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Baxter International Inc (BAX)
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Baxter International (BAX) AI Stock Analysis

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BAX

Baxter International

(NYSE:BAX)

Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$22.00
▼(-9.02% Downside)
Baxter International's overall stock score is influenced by its mixed financial performance and bearish technical indicators. The company's strategic initiatives and leadership change are positive, but ongoing profitability and operational challenges weigh heavily. The technical analysis suggests significant downward pressure, highlighting risks in the current market conditions.
Positive Factors
Financial Strategy
The company is focused on de-leveraging the balance sheet to create greater financial flexibility, providing capacity for share buy-backs or acquisitions.
Growth Strategy
Management's strategic focus includes increasing investment in R&D to drive a steady cadence of innovative new product launches.
Sales Performance
Sales at $2.63B were better than expected vs. our estimate/consensus of $2.58B.
Negative Factors
Earnings
Baxter's shares have been downgraded from Buy to Neutral due to disappointing 2Q earnings results and revised 2025 guidance.
Operational Challenges
Key operational challenges include addressing customer-driven NOVUM large volume pump field actions, resolving issues in Infusion Therapies & Technologies, and reinvigorating the company’s innovation and commercial engine.
Stock Performance
Baxter's stock has underperformed significantly, returning -39.5% compared to the S&P 500's gain of 6.4%, due to slower than expected recovery and downward earnings revisions.

Baxter International (BAX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Baxter International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBaxter International Inc. is a global healthcare company that specializes in the development, manufacturing, and marketing of a broad range of medical products. The company operates primarily in two segments: Hospital Products and Renal. Baxter's core products include intravenous (IV) solutions, infusion systems, and renal care products like dialysis equipment. The company is dedicated to improving patient outcomes and enhancing the safety and efficiency of healthcare delivery through innovative products and therapies.
How the Company Makes MoneyBaxter International generates revenue primarily through the sale of its medical products and services across various healthcare settings. Key revenue streams include the sale of IV solutions, infusion systems, and renal care equipment, which are crucial for hospital and outpatient care. The company also earns revenue from ongoing service contracts and maintenance of its devices. Significant partnerships with healthcare providers, hospitals, and distributors enhance its market reach and contribute to stable revenue generation. Additionally, Baxter invests in research and development to innovate and expand its product offerings, which helps drive sales and maintain competitive advantage in the healthcare market.

Baxter International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -13.80%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed performance for Baxter International with growth in sales and earnings and strategic partnerships being positive aspects. However, challenges in the Infusion Therapies & Technologies segment, issues with the Novum LVP platform, and a decline in gross margins presented significant concerns.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Sales and Earnings Growth
Second quarter sales from continuing operations grew 4% on a reported basis and 1% on an operational basis. Adjusted earnings per share from continuing operations increased 28% over the prior year, reaching $0.59.
Advanced Surgery and Care & Connectivity Solutions Performance
Advanced Surgery sales grew 5% globally, driven by strong demand for hemostats and sealants. Care & Connectivity Solutions (CCS) sales increased 4%, with notable improvement internationally at 7% growth.
Debt Reduction and Tax Rate Improvement
Net interest expense decreased by $28 million versus the prior year due to debt repayment. The adjusted tax rate was 16.7%, a decrease of 400 basis points over the prior year, driven by strategic use of tax attributes.
Strategic Partnership with Vizient
Baxter announced a strategic partnership with Vizient to expand its reserve program, including Baxter IV fluids, to ensure reliable access during supply disruptions.
Negative Updates
Infusion Therapies & Technologies Decline
Sales in the Infusion Therapies & Technologies division declined 1%, impacted by hospital IV fluid conservation efforts and slightly lower U.S. patient admissions.
Novum LVP Infusion Platform Challenges
Baxter temporarily paused shipments and installations of the Novum LVP infusion platform due to customer feedback and ongoing quality procedures.
Injectables & Anesthesia Weakness
Injectables & Anesthesia sales declined 4%, affected by demand softness for premixed products and lower sales of inhaled anesthesia.
Gross Margin Decline
Second quarter adjusted gross margins from continuing operations were 14.7%, a decrease of 170 basis points compared to the prior year, primarily due to lower manufacturing volumes and unfavorable product mix.
Company Guidance
During Baxter International's second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided updated guidance for the third quarter and the full year. For 2025, Baxter expects total sales growth of 6% to 7% on a reported basis, with foreign exchange anticipated to contribute about 50 basis points to this growth. MSA revenues from Vantive are projected to contribute around $320 million. Operational sales growth is now estimated at 3% to 4%, a reduction from the previous 4% to 5% guidance, reflecting potential downside risks including the temporary pause of Novum IQ Large Volume pump shipments and ongoing fluid conservation efforts by hospitals. Adjusted operating margin from continuing operations is expected to be between 15% to 16%, with a full-year adjusted earnings per share on a continuing operations basis revised to $2.42 to $2.52. Guidance for the third quarter includes sales growth of 6% to 7% on a reported basis and 3% to 4% on an operational basis, with adjusted earnings per share expected to be between $0.58 to $0.62.

Baxter International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Baxter International's financial performance is mixed. While it has a reasonable balance sheet and positive cash flow, profitability challenges persist due to negative EBIT and net income. The company maintains solid gross margins but must address operational inefficiencies to achieve sustainable profitability.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Baxter International's income statement reveals mixed performance. The TTM shows a gross profit margin of 36.03%, indicating solid profitability in core operations. However, negative EBIT and net income highlight significant operational and net losses, impacting the overall financial health. Revenue has declined over recent years, with a negative revenue growth rate from 2023 to TTM. The company faces challenges in achieving sustainable profitability.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate risk profile with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.46, reflecting a somewhat high leverage but manageable under current conditions. The equity ratio stands at 33.23%, indicating a stable proportion of equity financing. While return on equity is negative due to net losses, the company's substantial asset base provides some buffer against financial instability.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Baxter's cash flow statement demonstrates resilience with positive free cash flow of $191 million in the TTM, despite a declining trend in operating cash flow from previous periods. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting ongoing profitability issues. However, the company's ability to maintain positive free cash flow is a positive indicator of liquidity and operational efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.89B10.64B10.36B10.06B12.15B11.67B
Gross Profit4.28B3.98B4.15B3.55B4.72B4.59B
EBITDA647.00M1.12B1.73B-1.76B2.19B2.27B
Net Income-560.00M-649.00M2.66B-2.43B1.28B1.10B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets21.30B25.78B28.28B28.29B33.52B20.02B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.29B1.76B3.08B1.72B2.95B3.73B
Total Debt10.31B13.45B14.11B17.20B18.31B6.80B
Total Liabilities14.25B18.76B19.81B22.39B24.40B11.29B
Stockholders Equity7.08B6.96B8.40B5.83B9.08B8.69B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow191.00M559.00M1.29B576.00M1.53B1.16B
Operating Cash Flow663.00M1.02B1.73B1.21B2.22B1.87B
Investing Cash Flow2.81B-626.00M3.21B-931.00M-11.20B-1.18B
Financing Cash Flow-4.17B-1.08B-3.49B-1.44B8.24B-345.00M

Baxter International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price24.18
Price Trends
50DMA
28.02
Negative
100DMA
29.19
Negative
200DMA
30.68
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.30
Negative
RSI
36.90
Neutral
STOCH
74.68
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BAX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 24.18 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.10, below the 50-day MA of 28.02, and below the 200-day MA of 30.68, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.30 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 36.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.68 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BAX.

Baxter International Risk Analysis

Baxter International disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Baxter International reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Baxter International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$41.71B29.9725.86%0.77%9.84%37.48%
78
Outperform
$14.62B35.545.15%6.88%21.11%
78
Outperform
$17.70B36.8817.72%0.34%2.88%-5.50%
75
Outperform
$56.16B35.236.26%2.08%7.86%14.24%
75
Outperform
$15.08B28.1311.38%1.28%-17.73%
65
Neutral
¥343.60B11.19-0.17%2.41%9.60%-12.34%
54
Neutral
$12.42B136.07-3.30%3.31%-27.41%67.01%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BAX
Baxter International
23.61
-12.01
-33.72%
BDX
Becton Dickinson
195.94
-35.43
-15.31%
COO
Cooper Co
73.53
-21.69
-22.78%
HOLX
Hologic
67.81
-13.54
-16.64%
RMD
Resmed
284.89
55.58
24.24%
WST
West Pharmaceutical Services
246.20
-54.55
-18.14%

Baxter International Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Baxter International Appoints Andrew Hider as New CEO
Positive
Jul 7, 2025

On July 7, 2025, Baxter International announced the appointment of Andrew Hider as the new President and CEO, effective by September 3, 2025. Brent Shafer will transition from Interim CEO to Non-Executive Chair of the Board. Hider, with extensive experience in automation solutions and a proven track record of growth and operational excellence, is expected to lead Baxter into its next chapter, focusing on innovation and sustainable growth.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Baxter International Amends Credit and Loan Agreements
Neutral
Jun 12, 2025

On June 11, 2025, Baxter International Inc. entered into an amended and restated five-year credit agreement, increasing its revolving credit facility to $2.2 billion and extending the maturity date. This agreement, which includes various lenders and JPMorgan Chase Bank as the administrative agent, allows Baxter and its Euro Borrowers to borrow in multiple currencies and replaces a previous €200 million facility. Additionally, Baxter amended a $645 million term loan agreement, extending its maturity and aligning its terms with the revolving credit facility. These financial arrangements aim to enhance Baxter’s liquidity and operational flexibility, potentially impacting its financial strategy and stakeholder interests.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 01, 2025