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McGraw Hill, Inc. (MH)
NYSE:MH
US Market

McGraw Hill, Inc. (MH) AI Stock Analysis

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MH

McGraw Hill, Inc.

(NYSE:MH)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$15.00
▼(-2.28% Downside)
The score is primarily constrained by financial risk (high leverage and negative net profitability) and weak technical momentum, partially offset by a constructive earnings call with raised guidance and strong digital/Higher Education performance.
Positive Factors
Digital & Higher Education Growth
McGraw Hill's shift toward digital and recurring revenue materially improves predictability and unit economics. Higher digital mix reduces distribution costs and supports subscription pricing, enabling steadier cash flows and investment in product improvement over multiple years.
Higher Education Market Share Gains
A 160bp share gain to a 30% position in Higher Education signals durable competitive advantage, likely from content, platform integration and distribution relationships. Market-share momentum supports pricing leverage and sustained revenue growth in a large addressable market.
Debt Reduction & Interest Savings
Aggressive prepayments materially lower gross debt and recurring interest costs, improving solvency and free cash flow capacity. Sustained deleveraging towards a 2-2.5x net leverage target enhances financial flexibility for product investment and reduces refinancing risk.
Negative Factors
High Leverage & Negative ROE
Extremely high leverage and deeply negative ROE indicate capital structure stress and weak shareholder returns. High debt amplifies earnings volatility and limits strategic options, making the company sensitive to revenue dips and constraining long-term investment capacity.
Negative Net Profitability
Operating margins are solid but net losses persist, suggesting interest, tax, depreciation or non-operating items erode profitability. Continued net losses undermine retained earnings and equity value, impede dividend capacity, and weaken ability to self-finance growth.
Declines in K-12 & International
Contractions in K-12 and international segments reduce product diversification and expose the company to concentrated growth risks. If structural, these declines could cap overall top-line growth and force greater reliance on a narrower Higher Education/digital mix.

McGraw Hill, Inc. (MH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

McGraw Hill, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMcGraw Hill, Inc., doing business as McGraw Hill, provides information solutions for K-12, higher education, and professional markets in the United States and internationally. It operates through K-12, Higher Education, Global Professional, and International segments. The K-12 segment provides core, supplemental, and intervention curricula to support the needs of the K-12 schools. It sells blended digital and print learning solutions directly to school districts across the United States. The Higher Education segment offers students, instructors, and institutions with adaptive digital learning solutions and content, and instructional materials. Its solutions are used by students enrolled in non-profit colleges and universities, as well as for-profit institutions. This segment sells its higher education solutions to online retailers and distribution partners, as well as sells directly to student through its proprietary e-commerce platform. The Global Professional segment provides students, institutions, and professionals with comprehensive medical and engineering learning solutions. This segment sells digital learning solutions and print materials accessible through a range of mediums for learners and customers. The International segment offers digital and print solutions in approximately 100 countries and 80 languages outside of the United States. This segment, through its distribution network, serve the needs of learners and educators with K-12 and higher education solutions. McGraw Hill, Inc. was formerly known as Mav Holding Corporation and changed its name to McGraw Hill, Inc. in October 2022. The company was founded in 1888 and is headquartered in Columbus, Ohio.
How the Company Makes MoneyMcGraw Hill generates revenue primarily through the sale of educational materials and services across its various sectors. Key revenue streams include the sale of print and digital textbooks, subscription services for digital learning platforms, and licensing fees for educational content. Additionally, the company earns money from assessment products and services, including standardized testing solutions. McGraw Hill also engages in strategic partnerships with educational institutions and technology providers, which can enhance its product offerings and expand its market reach, contributing further to its earnings. The ongoing transition towards digital learning solutions and the increasing demand for educational technology also play a significant role in driving the company's revenue growth.

McGraw Hill, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong performance in Higher Education and digital revenue growth, along with strategic debt reduction and cash flow enhancements. Despite these strengths, challenges in the K-12 segment and international markets were acknowledged, though they were aligned with expectations.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Higher Education Revenue Growth
Higher Education revenue expanded 14% year-over-year, with digital revenue growing 18.4%. Market share rose 160 basis points to 30%.
Digital Revenue Expansion
Digital revenue increased by 7.6% year-over-year to $352 million, representing 53% of total revenue.
Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EBITDA reached $286 million, yielding a margin of 43%, up 60 basis points from the previous year.
Inclusive Access Growth
Inclusive Access sales grew 37% year-over-year, now adopted by nearly 2,000 campuses.
Strong Cash Flow and Debt Reduction
$542 million in term loan debt prepaid year-to-date, resulting in over $40 million in annualized cash interest savings.
Negative Updates
K-12 Revenue Decline
K-12 revenue decreased by 11.2% year-over-year due to a smaller market opportunity.
International Revenue Decrease
International revenue decreased by 8.8% year-over-year, though the decline narrowed compared to the previous quarter.
Company Guidance
During the Fiscal Second Quarter 2026 earnings call, McGraw Hill provided robust guidance following a strong performance. The company reported fiscal Q2 revenue of $669 million, a 2.8% decline year-over-year, attributed to a smaller K-12 market, but achieved a 6.5% increase in recurring revenue to $422 million, representing 63% of total revenue. Digital revenue grew 7.6% to $352 million, and Higher Education revenue saw a 14% increase year-over-year, with digital revenue within this segment expanding by 18.4%. McGraw Hill's market share in Higher Education rose 160 basis points to 30%. Adjusted EBITDA reached $286 million, with a margin of 43%, up 60 basis points from the previous year. The company raised fiscal year 2026 guidance, anticipating total revenue between $2.031 billion and $2.061 billion and adjusted EBITDA ranging from $702 million to $722 million. The call highlighted McGraw Hill's successful integration of AI into their products, enhancing learning experiences and driving growth.

McGraw Hill, Inc. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
McGraw Hill, Inc. shows strong revenue growth but faces challenges with profitability and high leverage. The high debt-to-equity ratio and negative return on equity indicate financial risk, while cash flow metrics show mixed performance.
Income Statement
McGraw Hill, Inc. has shown significant revenue growth of 401.14% in the latest year, indicating strong top-line expansion. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by a negative net profit margin of -4.09%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively healthy at 14.60% and 31.85%, respectively, suggesting operational efficiency despite net losses.
Balance Sheet
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 11.62, indicating significant leverage and potential financial risk. The negative return on equity of -30.63% reflects ongoing challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is low, suggesting limited equity financing relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
Operating cash flow has improved, with a coverage ratio of 0.49, indicating better cash generation relative to net income. However, free cash flow growth is negative at -442.06%, highlighting potential cash flow challenges. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.75, showing some ability to convert earnings into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.69B2.10B1.96B1.95B
Gross Profit3.73B1.68B1.54B1.48B
EBITDA1.49B669.16M571.18M495.71M
Net Income108.41M-85.84M-193.02M-404.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.05B5.76B5.81B6.07B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments463.19M389.83M203.62M181.47M
Total Debt2.88B3.26B3.53B3.59B
Total Liabilities5.25B5.48B5.44B5.51B
Stockholders Equity794.59M280.24M368.75M558.13M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow505.41M485.22M79.55M116.06M
Operating Cash Flow784.26M646.28M236.16M256.62M
Investing Cash Flow-396.00M-167.06M-136.11M-162.32M
Financing Cash Flow-128.20M-294.68M-77.24M-204.57M

McGraw Hill, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$4.95B23.5227.77%7.05%-2.63%
70
Outperform
$9.69B25.259.28%1.03%7.22%-2.84%
68
Neutral
$840.67M-191.04-1.78%2.53%95.79%
67
Neutral
$7.46B40.924.77%44.37%146.96%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
61
Neutral
$1.23B-23.02-7.43%8.10%43.35%
57
Neutral
$3.02B-28.213.19%-6.25%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MH
McGraw Hill, Inc.
15.35
-1.46
-8.69%
LOPE
Grand Canyon Education
174.35
8.34
5.02%
EDU
New Oriental Education Tech
57.71
-1.31
-2.22%
TAL
TAL Education Group
11.94
2.31
23.99%
COUR
Coursera
6.55
-1.92
-22.67%
UDMY
Udemy Inc
5.12
-3.21
-38.54%

McGraw Hill, Inc. Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
McGraw Hill Appoints Brian Van Dam Chief Accounting Officer
Positive
Jan 8, 2026

On January 5, 2026, McGraw Hill, Inc. created and filled a new executive role by appointing Brian Van Dam as its Chief Accounting Officer and principal accounting officer, signaling an enhancement of its senior finance leadership structure. Van Dam, a 52-year-old accounting executive with prior controller and senior finance roles at Array Corporation, Transfix, Inc., and Xerox Corporation, will receive a $350,000 annual base salary, a target bonus opportunity of 45% of base pay under the company’s incentive plan, a $20,000 sign-on bonus subject to clawback under certain conditions, and potential future equity-based awards, while the existing Senior Vice President, Controller, Muhammad Ali Jamal, will remain in his role but no longer serve as principal accounting officer, reflecting a reallocation of responsibilities within McGraw Hill’s finance organization without any disclosed related-party or conflict-of-interest concerns.

The most recent analyst rating on (MH) stock is a Buy with a $19.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on McGraw Hill, Inc. stock, see the MH Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
McGraw Hill Names Philip Moyer as New CEO
Positive
Jan 6, 2026

On January 6, 2026, McGraw Hill announced that Simon Allen will retire as president and CEO effective February 9, 2026, after leading the company since October 2019, but will remain chair of the board and continue to support strategy and governance. The board has appointed former Vimeo CEO and Google Cloud AI executive Philip Moyer as Allen’s successor and as a director effective the same date, and expanded the board from nine to 11 members, adding Moyer and Platinum Equity managing director Eric Worley as Class II and Class I directors, respectively. Allen’s transition package includes continued eligibility for a full fiscal 2026 annual bonus, a quarterly cash transition supplement through up to December 31, 2028, continued tax services for a limited period, and standard non-employee director compensation while serving as chair, underscoring an orderly, non-contentious succession. Moyer’s employment agreement provides a $1.2 million base salary, a $1.8 million target annual bonus, a $2.5 million sign-on bonus, an $8 million initial equity award split between time- and performance-vested RSUs tied to ambitious share-price hurdles, matching RSUs linked to his own share purchases, and enhanced severance protections, aligning his incentives with long-term shareholder value and stock performance. The appointment of a technology- and AI-focused leader follows a period in which Allen shifted McGraw Hill’s revenue mix to nearly two-thirds digital and roughly 60% recurring, and signals an intention to accelerate AI-driven, personalized learning offerings while maintaining continuity at the board level and strengthening Platinum Equity’s representation through Worley’s addition.

The most recent analyst rating on (MH) stock is a Buy with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on McGraw Hill, Inc. stock, see the MH Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
McGraw Hill Announces $50 Million Loan Prepayment
Positive
Dec 10, 2025

On December 10, 2025, McGraw Hill, Inc. announced a $50 million prepayment on its term loan, further strengthening its balance sheet. This move is part of a broader strategy to reduce gross debt, with $592 million paid year-to-date, and aligns with the company’s commitment to maintaining a 2-2.5x net leverage target while continuing strategic investments for future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (MH) stock is a Hold with a $17.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on McGraw Hill, Inc. stock, see the MH Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
McGraw Hill Announces $150 Million Loan Prepayment
Positive
Oct 16, 2025

On October 16, 2025, McGraw Hill, Inc. announced a $150 million prepayment of its term loan, reducing the outstanding balance to approximately $618 million. This move is part of the company’s ongoing efforts to deleverage and strengthen its financial position, resulting in expected annualized cash interest savings of over $40 million. The company emphasizes its commitment to financial discipline and achieving a net leverage target of 2-2.5x, reflecting the strength of its business and strategic focus on debt reduction.

The most recent analyst rating on (MH) stock is a Hold with a $15.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on McGraw Hill, Inc. stock, see the MH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 09, 2026