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Medline, Inc. Class A (MDLN)
NASDAQ:MDLN
US Market
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Medline (MDLN) AI Stock Analysis

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MDLN

Medline

(NASDAQ:MDLN)

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Neutral 55 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:
$38.00
▼(-20.24% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/07/26
The score is primarily supported by improving operating fundamentals (revenue growth and better gross margin) but is held back by meaningful leverage and inconsistent earnings-to-cash conversion. Technical indicators are bearish (below key moving averages with negative MACD and weak RSI/Stoch), and the high P/E provides limited valuation support.
Positive Factors
Sustained revenue scaling
Consistent top-line expansion through 2025 indicates durable demand for Medline's consumables and distribution services. Scale growth supports negotiating power with suppliers, broader customer penetration, and higher recurring volumes that underpin multi-quarter revenue visibility and capacity to invest in operations.
Negative Factors
Meaningful leverage
Debt near parity with equity and a rising debt-to-equity ratio reduce financial flexibility and increase vulnerability to demand shocks or cost inflation. Higher leverage constrains capital allocation, raises interest sensitivity, and limits ability to pursue M&A or invest incrementally without stressing coverage metrics.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Sustained revenue scaling
Consistent top-line expansion through 2025 indicates durable demand for Medline's consumables and distribution services. Scale growth supports negotiating power with suppliers, broader customer penetration, and higher recurring volumes that underpin multi-quarter revenue visibility and capacity to invest in operations.
Read all positive factors

Medline (MDLN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Medline Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Medline Inc. manufactures med-surg products serving the hospital, surgery centers, physician offices, post-acute facilities, and nursing home sites of care in the United States and Internationally. It operates through two segments: Medline Brand a...
How the Company Makes Money
Medline primarily makes money by manufacturing and selling its own branded medical consumables and by distributing medical-surgical supplies and equipment from third-party manufacturers to healthcare providers. Key revenue streams include: (1) sal...

Medline Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are mixed: strong revenue scaling and improving gross margin support the score, but profit margin volatility, moderate-to-high leverage (debt-to-equity rising to ~1.17x), and uneven earnings-to-cash alignment temper overall quality.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
63
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023
Income Statement
Total Revenue29.14B28.43B25.51B23.23B
Gross Profit7.01B7.52B6.29B5.22B
EBITDA2.94B2.92B3.53B2.59B
Net Income964.00M1.16B1.20B234.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets39.01B38.48B35.98B36.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.24B1.94B250.00M1.58B
Total Debt12.57B12.56B16.90B16.83B
Total Liabilities19.66B19.20B19.45B19.14B
Stockholders Equity11.27B10.74B16.52B16.98B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.52B1.74B1.41B1.40B
Operating Cash Flow1.52B1.74B1.77B1.69B
Investing Cash Flow-469.00M-474.00M-1.49B-312.00M
Financing Cash Flow547.00M399.00M-1.61B-191.00M

Medline Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$3.83B25.028.95%11.34%12.26%
64
Neutral
$40.68B-35.474.54%2.13%2.39%-24.85%
57
Neutral
$3.33B26.542.19%-10.76%
57
Neutral
$5.88B-162.30-28.27%1.11%-6.61%-812.37%
55
Neutral
$48.62B70.636.87%12.07%-22.07%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
49
Neutral
$9.91B-144.20-16.43%2.75%-4.79%-78.01%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MDLN
Medline
36.16
-4.84
-11.80%
BAX
Baxter International
19.38
-11.07
-36.36%
BDX
Becton Dickinson
147.75
13.76
10.27%
ICUI
ICU Medical
134.97
4.53
3.47%
MMSI
Merit Medical Systems
64.52
-31.98
-33.14%
TFX
Teleflex
131.89
10.32
8.49%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 07, 2026