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Baxter International (BAX)
NYSE:BAX

Baxter International (BAX) AI Stock Analysis

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Baxter International

(NYSE:BAX)

Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$32.00
▲(4.51%Upside)
Baxter International's overall stock score is influenced primarily by its mixed financial performance and the positive outlook from the recent earnings call. While technical analysis and valuation present challenges, the company's strategic initiatives and segment growth provide a positive outlook, offsetting some financial and valuation concerns.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Sales at $2.63B were better than expected vs. our estimate/consensus of $2.58B.
Market Share
The growth of infusion pumps remains strong, with BAX gaining approximately 2% market share and anticipates similar growth driven by increased demand for Novum.
Product Innovation
Management's strategic focus includes increasing investment in R&D to drive a steady cadence of innovative new product launches.
Negative Factors
Product Conservation
BAX's guidance for Q2 sales growth is below previous estimates, primarily due to ongoing conservation of IV fluids.
Sales Growth
Guidance for 2Q25 organic growth of 1-2% implied a meaningful deceleration following stronger than expected 1Q results.
Tariff Impact
BAX left full-year 2025 operational sales growth guidance and EPS guidance basically unchanged despite an incremental $60M-$70M 2H25 tariff-related headwind.

Baxter International (BAX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Baxter International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBaxter International Inc. is a global healthcare company specializing in medical products and services that support patient care across various clinical settings. The company operates in sectors such as renal care, medication delivery, pharmaceuticals, and advanced surgery. Baxter's core products include dialysis products, IV solutions, parenteral nutrition therapies, inhalation anesthetics, and surgical products designed to improve patient outcomes and enhance healthcare efficiency.
How the Company Makes MoneyBaxter International makes money primarily through the sale of its diverse range of medical products and services. The company's revenue model is based on manufacturing and distributing essential healthcare products such as dialysis machines and consumables, IV solutions, and surgical tools. Baxter also generates revenue through its pharmaceutical segment, which includes the production and sale of generic injectables and nutritional therapies. Key revenue streams include sales to hospitals, clinics, and dialysis centers worldwide. Strategic partnerships and collaborations with healthcare providers, as well as a broad distribution network, play a significant role in driving Baxter's earnings by expanding its market reach and enhancing its product offerings.

Baxter International Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -1.23%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Baxter International reported strong first quarter results, surpassing guidance with significant growth in all segments and improved earnings per share. However, the company is facing challenges due to tariffs and foreign exchange impacts, which could affect future performance. Despite these challenges, the company maintains a positive outlook based on strong operational performance and strategic initiatives.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeded Guidance in Q1 2025
First quarter performance for continuing operations exceeded previously issued guidance on both the top and bottom lines, with sales growing 5% on a reported and operational basis.
Positive Segment Growth
Sales rose in all three of Baxter's continuing segments, with Medical Products & Therapies and Healthcare Systems and Technologies performing ahead of expectations.
Strong Performance in Healthcare Systems and Technologies
HST segment sales totaled $704 million, increasing 6%, with a strong order backlog and competitive account wins, particularly in Care and Connectivity Solutions.
Improved Earnings Per Share
Adjusted earnings per share from continuing operations were $0.55, driven by top-line performance and operational efficiency.
Successful Recovery from Hurricane Impact
Production at the North Cove IV solutions facility returned to pre-hurricane levels, and the company expects to be off virtually all product allocations soon.
Negative Updates
Tariff and Foreign Exchange Challenges
Baxter faces a dynamic global macroeconomic environment, with newly enacted global tariffs expected to impact results by approximately $60 million to $70 million in 2025.
Impact of IV Solutions Conservation
Conservation efforts by hospitals due to past supply issues could continue, impacting IV solutions sales, with expectations of 10% to 12% conservation exiting the year.
Company Guidance
During Baxter International's first quarter 2025 earnings conference call, the company exceeded its previously issued guidance with a 5% growth in sales from continuing operations, totaling $2.3 billion. The adjusted earnings per share from continuing operations were reported at $0.55, surpassing expectations. The Medical Products & Therapies (MPT) segment saw a 6% sales increase, with notable contributions from the Infusion Therapies & Technologies division. Healthcare Systems and Technologies (HST) sales rose 6%, led by a 7% growth in the Care and Connectivity Solutions division. Pharmaceuticals segment sales grew by 3%, with a 4% increase in injectables and anesthesia sales. The company is addressing challenges such as newly enacted global tariffs, estimating a $60 million to $70 million impact for the year, and is implementing mitigation strategies. Baxter expects full-year 2025 sales growth of 7% to 8% on a reported basis, maintaining its operational growth forecast of 4% to 5%. The company is focused on accelerating sales growth, expanding margins, and optimizing its supply chain amid the global macroeconomic environment.

Baxter International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Baxter International's financial performance is mixed. Despite a solid gross profit margin of 36.03% and positive free cash flow of $191 million, the company faces challenges such as negative EBIT and net income, indicating significant operational and net losses. The balance sheet reveals a moderate risk profile with a somewhat high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.46, but the substantial asset base provides some buffer against financial instability.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Baxter International's income statement reveals mixed performance. The TTM shows a gross profit margin of 36.03%, indicating solid profitability in core operations. However, negative EBIT and net income highlight significant operational and net losses, impacting the overall financial health. Revenue has declined over recent years, with a negative revenue growth rate from 2023 to TTM. The company faces challenges in achieving sustainable profitability.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate risk profile with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.46, reflecting a somewhat high leverage but manageable under current conditions. The equity ratio stands at 33.23%, indicating a stable proportion of equity financing. While return on equity is negative due to net losses, the company's substantial asset base provides some buffer against financial instability.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Baxter's cash flow statement demonstrates resilience with positive free cash flow of $191 million in the TTM, despite a declining trend in operating cash flow from previous periods. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting ongoing profitability issues. However, the company's ability to maintain positive free cash flow is a positive indicator of liquidity and operational efficiency.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
11.89B10.64B10.36B10.06B12.15B11.67B
Gross Profit
4.28B3.98B4.15B3.55B4.72B4.59B
EBIT
-414.00M14.00M707.00M-2.85B1.35B1.62B
EBITDA
647.00M1.12B1.73B-1.76B2.19B2.27B
Net Income Common Stockholders
-560.00M-649.00M2.66B-2.43B1.28B1.10B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.29B1.76B3.08B1.72B2.95B3.73B
Total Assets
21.30B25.78B28.28B28.29B33.52B20.02B
Total Debt
10.31B13.45B14.11B17.20B18.31B6.80B
Net Debt
8.02B11.69B11.04B15.48B15.36B3.07B
Total Liabilities
14.25B18.76B19.81B22.39B24.40B11.29B
Stockholders Equity
7.08B6.96B8.40B5.83B9.08B8.69B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
191.00M559.00M1.29B576.00M1.53B1.16B
Operating Cash Flow
663.00M1.02B1.73B1.21B2.22B1.87B
Investing Cash Flow
2.81B-626.00M3.21B-931.00M-11.20B-1.18B
Financing Cash Flow
-4.17B-1.08B-3.49B-1.44B8.24B-345.00M

Baxter International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price30.62
Price Trends
50DMA
30.06
Positive
100DMA
31.57
Negative
200DMA
32.78
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.12
Negative
RSI
49.78
Neutral
STOCH
68.31
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BAX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 30.62 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 30.62, above the 50-day MA of 30.06, and below the 200-day MA of 32.78, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BAX.

Baxter International Risk Analysis

Baxter International disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Baxter International reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Baxter International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (54)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
RMRMD
85
Outperform
$36.98B27.9925.81%0.85%9.54%37.23%
WSWST
72
Outperform
$16.16B34.8517.42%0.38%-1.14%-16.35%
70
Outperform
$14.43B27.3411.77%1.66%21.95%
COCOO
69
Neutral
$13.91B33.815.15%6.88%21.11%
BDBDX
68
Neutral
$49.36B32.865.97%2.42%5.84%15.12%
BABAX
61
Neutral
$15.71B136.07-8.96%2.22%-20.17%-138.32%
54
Neutral
$5.38B3.27-45.10%3.30%16.81%0.02%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BAX
Baxter International
30.62
-2.51
-7.58%
BDX
Becton Dickinson
172.21
-56.07
-24.56%
COO
Cooper Co
69.70
-22.76
-24.62%
HOLX
Hologic
64.75
-6.68
-9.35%
RMD
Resmed
249.34
40.87
19.60%
WST
West Pharmaceutical Services
221.91
-113.19
-33.78%

Baxter International Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Baxter International Amends Credit and Loan Agreements
Neutral
Jun 12, 2025

On June 11, 2025, Baxter International Inc. entered into an amended and restated five-year credit agreement, increasing its revolving credit facility to $2.2 billion and extending the maturity date. This agreement, which includes various lenders and JPMorgan Chase Bank as the administrative agent, allows Baxter and its Euro Borrowers to borrow in multiple currencies and replaces a previous €200 million facility. Additionally, Baxter amended a $645 million term loan agreement, extending its maturity and aligning its terms with the revolving credit facility. These financial arrangements aim to enhance Baxter’s liquidity and operational flexibility, potentially impacting its financial strategy and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (BAX) stock is a Buy with a $46.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Baxter International stock, see the BAX Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Baxter International Holds 2025 Annual Meeting with Key Decisions
Neutral
May 8, 2025

On May 6, 2025, Baxter International Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting, where a quorum of approximately 93.9% was achieved with 481,459,559 shares represented. The meeting resulted in the election of ten directors, approval of executive compensation for 2024, and ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor for 2025. However, a stockholder proposal regarding executives retaining significant stock was not approved.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.