80M6.14M8.48M17.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets754.76M810.16M816.90M791.32M758.63M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.47M20.85M19.43M35.37M49.95M
Total Debt572.17M598.53M615.94M586.15M567.88M
Total Liabilities656.30M681.35M694.87M674.12M649.95M
Stockholders Equity97.21M127.67M121.14M116.15M105.76M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-19.98M-16.98M-33.90M-41.02M-45.53M
Operating Cash Flow4.94M23.12M11.46M25.75M38.58M
Investing Cash Flow-19.72M-32.24M-74.83M-83.24M-83.27M
Financing Cash Flow5.40M10.53M47.44M42.91M62.32M

Meritage Hospitality Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.12
Price Trends
50DMA
2.76
Negative
100DMA
3.01
Negative
200DMA
6.97
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.13
Positive
RSI
34.67
Neutral
STOCH
0.74
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MHGU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.56, above the 50-day MA of 2.76, and below the 200-day MA of 6.97, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 0.74 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MHGU.

Meritage Hospitality Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$33.40M18.5719.70%0.35%9.25%
65
Neutral
$59.89M17.078.92%1.89%8.99%49.97%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
49
Neutral
$48.52M-0.76132.11%-0.35%-37.02%
47
Neutral
$53.43M-0.60-51.90%51.57%-367.14%
41
Neutral
$13.71M-0.46-3.97%-500.13%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MHGU
Meritage Hospitality Group
2.18
-10.82
-83.23%
BDL
Flanigan's Enterprises
32.23
8.13
33.73%
RAVE
Rave Restaurant Group
2.35
0.27
12.98%
NDLS
Noodles & Co
8.24
0.88
11.96%
STKS
The ONE Group Hospitality
1.71
-1.14
-40.00%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 02, 2026