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Meritage Hospitality Group (MHGU)
OTHER OTC:MHGU
US Market
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Meritage Hospitality Group (MHGU) AI Stock Analysis

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MHGU

Meritage Hospitality Group

(OTC:MHGU)

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Underperform 40 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:40Underperform
Price Target:
$1.50
▼(-63.59% Downside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:05/19/26
The score is primarily pressured by weak financial performance—losses, very high leverage, and negative free cash flow—followed by bearish technicals (price below key moving averages and negative MACD). Valuation provides limited offset because the negative P/E reflects losses and dividend yield data is unavailable.
Positive Factors
Healthy gross margin
A ~39.6% gross margin indicates durable product-level economics and pricing power or effective COGS control at the restaurant level. Over 2–6 months this margin provides a base to absorb operating cost reductions or modest sales recovery, supporting a faster path back to profitability if SG&A and labor are managed.
Negative Factors
Very high and rising leverage
Debt-to-equity near 6.5x sharply limits financial flexibility and increases fixed interest burdens. Over the next several months this structural leverage heightens refinancing and covenant risks, reduces ability to invest in operations, and magnifies earnings volatility from modest revenue swings, making recovery more difficult without deleveraging.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Healthy gross margin
A ~39.6% gross margin indicates durable product-level economics and pricing power or effective COGS control at the restaurant level. Over 2–6 months this margin provides a base to absorb operating cost reductions or modest sales recovery, supporting a faster path back to profitability if SG&A and labor are managed.
Read all positive factors

Meritage Hospitality Group (MHGU) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Meritage Hospitality Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Meritage Hospitality Group Inc. operates quick-service and casual dining restaurants. The company operates restaurants under the Wendy's, Morning Belle, Stan's Tacos, Freighters Eatery & Taproom, and Twisted Roosters brand names. As of January 2, ...
How the Company Makes Money
MHGU makes money mainly by operating franchised QSR restaurants and retaining the restaurant-level sales generated from those locations. Its core revenue stream is food and beverage sales to customers (including dine-in, drive-thru, and takeout, a...

Meritage Hospitality Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are weak: TTM revenue declined (-3.5%), profitability has turned negative (EBIT/EBITDA negative; ~-6.2% net margin), leverage is very high and rising (~6.5x debt-to-equity with negative ROE ~-35%), and free cash flow is materially negative (~-$16.4M) with only minimal operating cash flow (~$2.3M). Gross margin (~39.6%) remains a relative bright spot but is not translating into earnings.
Income Statement
28
Negative
Balance Sheet
22
Negative
Cash Flow
20
Very Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue595.75M617.70M668.80M672.49M626.04M577.13M
Gross Profit236.21M241.10M277.53M80.89M252.19M242.96M
EBITDA5.95M10.09M37.55M41.16M39.04M47.35M
Net Income-36.98M-31.75M7.80M6.14M8.48M17.45M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets760.55M754.76M810.16M816.90M791.32M758.63M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments19.25M11.47M20.85M19.43M35.37M49.95M
Total Debt571.58M572.17M598.53M615.94M586.15M567.88M
Total Liabilities671.81M656.30M681.35M694.87M674.12M649.95M
Stockholders Equity87.53M97.21M127.67M121.14M116.15M105.76M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-16.44M-19.98M-16.98M-33.90M-41.02M-45.53M
Operating Cash Flow2.35M4.94M23.12M11.46M25.75M38.58M
Investing Cash Flow-14.25M-19.72M-32.24M-74.83M-83.24M-83.27M
Financing Cash Flow8.17M5.40M10.53M47.44M42.91M62.32M

Meritage Hospitality Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.12
Price Trends
50DMA
2.17
Negative
100DMA
2.43
Negative
200DMA
5.06
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.15
Positive
RSI
46.82
Neutral
STOCH
53.78
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MHGU, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.12 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.96, above the 50-day MA of 2.17, and below the 200-day MA of 5.06, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.78 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MHGU.

Meritage Hospitality Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$43.20M14.7519.21%3.20%9.92%
62
Neutral
$63.19M10.599.04%1.89%5.74%47.36%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
57
Neutral
$74.24M-2.0090.61%-0.12%7.25%
51
Neutral
$63.29M-0.70-65.14%0.99%-217.64%
40
Underperform
$12.02M-0.32-9.81%-1728.27%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MHGU
Meritage Hospitality Group
1.91
-11.44
-85.69%
BDL
Flanigan's Enterprises
34.00
6.37
23.05%
RAVE
Rave Restaurant Group
3.04
0.29
10.55%
NDLS
Noodles & Co
12.60
6.11
94.20%
STKS
The ONE Group Hospitality
2.01
-1.39
-40.86%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 19, 2026